MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Citroen Berlingo — MOT statistics 2024

The Citroen Berlingo failed 39.91% of 270,806 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 157.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This van fails its MOT about 58% more often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 157.7, 95% CI 156.9–158.4 (100 = national average) 100 157.7 60
Index
157.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
39.91%
n = 270,806
Dangerous /100
16
national ≈13
Diesel − petrol
+2.3 pp
fail-rate gap
Rank
56 of 56
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Vauxhall Vivaro (index 156.4) — the two published results are 1.3 index points apart.

Citroen Berlingo common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment stand out at 50 per 100 tests, against 23.5 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Citroen Berlingo common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg.

Component-group comparison table
GroupThis familyNationalFamily / national
Lamps & electrical50.023.52.13×
Visibility21.512.01.79×
Suspension20.319.91.02×
Body & structure17.38.42.07×
Brakes16.614.31.16×
Tyres11.410.31.11×
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average, 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources12.684.432.86×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning7.282.562.84×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc6.421.843.49×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view8.544.272.00×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of…Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning5.541.553.56×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely deteriorated6.272.702.33×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely d
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements5.843.821.53×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen4.072.181.87×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Spring or spring component fractured or seriously…A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened4.362.721.61×Ask the seller about: A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn7.266.031.20×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn suspension joints are common

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Citroen Berlingo MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 59.9 per 100 tests; Lamps & electrical are lowest at 8.4 per 100 tests — the gap is 51.5 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Citroen Berlingo MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres59.9
Brakes53.2
Suspension33
Emissions & leaks13.4
Non-component advisories8.7
Lamps & electrical8.4

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

How does the Citroen Berlingo perform as it gets older?

At age 6 stands out at 36.1%, against 15.6% for all cars of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Citroen Berlingo perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–54%.

Takeaway: a 10-year-old Berlingo has roughly a 45% chance of failing its MOT; from about age 3 it stays above the national age curve.

Data table
AgeCitroen BerlingoAll carsGap
327.8%10.9%+16.9 pp
427.4%11.6%+15.9 pp
526.6%13.5%+13.1 pp
636.1%15.6%+20.5 pp
738.2%18.2%+20.0 pp
838.9%21.3%+17.6 pp
942.6%24.4%+18.2 pp
1044.6%27.7%+16.9 pp
1144.8%30.6%+14.3 pp
1247.5%33.4%+14.1 pp
1347.2%36.0%+11.2 pp
1447.1%38.6%+8.5 pp
1549.1%39.9%+9.3 pp
1649.5%41.5%+8.1 pp
1747.8%41.5%+6.3 pp
1848.3%42.4%+5.8 pp
1950.3%42.2%+8.1 pp
2048.2%37.5%+10.7 pp

Is a Citroen Berlingo ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Citroen Berlingo MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 51.1%.

Based on 270,566 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 549
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 65,367
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 38,387
8 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 20,003
9 years36.6%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 20,880
10–14 years1.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 72,345
15–17 years16.1%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 26,341
18 years17.1%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 7,106
19 years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5,353
20+ years0.1%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 14,235

How dangerous are Citroen Berlingo MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 96.5 per 100 tests, against 63.3 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Citroen Berlingo MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor38.1624.381.57×
Major96.4763.261.52×
Dangerous15.8312.891.23×

Chart values: Minor 38.2 · Major 96.5 · Dangerous 15.8.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 24.4 · Major 63.3 · Dangerous 12.9 per 100.

Does the month of a Citroen Berlingo MOT matter?

Jul is highest at 41.8%; Mar is lowest at 38.5% — the gap is 3.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Citroen Berlingo MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 23%–43%.

bars: Citroen Berlingo · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthCitroen BerlingoAll carsGap
Jan40.89%27.37%+13.5 pp
Feb39.77%26.14%+13.6 pp
Mar38.54%24.75%+13.8 pp
Apr40.79%26.01%+14.8 pp
May39.31%25.01%+14.3 pp
Jun40.87%25.01%+15.9 pp
Jul41.81%26.04%+15.8 pp
Aug40.19%25.79%+14.4 pp
Sep39.3%25.19%+14.1 pp
Oct39.17%27.13%+12.0 pp
Nov39.95%27.2%+12.8 pp
Dec38.6%26.29%+12.3 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.3 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 19.5% of these cars were first registered in March with another17% in September — 37% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. Peaks here mark when cars are tested, not when they are worse.

Citroen Berlingo average mileage by age

At age 8, the middle half of Berlingos runs from 56,302 miles to 112,792 miles, against 82,646 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Citroen Berlingo · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–164k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Citroen Berlingo MOT failures?

Same age band (6–14 years), split by odometer — this separates wear from age: 21.8% of the lowest-mileage cars failed versus 50.4% of the highest.

Does high mileage mean more Citroen Berlingo MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Odometer% failingTestsGap vs lowest-mileage band
<40k miles21.8%41,674+0.0 pp
40-70k miles34.9%61,875+13.1 pp
70-100k miles42%61,286+20.2 pp
100-140k miles47.5%62,045+25.7 pp
140k+ miles50.4%43,568+28.6 pp

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
325,60339,17355,53219,504
432,17048,85068,13523,169
534,78953,73878,69022,703
643,39567,14392,99819,201
751,78576,738104,52319,186
856,30282,646112,79220,003
963,94591,321122,76820,883
1070,00199,125131,40719,814
1175,526105,997139,59617,517
1278,971108,965143,22213,743
1385,824117,055150,30010,996
1491,145122,257156,19410,385
1589,894117,960148,13411,147
1690,001116,610146,7897,901
1787,507113,502143,0617,378
1890,892118,029143,8937,113
1989,305116,763145,5135,365
20+89,895117,511147,12014,249

A typical 8-year-old Berlingo has ~82,646 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Citroen Berlingo fails its MOT most

Bath area is highest at 47.7%; Southend-on-Sea area is lowest at 28.2% — the gap is 19.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Where in Britain the Citroen Berlingo fails its MOT most — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Bath (BA)47.69%+7.8 pp
Exeter (EX)47.27%+7.4 pp
Torquay (TQ)46.76%+6.9 pp
Portsmouth (PO)46.59%+6.7 pp
Brighton (BN)46.51%+6.6 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Southend-on-Sea (SS)28.16%-11.7 pp
Twickenham (TW)28.71%-11.2 pp
Dartford (DA)33.98%-5.9 pp
Hemel Hempstead (HP)34.05%-5.9 pp
Sheffield (S)34.1%-5.8 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 8.4 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.51, n=105 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 6.0 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.32, n=105 areas with ≥800 tests).

In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 3.9 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.25, n=105 areas with ≥800 tests).

Citroen Berlingo Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
MOT centre density34.6%43.0%+8.4 ppr=0.51
Urban share41.4%35.4%-6.0 ppr=-0.32
Distance to coast42.7%38.8%-3.9 ppr=-0.25

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.50810534.643.0+8.45.28.7
Urban share (0–1)-0.32310541.435.4-6.00.41
Distance to coast (km)-0.25010542.738.8-3.9679.7
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)0.24310537.942.2+4.3226680
Frost days (days/year)0.23310539.641.8+2.211.938.4
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.1876239.441.9+2.50.53.5
Income deprivation (score)-0.0148839.039.7+0.60.10.2

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 32%–47% failing.

Citroen Berlingo survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 stands out at 24.7%, against 100% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Citroen Berlingo survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
319,50489.9%27.8%
423,169100%27.41%
522,703100%26.58%
619,20188.5%36.08%
719,18688.5%38.2%
820,00392.2%38.87%
920,88396.3%42.63%
1019,81491.3%44.64%
1117,51780.8%44.84%
1213,74363.4%47.52%
1310,99650.7%47.2%
1410,38547.9%47.08%
1511,14751.4%49.14%
167,90136.4%49.54%
177,37834%47.84%
187,11332.8%48.26%
195,36524.7%50.29%

By age 19, only about 25% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈21,691); survivors still fail at 50.3% vs 27.4% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.

How many miles does a Citroen Berlingo last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 39.1%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 2.5% — the gap is 36.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles105,61339.05%
150,000+ miles33,09712.24%
200,000+ miles6,7982.51%

Of 270,448 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 39.0% had reached 100k miles, 12.2% had reached 150k miles, 2.5% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Citroen Berlingo likely to last?

Bought at age 5 is highest at 9.3 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 3 years — the gap is 6.3 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
553,7389.3
882,6467.1
1099,1255.1
12108,9654.9
15117,9603

estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family (~99,125 miles median) has about 5.1 expected years of further MOT-present life on the 2024 survival curve. Derived from how many cars of each age still appear for test, not from a longitudinal panel.

Citroen Berlingo faults that come together

Emissions & leaks + Seatbelts & SRS stand out at 5.38×, against if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems6105.38×
SteeringSuspension2,6315.19×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering5635.16×
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems1,3084.68×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension1,7234.48×
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering6694.48×
BrakesSteering1,6194.4×
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1,6654.35×

Defects in «Noise, emissions and leaks» and «Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems» appear together 5.38× more often than chance (610 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. Thresholds: lift ≥ 1.3, co-occurrences ≥ 300.

Is low mileage better for a Citroen Berlingo?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year stands out at 25.3%, against 42.4% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year25.3%21,287
8–12k miles/year42.39%54,970
Gap (low − normal)-17.09 pp
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
515.682,53828.315,398-12.63 pp
621.022,10337.914,729-16.9 pp
725.591,98539.525,137-13.93 pp
820.092,31041.486,087-21.4 pp
923.642,20445.456,715-21.81 pp
1028.922,28648.516,589-19.59 pp
1132.111,98747.386,068-15.27 pp
1235.371,68850.64,976-15.24 pp
1334.221,28350.514,197-16.3 pp
1434.211,25749.564,118-15.35 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 25.3% vs 42.4% for 8–12k miles/year — 17.1 pp lower (n_low=21,287, n_normal=54,970). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 26.0% low-use vs 43.0% normal (-17.0 pp).

Which Citroen Berlingo engine is best?

diesel 1.8–2.0 is highest at 102.1; diesel 1.2–1.5 is lowest at 71.6 — the gap is 30.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
diesel1.2–1.5 litre71.619.82%7,307
petrol1.5–1.8 litre9344.16%6,617
diesel1.5–1.8 litre101.239.84%227,413
diesel1.8–2.0 litre102.149.61%20,461

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel 1.8–2.0 runs at 102.1 against this model's own age norm while the diesel 1.2–1.5 runs at 71.6 — a spread of 30.5 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 5,000 tests are not shown.

Best year for a Citroen Berlingo, and the years to avoid

Build year 2018 is highest at 108.8; Build year 2019 is lowest at 94.4 — the gap is 14.4 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Citroen Berlingo build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Citroen Berlingo by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
202099.697.7–101.627.68%36,185no different
201994.492.9–95.927.4%55,377better
2018108.8107.3–110.333.66%63,227worse
2017100.599.2–101.732.48%80,611no different
201699.498.3–100.534.07%97,131no different
2015101100–10237.34%102,284no different
2014101.2100.2–102.239.99%97,725worse
201310098.9–10141.86%85,722no different
2012101.2100.1–102.444.27%68,387worse
2011102100.8–103.246.08%57,645worse
2010101.3100–102.547.03%54,235worse
200999.598.4–100.747.19%60,457no different
200899.798.4–10147.99%46,843no different
200798.697.3–99.848.11%49,925better
200697.596.3–98.847.97%49,107better
2005100.198.7–101.549.7%38,503no different
2004100.499–101.950.07%37,054no different
2003101.599.9–103.150.65%30,795no different
2002100.998.9–102.950.24%18,624no different
200198.795.9–101.549.61%9,593no different

The best build year here is 2019 and the weakest is 2018. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 8 of 20 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Citroen Berlingo MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £141.70 to £269.23, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£142–269
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment50.0 (nat. 23.52)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£70.00
Suspension20.3 (nat. 19.9)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£36.54
Brakes16.6 (nat. 14.34)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£24.90
Tyres11.4 (nat. 10.27)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£10.26

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £142 to £269, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Citroen Berlingo running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 10 stand out at 45%, against 27% at age 5 in the same 100-vehicle fleet.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
27
vehicles needing work
At age 10
45
same fleet, five years on
Repairs per 100
£14,170
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 44.89% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
327.8%39,17319,504+1.2 pp
427.41%48,85023,169+0.8 pp
526.58%53,73822,703+0.0 pp
636.08%67,14319,201+9.5 pp
738.2%76,73819,186+11.6 pp
838.87%82,64620,003+12.3 pp
942.63%91,32120,883+16.1 pp
1044.64%99,12519,814+18.1 pp
1144.84%105,99717,517+18.3 pp
1247.52%108,96513,743+20.9 pp
1347.2%117,05510,996+20.6 pp
1447.08%122,25710,385+20.5 pp
1549.14%117,96011,147+22.6 pp
1649.54%116,6107,901+23.0 pp
1747.84%113,5027,378+21.3 pp
1848.26%118,0297,113+21.7 pp
1950.29%116,7635,365+23.7 pp

The number a fleet manager needs is not the failure rate, it is the year the car starts costing more. Between age 5 and 6 the failure rate of this model jumps by 9.5 percentage points — the steepest single step in its life, and the natural planning point for replacement.

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Citroen Berlingo rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 1.45×, against for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
1.45×
1.41% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.97% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
91st
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 105 postcode areas

This Citroen Berlingo fails on corrosion more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are saltier than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Citroen Berlingo advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 33.6%; Identification of the vehicle is lowest at 3.9% — the gap is 29.7 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Citroen Berlingo chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Citroen Berlingo, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 33.6% · Suspension 24.1% · Body & chassis 19.6% · Visibility 17.9% · Steering 16.3% · Brakes 13.9% · Tyres 9.8% · Seat belts & restraints 9.7%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment33.6%12 months7,07334,344
Suspension24.1%12.1 months6,12393,923
Body, chassis, structure19.6%12.1 months4,78825,681
Visibility17.8%12.1 months7,720650
Steering16.3%12.1 months5,14418,357
Brakes13.9%12.1 months6,171168,024
Tyres9.8%12.1 months6,840213,252
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems9.7%12.1 months6,1608,438
Noise, emissions and leaks7.0%12.1 months5,80867,109
Identification of the vehicle3.9%12.1 months6,42215,864

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 34 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 7,073 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Citroen Berlingo?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 12-14 are highest at 32.7%; Tyres after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 4.2% — the gap is 28.5 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.4% · Visibility 8.2% · Tyres 4.2%31,936
<3advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.4% · Visibility 11.8% · Brakes 6.4%11,003
<3failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.6% · Visibility 12.3% · Brakes 6.8%15,026
3-5passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.9% · Visibility 7.2% · Body, chassis, structure 5.1%100,776
3-5advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.0% · Visibility 10.1% · Body, chassis, structure 7.0%46,477
3-5failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.0% · Visibility 12.4% · Body, chassis, structure 8.6%69,310
6-8passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.2% · Suspension 7.9% · Visibility 7.8%73,186
6-8advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.4% · Visibility 10.9% · Suspension 10.8%44,717
6-8failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 29.8% · Suspension 14.3% · Visibility 13.7%79,415
9-11passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.4% · Suspension 11.4% · Body, chassis, structure 9.1%42,846
9-11advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.6% · Suspension 15.8% · Visibility 12.9%35,542
9-11failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 32.3% · Suspension 19.3% · Visibility 15.4%65,956
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.6% · Suspension 14.1% · Visibility 9.7%28,809
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 26.0% · Suspension 19.9% · Visibility 14.5%32,295
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 32.7% · Suspension 23.0% · Visibility 16.7%55,622
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 17.8% · Suspension 15.0% · Visibility 9.5%22,426
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.7% · Suspension 21.2% · Visibility 15.4%30,625
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 32.4% · Suspension 25.0% · Visibility 18.4%49,618
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.8% · Suspension 18.0% · Visibility 16.2%3,649
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 31.8% · Suspension 23.8% · Brakes 19.9%5,512

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Citroen Berlingo ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 52.1%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 3.0% — the gap is 49.1 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
44.89%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.507
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
32.22%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.532%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 299,204 failures followed through to their re-test, 44.89% were repaired and passed the same day and 52.09% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 924,913 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.507 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 6,401 miles a year across 219,744 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 32.22% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 31.23% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.532% of 220,147 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 28,046 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Citroen Berlingo inspection results in other countries

United Kingdom MOT stands out at 39.9%, against 26.0% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)39.91%26.01%+13.9 pp270,806
NorwayPKK42.8%33.5%+9.3 pp535

The verdict is consistent across every regime we can measure, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Citroen Berlingo is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: Statens vegvesen — Periodisk kjøretøykontroll (PKK) 2024, CC BY 4.0.

Citroen Berlingo MOT: quick answers

Citroen Berlingo MOT Risk Index stands out at 157.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Citroen Berlingo first-time MOT pass rate?
60.09% of first attempts passed in 2024 (270,806 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 39.91% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 270,806 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 157.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Citroen Berlingo with other cars

Citroen Berlingo is highest at 157.7; Renault Clio is lowest at 141.5 — the gap is 16.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Similar risk

Vauxhall Vivaro (index 156.4)DS 3 (index 150.2)Renault Clio (index 141.5)

Same size class

how Vauxhall Vivaro compareshow Volkswagen Passat compareshow Kia Picanto compares


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v1, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:citroen-berlingo:dvsa-2024-v1. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Citroen Berlingo MOT statistics 2024 (dvsa-2024-v1). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/citroen-berlingo/ · Published 2026-07-30.