Toyota Celica — MOT statistics 2024
The Toyota Celica failed 38.49% of 9,463 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 95.2 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 5% less often than expected for its age.
Age-adjusted peer: Skoda Superb (index 95.3) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.
Toyota Celica common problems: what actually fails the MOT
Suspension is well below the reference at 20.9 per 100 tests, against 30.6 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.
Component-group comparison table
Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.
| Group | This family | Cases behind it | UK, same ages | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamps & electrical | 38.7 | 30,714 | 38.1 | 1.02×1.01–1.03 |
| Brakes | 26.9 | 21,327 | 24.1 | 1.12×1.10–1.13 |
| Suspension | 20.9 | 16,562 | 30.6 | 0.68×0.67–0.69 |
| Emissions & leaks | 15.7 | 12,467 | 9.3 | 1.68×1.65–1.71 |
| Body & structure | 12.5 | 9,949 | 15.5 | 0.80×0.79–0.82 |
| Visibility | 10.0 | 7,915 | 12.8 | 0.78×0.76–0.80 |
| What failed | per 100 tests (this family) | per 100 tests (UK average) | ratio family / UK | What to check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements | 8.15 | 2.57 | 3.18× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired | 5.07 | 1.12 | 4.53× | Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings |
| Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or…Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range specified by the manufacturer | 4.18 | 0.53 | 7.90× | Ask the seller about: Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range s |
| Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources | 6.24 | 2.83 | 2.21× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective | 4.39 | 1.09 | 4.01× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits | 3.68 | 0.47 | 7.90× | Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly |
| Exhaust system leaking or insecureExhaust system leaking or insecure | 3.96 | 1.16 | 3.42× | Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly |
| Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning | 3.59 | 2.09 | 1.72× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Spring or spring component fractured or seriously…A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened | 3.58 | 2.86 | 1.25× | Ask the seller about: A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened |
| Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements | 3.81 | 3.59 | 1.06× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.
Toyota Celica MOT advisories: what gets flagged
Suspension is highest at 58.3 per 100 tests; Identification is lowest at 5.9 per 100 tests — the gap is 52.4 per 100 tests.
higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests
Advisory rates table
| Group | Advisories per 100 |
|---|---|
| Suspension | 58.3 |
| Brakes | 56.3 |
| Tyres | 35.7 |
| Body & structure | 17.7 |
| Emissions & leaks | 11 |
| Identification | 5.9 |
Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.
If a car like this fails, does it fail again?
A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.
| After this year's test | Fails next year | Vehicles followed |
|---|---|---|
| It failed | 38.3% | 7,324 |
| It passed | 33.6% | 31,782 |
A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 4.7 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is identification of the vehicle — 38.1% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.
Adjusted for how much these are actually driven
The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 77,628 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.
| Standardised for | Index | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Age only | 96.0 | fails less often than expected |
| Age and annual mileage | 93.0 | fails less often than vehicles driven as much |
| Share doing under 3,000 miles a year | 7.2% | a normal spread of use |
Mileage changes little here (-3.0 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.
How the Toyota Celica compares with cars of its own age and size
Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.
| Age | Toyota Celica | Same class, same age | Difference | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 years | 38.54% | 38.89% | -0.35 pp | 1,300 |
| 14 years | 40.37% | 40.83% | -0.47 pp | 3,255 |
| 15 years | 42.02% | 42.31% | -0.29 pp | 5,757 |
| 16 years | 41.95% | 43.14% | -1.19 pp | 7,940 |
| 17 years | 41.94% | 43.53% | -1.59 pp | 9,368 |
| 18 years | 42.6% | 43.64% | -1.04 pp | 10,284 |
| 19 years | 41.59% | 43.22% | -1.62 pp | 8,999 |
| 20 years | 41.92% | 42.44% | -0.52 pp | 7,216 |
Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.
How does the Toyota Celica perform as it gets older?
The Celica at age 18 is well below the reference at 38.0%, against 43.9% for all vehicles of the same age.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.
Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.
Data table
| Age | Toyota Celica | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 38.0% | 43.9% | -5.9 pp |
| 19 | 39.1% | 43.5% | -4.4 pp |
| 20 | 39.1% | 41.0% | -1.9 pp |
Is a Toyota Celica ULEZ compliant?
The share of classifiable 2024 Toyota Celica MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 14.5%.
Based on 7,873 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.
higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class
| Vehicle age at test | Likely ULEZ-compliant share | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 3–5 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 9 |
| 6–7 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 5 |
| 8 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 5 |
| 9 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 8 |
| 10–14 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 29 |
| 15–17 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 139 |
| 18 years | 100.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 943 |
| 19 years | 0.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 1,317 |
| 20+ years | 0.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 5,418 |
How dangerous are Toyota Celica MOT failures?
Major defects stand out at 102.2 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
Severity table
| Severity | This family /100 | National /100 | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minor | 23.92 | 14.22 | 1.68× |
| Major | 102.21 | 52.75 | 1.94× |
| Dangerous | 13.96 | 11.15 | 1.25× |
Chart values: Minor 23.9 · Major 102.2 · Dangerous 14.0.
Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.
Does the month of a Toyota Celica MOT matter?
Jan is highest at 42.6%; Aug is lowest at 39.3% — the gap is 3.3 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart scale: 27%–44%.
bars: Toyota Celica · dashed: all class-4 cars
Month-by-month table
| Month | Toyota Celica | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 42.56% | 31.12% | +11.4 pp |
| Feb | 40.78% | 29.99% | +10.8 pp |
| Mar | 40.78% | 28.26% | +12.5 pp |
| Apr | 41.47% | 29.78% | +11.7 pp |
| May | 40.1% | 28.79% | +11.3 pp |
| Jun | 39.4% | 28.15% | +11.3 pp |
| Jul | 40.11% | 29.33% | +10.8 pp |
| Aug | 39.28% | 29.2% | +10.1 pp |
| Sep | 40.43% | 28.19% | +12.2 pp |
| Oct | 40.78% | 30.34% | +10.4 pp |
| Nov | 41.59% | 30.58% | +11.0 pp |
| Dec | 41.56% | 29.33% | +12.2 pp |
Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.3 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.
Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.
Toyota Celica average mileage by age
At age 19, the middle half of Celicas runs from 85,381 miles to 137,371 miles, against 110,459 miles as the median.
further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75
Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–165k mi.
Does high mileage mean more Toyota Celica MOT failures at the same age?
Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 14.5% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 44.7% of those with over 140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.
| Age | Odometer | % failing | 95% interval | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | <40k miles | 14.5% | 10–20.5% | 173 (rough estimate) |
| 15+ | 40-70k miles | 25.2% | 22.4–28.4% | 804 |
| 15+ | 70-100k miles | 35.8% | 33.7–38% | 1,853 |
| 15+ | 100-140k miles | 41.8% | 40.1–43.6% | 3,028 |
| 15+ | 140k+ miles | 44.7% | 42.6–47% | 1,951 |
line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)
Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
| Age | p25 | Median | p75 | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 99,772 | 135,138 | 157,127 | 86 |
| 18 | 79,238 | 103,111 | 128,478 | 943 |
| 19 | 85,381 | 110,459 | 137,371 | 1,317 |
| 20+ | 89,369 | 116,366 | 141,917 | 5,420 |
A typical 19-year-old Celica has ~110,459 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.
Where in Britain the Toyota Celica fails its MOT most
Dundee area is highest at 58.1%; Bromley area is lowest at 26.6% — the gap is 31.5 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Toughest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee (DD) | 58.06% | +17.3 pp |
| Kirkcaldy (KY) | 57.8% | +17.0 pp |
| Salisbury (SP) | 55.73% | +15.0 pp |
| Inverness (IV) | 55% | +14.3 pp |
| Falkirk (FK) | 54.89% | +14.1 pp |
| Easiest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Bromley (BR) | 26.61% | -14.1 pp |
| Enfield (EN) | 26.62% | -14.1 pp |
| Croydon (CR) | 27.96% | -12.8 pp |
| Blackburn (BB) | 28.93% | -11.8 pp |
| Sutton (SM) | 29.1% | -11.6 pp |
Why do areas differ?
For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.
In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 5.7 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.49, n=33 areas with ≥800 tests).
In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 4.4 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.45, n=23 areas with ≥800 tests).
In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 4.0 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.36, n=33 areas with ≥800 tests).
| Factor | Low Q | High Q | Gap | Correlation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOT centre density | 38.2% | 43.9% | +5.7 pp | r=0.49 |
| Terrain gradient | 40.2% | 44.6% | +4.4 pp | r=0.45 |
| Distance to coast | 42.5% | 38.4% | -4.1 pp | r=-0.36 |
Factors that only mean something combined
Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.
| Composite | Built from | Tested against | r | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underbody corrosion | frost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1) | share of tests with a corrosion defect | +0.42 | holds (116 areas) |
| Tyre wear | rain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisory | share of tests failing on tyres | +0.45 | holds (116 areas) |
| Overnight corrosion | terraced housing × cars per household × frost days | share with a corrosion defect | +0.41 | holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index |
| Deferred maintenance | deprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour rate | cars repeating the same advisory | −0.26 | fails (118 areas) |
| Powertrain stress | engine capacity ÷ kerb weight | suspension, brake and emissions failures | −0.16 | fails (22 models) |
The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.
All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
| Factor | r | n areas | Low-Q fail % | High-Q fail % | Gap pp | Low-Q factor | High-Q factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles) | 0.493 | 33 | 38.2 | 43.9 | +5.7 | 5.7 | 7.7 |
| Terrain gradient (% grade) | 0.452 | 23 | 40.2 | 44.6 | +4.4 | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Distance to coast (km) | -0.362 | 33 | 42.5 | 38.4 | -4.0 | 5.8 | 91.9 |
| Income deprivation (score) | -0.183 | 30 | 38.3 | 38.8 | +0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Urban share (0–1) | -0.155 | 33 | 42.4 | 39.5 | -2.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr) | -0.138 | 33 | 43.0 | 41.4 | -1.6 | 207.7 | 458.7 |
| Frost days (days/year) | -0.097 | 33 | 44.4 | 42.4 | -2.0 | 9.5 | 26.2 |
Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.
Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.
Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 30%–52% failing.
How many miles does a Toyota Celica last?
100,000+ miles is highest at 63.3%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 2.5% — the gap is 60.8 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Odometer | Tests ≥ threshold | Share of sample |
|---|---|---|
| 100,000+ miles | 50,161 | 63.31% |
| 150,000+ miles | 13,854 | 17.49% |
| 200,000+ miles | 1,976 | 2.49% |
Of 79,225 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 63.3% had reached 100k miles, 17.5% had reached 150k miles, 2.5% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.
Toyota Celica faults that come together
Identification + Road Wheels stand out at 6.17×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.
above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less
| Group A | Group B | Together | Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Identification of the vehicle | Road Wheels | 20 | 6.17× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Noise, emissions and leaks | 3,275 | 4.19× |
| Road Wheels | Tyres | 122 | 3.89× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 35 | 3.52× (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Suspension | 693 | 3.46× |
| Brakes | Road Wheels | 221 | 3.24× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Visibility | 139 | 3.15× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 656 | 3.13× |
| Identification of the vehicle | Tyres | 110 | 3.12× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Road Wheels | 152 | 3.09× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Noise, emissions and leaks | 170 | 3.07× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Road Wheels | 137 | 3× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Identification of the vehicle | 154 | 2.99× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 449 | 2.97× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Road Wheels | 299 | 2.86× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Noise, emissions and leaks | 3,256 | 2.79× |
| Identification of the vehicle | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 328 | 2.79× (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Suspension | 525 | 2.78× |
| Brakes | Identification of the vehicle | 212 | 2.76× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 386 | 2.75× (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 24 | 2.72× (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Steering | 68 | 2.66× (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Visibility | 103 | 2.62× (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Tyres | 249 | 2.59× (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Suspension | 169 | 2.59× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Tyres | 1,892 | 2.54× |
| Body, chassis, structure | Steering | 335 | 2.54× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Brakes | 2,689 | 2.48× |
| Tyres | Visibility | 1,061 | 2.48× |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 790 | 2.46× |
| Brakes | Suspension | 3,781 | 2.44× |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Visibility | 291 | 2.41× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Tyres | 2,713 | 2.38× |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Tyres | 1,263 | 2.36× |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Noise, emissions and leaks | 4,187 | 2.34× |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Suspension | 2,612 | 2.34× |
| Brakes | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 5,732 | 2.31× |
| Body, chassis, structure | Suspension | 2,379 | 2.3× |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Steering | 325 | 2.28× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Suspension | 166 | 2.26× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Visibility | 3,214 | 2.25× |
| Identification of the vehicle | Steering | 21 | 2.24× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Visibility | 1,496 | 2.23× |
| Brakes | Visibility | 2,031 | 2.18× |
| Body, chassis, structure | Tyres | 1,081 | 2.17× |
| Suspension | Tyres | 1,529 | 2.15× |
| Body, chassis, structure | Visibility | 1,298 | 2.08× |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Suspension | 4,917 | 2.07× |
| Brakes | Steering | 409 | 2.07× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 3,395 | 2.05× |
| Suspension | Visibility | 1,789 | 2.01× |
| Steering | Visibility | 222 | 1.96× (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Tyres | 178 | 1.96× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Steering | 575 | 1.9× |
| Road Wheels | Steering | 19 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Speedometer and speed limiter | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Seat belt installation check | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Seat belt installation check | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 4.19× more often than chance (3,275 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).
Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).
Is low mileage better for a Toyota Celica?
Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 30.6%, against 47.2% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Band | Fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| <5k miles/year | 30.61% | 673 |
| 8–12k miles/year | 47.24% | 942 |
| Gap (low − normal) | -16.63 pp | — |
By fuel and age
Petrol
| Age | Low-use fail % | n | Normal fail % | n | Gap pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 28.77 | 285 | 45.16 | 372 | -16.39 pp |
| 14 | 30.61 | 673 | 47.29 | 941 | -16.68 pp |
At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 30.6% vs 47.2% for 8–12k miles/year — 16.6 pp lower (n_low=673, n_normal=942). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.
Which Toyota Celica engine is best?
petrol 1.5–1.8 is highest at 101.8; petrol over 2.0 is lowest at 43.8 — the gap is 58.0 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
| Fuel | Capacity | vs own age norm | Raw fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| petrol | over 2.0 litre | 43.8 | 16.6% | 265 (rough estimate) |
| petrol | 1.8–2.0 litre | 91.5 | 35.38% | 13,085 |
| petrol | 1.5–1.8 litre | 101.8 | 42% | 64,355 |
Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the petrol 1.5–1.8 runs at 101.8 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.8–2.0 runs at 91.5 — a spread of 10.3 points between two cars that share a name.
Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.
Best year for a Toyota Celica, and the years to avoid
Build year 2000 is highest at 106.4; Build year 2007 is lowest at 84.0 — the gap is 22.4 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected
Every build year with its confidence interval
| Build year | vs own age norm | 95% CI | Raw fail % | Tests | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 84 | 70.3–97.7 | 34.29% | 420 | better |
| 2006 | 90.7 | 87.1–94.3 | 37.64% | 6,539 | better |
| 2005 | 97.3 | 94.3–100.3 | 40.93% | 9,987 | no different |
| 2004 | 101 | 98.3–103.8 | 42.9% | 12,183 | no different |
| 2003 | 102.3 | 99.5–105.1 | 43.3% | 11,548 | no different |
| 2002 | 98 | 94.9–101.1 | 41.2% | 9,232 | no different |
| 2001 | 97.7 | 94.1–101.2 | 41.25% | 7,074 | no different |
| 2000 | 106.4 | 100.9–111.9 | 44.84% | 3,176 | worse |
| 1999 | 98.4 | 90.8–105.9 | 41.66% | 1,570 | no different |
| 1998 | 97.9 | 89.2–106.6 | 41.29% | 1,165 | no different |
The best build year here is 2006 and the weakest is 2006. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 1 of 10 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.
Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.
Toyota Celica MOT repair costs
The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £163.55 to £310.75, against £54.85 for the test itself.
bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only
| Component | Fails per 100 tests | Typical repair | Its price | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 38.7 (nat. 18.09) | Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid) | £140 | £54.18 |
| Brakes | 26.9 (nat. 11.25) | Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback) | £150 | £40.35 |
| Suspension | 20.9 (nat. 15.36) | Suspension coil spring (single corner) | £180 | £37.62 |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | 15.7 (nat. 3.67) | Exhaust rear silencer | £200 | £31.40 |
Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £164 to £311, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.
Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.
For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.
Toyota Celica running costs for a fleet
Vehicles failing at age 19 are close to the reference at 39.0%, against 38.0% at age 18, tested in the same year.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
| Age | Fails | Median odometer | Tests | Gap vs age 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 37.96% | 103,111 | 943 | — |
| 19 | 39.1% | 110,459 | 1,317 | — |
No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).
Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.
Toyota Celica rust problems: where they corrode
Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at 0.71×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.
above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less
This Toyota Celica fails on corrosion at about the average rate once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.
Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.
Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.
Does a Toyota Celica advisory become a failure?
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 32.2%; Road wheels are lowest at 1.0% — the gap is 31.2 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now
| Component | Fails next time | Typical lead time | Miles of warning | Advisories tracked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 32.2% | 12 months | 4,244 | 1,765 |
| Suspension | 19.3% | 12 months | 3,216 | 14,091 |
| Brakes | 18.2% | 12.1 months | 3,340 | 17,708 |
| Body, chassis, structure | 15.8% | 12.1 months | 3,063 | 7,500 |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | 15.4% | 12.1 months | 3,388 | 5,645 |
| Tyres | 10.8% | 12.1 months | 3,763 | 12,810 |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 8.3% | 12.2 months | 3,303 | 773 |
| Steering | 5.1% | 12.1 months | 3,038 | 922 |
| Identification of the vehicle | 3.5% | 12 months | 4,413 | 2,994 |
| Road wheels | 1.0% | 12.1 months | 5,508 | 1,447 |
This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.
Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 32 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 4,244 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.
What will fail next on a Toyota Celica?
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 29.4%; Suspension after a passed at age 12-14 is lowest at 6.8% — the gap is 22.6 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
| Age | Last test | Most likely next failures | Cars tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12-14 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.2% · Brakes 9.4% · Suspension 6.8% | 2,195 |
| 12-14 | advisory | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.6% · Brakes 16.1% · Suspension 10.6% | 1,960 |
| 12-14 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.3% · Brakes 18.4% · Suspension 13.0% | 2,681 |
| 15-19 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.2% · Suspension 10.3% · Brakes 9.2% | 9,687 |
| 15-19 | advisory | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.9% · Suspension 15.6% · Brakes 14.4% | 10,691 |
| 15-19 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 29.4% · Suspension 18.6% · Brakes 17.6% | 14,006 |
| 20+ | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.8% · Body, chassis, structure 7.9% · Brakes 7.7% | 5,663 |
| 20+ | advisory | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.3% · Body, chassis, structure 13.9% · Suspension 12.9% | 5,913 |
| 20+ | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.1% · Noise, emissions and leaks 16.4% · Suspension 15.9% | 7,182 |
| unknown | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.8% · Body, chassis, structure 11.9% · Brakes 11.9% | 101 (rough estimate) |
The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.
The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.
Toyota Celica ownership: what six years of MOTs show
The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 64.4%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 7.0% — the gap is 57.4 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 21,026 failures followed through to their re-test, 28.67% were repaired and passed the same day and 64.35% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 64,485 defect items were cleared in the process.
Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.996 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 2,718 miles a year across 16,249 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.
Two populations hide inside one model. 23.76% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 44.5% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.
Odometer anomalies: 3.021% of 16,319 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 51,707 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.
Toyota Celica safety recalls and how to check yours
DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 3.
bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone
recall campaigns launched per year
| Reference | Launched | Vehicles | Concern |
|---|---|---|---|
R/2020/019 | 05/10/2020 | 37,586 | TAKATA AIRBAG INFLATOR MAY RUPTURE ON DEPLOYMENT |
R/2004/168 | 25/04/2005 | 6,936 | BRAKE FLUID MAY LEAK |
R/2003/030 | 12/03/2003 | 2,553 | POSSIBLE FUEL SPILLAGE WHEN PETROL CAP IS OPENED |
DVSA lists 3 safety recall campaigns for the Toyota Celica, covering roughly 47,075 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.
Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.
Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.
Toyota Celica inspection results in other countries
United Kingdom MOT stands out at 38.5%, against 26.0% nationally.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Country | Test | This model fails | National average | Position | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | MOT (class 4) | 38.49% | 26.01% | +12.5 pp | 9,463 |
| Netherlands | APK | 60.5% | 50.8% | +9.7 pp | 1,454 |
The verdict is consistent across every regime where the difference is clear, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.
| Code | Fault | Recorded | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
210 | Tyre pressure not at the correct value | 252 | failure |
RA2 | Excessive leak of other fluids | 179 | advisory |
516 | Dipped headlight incorrectly aimed | 147 | failure |
205 | Tyre with insufficient tread | 124 | failure |
115 | Exhaust not gas-tight or venting unsafely | 120 | failure |
AC1 | Tyre down to 1.6–2.5 mm of tread | 109 | advisory |
497 | Number-plate light not working or missing | 106 | failure |
584 | Sidelight not working properly | 81 | failure |
Worth dwelling on how mundane the top of that list is: tyre pressure, tread depth, headlight aim. The Dutch APK records 1.635 defects per inspection against a much higher national failure rate than Britain's, and the reason is not that Dutch cars are worse — it is that the two regimes draw the line between "note it" and "fail it" in different places. Codes are the RDW's own; the English wording here is our translation of the Dutch original.
Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Toyota Celica is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.
One caveat before you read the UK row: these are raw failure rates, because no other country publishes the age detail our index needs. This model's raw UK rate looks worse than the national average while its age-adjusted index is 95.2 — the fleet here is unusually old, and the raw column silently credits that. The index above is the fair comparison; this table is for reading each country against itself.
Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: RDW open data — Meldingen Keuringsinstantie + Geconstateerde Gebreken + Gekentekende voertuigen (2024), CC0. Not an RDW endorsement.. Adapted; licences and full notice.
Toyota Celica MOT: quick answers
Toyota Celica MOT Risk Index is close to the reference at 95.2, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
- What is the Toyota Celica first-time MOT pass rate?
- 61.51% of first attempts passed in 2024 (9,463 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
- Why does this number differ from other sites?
- Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 38.49% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 9,463 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 95.2 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.
Compare the Toyota Celica with other cars
Volvo XC90 is highest at 95.4; Toyota Celica is lowest at 95.2 — the gap is 0.2 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
Same brand
All Toyota MOT statisticsToyota Corolla MOT statsToyota Avensis MOT stats
Similar risk
Skoda Superb (index 95.3)Volvo V70 (index 95.4)Volvo XC90 (index 95.4)
Same size class
how MG TF compareshow Mitsubishi Eclipse compareshow Renault Laguna compares
By build year
Toyota Celica 1998Toyota Celica 1999Toyota Celica 2000Toyota Celica 2001Toyota Celica 2002Toyota Celica 2003Toyota Celica 2004Toyota Celica 2005Toyota Celica 2006Toyota Celica 2007
By area
Toyota Celica MOT failure rate by postcode area
By failure group
Toyota Celica body, chassis and structure failuresToyota Celica brakes failuresToyota Celica vehicle identification failuresToyota Celica lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresToyota Celica noise, emissions and leaks failuresToyota Celica road wheels failuresToyota Celica seat belts and airbags failuresToyota Celica steering failuresToyota Celica suspension failuresToyota Celica tyres failuresToyota Celica visibility failures
Inspections abroad
Toyota Celica in the Netherlands
Data details & how to cite
Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:toyota-celica:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.
Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Celica MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-celica/ · Published 2026-07-30.