MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Lotus Elise — MOT statistics 2024

The Lotus Elise failed 14.32% of 5,057 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 39.2 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 61% less often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 39.2, 95% CI 36.6–41.9 (100 = national average) 100 39.2 0 200
Index
39.2
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
14.32%
n = 5,057
Dangerous /100
3
national ≈11
Rank
64 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: BMW M3 (index 39.8) — the two published results are 0.6 index points apart.

Lotus Elise common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension is well below the reference at 5.0 per 100 tests, against 26.8 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Lotus Elise common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical13.13,95332.20.41×0.39–0.42
Emissions & leaks7.92,3858.40.94×0.91–0.98
Visibility5.31,60311.70.45×0.43–0.48
Suspension5.01,50026.80.19×0.18–0.20
Brakes4.31,30921.00.20×0.20–0.22
Steering2.98735.80.50×0.47–0.54
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 30,192 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits3.110.476.67×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or…Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range specified by the manufacturer2.020.533.82×Ask the seller about: Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range s
Emissions levels exceed the manufacturer's…Emissions levels exceed the manufacturer's specified limits1.500.236.55×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements3.492.571.36×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or deteriorated1.650.762.18×Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or det
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen1.611.620.99×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated1.751.900.92×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.742.360.74×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning1.422.090.68×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources1.082.830.38×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Lotus Elise MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 20.4 per 100 tests; Steering is lowest at 1.5 per 100 tests — the gap is 18.9 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Lotus Elise MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes20.4
Tyres15.1
Suspension14.5
Non-component advisories4.2
Identification2
Steering1.5

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed19.8%1,330
It passed12.6%16,941

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 7.2 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 23.7% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 28,758 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only40.7fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage50.1fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year62.7%a large low-use population — often second vehicles or cars kept for occasional use

Split by how much each car is driven. This is a split by annual mileage, not by body type — the MOT record does not say whether a car is a conversion. Within each band the index compares with vehicles of the same age driven as much.

Miles a yearTestsFailed first timeIndex within band
under 3,00018,04013.5%48.3
3,000–6,0009,69919.4%51.2
6,000–9,00080723.4%59.8

Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 9.4 points — this fleet is driven less than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view flatters it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Lotus Elise compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeLotus EliseSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years9.61%11.69%-2.08 pp562
4 years8.07%13.29%-5.22 pp533
5 years9.24%15.06%-5.82 pp541
6 years9.49%17.34%-7.84 pp495
7 years8.58%20.15%-11.57 pp478
8 years8.74%23.22%-14.47 pp446
9 years9.34%26.74%-17.4 pp471
10 years13.1%30.03%-16.94 pp481
11 years11.97%33.46%-21.49 pp585
12 years12.9%36.47%-23.57 pp744
13 years12.43%38.9%-26.47 pp917
14 years13.42%40.85%-27.43 pp1,118
15 years13.35%42.33%-28.97 pp1,243
16 years14.04%43.16%-29.12 pp1,460
17 years17.29%43.55%-26.26 pp1,683
18 years15.56%43.69%-28.13 pp1,742
19 years15.84%43.28%-27.44 pp1,989
20 years17.45%42.56%-25.11 pp2,378

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Lotus Elise perform as it gets older?

The Elise at age 19 is well below the reference at 8.4%, against 43.5% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Lotus Elise perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeLotus EliseAll vehiclesGap
1415.3%40.4%-25.2 pp
1611.2%43.1%-31.9 pp
1713.0%43.1%-30.2 pp
1812.6%43.9%-31.3 pp
198.4%43.5%-35.1 pp
2015.5%41.0%-25.5 pp

Is a Lotus Elise ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Lotus Elise MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 45.2%.

Based on 3,720 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 4
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 258
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 160
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 92
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 93
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 354
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 492
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 230
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 239
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,798

How dangerous are Lotus Elise MOT failures?

Major defects are well below the reference at 29.4 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Lotus Elise MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor9.5714.220.67×
Major29.4252.750.56×
Dangerous3.3711.150.30×

Chart values: Minor 9.6 · Major 29.4 · Dangerous 3.4.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Lotus Elise MOT matter?

Dec is highest at 19.5%; Sep is lowest at 14.8% — the gap is 4.7 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Lotus Elise MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 13%–33%.

bars: Lotus Elise · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthLotus EliseAll vehiclesGap
Jan18.5%31.12%-12.6 pp
Feb17.45%29.99%-12.5 pp
Mar15.19%28.26%-13.1 pp
Apr16.8%29.78%-13.0 pp
May17%28.79%-11.8 pp
Jun15.42%28.15%-12.7 pp
Jul14.85%29.33%-14.5 pp
Aug14.92%29.2%-14.3 pp
Sep14.81%28.19%-13.4 pp
Oct15.06%30.34%-15.3 pp
Nov17.08%30.58%-13.5 pp
Dec19.54%29.33%-9.8 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 4.7 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Lotus Elise average mileage by age

At age 8, the middle half of Elises runs from 12,911 miles to 28,312 miles, against 19,239 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Lotus Elise · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–72k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Lotus Elise MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 9.8% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 27.8% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

Does high mileage mean more Lotus Elise MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Lotus Elise: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
10–14<40k miles9.4%6.2–13.9%224 (rough estimate)
10–1440-70k miles19.4%12.9–28.1%103 (rough estimate)
15+<40k miles9.8%8.1–11.7%1,045
15+40-70k miles15.5%13.5–17.6%1,165
15+70-100k miles15.9%12.6–19.8%396 (rough estimate)
15+100-140k miles27.8%20.5–36.6%115 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
33,7206,2938,74992
56,4659,36713,43895
79,10714,25822,13489
812,91119,23928,31292
915,74222,13930,03993
1018,31328,86941,50282
1423,44335,66152,478118
1530,73739,39149,49798
1625,02539,62858,833178
1727,87442,25957,804216
1829,26844,31658,545230
1931,27545,97764,461239
20+33,23350,45468,5941,798

A typical 8-year-old Elise has ~19,239 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Lotus Elise fails its MOT most

Plymouth area is highest at 31.0%; Wakefield area is lowest at 4.4% — the gap is 26.6 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Lotus Elise line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Plymouth (PL)30.98%+15.0 pp
Huddersfield (HD)28.11%+12.1 pp
Salisbury (SP)25.18%+9.2 pp
St Albans (AL)25%+9.0 pp
Bradford (BD)24.38%+8.4 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Wakefield (WF)4.41%-11.6 pp
Blackburn (BB)6.51%-9.5 pp
Enfield (EN)6.98%-9.0 pp
Derby (DE)8.22%-7.8 pp
Crewe (CW)8.7%-7.3 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 8%–24% failing.

Lotus Elise survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 is close to the reference at 100.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Lotus Elise survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
3562100%9.61%
453399.3%8.07%
5541100%9.24%
649592.2%9.49%
747889%8.58%
844683.1%8.74%
947187.7%9.34%
1048189.6%13.1%
11585100%11.97%
12744100%12.9%
13917100%12.43%
141,118100%13.42%
151,243100%13.35%
161,460100%14.04%
171,683100%17.29%
181,742100%15.56%
191,989100%15.84%

By age 19, at least as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈537): the older fleet has not thinned out here, so there is no survivor selection to allow for.

How many miles does a Lotus Elise last?

100,000+ miles stands out at 5.7%.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles1,7055.67%

Of 30,083 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 5.7% had reached 100k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Lotus Elise likely to last?

Bought at age 5 is highest at 14.5 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 4.5 years — the gap is 10.0 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 14.5
12—at least 7.5
15—at least 4.5

estimateObserved only until age 19. The curve does not run five years past the stated age with the share still tested under 50%, so no 'years left' number is given.

Lotus Elise faults that come together

Body & structure + Brakes stand out at 7.10×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Body, chassis, structureBrakes377.1× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres207.1× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1226.7× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility766.68× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1036.52× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks586.22× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks666.15× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension1285.95× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility555.57× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres505.41× (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle325.33× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres615.14× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3065.12× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension1285.06× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks5024.7×
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1604.54× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension354.54× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1274.53× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility794.51× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility1684.5× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension304.48× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility5034.44×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension3284.28× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres694.17× (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering663.94× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility1883.92× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility2613.91× (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres303.81× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension1683.72× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering1663.27× (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility1003.15× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering872.9× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSteering18too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering18too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres17too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle13too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels11too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems10too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility7too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter6too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems6too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility6too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 4.70× more often than chance (502 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Best year for a Lotus Elise, and the years to avoid

Build year 1999 is highest at 111.5; Build year 2005 is lowest at 63.4 — the gap is 48.1 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Lotus Elise build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Lotus Elise by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
200563.446.9–79.911.2%509better
200491.575–10816.21%728no different
200394.180.8–107.416.95%1,133no different
20028676.9–95.116.32%2,102better
20019682.3–109.717.48%1,081no different
200091.881.9–101.617.1%1,947no different
1999111.5101–121.922.24%1,974worse
199810491.5–116.522.09%1,204no different

The best build year here is 2005 and the weakest is 1999. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 3 of 8 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Lotus Elise MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £49.59 to £94.22, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£50–94
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment13.1 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£18.34
Noise, emissions and leaks7.9 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£15.80
Suspension5.0 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£9.00
Brakes4.3 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£6.45

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £50 to £94, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Lotus Elise running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 19 are well below the reference at 8.0%, against 15.0% at age 14, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 14
15
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 118 tests)
At age 19
8
other cars of this model tested at age 19 in 2024 (rough estimate: 239 tests)
Repairs per 100
£4,959
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
2d
median; 29.59% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1415.25%35,661118—
1611.24%39,628178—
1712.96%42,259216—
1812.61%44,316230—
198.37%45,977239—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Lotus Elise rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at <0.1×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
<0.1×
0.03% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
24th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 5 postcode areas

This Lotus Elise virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Lotus Elise advisory become a failure?

Suspension is highest at 8.8%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 8.8 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Lotus Elise chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Lotus Elise, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Suspension 8.8% · Brakes 5.8% · Tyres 5.2% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Suspension8.8%12.3 months7991,959
Brakes5.8%12.1 months9822,586
Tyres5.2%12.4 months7751,967
Non-component advisories0.0%——872

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 9 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.3 months and roughly 799 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Lotus Elise?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 12-14 are highest at 15.6%; Noise, emissions and leaks after a passed at age 3-5 are lowest at 0.8% — the gap is 14.9 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedVisibility 2.7%262 (rough estimate)
3-5passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.8% · Visibility 1.6% · Noise, emissions and leaks 0.8%1,049
3-5advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 4.4% · Tyres 4.4%113 (rough estimate)
3-5failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.3%127 (rough estimate)
6-8passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.0% · Visibility 2.0% · Brakes 1.4%864
6-8advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.5% · Visibility 3.7%163 (rough estimate)
6-8failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.3% · Noise, emissions and leaks 6.2%97 (rough estimate)
9-11passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.9% · Brakes 1.8% · Visibility 1.8%969
9-11advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.8% · Suspension 4.7% · Brakes 3.9%234 (rough estimate)
9-11failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.2% · Visibility 4.5% · Brakes 4.0%176 (rough estimate)
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.6% · Visibility 2.5% · Suspension 1.7%1,788
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.6% · Visibility 5.6% · Suspension 5.0%517
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.6% · Visibility 8.1% · Brakes 6.9%333 (rough estimate)
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.9% · Visibility 3.7% · Noise, emissions and leaks 3.0%4,772
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.4% · Visibility 7.8% · Suspension 5.3%1,372
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.2% · Noise, emissions and leaks 6.7% · Visibility 6.7%1,212
20+passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.4% · Noise, emissions and leaks 5.1% · Visibility 3.8%5,886
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.8% · Visibility 7.5% · Noise, emissions and leaks 7.2%1,743
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.6% · Noise, emissions and leaks 11.5% · Visibility 9.0%1,876
unknownfailureNoise, emissions and leaks 11.1%45 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Lotus Elise ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 61.3%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 9.1% — the gap is 52.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
29.59%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
1.174
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
68.63%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.24%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 3,096 failures followed through to their re-test, 29.59% were repaired and passed the same day and 61.34% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 7,331 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 1.174 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 640 miles a year across 6,022 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 68.63% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 13.48% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.24% of 6,046 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 5,214 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Lotus Elise safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 10.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Lotus Elise recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Lotus Elise. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2006: 1 · 2007: 0 · 2008: 0 · 2009: 1 · 2010: 0 · 2011: 0 · 2012: 0 · 2013: 0 · 2014: 1 · 2015: 0 · 2016: 1 · 2017: 0 · 2018: 0 · 2019: 0 · 2020: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Lotus Elise
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2019/41220/02/2020762BOLTS SECURING THE FUEL RAIL TO THE CYCLINDER HEAD MAY FAIL.
R/2016/22329/09/201656REDUCTION OF BRAKING EFFICIENCY
R/2014/06615/11/20141,258RISK OF FIRE
R/2009/05701/06/2009288WHEEL HUB MAY BECOME INSECURE
R/2005/18608/02/2006764GEAR LEVER MAY BREAK
All 10 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2019/41220/02/202015/05/2012 – 30/06/2019762BOLTS SECURING THE FUEL RAIL TO THE CYCLINDER HEAD MAY FAIL.
R/2016/22329/09/201614/03/2016 – 28/09/201656REDUCTION OF BRAKING EFFICIENCY
R/2014/06615/11/201423/09/2004 – 17/01/20111,258RISK OF FIRE
R/2009/05701/06/200901/01/2009 – 22/05/2009288WHEEL HUB MAY BECOME INSECURE
R/2005/18608/02/200621/01/2004 – 08/02/2005764GEAR LEVER MAY BREAK
R/2002/06605/08/200201/07/2001 – 31/08/200194FRONT BRAKE CALIPER BOLTS CONCERN
R/2001/06316/06/200101/09/1998 – 31/01/1999338STEERING RACK MAY BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO PREMATURE WEAR AND POSSIBLE TOOTH DAMAGE.
R/2001/01409/02/200101/10/1999 – 31/01/20011,509FUEL MAY LEAK WHEN FILLING AND CORNERING
R/1999/07404/09/199919/07/1999213POSSIBILITY OF FUEL LEAKAGE
R/1998/05017/06/199801/06/1996 – 30/06/19983,780REAR SUSPENSION TOE LINK BOLT MAY BECOME LOOSE

DVSA lists 10 safety recall campaigns for the Lotus Elise, covering roughly 9,062 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Lotus Elise MOT: quick answers

Lotus Elise MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 39.2, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Lotus Elise first-time MOT pass rate?
85.68% of first attempts passed in 2024 (5,057 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 14.32% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 5,057 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 39.2 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Lotus Elise with other cars

BMW M3 is highest at 39.8; BMW M5 is lowest at 36.7 — the gap is 3.1 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Lotus MOT statistics

Similar risk

BMW M3 (index 39.8)Porsche Cayman (index 37.3)BMW M5 (index 36.7)

Same size class

how Peugeot 106 compareshow Kia Sedona compareshow Mercedes-Benz EQA compares

By build year

Lotus Elise 1998Lotus Elise 1999Lotus Elise 2000Lotus Elise 2001Lotus Elise 2002Lotus Elise 2003Lotus Elise 2004Lotus Elise 2005

By area

Lotus Elise MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Lotus Elise body, chassis and structure failuresLotus Elise brakes failuresLotus Elise vehicle identification failuresLotus Elise lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresLotus Elise noise, emissions and leaks failuresLotus Elise road wheels failuresLotus Elise steering failuresLotus Elise suspension failuresLotus Elise tyres failuresLotus Elise visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:lotus-elise:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Lotus Elise MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/lotus-elise/ · Published 2026-07-30.