MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Volkswagen Caddy — MOT statistics 2024

The Volkswagen Caddy failed 29.15% of 231,167 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 108 (100 = expected for its age profile). This van fails its MOT about 8% more often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 108.0, 95% CI 107.3–108.7 (100 = national average) 100 108.0 60 160
Index
108
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
29.15%
n = 231,167
Dangerous /100
15
national ≈13
Diesel − petrol
+11.1 pp
fail-rate gap
Rank
35 of 56
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Kia Sportage (index 107.8) — the two published results are 0.2 index points apart.

Volkswagen Caddy common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension stands out at 31 per 100 tests, against 19.9 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Volkswagen Caddy common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg.

Component-group comparison table
GroupThis familyNationalFamily / national
Suspension31.019.91.56×
Lamps & electrical28.723.51.22×
Visibility22.812.01.90×
Brakes15.514.31.08×
Tyres11.810.31.15×
Body & structure11.58.41.38×
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average, 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn14.276.032.37×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn suspension joints are common
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources11.864.432.68×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view10.734.272.51×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely deteriorated5.502.702.04×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely d
Suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer…A suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc3.782.251.68×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn suspension joints are common
Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated4.833.451.40×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn suspension joints are common
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen3.392.031.67×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm3.042.451.24×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements4.123.821.08×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged3.383.291.03×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Volkswagen Caddy MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 72.9 per 100 tests; Body & structure are lowest at 5.7 per 100 tests — the gap is 67.2 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Volkswagen Caddy MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres72.9
Suspension63.2
Brakes61.8
Emissions & leaks13.9
Non-component advisories7
Body & structure5.7

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

How does the Volkswagen Caddy perform as it gets older?

At age 7 stands out at 25.1%, against 18.2% for all cars of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Volkswagen Caddy perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–46%.

Takeaway: a 10-year-old Caddy has roughly a 31% chance of failing its MOT; from about age 3 it stays above the national age curve.

Data table
AgeVolkswagen CaddyAll carsGap
315.5%10.9%+4.6 pp
418.1%11.6%+6.5 pp
519.3%13.5%+5.8 pp
619.1%15.6%+3.5 pp
725.1%18.2%+6.9 pp
826.9%21.3%+5.6 pp
928.2%24.4%+3.9 pp
1030.7%27.7%+3.0 pp
1131.7%30.6%+1.2 pp
1232.4%33.4%-1.0 pp
1333.4%36.0%-2.6 pp
1439.3%38.6%+0.6 pp
1538.5%39.9%-1.3 pp
1636.6%41.5%-4.8 pp
1738.0%41.5%-3.6 pp
1840.2%42.4%-2.2 pp
1937.9%42.2%-4.3 pp
2039.6%37.5%+2.1 pp

Is a Volkswagen Caddy ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Volkswagen Caddy MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 41.2%.

Based on 231,137 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 463
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 34,868
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 34,413
8 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 20,141
9 years26.2%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 18,195
10–14 years0.4%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 84,928
15–17 years0.4%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 25,438
18 years1.1%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 4,626
19 years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 3,430
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 4,635

Volkswagen Caddy petrol vs diesel: which ages best

Diesel is highest at 29.4%; Petrol is lowest at 18.3% — the gap is 11.1 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Volkswagen Caddy petrol vs diesel: which ages best — 2024 UK MOT data
Fuel split table
FuelTests% failingGap vs best
Diesel226,12229.4%+11.1 pp
Petrol5,01118.3%+0.0 pp

Chart sample sizes: n=226k · n=5,011.

How dangerous are Volkswagen Caddy MOT failures?

Minor defects stand out at 43.4 per 100 tests, against 24.4 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Volkswagen Caddy MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor43.4324.381.78×
Major72.7863.261.15×
Dangerous14.6312.891.13×

Chart values: Minor 43.4 · Major 72.8 · Dangerous 14.6.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 24.4 · Major 63.3 · Dangerous 12.9 per 100.

Does the month of a Volkswagen Caddy MOT matter?

Oct is highest at 30.2%; Aug is lowest at 28.2% — the gap is 1.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Volkswagen Caddy MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 23%–32%.

bars: Volkswagen Caddy · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthVolkswagen CaddyAll carsGap
Jan29.39%27.37%+2.0 pp
Feb29.14%26.14%+3.0 pp
Mar28.67%24.75%+3.9 pp
Apr30.09%26.01%+4.1 pp
May28.35%25.01%+3.3 pp
Jun29.21%25.01%+4.2 pp
Jul29.25%26.04%+3.2 pp
Aug28.24%25.79%+2.4 pp
Sep28.81%25.19%+3.6 pp
Oct30.17%27.13%+3.0 pp
Nov29.51%27.2%+2.3 pp
Dec28.57%26.29%+2.3 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 1.9 percentage points — booking month barely matters for this family. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 19.5% of these cars were first registered in March with another17% in September — 37% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. Peaks here mark when cars are tested, not when they are worse.

Volkswagen Caddy average mileage by age

At age 8, the middle half of Caddys runs from 62,442 miles to 114,960 miles, against 86,284 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Volkswagen Caddy · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–206k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Volkswagen Caddy MOT failures?

Same age band (6–14 years), split by odometer — this separates wear from age: 15.1% of the lowest-mileage cars failed versus 35.9% of the highest.

Does high mileage mean more Volkswagen Caddy MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Odometer% failingTestsGap vs lowest-mileage band
<40k miles15.1%23,890+0.0 pp
40-70k miles22.6%39,836+7.5 pp
70-100k miles28.1%45,728+13.0 pp
100-140k miles32.7%56,603+17.6 pp
140k+ miles35.9%64,878+20.8 pp

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
322,00936,08154,1157,144
427,58345,24468,66611,606
536,22955,93482,13916,118
644,98367,80197,29116,598
752,08572,805101,84617,815
862,44286,284114,96020,141
968,26192,598122,71618,195
1082,600109,347138,92018,343
1188,854116,489148,31618,989
12103,316131,626163,53615,031
13103,196131,499163,88519,363
14114,336145,123178,31613,229
15117,150146,089178,9469,932
16129,367158,104190,2528,489
17126,682159,024188,4347,017
18134,343165,946192,9854,626
19130,994166,273195,8383,430
20+106,200143,687183,0404,638

A typical 8-year-old Caddy has ~86,284 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Volkswagen Caddy fails its MOT most

Plymouth area is highest at 39.4%; Wakefield area is lowest at 21.6% — the gap is 17.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Where in Britain the Volkswagen Caddy fails its MOT most — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Plymouth (PL)39.38%+10.2 pp
Truro (TR)38.28%+9.1 pp
Exeter (EX)38.16%+9.0 pp
Brighton (BN)37.08%+7.9 pp
Cardiff (CF)36.47%+7.3 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Wakefield (WF)21.63%-7.5 pp
Sheffield (S)23.2%-5.9 pp
Milton Keynes (MK)23.24%-5.9 pp
Glasgow (G)24.73%-4.4 pp
Preston (PR)24.96%-4.2 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 4.5 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.36, n=97 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 5.5 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.35, n=97 areas with ≥800 tests).

In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 4.2 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.34, n=97 areas with ≥800 tests).

Volkswagen Caddy Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
MOT centre density26.1%30.6%+4.5 ppr=0.36
Urban share30.8%25.2%-5.6 ppr=-0.35
Distance to coast31.3%27.1%-4.2 ppr=-0.34

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.3569726.130.6+4.55.38.6
Urban share (0–1)-0.3509730.825.2-5.50.41
Distance to coast (km)-0.3439731.327.1-4.25.680.6
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.2886028.231.0+2.80.53.4
Income deprivation (score)-0.1868129.026.8-2.20.10.2
Frost days (days/year)0.0179730.129.8-0.411.739.2
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)0.0029729.630.0+0.3225.6693.4

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 21%–37% failing.

Volkswagen Caddy survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 stands out at 23.2%, against 100% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Volkswagen Caddy survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
37,14448.4%15.47%
411,60678.6%18.09%
516,118100%19.27%
616,598100%19.12%
717,815100%25.12%
820,141100%26.91%
918,195100%28.24%
1018,343100%30.74%
1118,989100%31.74%
1215,031100%32.35%
1319,363100%33.41%
1413,22989.5%39.25%
159,93267.2%38.54%
168,48957.5%36.61%
177,01747.5%37.95%
184,62631.3%40.23%
193,43023.2%37.93%

By age 19, only about 23% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈14,774); survivors still fail at 37.9% vs 18.1% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.

How many miles does a Volkswagen Caddy last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 52.6%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 6.6% — the gap is 46.0 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles121,48152.6%
150,000+ miles53,38223.12%
200,000+ miles15,3216.63%

Of 230,935 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 52.6% had reached 100k miles, 23.1% had reached 150k miles, 6.6% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Volkswagen Caddy likely to last?

Bought at age 5 is highest at 11.7 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 2.9 years — the gap is 8.8 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
555,93411.7
886,2848.7
10109,3476.7
12131,6264.7
15146,0892.9

estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family (~109,347 miles median) has about 6.7 expected years of further MOT-present life on the 2024 survival curve. Derived from how many cars of each age still appear for test, not from a longitudinal panel.

Volkswagen Caddy faults that come together

Brakes + Steering stand out at 6.35×, against if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
BrakesSteering5286.35×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems7346.14×
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks1,2535.58×
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1,4295.46×
SteeringSuspension797
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks2,3594.78×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension5714.7×
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres1,2024.59×

Defects in «Brakes» and «Steering» appear together 6.35× more often than chance (528 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. Thresholds: lift ≥ 1.3, co-occurrences ≥ 300.

Is low mileage better for a Volkswagen Caddy?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year stands out at 18.2%, against 27.0% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year18.21%12,803
8–12k miles/year26.95%61,815
Gap (low − normal)-8.73 pp
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
513.161,87019.843,761-6.68 pp
613.911,43819.323,805-5.41 pp
715.341,44125.655,388-10.31 pp
818.461,39227.246,645-8.78 pp
917.521,34128.916,386-11.38 pp
1023.971,11429.756,893-5.79 pp
1121.181,00131.937,361-10.75 pp
1224.1268432.56,065-8.38 pp
1323.5895035.038,486-11.46 pp
1429.8466739.715,925-9.88 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 18.2% vs 26.9% for 8–12k miles/year — 8.7 pp lower (n_low=12,803, n_normal=61,815). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 18.7% low-use vs 27.4% normal (-8.7 pp).

Best year for a Volkswagen Caddy, and the years to avoid

Build year 2016 is highest at 110.5; Build year 2018 is lowest at 88 — the gap is 22.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Volkswagen Caddy build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Volkswagen Caddy by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
202092.389.1–95.418.3%18,233better
201994.292–96.419.37%37,392better
20188886.2–89.818.8%49,430better
2017104.7103.1–106.323.33%67,560worse
2016110.5109–111.926.14%86,493worse
2015100.298.8–101.525.71%80,089no different
201497.996.6–99.227.11%79,487better
20139795.8–98.228.86%83,046better
201296.895.5–98.131.04%66,402better
201198.197–99.333.33%82,762better
2010107105.7–108.438.63%61,679worse
2009103.5102–10539.14%46,412worse
200899.898.2–101.439%39,157no different
2007102.8101.1–104.541.32%34,100worse
2006105.9103.8–10843.52%22,928worse
2005105.8103.4–108.344.12%16,102worse
2004109.8106.7–11346.04%10,297worse

The best build year here is 2018 and the weakest is 2016. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 15 of 17 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Volkswagen Caddy MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £129.85 to £246.71, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£130–247
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Suspension31.0 (nat. 19.9)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£55.80
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment28.7 (nat. 23.52)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£40.18
Brakes15.5 (nat. 14.34)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£23.25
Tyres11.8 (nat. 10.27)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£10.62

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £130 to £247, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Volkswagen Caddy running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 10 stand out at 31%, against 19% at age 5 in the same 100-vehicle fleet.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
19
vehicles needing work
At age 10
31
same fleet, five years on
Repairs per 100
£12,985
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 42.23% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
315.47%36,0817,144-3.8 pp
418.09%45,24411,606-1.2 pp
519.27%55,93416,118+0.0 pp
619.12%67,80116,598-0.1 pp
725.12%72,80517,815+5.9 pp
826.91%86,28420,141+7.6 pp
928.24%92,59818,195+9.0 pp
1030.74%109,34718,343+11.5 pp
1131.74%116,48918,989+12.5 pp
1232.35%131,62615,031+13.1 pp
1333.41%131,49919,363+14.1 pp
1439.25%145,12313,229+20.0 pp
1538.54%146,0899,932+19.3 pp
1636.61%158,1048,489+17.3 pp
1737.95%159,0247,017+18.7 pp
1840.23%165,9464,626+21.0 pp
1937.93%166,2733,430+18.7 pp

The number a fleet manager needs is not the failure rate, it is the year the car starts costing more. Between age 6 and 7 the failure rate of this model jumps by 6 percentage points — the steepest single step in its life, and the natural planning point for replacement.

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Volkswagen Caddy rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 0.77×, against for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.77×
0.75% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.97% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
highest
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 97 postcode areas

This Volkswagen Caddy fails on corrosion at about the average rate once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are saltier than most for the models we publish. Both point the same way and reinforce each other: it resists corrosion even though its owners live in saltier areas than most.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Volkswagen Caddy advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 28.6%; Identification of the vehicle is lowest at 3.6% — the gap is 25.0 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Volkswagen Caddy chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Volkswagen Caddy, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 28.6% · Suspension 23.9% · Body & chassis 21.2% · Visibility 19.6% · Brakes 11.3% · Tyres 9.7% · Steering 9.5% · Noise, emissions, leaks 6.7%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment28.6%12.1 months6,3425,168
Suspension23.9%12.1 months7,297107,342
Body, chassis, structure21.2%12.1 months5,90613,855
Visibility19.6%12.1 months8,272628
Brakes11.3%12.1 months7,057136,152
Tyres9.7%12.1 months7,916162,079
Steering9.5%12.2 months6,3943,387
Noise, emissions and leaks6.7%12.1 months7,30832,634
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems4.2%12.1 months6,1074,149
Identification of the vehicle3.6%12.1 months7,90612,027

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 29 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 6,342 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Volkswagen Caddy?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 28.8%; Tyres after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 5% — the gap is 23.8 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedVisibility 6.2% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 5.2% · Tyres 5.0%26,175
<3advisoryVisibility 8.6% · Tyres 7.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 7.5%10,003
<3failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.4% · Visibility 10.4% · Tyres 7.8%8,215
3-5passedVisibility 7.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.7% · Tyres 5.2%85,772
3-5advisoryVisibility 10.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.3% · Tyres 7.5%44,929
3-5failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.9% · Visibility 11.7% · Tyres 9.0%39,078
6-8passedVisibility 8.9% · Suspension 8.5% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.4%75,000
6-8advisoryVisibility 12.9% · Suspension 12.5% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.7%53,224
6-8failureSuspension 15.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.2% · Visibility 15.1%49,316
9-11passedSuspension 15.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.6% · Visibility 10.0%48,369
9-11advisorySuspension 21.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.6% · Visibility 14.6%45,076
9-11failureSuspension 24.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.4% · Visibility 17.5%50,702
12-14passedSuspension 18.2% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.8% · Body, chassis, structure 12.7%22,640
12-14advisorySuspension 25.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.8% · Visibility 17.1%26,472
12-14failureSuspension 28.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.8% · Visibility 19.9%34,389
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.5% · Body, chassis, structure 15.5% · Suspension 15.3%8,420
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.5% · Body, chassis, structure 22.2% · Suspension 22.2%11,402
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 28.8% · Suspension 26.6% · Body, chassis, structure 24.5%15,996
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 26.6% · Suspension 24.0% · Body, chassis, structure 23.5%2,136

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Volkswagen Caddy ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 54.8%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 3% — the gap is 51.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
42.23%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.353
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
33.67%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.142%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 185,167 failures followed through to their re-test, 42.23% were repaired and passed the same day and 54.77% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 503,359 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.353 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 7,209 miles a year across 158,888 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 33.67% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 32.52% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.142% of 159,023 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 33,070 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Volkswagen Caddy inspection results in other countries

Norway PKK stands out at 37.9%, against 33.5% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)29.15%26.01%+3.1 pp231,167
NorwayPKK37.9%33.5%+4.4 pp634

The verdict is consistent across every regime we can measure, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Volkswagen Caddy is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: Statens vegvesen — Periodisk kjøretøykontroll (PKK) 2024, CC BY 4.0.

Volkswagen Caddy MOT: quick answers

Volkswagen Caddy MOT Risk Index stands out at 108, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Volkswagen Caddy first-time MOT pass rate?
70.85% of first attempts passed in 2024 (231,167 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 29.15% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 231,167 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 108 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Volkswagen Caddy with other cars

Vauxhall Astra is highest at 109.1; Ford Focus is lowest at 106.9 — the gap is 2.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Volkswagen MOT statisticsVolkswagen Transporter MOT statsVolkswagen Polo MOT stats

Similar risk

Kia Sportage (index 107.8)Ford Focus (index 106.9)Vauxhall Astra (index 109.1)

Same size class

how Citroen C1 compareshow Audi Q3 compareshow Land Rover Defender compares


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v1, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:volkswagen-caddy:dvsa-2024-v1. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Volkswagen Caddy MOT statistics 2024 (dvsa-2024-v1). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/volkswagen-caddy/ · Published 2026-07-30.