MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Toyota Celica — MOT statistics 2024

The Toyota Celica failed 38.49% of 9,463 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 95.2 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 5% less often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 95.2, 95% CI 92.8–97.6 (100 = national average) 100 95.2 0 200
Index
95.2
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
38.49%
n = 9,463
Dangerous /100
14
national ≈11
Rank
398 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Skoda Superb (index 95.3) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Toyota Celica common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension is well below the reference at 20.9 per 100 tests, against 30.6 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Toyota Celica common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical38.730,71438.11.02×1.01–1.03
Brakes26.921,32724.11.12×1.10–1.13
Suspension20.916,56230.60.68×0.67–0.69
Emissions & leaks15.712,4679.31.68×1.65–1.71
Body & structure12.59,94915.50.80×0.79–0.82
Visibility10.07,91512.80.78×0.76–0.80
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 79,361 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements8.152.573.18×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired5.071.124.53×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or…Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range specified by the manufacturer4.180.537.90×Ask the seller about: Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range s
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources6.242.832.21×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective4.391.094.01×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits3.680.477.90×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Exhaust system leaking or insecureExhaust system leaking or insecure3.961.163.42×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning3.592.091.72×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Spring or spring component fractured or seriously…A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened3.582.861.25×Ask the seller about: A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements3.813.591.06×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Toyota Celica MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Suspension is highest at 58.3 per 100 tests; Identification is lowest at 5.9 per 100 tests — the gap is 52.4 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Toyota Celica MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Suspension58.3
Brakes56.3
Tyres35.7
Body & structure17.7
Emissions & leaks11
Identification5.9

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed38.3%7,324
It passed33.6%31,782

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 4.7 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is identification of the vehicle — 38.1% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 77,628 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only96.0fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage93.0fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year7.2%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (-3.0 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Toyota Celica compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeToyota CelicaSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
13 years38.54%38.89%-0.35 pp1,300
14 years40.37%40.83%-0.47 pp3,255
15 years42.02%42.31%-0.29 pp5,757
16 years41.95%43.14%-1.19 pp7,940
17 years41.94%43.53%-1.59 pp9,368
18 years42.6%43.64%-1.04 pp10,284
19 years41.59%43.22%-1.62 pp8,999
20 years41.92%42.44%-0.52 pp7,216

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Toyota Celica perform as it gets older?

The Celica at age 18 is well below the reference at 38.0%, against 43.9% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Toyota Celica perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeToyota CelicaAll vehiclesGap
1838.0%43.9%-5.9 pp
1939.1%43.5%-4.4 pp
2039.1%41.0%-1.9 pp

Is a Toyota Celica ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Toyota Celica MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 14.5%.

Based on 7,873 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 9
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 8
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 29
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 139
18 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 943
19 years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,317
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5,418

How dangerous are Toyota Celica MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 102.2 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Toyota Celica MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor23.9214.221.68×
Major102.2152.751.94×
Dangerous13.9611.151.25×

Chart values: Minor 23.9 · Major 102.2 · Dangerous 14.0.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Toyota Celica MOT matter?

Jan is highest at 42.6%; Aug is lowest at 39.3% — the gap is 3.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Toyota Celica MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–44%.

bars: Toyota Celica · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthToyota CelicaAll vehiclesGap
Jan42.56%31.12%+11.4 pp
Feb40.78%29.99%+10.8 pp
Mar40.78%28.26%+12.5 pp
Apr41.47%29.78%+11.7 pp
May40.1%28.79%+11.3 pp
Jun39.4%28.15%+11.3 pp
Jul40.11%29.33%+10.8 pp
Aug39.28%29.2%+10.1 pp
Sep40.43%28.19%+12.2 pp
Oct40.78%30.34%+10.4 pp
Nov41.59%30.58%+11.0 pp
Dec41.56%29.33%+12.2 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.3 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Toyota Celica average mileage by age

At age 19, the middle half of Celicas runs from 85,381 miles to 137,371 miles, against 110,459 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Toyota Celica · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–165k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Celica MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 14.5% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 44.7% of those with over 140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Celica MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Celica: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
15+<40k miles14.5%10–20.5%173 (rough estimate)
15+40-70k miles25.2%22.4–28.4%804
15+70-100k miles35.8%33.7–38%1,853
15+100-140k miles41.8%40.1–43.6%3,028
15+140k+ miles44.7%42.6–47%1,951

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
1799,772135,138157,12786
1879,238103,111128,478943
1985,381110,459137,3711,317
20+89,369116,366141,9175,420

A typical 19-year-old Celica has ~110,459 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Toyota Celica fails its MOT most

Dundee area is highest at 58.1%; Bromley area is lowest at 26.6% — the gap is 31.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Toyota Celica line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Dundee (DD)58.06%+17.3 pp
Kirkcaldy (KY)57.8%+17.0 pp
Salisbury (SP)55.73%+15.0 pp
Inverness (IV)55%+14.3 pp
Falkirk (FK)54.89%+14.1 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Bromley (BR)26.61%-14.1 pp
Enfield (EN)26.62%-14.1 pp
Croydon (CR)27.96%-12.8 pp
Blackburn (BB)28.93%-11.8 pp
Sutton (SM)29.1%-11.6 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 5.7 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.49, n=33 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 4.4 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.45, n=23 areas with ≥800 tests).

In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 4.0 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.36, n=33 areas with ≥800 tests).

Toyota Celica Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
MOT centre density38.2%43.9%+5.7 ppr=0.49
Terrain gradient40.2%44.6%+4.4 ppr=0.45
Distance to coast42.5%38.4%-4.1 ppr=-0.36

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.4933338.243.9+5.75.77.7
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.4522340.244.6+4.40.53.4
Distance to coast (km)-0.3623342.538.4-4.05.891.9
Income deprivation (score)-0.1833038.338.8+0.60.10.2
Urban share (0–1)-0.1553342.439.5-2.90.50.9
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)-0.1383343.041.4-1.6207.7458.7
Frost days (days/year)-0.0973344.442.4-2.09.526.2

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 30%–52% failing.

How many miles does a Toyota Celica last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 63.3%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 2.5% — the gap is 60.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles50,16163.31%
150,000+ miles13,85417.49%
200,000+ miles1,9762.49%

Of 79,225 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 63.3% had reached 100k miles, 17.5% had reached 150k miles, 2.5% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

Toyota Celica faults that come together

Identification + Road Wheels stand out at 6.17×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Identification of the vehicleRoad Wheels206.17× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks3,2754.19×
Road WheelsTyres1223.89× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems353.52× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension6933.46×
BrakesRoad Wheels2213.24× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility1393.15× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems6563.13×
Identification of the vehicleTyres1103.12× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels1523.09× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks1703.07× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels1373× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle1542.99× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems4492.97× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels2992.86× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks3,2562.79×
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3282.79× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension5252.78×
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle2122.76× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems3862.75× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems242.72× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering682.66× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility1032.62× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres2492.59× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension1692.59× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres1,8922.54×
Body, chassis, structureSteering3352.54× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes2,6892.48×
TyresVisibility1,0612.48×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems7902.46×
BrakesSuspension3,7812.44×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility2912.41× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres2,7132.38×
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres1,2632.36×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks4,1872.34×
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension2,6122.34×
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment5,7322.31×
Body, chassis, structureSuspension2,3792.3×
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering3252.28× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension1662.26× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility3,2142.25×
Identification of the vehicleSteering212.24× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility1,4962.23×
BrakesVisibility2,0312.18×
Body, chassis, structureTyres1,0812.17×
SuspensionTyres1,5292.15×
Body, chassis, structureVisibility1,2982.08×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension4,9172.07×
BrakesSteering4092.07× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3,3952.05×
SuspensionVisibility1,7892.01×
SteeringVisibility2221.96× (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres1781.96× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering5751.9×
Road WheelsSteering19too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter6too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belt installation check6too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belt installation check5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 4.19× more often than chance (3,275 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Toyota Celica?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 30.6%, against 47.2% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year30.61%673
8–12k miles/year47.24%942
Gap (low − normal)-16.63 pp—
By fuel and age

Petrol

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
1328.7728545.16372-16.39 pp
1430.6167347.29941-16.68 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 30.6% vs 47.2% for 8–12k miles/year — 16.6 pp lower (n_low=673, n_normal=942). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.

Which Toyota Celica engine is best?

petrol 1.5–1.8 is highest at 101.8; petrol over 2.0 is lowest at 43.8 — the gap is 58.0 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrolover 2.0 litre43.816.6%265 (rough estimate)
petrol1.8–2.0 litre91.535.38%13,085
petrol1.5–1.8 litre101.842%64,355

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the petrol 1.5–1.8 runs at 101.8 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.8–2.0 runs at 91.5 — a spread of 10.3 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Best year for a Toyota Celica, and the years to avoid

Build year 2000 is highest at 106.4; Build year 2007 is lowest at 84.0 — the gap is 22.4 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Toyota Celica build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Celica by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
20078470.3–97.734.29%420better
200690.787.1–94.337.64%6,539better
200597.394.3–100.340.93%9,987no different
200410198.3–103.842.9%12,183no different
2003102.399.5–105.143.3%11,548no different
20029894.9–101.141.2%9,232no different
200197.794.1–101.241.25%7,074no different
2000106.4100.9–111.944.84%3,176worse
199998.490.8–105.941.66%1,570no different
199897.989.2–106.641.29%1,165no different

The best build year here is 2006 and the weakest is 2006. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 1 of 10 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Toyota Celica MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £163.55 to £310.75, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£164–311
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment38.7 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£54.18
Brakes26.9 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£40.35
Suspension20.9 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£37.62
Noise, emissions and leaks15.7 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£31.40

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £164 to £311, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Toyota Celica running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 19 are close to the reference at 39.0%, against 38.0% at age 18, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 18
38
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 943 tests)
At age 19
39
other cars of this model tested at age 19 in 2024 (rough estimate: 1,317 tests)
Repairs per 100
£16,355
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
2d
median; 28.67% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1837.96%103,111943—
1939.1%110,4591,317—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Toyota Celica rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at 0.71×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.71×
0.54% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
35th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 33 postcode areas

This Toyota Celica fails on corrosion at about the average rate once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Toyota Celica advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 32.2%; Road wheels are lowest at 1.0% — the gap is 31.2 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Toyota Celica chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Celica, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 32.2% · Suspension 19.3% · Brakes 18.2% · Body & chassis 15.8% · Noise, emissions, leaks 15.5% · Tyres 10.8% · Seat belts & restraints 8.3% · Steering 5.1%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment32.2%12 months4,2441,765
Suspension19.3%12 months3,21614,091
Brakes18.2%12.1 months3,34017,708
Body, chassis, structure15.8%12.1 months3,0637,500
Noise, emissions and leaks15.4%12.1 months3,3885,645
Tyres10.8%12.1 months3,76312,810
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems8.3%12.2 months3,303773
Steering5.1%12.1 months3,038922
Identification of the vehicle3.5%12 months4,4132,994
Road wheels1.0%12.1 months5,5081,447

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 32 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 4,244 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Toyota Celica?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 29.4%; Suspension after a passed at age 12-14 is lowest at 6.8% — the gap is 22.6 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.2% · Brakes 9.4% · Suspension 6.8%2,195
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.6% · Brakes 16.1% · Suspension 10.6%1,960
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.3% · Brakes 18.4% · Suspension 13.0%2,681
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.2% · Suspension 10.3% · Brakes 9.2%9,687
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.9% · Suspension 15.6% · Brakes 14.4%10,691
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 29.4% · Suspension 18.6% · Brakes 17.6%14,006
20+passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.8% · Body, chassis, structure 7.9% · Brakes 7.7%5,663
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.3% · Body, chassis, structure 13.9% · Suspension 12.9%5,913
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.1% · Noise, emissions and leaks 16.4% · Suspension 15.9%7,182
unknownfailureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.8% · Body, chassis, structure 11.9% · Brakes 11.9%101 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Toyota Celica ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 64.4%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 7.0% — the gap is 57.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
28.67%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.996
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
23.76%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
3.021%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 21,026 failures followed through to their re-test, 28.67% were repaired and passed the same day and 64.35% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 64,485 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.996 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 2,718 miles a year across 16,249 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 23.76% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 44.5% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 3.021% of 16,319 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 51,707 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Toyota Celica safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 3.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Toyota Celica recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Toyota Celica. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2006: 0 · 2007: 0 · 2008: 0 · 2009: 0 · 2010: 0 · 2011: 0 · 2012: 0 · 2013: 0 · 2014: 0 · 2015: 0 · 2016: 0 · 2017: 0 · 2018: 0 · 2019: 0 · 2020: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Toyota Celica
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2020/01905/10/202037,586TAKATA AIRBAG INFLATOR MAY RUPTURE ON DEPLOYMENT
R/2004/16825/04/20056,936BRAKE FLUID MAY LEAK
R/2003/03012/03/20032,553POSSIBLE FUEL SPILLAGE WHEN PETROL CAP IS OPENED

DVSA lists 3 safety recall campaigns for the Toyota Celica, covering roughly 47,075 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Toyota Celica inspection results in other countries

United Kingdom MOT stands out at 38.5%, against 26.0% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)38.49%26.01%+12.5 pp9,463
NetherlandsAPK60.5%50.8%+9.7 pp1,454

The verdict is consistent across every regime where the difference is clear, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

The exact faults Netherlands records — APK defect codes, 2024
CodeFaultRecordedType
210Tyre pressure not at the correct value252failure
RA2Excessive leak of other fluids179advisory
516Dipped headlight incorrectly aimed147failure
205Tyre with insufficient tread124failure
115Exhaust not gas-tight or venting unsafely120failure
AC1Tyre down to 1.6–2.5 mm of tread109advisory
497Number-plate light not working or missing106failure
584Sidelight not working properly81failure

Worth dwelling on how mundane the top of that list is: tyre pressure, tread depth, headlight aim. The Dutch APK records 1.635 defects per inspection against a much higher national failure rate than Britain's, and the reason is not that Dutch cars are worse — it is that the two regimes draw the line between "note it" and "fail it" in different places. Codes are the RDW's own; the English wording here is our translation of the Dutch original.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Toyota Celica is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

One caveat before you read the UK row: these are raw failure rates, because no other country publishes the age detail our index needs. This model's raw UK rate looks worse than the national average while its age-adjusted index is 95.2 — the fleet here is unusually old, and the raw column silently credits that. The index above is the fair comparison; this table is for reading each country against itself.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: RDW open data — Meldingen Keuringsinstantie + Geconstateerde Gebreken + Gekentekende voertuigen (2024), CC0. Not an RDW endorsement.. Adapted; licences and full notice.

Toyota Celica MOT: quick answers

Toyota Celica MOT Risk Index is close to the reference at 95.2, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Toyota Celica first-time MOT pass rate?
61.51% of first attempts passed in 2024 (9,463 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 38.49% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 9,463 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 95.2 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Toyota Celica with other cars

Volvo XC90 is highest at 95.4; Toyota Celica is lowest at 95.2 — the gap is 0.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Toyota MOT statisticsToyota Corolla MOT statsToyota Avensis MOT stats

Similar risk

Skoda Superb (index 95.3)Volvo V70 (index 95.4)Volvo XC90 (index 95.4)

Same size class

how MG TF compareshow Mitsubishi Eclipse compareshow Renault Laguna compares

By build year

Toyota Celica 1998Toyota Celica 1999Toyota Celica 2000Toyota Celica 2001Toyota Celica 2002Toyota Celica 2003Toyota Celica 2004Toyota Celica 2005Toyota Celica 2006Toyota Celica 2007

By area

Toyota Celica MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Toyota Celica body, chassis and structure failuresToyota Celica brakes failuresToyota Celica vehicle identification failuresToyota Celica lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresToyota Celica noise, emissions and leaks failuresToyota Celica road wheels failuresToyota Celica seat belts and airbags failuresToyota Celica steering failuresToyota Celica suspension failuresToyota Celica tyres failuresToyota Celica visibility failures

Inspections abroad

Toyota Celica in the Netherlands


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:toyota-celica:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Celica MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-celica/ · Published 2026-07-30.