Toyota Vellfire — MOT statistics 2024
The Toyota Vellfire failed 14.9% of 2,402 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 40.9 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 59% less often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.
Age-adjusted peer: BMW M3 (index 39.8) — the two published results are 1.1 index points apart.
Toyota Vellfire common problems: what actually fails the MOT
Brakes are well below the reference at 2.3 per 100 tests, against 15.6 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.
Component-group comparison table
Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.
| Group | This family | Cases behind it | UK, same ages | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suspension | 14.5 | 853 | 22.7 | 0.64×0.60–0.68 |
| Lamps & electrical | 13.3 | 783 | 25.4 | 0.52×0.49–0.56 |
| Tyres | 4.8 | 283 | 10.1 | 0.47×0.42–0.53 |
| Visibility | 3.4 | 199 | 9.2 | 0.37×0.32–0.42 |
| Brakes | 2.3 | 138 | 15.6 | 0.15×0.13–0.18 |
| Body & structure | 1.9 | 110 | 7.9 | 0.24×0.20–0.29 |
| What failed | per 100 tests (this family) | per 100 tests (UK average) | ratio family / UK | What to check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated | 6.19 | 1.90 | 3.25× | Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test |
| Suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer…A suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc | 4.69 | 1.78 | 2.63× | Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test |
| Obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or…An obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or rear fog lamp inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning | 3.23 | 0.43 | 7.58× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm | 1.55 | 2.15 | 0.72× | Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive |
| Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen | 1.48 | 2.22 | 0.67× | Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view |
| Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning | 1.31 | 2.09 | 0.63× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources | 1.78 | 2.83 | 0.63× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged | 1.41 | 2.54 | 0.56× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements | 1.80 | 3.59 | 0.50× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn | 1.41 | 4.87 | 0.29× | Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test |
Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.
Toyota Vellfire MOT advisories: what gets flagged
Tyres are highest at 24.0 per 100 tests; Steering is lowest at 0.8 per 100 tests — the gap is 23.2 per 100 tests.
higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests
Advisory rates table
| Group | Advisories per 100 |
|---|---|
| Tyres | 24 |
| Suspension | 15.5 |
| Brakes | 11.9 |
| Non-component advisories | 3.7 |
| Steering | 0.8 |
Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.
If a car like this fails, does it fail again?
A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.
| After this year's test | Fails next year | Vehicles followed |
|---|---|---|
| It failed | 19.3% | 166 |
| It passed | 18.3% | 2,507 |
A failed test does not clearly change next year's odds here (19.3% against 18.3%): the difference is within the margin of error. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 14.8% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.
Adjusted for how much these are actually driven
The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 5,812 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.
| Standardised for | Index | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Age only | 41.5 | fails less often than expected |
| Age and annual mileage | 44.0 | fails less often than vehicles driven as much |
| Share doing under 3,000 miles a year | 6.8% | a normal spread of use |
Mileage changes little here (+2.5 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.
How the Toyota Vellfire compares with cars of its own age and size
Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.
| Age | Toyota Vellfire | Same class, same age | Difference | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 years | 12.73% | 25.6% | -12.87 pp | 330 |
| 11 years | 11.53% | 28.24% | -16.71 pp | 746 |
| 12 years | 14.6% | 30.57% | -15.97 pp | 904 |
| 13 years | 16.63% | 32.64% | -16.01 pp | 938 |
| 14 years | 17.37% | 34.6% | -17.23 pp | 1,013 |
| 15 years | 18.8% | 36.05% | -17.25 pp | 649 |
| 16 years | 16.01% | 37.09% | -21.08 pp | 306 |
Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.
How does the Toyota Vellfire perform as it gets older?
The Vellfire at age 16 is well below the reference at 15.9%, against 43.1% for all vehicles of the same age.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.
Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.
Data table
| Age | Toyota Vellfire | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 12.9% | 30.1% | -17.2 pp |
| 11 | 8.5% | 33.2% | -24.7 pp |
| 12 | 12.0% | 35.7% | -23.7 pp |
| 13 | 18.8% | 38.2% | -19.4 pp |
| 14 | 18.4% | 40.4% | -22.0 pp |
| 15 | 16.6% | 41.6% | -25.0 pp |
| 16 | 15.9% | 43.1% | -27.2 pp |
Is a Toyota Vellfire ULEZ compliant?
The share of classifiable 2024 Toyota Vellfire MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 99.8%.
Based on 2,370 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.
higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class
| Vehicle age at test | Likely ULEZ-compliant share | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 21 |
| 3–5 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 81 |
| 6–7 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 70 |
| 8 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 49 |
| 9 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 48 |
| 10–14 years | 99.8% Check a registration with TfL | n = 1,403 |
| 15–17 years | 100.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 696 |
| 18 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 19 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 20+ years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 2 |
How dangerous are Toyota Vellfire MOT failures?
Major defects are well below the reference at 24.7 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
Severity table
| Severity | This family /100 | National /100 | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minor | 12.03 | 14.22 | 0.85× |
| Major | 24.69 | 52.75 | 0.47× |
| Dangerous | 5.71 | 11.15 | 0.51× |
Chart values: Minor 12.0 · Major 24.7 · Dangerous 5.7.
Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.
Does the month of a Toyota Vellfire MOT matter?
Apr is highest at 19.7%; Feb is lowest at 10.4% — the gap is 9.3 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart scale: 9%–33%.
bars: Toyota Vellfire · dashed: all class-4 cars
Month-by-month table
| Month | Toyota Vellfire | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 13.4% | 31.12% | -17.7 pp |
| Feb | 10.42% | 29.99% | -19.6 pp |
| Mar | 14.84% | 28.26% | -13.4 pp |
| Apr | 19.71% | 29.78% | -10.1 pp |
| May | 15.15% | 28.79% | -13.6 pp |
| Jun | 15.97% | 28.15% | -12.2 pp |
| Jul | 16.11% | 29.33% | -13.2 pp |
| Aug | 15.16% | 29.2% | -14.0 pp |
| Sep | 15.55% | 28.19% | -12.6 pp |
| Oct | 16.12% | 30.34% | -14.2 pp |
| Nov | 18.21% | 30.58% | -12.4 pp |
| Dec | 12.88% | 29.33% | -16.4 pp |
Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 9.3 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.
Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.
Toyota Vellfire average mileage by age
At age 13, the middle half of Vellfires runs from 58,135 miles to 79,849 miles, against 69,385 miles as the median.
further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75
Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–93k mi.
Does high mileage mean more Toyota Vellfire MOT failures at the same age?
Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 10–14, 9.4% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 28.6% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.
| Age | Odometer | % failing | 95% interval | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10–14 | <40k miles | 9.4% | 5.8–14.9% | 160 (rough estimate) |
| 10–14 | 40-70k miles | 13.7% | 11.3–16.6% | 648 |
| 10–14 | 70-100k miles | 15.7% | 12.8–19.1% | 503 |
| 10–14 | 100-140k miles | 28.6% | 20.3–38.6% | 91 (rough estimate) |
| 15+ | 40-70k miles | 15.6% | 12–20.1% | 307 (rough estimate) |
| 15+ | 70-100k miles | 15.4% | 11.4–20.3% | 254 (rough estimate) |
| 15+ | 100-140k miles | 22.4% | 14.8–32.3% | 85 (rough estimate) |
line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)
Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
| Age | p25 | Median | p75 | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 41,222 | 56,130 | 71,439 | 101 |
| 11 | 45,993 | 60,284 | 71,882 | 212 |
| 12 | 50,150 | 63,059 | 77,804 | 350 |
| 13 | 58,135 | 69,385 | 79,849 | 218 |
| 14 | 58,631 | 71,160 | 86,612 | 527 |
| 15 | 54,737 | 67,089 | 83,493 | 392 |
| 16 | 58,293 | 73,329 | 88,563 | 302 |
A typical 13-year-old Vellfire has ~69,385 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.
Where in Britain the Toyota Vellfire fails its MOT most
Portsmouth area is highest at 34.4%; Bradford area is lowest at 1.9% — the gap is 32.5 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Toughest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth (PO) | 34.38% | +19.0 pp |
| Bristol (BS) | 29.19% | +13.8 pp |
| Easiest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford (BD) | 1.92% | -13.5 pp |
| Wigan (WN) | 2.42% | -13.0 pp |
| Swansea (SA) | 3.05% | -12.3 pp |
| Medway (ME) | 3.96% | -11.4 pp |
| Sheffield (S) | 4% | -11.4 pp |
Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.
Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West.
Toyota Vellfire survival: which cars are still on the road
By age 16 is close to the reference at 100.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.
Survival vs fail rate by age
| Age | Tests | Survival vs ages 4–6 | Fail % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 100 | 100% | 20% |
| 4 | 85 | 88.9% | 9.41% |
| 5 | 88 | 92% | 13.64% |
| 6 | 114 | 100% | 18.42% |
| 7 | 120 | 100% | 11.67% |
| 8 | 133 | 100% | 10.53% |
| 9 | 136 | 100% | 13.24% |
| 10 | 330 | 100% | 12.73% |
| 11 | 746 | 100% | 11.53% |
| 12 | 904 | 100% | 14.6% |
| 13 | 938 | 100% | 16.63% |
| 14 | 1,013 | 100% | 17.37% |
| 15 | 649 | 100% | 18.8% |
| 16 | 306 | 100% | 16.01% |
Ages 4–6 average 96 tests, too few for an 'only X% as many' claim. The rows are the counts of cars still coming to an MOT.
How many miles does a Toyota Vellfire last?
100,000+ miles stands out at 12.0%.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Odometer | Tests ≥ threshold | Share of sample |
|---|---|---|
| 100,000+ miles | 703 | 11.96% |
Of 5,880 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 12.0% had reached 100k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.
How many years is a Toyota Vellfire likely to last?
Bought at age 5 is highest at 12.5 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 1.5 years — the gap is 11.0 years.
bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve
| Age now | Typical mileage (p50) | Expected years left |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | — | at least 12.5 |
| 8 | — | at least 8.5 |
| 10 | — | at least 6.5 |
| 12 | — | at least 4.5 |
| 15 | — | at least 1.5 |
estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family has at least 6.5 expected years of further MOT-present life. The curve is observed only until age 16, so the true figure is likely higher.
Toyota Vellfire faults that come together
Brakes + Lamps & electrical stand out at 5.15×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.
above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less
| Group A | Group B | Together | Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brakes | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 42 | 5.15× (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Suspension | 20 | 5.14× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Visibility | 74 | 5.01× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 35 | 4.63× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Suspension | 35 | 4.45× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Suspension | 34 | 4.01× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Tyres | 46 | 3.54× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Suspension | 156 | 3.53× (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Tyres | 42 | 3.11× (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Visibility | 39 | 2.54× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Visibility | 18 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Visibility | 15 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Steering | 14 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Tyres | Visibility | 14 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Noise, emissions and leaks | 12 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Tyres | 12 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Tyres | 12 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 9 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Steering | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Brakes | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Noise, emissions and leaks | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Suspension | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Suspension | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
Defects in «Brakes» and «Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment» appear together 5.15× more often than chance (42 co-occurrences in the same test; 55 pairs compared).
Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).
Is low mileage better for a Toyota Vellfire?
Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 14.2%, against 18.5% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Band | Fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| <5k miles/year | 14.23% | 1,515 |
| 8–12k miles/year | 18.51% | 431 |
| Gap (low − normal) | -4.27 pp | — |
By fuel and age
Petrol
| Age | Low-use fail % | n | Normal fail % | n | Gap pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 16.46 | 79 | 12.5 | 40 | +3.96 pp |
| 11 | 12.95 | 193 | 19.44 | 108 | -6.49 pp |
| 12 | 14.93 | 268 | 16 | 100 | -1.07 pp |
| 13 | 15.7 | 363 | 23.19 | 69 | -7.49 pp |
| 14 | 12.85 | 506 | 28 | 50 | -15.15 pp |
At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 14.2% vs 18.5% for 8–12k miles/year — 4.3 pp lower (n_low=1,515, n_normal=431). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.
Toyota Vellfire MOT repair costs
The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £52.49 to £99.73, against £54.85 for the test itself.
bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only
| Component | Fails per 100 tests | Typical repair | Its price | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suspension | 14.5 (nat. 15.36) | Suspension coil spring (single corner) | £180 | £26.10 |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 13.3 (nat. 18.09) | Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid) | £140 | £18.62 |
| Tyres | 4.8 (nat. 8.7) | Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted) | £90 | £4.32 |
| Brakes | 2.3 (nat. 11.25) | Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback) | £150 | £3.45 |
Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £52 to £100, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.
Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.
For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.
Toyota Vellfire running costs for a fleet
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
| Age | Fails | Median odometer | Tests | Gap vs age 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 12.87% | 56,130 | 101 | — |
| 11 | 8.49% | 60,284 | 212 | — |
| 12 | 12% | 63,059 | 350 | — |
| 13 | 18.81% | 69,385 | 218 | — |
| 14 | 18.41% | 71,160 | 527 | — |
| 15 | 16.58% | 67,089 | 392 | — |
| 16 | 15.89% | 73,329 | 302 | — |
No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).
Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.
Toyota Vellfire rust problems: where they corrode
Salt-belt exposure is well below the reference at 42nd percentile, against 50th percentile as the middle of published models.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
This Toyota Vellfire has too few tests to judge for corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.
Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.
Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.
What will fail next on a Toyota Vellfire?
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 9-11 are highest at 17.1%; Tyres after a passed at age 9-11 are lowest at 2.9% — the gap is 14.2 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
| Age | Last test | Most likely next failures | Cars tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| <3 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.7% · Suspension 10.6% | 94 (rough estimate) |
| <3 | advisory | Suspension 14.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.0% | 50 (rough estimate) |
| 3-5 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.6% · Visibility 6.0% | 116 (rough estimate) |
| 6-8 | passed | Suspension 4.0% · Visibility 4.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.3% | 151 (rough estimate) |
| 9-11 | passed | Suspension 12.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.9% · Tyres 2.9% | 655 |
| 9-11 | advisory | Suspension 10.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.4% · Tyres 6.5% | 138 (rough estimate) |
| 9-11 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 17.1% · Suspension 10.8% · Visibility 7.8% | 129 (rough estimate) |
| 12-14 | passed | Suspension 11.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.4% · Visibility 3.7% | 1,016 |
| 12-14 | advisory | Suspension 14.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.2% · Visibility 4.7% | 257 (rough estimate) |
| 12-14 | failure | Suspension 17.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.6% · Visibility 6.2% | 276 (rough estimate) |
The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.
The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.
Toyota Vellfire ownership: what six years of MOTs show
The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 61.8%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 5.3% — the gap is 56.5 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 655 failures followed through to their re-test, 32.82% were repaired and passed the same day and 61.83% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 1,559 defect items were cleared in the process.
Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.258 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 5,003 miles a year across 1,516 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.
Two populations hide inside one model. 44.77% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 5.96% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.
Odometer anomalies: 22.166% of 1,570 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 30,242 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.
Toyota Vellfire MOT: quick answers
Toyota Vellfire MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 40.9, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
- What is the Toyota Vellfire first-time MOT pass rate?
- 85.1% of first attempts passed in 2024 (2,402 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
- Why does this number differ from other sites?
- Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 14.9% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 2,402 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 40.9 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.
Compare the Toyota Vellfire with other cars
TVR Chimaera is highest at 42.1; Lotus Elise is lowest at 39.2 — the gap is 2.9 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
Same brand
All Toyota MOT statisticsToyota GR Yaris MOT statsToyota GT86 MOT stats
Similar risk
BMW M3 (index 39.8)TVR Chimaera (index 42.1)Lotus Elise (index 39.2)
Same size class
how TVR Chimaera compareshow Aston Martin DB11 compareshow Saab 900 compares
By build year
Toyota Vellfire 2008Toyota Vellfire 2009Toyota Vellfire 2010
By area
Toyota Vellfire MOT failure rate by postcode area
By failure group
Toyota Vellfire body, chassis and structure failuresToyota Vellfire brakes failuresToyota Vellfire lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresToyota Vellfire noise, emissions and leaks failuresToyota Vellfire steering failuresToyota Vellfire suspension failuresToyota Vellfire tyres failuresToyota Vellfire visibility failures
Data details & how to cite
Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:toyota-vellfire:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.
Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Vellfire MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-vellfire/ · Published 2026-07-30.