MINI Paceman — MOT statistics 2024
The MINI Paceman failed 17.9% of 7,910 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 63.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 36% less often than expected for its age.
Age-adjusted peer: BMW M4 (index 63.9) — the two published results are 0.2 index points apart.
MINI Paceman common problems: what actually fails the MOT
Suspension is well below the reference at 1.2 per 100 tests, against 7.6 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.
Component-group comparison table
Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.
| Group | This family | Cases behind it | UK, same ages | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyres | 7.6 | 3,671 | 8.2 | 0.93×0.90–0.96 |
| Lamps & electrical | 5.0 | 2,394 | 8.4 | 0.60×0.57–0.62 |
| Visibility | 4.0 | 1,911 | 6.1 | 0.66×0.62–0.68 |
| Brakes | 3.6 | 1,732 | 6.7 | 0.54×0.51–0.56 |
| Suspension | 1.2 | 584 | 7.6 | 0.16×0.15–0.17 |
| Emissions & leaks | 0.9 | 413 | 1.7 | 0.54×0.46–0.56 |
| What failed | per 100 tests (this family) | per 100 tests (UK average) | ratio family / UK | What to check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brake lining or pad worn down to wear indicatorBrake lining or pad worn down to wear indicator | 0.46 | 0.17 | 2.63× | Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive |
| Tyre pressure monitoring system malfunctioning or…A tyre pressure monitoring system malfunctioning or obviously inoperative | 0.48 | 0.21 | 2.31× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged | 2.59 | 2.54 | 1.02× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view | 2.36 | 2.36 | 1.00× | Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view |
| Tyre cords visible or damagedA tyre cords visible or damaged | 1.45 | 1.63 | 0.89× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources | 2.18 | 2.83 | 0.77× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm | 1.21 | 2.15 | 0.56× | Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive |
| Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen | 0.62 | 1.62 | 0.38× | Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view |
| Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements | 2.34 | 3.59 | 0.65× | Check tyre tread depth across the full width |
| Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements | 0.67 | 2.57 | 0.26× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.
MINI Paceman MOT advisories: what gets flagged
Tyres are highest at 37.9 per 100 tests; Seatbelts & SRS are lowest at 1.0 per 100 tests — the gap is 36.9 per 100 tests.
higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests
Advisory rates table
| Group | Advisories per 100 |
|---|---|
| Tyres | 37.9 |
| Brakes | 19.5 |
| Non-component advisories | 5.2 |
| Suspension | 4 |
| Emissions & leaks | 1.4 |
| Seatbelts & SRS | 1 |
Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.
Tyres, brakes and suspension: MINI Paceman against cars of the same age
| Age | Part | MINI Paceman | Same age, petrol and diesel | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 years | Tyres | 4.56 | 4.17 | 0.39 |
| 3 years | Brakes | 0.97 | 1.77 | -0.80 |
| 3 years | Suspension | 0.18 | 0.63 | -0.45 |
| 4 years | Tyres | 5.39 | 4.54 | 0.85 |
| 4 years | Brakes | 1.33 | 2.43 | -1.10 |
| 4 years | Suspension | 0.33 | 1.21 | -0.88 |
| 5 years | Tyres | 4.56 | 5.06 | -0.50 |
| 5 years | Brakes | 1.86 | 3.09 | -1.23 |
| 5 years | Suspension | 0.4 | 2.19 | -1.79 |
| 6 years | Tyres | 5.66 | 5.54 | 0.12 |
| 6 years | Brakes | 2.17 | 3.81 | -1.64 |
| 6 years | Suspension | 0.52 | 3.72 | -3.20 |
| 7 years | Tyres | 5.5 | 5.95 | -0.45 |
| 7 years | Brakes | 2.71 | 4.55 | -1.84 |
| 7 years | Suspension | 0.8 | 5.68 | -4.88 |
| 8 years | Tyres | 5.95 | 6.31 | -0.36 |
| 8 years | Brakes | 2.52 | 5.38 | -2.86 |
| 8 years | Suspension | 1.03 | 7.78 | -6.75 |
Failing items per 100 initial tests, 2019-2024. The comparison group is every petrol or diesel car tested at the same age, so weight and drivetrain show up rather than fleet age.
If a car like this fails, does it fail again?
A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.
| After this year's test | Fails next year | Vehicles followed |
|---|---|---|
| It failed | 19.9% | 1,551 |
| It passed | 13.6% | 33,013 |
A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 6.3 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 24.3% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.
Adjusted for how much these are actually driven
The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 47,944 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.
| Standardised for | Index | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Age only | 60.9 | fails less often than expected |
| Age and annual mileage | 64.5 | fails less often than vehicles driven as much |
| Share doing under 3,000 miles a year | 4.6% | a normal spread of use |
Mileage changes little here (+3.6 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.
How the MINI Paceman compares with cars of its own age and size
Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.
| Age | MINI Paceman | Same class, same age | Difference | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 years | 9.12% | 11.3% | -2.18 pp | 1,645 |
| 4 years | 10.52% | 14.24% | -3.72 pp | 3,602 |
| 5 years | 11.12% | 17.42% | -6.3 pp | 7,458 |
| 6 years | 13.16% | 20.76% | -7.6 pp | 7,886 |
| 7 years | 14.03% | 24.33% | -10.3 pp | 8,040 |
| 8 years | 15.11% | 28.16% | -13.05 pp | 7,854 |
| 9 years | 17.22% | 32.04% | -14.83 pp | 6,470 |
| 10 years | 19.58% | 35.61% | -16.03 pp | 4,362 |
| 11 years | 21.36% | 38.66% | -17.29 pp | 660 |
Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.
How does the MINI Paceman perform as it gets older?
The Paceman at age 11 is well below the reference at 21.3%, against 33.2% for all vehicles of the same age.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–39%.
Takeaway: a 10-year-old Paceman has roughly a 20% chance of failing its MOT.
Data table
| Age | MINI Paceman | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 14.0% | 20.2% | -6.2 pp |
| 8 | 14.6% | 23.3% | -8.7 pp |
| 9 | 16.1% | 26.5% | -10.4 pp |
| 10 | 19.6% | 30.1% | -10.5 pp |
| 11 | 21.3% | 33.2% | -11.9 pp |
Is a MINI Paceman ULEZ compliant?
The share of classifiable 2024 MINI Paceman MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 66.0%.
Based on 7,909 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.
higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class
| Vehicle age at test | Likely ULEZ-compliant share | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 3–5 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 6–7 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 136 |
| 8 years | 100.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 1,353 |
| 9 years | 75.2% Check a registration with TfL | n = 2,060 |
| 10–14 years | 50.1% Check a registration with TfL | n = 4,360 |
| 15–17 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 18 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 19 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 20+ years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
How dangerous are MINI Paceman MOT failures?
Major defects are well below the reference at 10.5 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
Severity table
| Severity | This family /100 | National /100 | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minor | 6.31 | 14.22 | 0.44× |
| Major | 10.45 | 52.75 | 0.20× |
| Dangerous | 7.18 | 11.15 | 0.64× |
Chart values: Minor 6.3 · Major 10.4 · Dangerous 7.2.
Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.
Does the month of a MINI Paceman MOT matter?
Apr is highest at 16.4%; Sep is lowest at 12.8% — the gap is 3.6 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart scale: 11%–33%.
bars: MINI Paceman · dashed: all class-4 cars
Month-by-month table
| Month | MINI Paceman | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 14.03% | 31.12% | -17.1 pp |
| Feb | 14.33% | 29.99% | -15.7 pp |
| Mar | 13.42% | 28.26% | -14.8 pp |
| Apr | 16.42% | 29.78% | -13.4 pp |
| May | 14.47% | 28.79% | -14.3 pp |
| Jun | 13.67% | 28.15% | -14.5 pp |
| Jul | 13.46% | 29.33% | -15.9 pp |
| Aug | 14.4% | 29.2% | -14.8 pp |
| Sep | 12.79% | 28.19% | -15.4 pp |
| Oct | 15.44% | 30.34% | -14.9 pp |
| Nov | 14.83% | 30.58% | -15.7 pp |
| Dec | 14.3% | 29.33% | -15.0 pp |
Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.6 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.
Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.
MINI Paceman average mileage by age
At age 8, the middle half of Pacemans runs from 38,276 miles to 64,249 miles, against 50,146 miles as the median.
further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75
Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–94k mi.
Does high mileage mean more MINI Paceman MOT failures at the same age?
Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 10–14, 12.4% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 28.9% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.
| Age | Odometer | % failing | 95% interval | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6–9 | <40k miles | 9.1% | 7.3–11.3% | 811 |
| 6–9 | 40-70k miles | 14.9% | 13.3–16.6% | 1,839 |
| 6–9 | 70-100k miles | 21.8% | 19–24.9% | 749 |
| 6–9 | 100-140k miles | 23.6% | 17.3–31.2% | 140 (rough estimate) |
| 10–14 | <40k miles | 12.4% | 9.7–15.9% | 434 (rough estimate) |
| 10–14 | 40-70k miles | 17.3% | 15.7–19.1% | 1,933 |
| 10–14 | 70-100k miles | 22.5% | 20.5–24.7% | 1,559 |
| 10–14 | 100-140k miles | 28.9% | 24.6–33.5% | 402 (rough estimate) |
line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)
Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
| Age | p25 | Median | p75 | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31,340 | 41,912 | 58,920 | 136 |
| 8 | 38,276 | 50,146 | 64,249 | 1,353 |
| 9 | 44,476 | 58,684 | 73,627 | 2,060 |
| 10 | 52,234 | 66,688 | 82,950 | 3,701 |
| 11 | 56,879 | 73,261 | 89,958 | 658 |
A typical 8-year-old Paceman has ~50,146 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.
Where in Britain the MINI Paceman fails its MOT most
Brighton area is highest at 20.0%; Wigan area is lowest at 9.2% — the gap is 10.8 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Toughest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton (BN) | 19.95% | +5.7 pp |
| Bristol (BS) | 19.93% | +5.7 pp |
| Exeter (EX) | 18.81% | +4.6 pp |
| Gloucester (GL) | 17.71% | +3.5 pp |
| Easiest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan (WN) | 9.2% | -5.0 pp |
| Telford (TF) | 9.76% | -4.5 pp |
| Coventry (CV) | 9.79% | -4.4 pp |
| Shrewsbury (SY) | 10.68% | -3.5 pp |
| Derby (DE) | 11.16% | -3.1 pp |
Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.
Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 11%–18% failing.
MINI Paceman survival: which cars are still on the road
By age 11 is well below the reference at 10.5%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.
Survival vs fail rate by age
| Age | Tests | Survival vs ages 4–6 | Fail % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1,645 | 26% | 9.12% |
| 4 | 3,602 | 57% | 10.52% |
| 5 | 7,458 | 100% | 11.12% |
| 6 | 7,886 | 100% | 13.16% |
| 7 | 8,040 | 100% | 14.03% |
| 8 | 7,854 | 100% | 15.11% |
| 9 | 6,470 | 100% | 17.22% |
| 10 | 4,362 | 69.1% | 19.58% |
| 11 | 660 | 10.5% | 21.36% |
By age 11, only about 10% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈6,315); survivors still fail at 21.4% vs 10.5% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.
How many miles does a MINI Paceman last?
100,000+ miles stands out at 2.7%.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Odometer | Tests ≥ threshold | Share of sample |
|---|---|---|
| 100,000+ miles | 1,316 | 2.74% |
Of 47,945 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 2.7% had reached 100k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.
How many years is a MINI Paceman likely to last?
Bought at age 5 is highest at 5.3 years; Bought at age 10 is lowest at 0.7 years — the gap is 4.6 years.
bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve
| Age now | Typical mileage (p50) | Expected years left |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | — | 5.3 |
| 8 | — | at least 2.3 |
| 10 | — | at least 0.7 |
estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family has at least 0.7 expected years of further MOT-present life. The curve is observed only until age 11, so the true figure is likely higher.
MINI Paceman faults that come together
Body & structure + Emissions & leaks stand out at 12.41×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.
above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less
| Group A | Group B | Together | Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Body, chassis, structure | Noise, emissions and leaks | 21 | 12.41× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Noise, emissions and leaks | 56 | 7.26× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Road Wheels | 38 | 6.89× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 55 | 5.24× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Brakes | 32 | 5.1× (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Visibility | 24 | 4.88× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Suspension | 51 | 4.42× (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Tyres | 34 | 4.42× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 195 | 4.07× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Noise, emissions and leaks | 52 | 4.03× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Tyres | 72 | 4× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Tyres | 256 | 3.84× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Tyres | 400 | 3.58× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Suspension | 68 | 3.52× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Visibility | 40 | 3.48× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Tyres | 20 | 3.44× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Tyres | 49 | 3.35× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Visibility | 30 | 3.2× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Visibility | 226 | 3.16× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Visibility | 126 | 2.95× (rough estimate) |
| Tyres | Visibility | 253 | 2.54× (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Tyres | 67 | 2.49× (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Visibility | 35 | 2.03× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 17 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 17 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Tyres | 17 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Road Wheels | 16 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 15 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Visibility | 15 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Steering | 12 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Suspension | 11 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Suspension | 10 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Tyres | 10 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Visibility | 10 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Road Wheels | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Steering | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Suspension | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Identification of the vehicle | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Noise, emissions and leaks | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 12.41× more often than chance (21 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).
Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).
Is low mileage better for a MINI Paceman?
Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 9.6%, against 18.5% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Band | Fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| <5k miles/year | 9.56% | 9,590 |
| 8–12k miles/year | 18.46% | 11,701 |
| Gap (low − normal) | -8.91 pp | — |
By fuel and age
Diesel
| Age | Low-use fail % | n | Normal fail % | n | Gap pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6.99 | 472 | 13.61 | 1,308 | -6.62 pp |
| 6 | 8.81 | 511 | 15.83 | 1,415 | -7.02 pp |
| 7 | 11.24 | 534 | 17.47 | 1,425 | -6.24 pp |
| 8 | 9.38 | 512 | 22.13 | 1,387 | -12.76 pp |
| 9 | 10.98 | 428 | 22.72 | 1,162 | -11.74 pp |
| 10 | 12.92 | 271 | 25.4 | 819 | -12.48 pp |
| 11 | 10.34 | 58 | 28.45 | 116 | -18.1 pp |
Petrol
| Age | Low-use fail % | n | Normal fail % | n | Gap pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6.71 | 1,192 | 13.33 | 863 | -6.61 pp |
| 6 | 8.02 | 1,260 | 14.07 | 867 | -6.06 pp |
| 7 | 8.81 | 1,328 | 17.92 | 798 | -9.11 pp |
| 8 | 9.31 | 1,321 | 19.12 | 727 | -9.81 pp |
| 9 | 12 | 1,067 | 20.64 | 596 | -8.64 pp |
| 10 | 14.41 | 694 | 21.26 | 334 | -6.85 pp |
| 11 | 8.79 | 91 | 27.08 | 48 | -18.29 pp |
At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 9.6% vs 18.5% for 8–12k miles/year — 8.9 pp lower (n_low=9,590, n_normal=11,701). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 9.8% low-use vs 18.5% normal (-8.6 pp).
Which MINI Paceman engine is best?
diesel 1.5–1.8 is highest at 114.3; petrol 1.5–1.8 is lowest at 91.3 — the gap is 23.0 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
| Fuel | Capacity | vs own age norm | Raw fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| petrol | 1.5–1.8 litre | 91.3 | 12.89% | 25,368 |
| diesel | 1.8–2.0 litre | 104 | 14.92% | 10,240 |
| diesel | 1.5–1.8 litre | 114.3 | 16.34% | 12,382 |
Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel 1.5–1.8 runs at 114.3 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.5–1.8 runs at 91.3 — a spread of 23 points between two cars that share a name.
Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.
Best year for a MINI Paceman, and the years to avoid
Build year 2013 is highest at 110.5; Build year 2016 is lowest at 91.9 — the gap is 18.6 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected
Every build year with its confidence interval
| Build year | vs own age norm | 95% CI | Raw fail % | Tests | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 95.6 | 74.6–116.7 | 10.76% | 734 | no different |
| 2016 | 91.9 | 85.9–97.9 | 11.14% | 8,177 | better |
| 2015 | 96.6 | 91.9–101.2 | 12.94% | 12,633 | no different |
| 2014 | 103.3 | 99.8–106.7 | 15.43% | 22,545 | no different |
| 2013 | 110.5 | 102.4–118.5 | 18.44% | 3,882 | worse |
The best build year here is 2016 and the weakest is 2016. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 1 of 5 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.
Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.
MINI Paceman MOT repair costs
The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £23.20 to £44.08, against £54.85 for the test itself.
bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only
| Component | Fails per 100 tests | Typical repair | Its price | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 5.0 (nat. 18.09) | Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid) | £140 | £7.00 |
| Tyres | 7.6 (nat. 8.7) | Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted) | £90 | £6.84 |
| Brakes | 3.6 (nat. 11.25) | Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback) | £150 | £5.40 |
| Suspension | 1.2 (nat. 15.36) | Suspension coil spring (single corner) | £180 | £2.16 |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | 0.9 (nat. 3.67) | Exhaust rear silencer | £200 | £1.80 |
Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £23 to £44, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.
Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.
For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.
MINI Paceman running costs for a fleet
Vehicles failing at age 10 stand out at 20.0%, against 14.0% at age 7, tested in the same year.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
| Age | Fails | Median odometer | Tests | Gap vs age 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 13.97% | 41,912 | 136 | — |
| 8 | 14.63% | 50,146 | 1,353 | — |
| 9 | 16.12% | 58,684 | 2,060 | — |
| 10 | 19.59% | 66,688 | 3,701 | — |
| 11 | 21.28% | 73,261 | 658 | — |
The number a fleet manager needs is not the failure rate, it is the year the car starts costing more. Between cars aged 9 and cars aged 10, both tested in 2024, the failure rate of this model is 3.47 percentage points higher — the steepest one-year step in this cross-section of different cars, and a natural planning point for replacement.
Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.
MINI Paceman rust problems: where they corrode
Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at <0.1×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.
above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less
This MINI Paceman virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish. Both point the same way and reinforce each other: it resists corrosion even though its owners live in saltier areas than most.
Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.
Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.
Does a MINI Paceman advisory become a failure?
Tyres are highest at 8.2%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 8.2 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now
| Component | Fails next time | Typical lead time | Miles of warning | Advisories tracked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyres | 8.2% | 12 months | 5,941 | 8,771 |
| Brakes | 5.7% | 12 months | 6,131 | 4,471 |
| Suspension | 3.9% | 11.9 months | 6,341 | 838 |
| Non-component advisories | 0.0% | — | — | 1,884 |
This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.
Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 8 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 5,941 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.
What will fail next on a MINI Paceman?
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 9-11 are highest at 10.8%; Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 1.5% — the gap is 9.3 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
| Age | Last test | Most likely next failures | Cars tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| <3 | passed | Tyres 5.1% · Visibility 2.6% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.5% | 847 |
| <3 | advisory | Tyres 8.4% · Visibility 3.7% | 214 (rough estimate) |
| <3 | failure | Tyres 8.1% | 99 (rough estimate) |
| 3-5 | passed | Tyres 4.5% · Visibility 3.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 2.5% | 10,315 |
| 3-5 | advisory | Tyres 7.0% · Visibility 4.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.9% | 3,777 |
| 3-5 | failure | Tyres 6.2% · Visibility 4.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.3% | 1,769 |
| 6-8 | passed | Tyres 4.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 4.3% · Visibility 3.2% | 11,505 |
| 6-8 | advisory | Tyres 7.2% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.5% · Visibility 4.6% | 5,926 |
| 6-8 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.2% · Tyres 8.2% · Visibility 5.7% | 3,012 |
| 9-11 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.9% · Tyres 5.4% · Visibility 3.5% | 1,300 |
| 9-11 | advisory | Tyres 9.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.8% · Visibility 4.0% | 776 |
| 9-11 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.8% · Tyres 8.5% · Visibility 6.9% | 508 |
The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.
The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.
MINI Paceman ownership: what six years of MOTs show
The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 50.2%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 1.7% — the gap is 48.5 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 4,774 failures followed through to their re-test, 48.11% were repaired and passed the same day and 50.19% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 8,265 defect items were cleared in the process.
Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.247 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 5,177 miles a year across 8,052 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.
Two populations hide inside one model. 57.6% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 19.98% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.
Odometer anomalies: 0.646% of 8,053 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 6,960 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.
MINI Paceman safety recalls and how to check yours
DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 2.
bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone
recall campaigns launched per year
| Reference | Launched | Vehicles | Concern |
|---|---|---|---|
R/2026/284 | 27/07/2026 | 1,728 | Adaption Measure for the Emission Control System R60 / R61 N47T |
R/2013/077 | 15/08/2013 | 19,168 | RISK OF FIRE |
DVSA lists 2 safety recall campaigns for the MINI Paceman, covering roughly 20,896 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.
Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.
Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.
MINI Paceman MOT: quick answers
MINI Paceman MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 63.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
- What is the MINI Paceman first-time MOT pass rate?
- 82.1% of first attempts passed in 2024 (7,910 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
- Why does this number differ from other sites?
- Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 17.9% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 7,910 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 63.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.
Compare the MINI Paceman with other cars
Toyota iQ is highest at 64.0; Subaru Impreza is lowest at 63.3 — the gap is 0.7 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
Same brand
All Mini MOT statisticsMINI Countryman MOT statsMINI Hatch MOT stats
Similar risk
BMW M4 (index 63.9)Toyota iQ (index 64.0)Subaru Impreza (index 63.3)
Same size class
how Volkswagen Arteon compareshow Mercedes-Benz CLC compareshow Mercedes-Benz EQC compares
By build year
MINI Paceman 2013MINI Paceman 2014MINI Paceman 2015MINI Paceman 2016MINI Paceman 2017
By area
MINI Paceman MOT failure rate by postcode area
By failure group
MINI Paceman body, chassis and structure failuresMINI Paceman brakes failuresMINI Paceman vehicle identification failuresMINI Paceman lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresMINI Paceman noise, emissions and leaks failuresMINI Paceman road wheels failuresMINI Paceman seat belts and airbags failuresMINI Paceman steering failuresMINI Paceman suspension failuresMINI Paceman tyres failuresMINI Paceman visibility failures
Data details & how to cite
Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:mini-paceman:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.
Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). MINI Paceman MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/mini-paceman/ · Published 2026-07-30.