MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Toyota Supra — MOT statistics 2024

The Toyota Supra failed 11.86% of 2,091 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 39.5 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 60% less often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.

MOT risk index 39.5, 95% CI 35.1–44.3 (100 = national average) 100 39.5 0 200
Index
39.5
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
11.86%
n = 2,091
Dangerous /100
6
national ≈11
Rank
65 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: BMW M3 (index 39.8) — the two published results are 0.3 index points apart.

Toyota Supra common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension is well below the reference at 8.1 per 100 tests, against 21.6 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Toyota Supra common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical19.42,10728.70.68×0.65–0.70
Brakes9.51,02919.40.49×0.46–0.52
Suspension8.187821.60.37×0.35–0.40
Visibility6.974710.80.64×0.59–0.69
Emissions & leaks6.16597.50.81×0.75–0.87
Tyres4.54946.40.70×0.65–0.77
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 10,884 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or…An obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or rear fog lamp inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning2.210.435.19×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Significant brake effort recorded with no brake…Significant brake effort recorded with no brake applied indicating a binding brake2.661.032.58×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits2.070.474.44×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired2.321.122.08×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective1.551.091.42×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen1.891.621.17×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements2.482.570.97×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated1.571.900.83×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen1.702.220.76×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.752.360.74×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Toyota Supra MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Suspension is highest at 28.7 per 100 tests; Non-component advisories are lowest at 3.5 per 100 tests — the gap is 25.2 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Toyota Supra MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Suspension28.7
Brakes23.6
Tyres21.8
Emissions & leaks11.9
Body & structure9.4
Non-component advisories3.5

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed23.3%583
It passed13.8%4,758

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 9.5 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is tyres — 35.2% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 10,460 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only56.1fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage54.3fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year19.7%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (-1.8 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Toyota Supra compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeToyota SupraSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years7.02%10.78%-3.76 pp727
4 years7.04%12.34%-5.3 pp426
5 years11.36%14.16%-2.8 pp176
15 years17.24%36.04%-18.8 pp174
16 years24.58%37.09%-12.51 pp301
17 years19.31%37.48%-18.17 pp404
18 years18.89%37.86%-18.96 pp434
19 years17.3%37.46%-20.17 pp422
20 years18.28%36.98%-18.7 pp383

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Toyota Supra perform as it gets older?

The Supra at age 20 is well below the reference at 13.3%, against 41.0% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Toyota Supra perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeToyota SupraAll vehiclesGap
35.3%12.4%-7.1 pp
46.5%13.1%-6.6 pp
510.7%15.1%-4.4 pp
1916.5%43.5%-27.0 pp
2013.3%41.0%-27.7 pp

Is a Toyota Supra ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Toyota Supra MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 55.8%.

Based on 1,725 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 8
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 709
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 17
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 13
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 16
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 45
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 101
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 54
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 103
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 659

How dangerous are Toyota Supra MOT failures?

Major defects are well below the reference at 45.0 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Toyota Supra MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor11.6814.220.82×
Major45.0052.750.85×
Dangerous6.3911.150.57×

Chart values: Minor 11.7 · Major 45.0 · Dangerous 6.4.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Toyota Supra MOT matter?

Jan is highest at 24.5%; Oct is lowest at 16.8% — the gap is 7.6 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Toyota Supra MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 15%–33%.

bars: Toyota Supra · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthToyota SupraAll vehiclesGap
Jan24.48%31.12%-6.6 pp
Feb19.65%29.99%-10.3 pp
Mar18.9%28.26%-9.4 pp
Apr18.89%29.78%-10.9 pp
May19.02%28.79%-9.8 pp
Jun17.72%28.15%-10.4 pp
Jul17.62%29.33%-11.7 pp
Aug16.86%29.2%-12.3 pp
Sep18.23%28.19%-10.0 pp
Oct16.84%30.34%-13.5 pp
Nov20.69%30.58%-9.9 pp
Dec24.33%29.33%-5.0 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 7.6 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Toyota Supra average mileage by age

At age 5, the middle half of Supras runs from 10,952 miles to 29,434 miles, against 18,608 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Toyota Supra · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–132k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Supra MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 10.1% of those with 40,000–70,000 miles failed first time versus 19.9% of those with over 140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Supra MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Supra: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
15+40-70k miles10.1%6.2–16%148 (rough estimate)
15+70-100k miles12.3%9.2–16.4%316 (rough estimate)
15+100-140k miles12.3%8.9–16.8%268 (rough estimate)
15+140k+ miles19.9%14.1–27.2%141 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
310,00115,03021,527300
414,09520,00826,937260
510,95218,60829,434149
1985,453103,798125,667103
20+72,94194,284120,067661

A typical 5-year-old Supra has ~18,608 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Toyota Supra fails its MOT most

Bath area is highest at 39.6%; Redhill area is lowest at 8.4% — the gap is 31.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Toyota Supra line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Bath (BA)39.62%+20.7 pp
Ipswich (IP)34.25%+15.3 pp
Newport (NP)29.21%+10.3 pp
Guildford (GU)29.17%+10.2 pp
Exeter (EX)27.83%+8.9 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Redhill (RH)8.38%-10.6 pp
Leicester (LE)10.04%-8.9 pp
Birmingham (B)10.81%-8.2 pp
Newcastle (NE)11.67%-7.3 pp
Southend-on-Sea (SS)12.28%-6.7 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 8%–21% failing.

Toyota Supra survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 is close to the reference at 100.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Toyota Supra survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
3727100%7.02%
4426100%7.04%
517680.6%11.36%
65324.3%16.98%
75324.3%15.09%
85826.6%10.34%
137032.1%12.86%
1412858.6%17.19%
1517479.7%17.24%
16301100%24.58%
17404100%19.31%
18434100%18.89%
19422100%17.3%

By age 19, at least as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈218): the older fleet has not thinned out here, so there is no survivor selection to allow for.

How many miles does a Toyota Supra last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 50.8%; 150,000+ miles is lowest at 17.2% — the gap is 33.6 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles5,50550.82%
150,000+ miles1,86517.22%

Of 10,832 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 50.8% had reached 100k miles, 17.2% had reached 150k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Toyota Supra likely to last?

Bought at age 8 is highest at 26.4 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 5.5 years — the gap is 20.9 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 10
8—at least 26.4
15—at least 5.5

estimateObserved only until age 19. The curve does not run five years past the stated age with the share still tested under 50%, so no 'years left' number is given.

Toyota Supra faults that come together

Identification + Emissions & leaks stand out at 9.80×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks439.8× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension558.73× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle247.98× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks857.69× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes1117.16× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels256.97× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment796.76× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres246.64× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems226.62× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSteering286.47× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems316.39× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility386.22× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems416.02× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility875.66× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility385.63× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension465.61× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres465.59× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension1555.27× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension305.27× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1185.21× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1535.2× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems675.19× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension745.16× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment2954.9× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks2104.89× (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle304.87× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres814.81× (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering424.74× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility2724.55× (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility394.44× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension924.39× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility1384.38× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension2354.22× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1294.04× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering673.99× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres463.83× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering243.8× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility853.79× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility633.77× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility1093.74× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres573.66× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility16too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels16too few (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres15too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering13too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres12too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels11too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres11too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering9too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension8too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSteering7too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems6too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Identification of the vehicle» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 9.80× more often than chance (43 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Which Toyota Supra engine is best?

petrol over 2.0 is highest at 100.1; petrol 1.8–2.0 is lowest at 89.5 — the gap is 10.6 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.8–2.0 litre89.511.35%185 (rough estimate)
petrolover 2.0 litre100.119.15%10,296

No engine band clearly fails less or more for its age: the bands are within 5 index points of each other, or their 95% intervals overlap, so this page does not name a best or worst engine.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Toyota Supra MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £72.24 to £137.26, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£72–137
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment19.4 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£27.16
Suspension8.1 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£14.58
Brakes9.5 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£14.25
Noise, emissions and leaks6.1 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£12.20
Tyres4.5 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£4.05

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £72 to £137, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Toyota Supra running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 19 stand out at 16.0%, against 11.0% at age 5, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
11
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 149 tests)
At age 19
16
other cars of this model tested at age 19 in 2024 (rough estimate: 103 tests)
Repairs per 100
£7,224
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
3d
median; 23.2% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
35.33%15,030300-5.4 pp
46.54%20,008260-4.2 pp
510.74%18,608149+0.0 pp
1916.5%103,798103+5.8 pp

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Toyota Supra rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at 0.12×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.12×
0.09% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
39th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 0 postcode areas

This Toyota Supra virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Toyota Supra advisory become a failure?

Brakes are highest at 10.3%; Noise, emissions and leaks are lowest at 5.8% — the gap is 4.5 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Toyota Supra chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Supra, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Brakes 10.3% · Suspension 9.2% · Tyres 6.2% · Body & chassis 6% · Noise, emissions, leaks 5.8%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Brakes10.3%12.3 months6501,083
Suspension9.2%12.2 months6981,148
Tyres6.2%12.3 months1,128929
Body, chassis, structure6.0%12.3 months939580
Noise, emissions and leaks5.8%12.1 months516848

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 10 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.3 months and roughly 650 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Toyota Supra?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 12-14 are highest at 25.0%; Visibility after a passed at age <3 is lowest at 2.1% — the gap is 23.0 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedTyres 3.8% · Visibility 2.1%293 (rough estimate)
3-5passedTyres 3.7%244 (rough estimate)
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 7.4%149 (rough estimate)
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.3%49 (rough estimate)
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.0%40 (rough estimate)
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.5% · Noise, emissions and leaks 3.5% · Visibility 2.9%692
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.1% · Visibility 5.1% · Suspension 4.8%331 (rough estimate)
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.1% · Visibility 9.6% · Brakes 7.8%271 (rough estimate)
20+passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.6% · Suspension 3.5% · Visibility 3.4%2,591
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.2% · Suspension 7.7% · Visibility 7.7%1,367
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 19.3% · Brakes 10.2% · Visibility 8.9%1,138

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Toyota Supra ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 66.5%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 10.3% — the gap is 56.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
23.2%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.924
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
49.84%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
25.657%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 1,194 failures followed through to their re-test, 23.2% were repaired and passed the same day and 66.5% within ten days; the median gap is 3 days. 3,410 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.924 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 714 miles a year across 2,479 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 49.84% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 22.39% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 25.657% of 2,549 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 51,016 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Toyota Supra safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 5.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Toyota Supra recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Toyota Supra. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2021: 2 · 2022: 0 · 2023: 0 · 2024: 1 · 2025: 0 · 2026: 2.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Toyota Supra
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2026/03416/02/2026645RWT (reinforced water tightness) starter on Toyota 4-cylinder GR Supra
R/2026/03416/02/2026158RWT (reinforced water tightness) starter on Toyota 4-cylinder GR Supra
R/2023/34315/01/20243Affected vehicles are equipped with a transmission control computer where there is a possi
R/2021/30327/09/2021634ENGINE MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE COULD CAUSE THE OIL/VACUUM PUMP TO BECOME DAMAGED
R/2020/33828/01/20212THE FUEL TANK MAY NOT HAVE BEEN WELDED PROPERLY AND COULD LEAK FUEL

DVSA lists 5 safety recall campaigns for the Toyota Supra, covering roughly 1,442 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Toyota Supra technical service bulletins: what dealers are told

US market, Toyota SUPRA, model years 2020–2022 only. A count of bulletins, not a UK failure rate.

NHTSA manufacturer communications are 111.

bigger number = more recorded dealer communicationsnot affected vehicles or confirmed faults

These are the issues the manufacturer fixes quietly: service communications sent to dealers without a public recall campaign. They show what the service network has been told even when the issue never became news.

United States · NHTSA manufacturer communications

US technical service bulletins by communication year; leading subjects cover the full file
Communication yearBulletinsLeading subjects across all years
20011
  • Equipment (36)
  • Electrical system (30)
  • Structure (29)
  • Engine and cooling (7)
  • Other / uncategorised (7)
  • Adaptive and mobility equipment (6)
  • Air Bags (4)
  • Steering (4)
201911
202026
202120
20228
20234
202438
20262

Caveat worth stating plainly: this is NHTSA data about US-specification cars. British cars sold under the same name often use different gearboxes, engines and equipment, so a bulletin may describe a component that was never fitted here. The file counts dealer communications, not affected vehicles or confirmed failures, and it cannot tell you whether an individual UK car has the issue. A communication can carry more than one subject tag, so topic counts do not have to add up to the total. Source: NHTSA Manufacturer Communications API (US-market vehicles; queried model years 2015-2022). Licence: U.S. Government work / public domain · retrieved 2026-09-25.

Toyota Supra owner complaints: what goes wrong

US market, Toyota SUPRA, model years 2020–2022 only. A count of owner complaints, not a UK failure rate; NHTSA has no UK denominator.

Lamps & electrical are highest at 13; Suspension is lowest at 2 — the gap is 11.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Owner complaints (US) against actual MOT failures (UK) for the same component groups
ComponentComplaintsShareMOT fail items per 100MOT rankAgreement
Lamps & electrical1335.1%19.4#1complained about and fails often
Engine (not MOT-tested)924.3%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Steering513.5%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Brakes410.8%9.5#2complained about and fails often
Suspension25.4%8.1#3complained about and fails often
Visibility25.4%6.9#4complained about, fails occasionally

Two different populations answering two different questions: the MOT records what an inspector can measure once a year, the complaint file records what annoyed or frightened an owner on the road. A component high in one column and absent from the other is the interesting case — driver-assistance and electronics dominate complaints while almost never appearing as an MOT failure item.

What the reports actually say
WINDSHIELD CRACKS FROM VERY VERY TINY KNICK, ABOUT THE SIZE OF 1/2 OF A GRAIN OF SALT. I AM IN MULTIPLE TOYOTA SUPRA GROUPS IN FACEBOOK AND NUMEROUS PEOPLE HAVE COMPLAINED ABOUT THIS ISSUE. I FEEL THE WINDSHIELD DOESN'T MEET SAFETY REGULATIONS FOR IMPACTS. THE WINDSHIELDS APPEAR TO LOOK LIKE A SINGLE PANE OF GLASS, NOT LAMINATED DOUBLE PANE.
NHTSA complaint, filed 04/27/2021 · VISIBILITY/WIPER
EXTREME WIND BUFFETING DRIVING OVER 45MPH WITH 1 OR BOTH WINDOWS DOWN. THIS IS A SAFETY ISSUE BECAUSE YOU CAN'T HEAR WARNINGS OR ANYTHING WHEN THIS OCCURS. CAR & DRIVER RECENTLY PUBLISHED AN ARTICLE ABOUT IT AS WELL. HTTPS://WWW.CARANDDRIVER.COM/NEWS/A30380806/TOYOTA-SUPRA-WIND-NOISE-PROBLEM-FIXED/
NHTSA complaint, filed 01/02/2020

US owners have filed 37 complaints about the equivalent Toyota Supra to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, including 4 that mention a crash, 0 a fire and 1 an injury. These are owner reports, not verified findings — but they are the only large public record of what drivers themselves notice, and they cover the years between MOT tests.

Caveat worth stating plainly: US-specification cars, self-selected reporters, no denominator — complaint counts scale with how many cars were sold there and how motivated owners are to file. The mechanical gap matters as much as the statistical one: American cars of the same name often carry different gearboxes, engines and equipment — automatics where Britain buys manuals — so a drivetrain complaint filed in Ohio may describe a part that was never fitted here. Read the ranking inside a model, not between models, and treat drivetrain entries with particular caution. Source: NHTSA ODI consumer complaints (US market, public domain) — US-spec vehicles, indicative only.

Toyota Supra MOT: quick answers

Toyota Supra MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 39.5, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Toyota Supra first-time MOT pass rate?
88.14% of first attempts passed in 2024 (2,091 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 11.86% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 2,091 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 39.5 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Toyota Supra with other cars

Toyota Vellfire is highest at 40.9; Lotus Elise is lowest at 39.2 — the gap is 1.7 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Toyota MOT statisticsToyota Vellfire MOT statsToyota Vitz MOT stats

Similar risk

BMW M3 (index 39.8)Lotus Elise (index 39.2)Toyota Vellfire (index 40.9)

Same size class

how Nissan Skyline compareshow Mercedes-Benz R-Class compareshow Kia Stinger compares

By area

Toyota Supra MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Toyota Supra body, chassis and structure failuresToyota Supra brakes failuresToyota Supra vehicle identification failuresToyota Supra lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresToyota Supra noise, emissions and leaks failuresToyota Supra road wheels failuresToyota Supra seat belts and airbags failuresToyota Supra steering failuresToyota Supra suspension failuresToyota Supra tyres failuresToyota Supra visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:toyota-supra:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Supra MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-supra/ · Published 2026-07-30.