MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Which cars fail their MOT more than their age predicts?

Every failure rate below is computed from 25,722,361 official DVSA initial tests across these 56 families (calendar 2024; national class-4 total: 52.2M) and standardised for fleet age. 100 = expected for the fleet's age profile; below 100 is better, above is worse. No opinions, no surveys — test outcomes only.

How to read the index: 100 = normal for the car's age · 118 ≈ 18% worse than normal · 76 ≈ 24% better. Why can a car with FEW raw failures rank badly? New cars are supposed to fail rarely — a young fleet failing "only" 14% can still be far worse than normal for its age.

worst 20 · most reliable 10 · electric vs petrol · brand comparison · A–Z directory · national statistics + CSV ·full methodology · release dvsa-2024-v1, initial tests only

#FamilyIndex% failing (raw)Age curveTests 2024
1Land Rover Range Rover Sport60.3
14.99% Trend from 7.0 to 25.8 303,232
2Land Rover Range Rover Evoque67.2
14.39% Trend from 8.8 to 20.2 352,325
3Audi A571.5
18.06% Trend from 9.6 to 24.3 241,015
4Audi Q372.8
14.57% Trend from 7.5 to 26.0 226,174
5BMW 3 Series75.6
24.75% Trend from 9.6 to 30.5 675,043
6Mercedes E Class75.8
19.86% Trend from 11.0 to 30.2 419,012
7Toyota Prius79.4
19.52% Trend from 8.7 to 38.7 260,089
8Volkswagen Tiguan79.8
15.81% Trend from 9.7 to 36.3 397,745
9Audi A382.1
23.11% Trend from 7.2 to 42.9 654,933
10Honda CR-V82.4
24.21% Trend from 6.9 to 49.0 304,832
11Mercedes C Class83.6
22.55% Trend from 10.0 to 36.9 646,907
12Land Rover Defender84.4
27.19% Trend from 5.2 to 34.8 222,177
13Audi A484.6
25.09% Trend from 4.5 to 39.2 406,182
14Honda e84.6
9.48% Trend from 10.3 to 9.0 2,699
15Honda Jazz85.0
26.6% Trend from 7.6 to 46.8 440,547
16Volkswagen Golf85.1
24.94% Trend from 7.7 to 40.5 1,323,641
17MINI Hatch85.5
23.43% Trend from 9.2 to 40.9 1,011,919
18Audi A191.3
20.41% Trend from 8.9 to 33.0 386,496
19Ford Kuga91.3
20.4% Trend from 9.9 to 38.1 396,566
20Mercedes A Class91.3
18.83% Trend from 8.3 to 45.5 585,107
21Seat Leon92.0
21.49% Trend from 10.8 to 36.7 296,118
22Skoda Octavia93.6
23.39% Trend from 9.7 to 41.5 292,141
23Toyota Aygo94.9
23.89% Trend from 7.8 to 50.8 359,723
24Volkswagen Passat95.1
27.82% Trend from 12.4 to 41.5 277,719
25Toyota Yaris95.6
26.89% Trend from 6.4 to 46.0 629,646
26Mitsubishi Outlander100.5·d
21.3% Trend from 15.4 to 47.5 120,823
27Honda Civic100.7
32.3% Trend from 9.7 to 42.3 411,763
28Ford Mondeo102.5
32.49% Trend from 16.9 to 44.7 284,784
29Citroen C1102.9
30.21% Trend from 6.9 to 50.2 230,618
30Hyundai i10103.6
26.95% Trend from 16.2 to 45.8 328,314
31Skoda Fabia105.7
29.3% Trend from 13.3 to 47.3 323,883
32Volkswagen Transporter106.4
30.46% Trend from 16.6 to 43.2 503,457
33Ford Focus106.9
31.02% Trend from 12.7 to 48.8 1,348,944
34Kia Sportage107.8
22.55% Trend from 14.4 to 48.0 396,816
35Volkswagen Caddy108.0
29.15% Trend from 15.5 to 39.6 231,167
36Vauxhall Astra109.1
33.71% Trend from 9.6 to 44.1 914,157
37Nissan Leaf109.2
17.69% Trend from 8.8 to 31.4 70,882
38Ford Ka109.5
33.29% Trend from 11.5 to 50.5 253,099
39Kia Picanto111.0
28.14% Trend from 11.2 to 46.0 262,067
40Vauxhall Insignia111.3
30.4% Trend from 17.2 to 40.8 300,589
41Nissan Micra112.5
36.12% Trend from 8.3 to 47.4 342,234
42Volkswagen Polo114.8
32.68% Trend from 10.5 to 49.5 895,817
43Fiat 500116.2
31.68% Trend from 11.3 to 42.8 477,588
44Ford Fiesta117.8
34.33% Trend from 12.3 to 45.3 1,959,383
45Vauxhall Zafira118.6
38.47% Trend from 19.3 to 48.3 281,888
46Nissan Qashqai122.9
30.07% Trend from 9.7 to 55.2 800,602
47Tesla Model 3122.9
14.03% Trend from 13.8 to 14.8 116,025
48Vauxhall Corsa123.5
36.66% Trend from 18.3 to 43.6 1,191,943
49Seat Ibiza124.2
32.1% Trend from 11.3 to 47.0 296,654
50Nissan Juke124.7
28.37% Trend from 8.2 to 45.4 460,457
51Peugeot 208126.7
27.87% Trend from 11.3 to 40.4 295,225
52Vauxhall Mokka133.5
27.34% Trend from 9.4 to 34.4 332,738
53Renault Clio141.5
41.43% Trend from 11.8 to 49.0 473,424
54DS 3150.2
40.69% Trend from 16.5 to 49.4 158,830
55Vauxhall Vivaro156.4
41.93% Trend from 24.3 to 50.8 275,396
56Citroen Berlingo157.7
39.91% Trend from 27.8 to 48.2 270,806

·d = directional: 95% CI includes 100, colour verdict withheld. Bars scaled to the worst index.

Highest age-adjusted risk in this set: Citroen Berlingo (index 157.7); lowest: Land Rover Range Rover Sport (index 60.3). A low raw failure rate can still mean a high index when the fleet is young — see Tesla Model 3.