MOT Risk Index.co.uk

BMW X2 — MOT statistics 2024

The BMW X2 failed 14.76% of 19,091 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 99.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car is too close to call — statistically indistinguishable from normal for its age.

MOT risk index 99.7, 95% CI 96.3–103.1 (100 = national average) 100 99.7 0 200
Index
99.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
14.76%
n = 19,091
Dangerous /100
6
national ≈11
Diesel − petrol
+1.8 pp
fail-rate gap
Rank
454 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Skoda Fabia (index 99.8) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

BMW X2 common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Tyres stand out at 9.3 per 100 tests, against 6.3 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

BMW X2 common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Tyres9.34,9246.31.48×1.44–1.52
Visibility6.73,5404.91.36×1.31–1.40
Lamps & electrical1.91,0262.80.69×0.66–0.74
Brakes1.57953.10.48×0.45–0.51
Emissions & leaks0.84230.71.23×1.11–1.35
Suspension0.42021.60.25×0.21–0.28
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 53,009 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged5.512.542.17×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen2.802.221.26×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Direction indicator lamp missing, inoperative or…A direction indicator lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning0.960.601.60×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Wiper blade defectiveWiper blade defective1.491.261.18×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Tyre cords visible or damagedA tyre cords visible or damaged1.841.631.13×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Engine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunctionEngine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunction0.761.190.64×Ask the seller about: Engine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunction
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen0.751.620.46×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.372.360.58×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm0.632.150.29×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements1.453.590.40×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

BMW X2 MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 33.6 per 100 tests; Road Wheels are lowest at 0.2 per 100 tests — the gap is 33.4 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

BMW X2 MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres33.6
Brakes10.8
Non-component advisories6.3
Suspension1.3
Identification0.3
Road Wheels0.2

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

Tyres, brakes and suspension: BMW X2 against cars of the same age

AgePartBMW X2Same age, petrol and dieselDifference
3 yearsTyres7.214.173.04
3 yearsBrakes0.831.77-0.94
3 yearsSuspension0.170.63-0.46
4 yearsTyres6.354.541.81
4 yearsBrakes1.022.43-1.41
4 yearsSuspension0.231.21-0.98
5 yearsTyres6.935.061.87
5 yearsBrakes1.393.09-1.70
5 yearsSuspension0.492.19-1.70
6 yearsTyres7.95.542.36
6 yearsBrakes1.743.81-2.07
6 yearsSuspension0.763.72-2.96

Failing items per 100 initial tests, 2019-2024. The comparison group is every petrol or diesel car tested at the same age, so weight and drivetrain show up rather than fleet age.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed17.4%1,416
It passed14.6%28,626

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 2.8 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is visibility — 18.9% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 53,002 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only103.5fails more often than expected
Age and annual mileage106.1fails more often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year5.1%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (+2.6 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the BMW X2 compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeBMW X2Same class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years14.84%11.68%+3.16 pp19,473
4 years15.48%13.28%+2.2 pp15,759
5 years15.11%15.06%+0.05 pp11,932
6 years16.96%17.34%-0.37 pp4,887

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the BMW X2 perform as it gets older?

The X2 at age 3 stands out at 13.7%, against 12.4% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the BMW X2 perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–22%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeBMW X2All vehiclesGap
313.7%12.4%+1.3 pp
413.7%13.1%+0.6 pp
514.4%15.1%-0.7 pp
617.0%17.5%-0.5 pp

Is a BMW X2 ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 BMW X2 MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 100.0%.

Based on 19,091 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 139
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 14,065
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 4,887
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0

How dangerous are BMW X2 MOT failures?

Major defects are well below the reference at 12.0 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are BMW X2 MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor3.3514.220.24×
Major12.0152.750.23×
Dangerous6.1111.150.55×

Chart values: Minor 3.4 · Major 12.0 · Dangerous 6.1.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a BMW X2 MOT matter?

Apr is highest at 17.1%; Nov is lowest at 13.2% — the gap is 3.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a BMW X2 MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 12%–33%.

bars: BMW X2 · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthBMW X2All vehiclesGap
Jan14.92%31.12%-16.2 pp
Feb14.89%29.99%-15.1 pp
Mar15.05%28.26%-13.2 pp
Apr17.13%29.78%-12.7 pp
May16.88%28.79%-11.9 pp
Jun16.07%28.15%-12.1 pp
Jul15.61%29.33%-13.7 pp
Aug14.98%29.2%-14.2 pp
Sep15.02%28.19%-13.2 pp
Oct14.88%30.34%-15.5 pp
Nov13.21%30.58%-17.4 pp
Dec14%29.33%-15.3 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.9 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

BMW X2 average mileage by age

At age 5, the middle half of X2s runs from 27,356 miles to 49,999 miles, against 37,329 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: BMW X2 · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–59k mi.

Does high mileage mean more BMW X2 MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 3–5, 13% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 15.6% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more BMW X2 MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
BMW X2: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
3–5<40k miles13%12.4–13.7%9,666
3–540-70k miles15.6%14.4–16.8%3,698
3–570-100k miles19.9%16.9–23.3%602
3–5100-140k miles15.6%9.5–24.4%90 (rough estimate)
6–9<40k miles14.1%12.6–15.7%2,001
6–940-70k miles18.6%17.1–20.2%2,406
6–970-100k miles19.6%16–23.7%404 (rough estimate)
6–9100-140k miles27.5%18.4–39%69 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
317,25624,57733,0993,490
420,59428,88239,6193,595
527,35637,32949,9996,980
633,33443,60956,1624,885

A typical 5-year-old X2 has ~37,329 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the BMW X2 fails its MOT most

Wolverhampton area is highest at 22.1%; Dumfries area is lowest at 5.9% — the gap is 16.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BMW X2 line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Wolverhampton (WV)22.1%+6.9 pp
London SW (SW)21.8%+6.6 pp
Watford (WD)20.94%+5.7 pp
Brighton (BN)20.81%+5.6 pp
Chelmsford (CM)19.93%+4.7 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Dumfries (DG)5.88%-9.3 pp
Twickenham (TW)8.71%-6.5 pp
Enfield (EN)9.11%-6.1 pp
Harrogate (HG)9.44%-5.8 pp
Newcastle (NE)9.63%-5.6 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest frost days this model fails 2.8 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.37, n=11 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest road-salt proxy this model fails 2.6 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.35, n=11 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 2.5 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.32, n=11 areas with ≥800 tests).

BMW X2 Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
Frost days14.4%17.3%+2.9 ppr=0.37
Road-salt proxy14.7%17.3%+2.6 ppr=0.35
Urban share14.7%17.1%+2.4 ppr=0.32

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
Frost days (days/year)0.3741114.417.3+2.816.536
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)0.3531114.717.3+2.6310650
Urban share (0–1)0.3151114.717.1+2.50.60.9
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)-0.1921116.111.9-4.25.67.4
Distance to coast (km)-0.0381113.614.1+0.513.191.7

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 10%–20% failing.

BMW X2 survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 6 is well below the reference at 45.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BMW X2 survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
319,473100%14.84%
415,759100%15.48%
511,932100%15.11%
64,88745%16.96%

By age 6, only about 45% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈10,859); survivors still fail at 17.0% vs 15.5% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.

How many years is a BMW X2 likely to last?

Bought at age 5 stands out at 1.0 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 1

estimateObserved only until age 6. The curve does not run five years past the stated age with the share still tested under 50%, so no 'years left' number is given.

BMW X2 faults that come together

Brakes + Emissions & leaks stand out at 6.11×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks286.11× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks405.86× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres223.85× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres1473.7× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment323.42× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres283.42× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility1073.4× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility223.39× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility1513.22× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility662.87× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1662.8× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres722.48× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility4432.22× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility202.18× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres221.9× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility16too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension15too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres15too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility14too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension9too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres9too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems7too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels7too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension7too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility7too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment6too few (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension6too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Brakes» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 6.11× more often than chance (28 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a BMW X2?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 13.4%, against 16.0% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year13.4%3,270
8–12k miles/year16.02%5,027
Gap (low − normal)-2.63 pp—
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
514.6382015.241,982-0.6 pp
613.4648318.731,212-5.27 pp

Petrol

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
513.281,58914.641,530-1.36 pp
611.1137819.8303-8.69 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 13.4% vs 16.0% for 8–12k miles/year — 2.6 pp lower (n_low=3,270, n_normal=5,027). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.

Which BMW X2 engine is best?

diesel 1.8–2.0 is highest at 105.6; petrol 1.8–2.0 is lowest at 93.3 — the gap is 12.3 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.8–2.0 litre93.314.13%20,319
petrol1.2–1.5 litre99.714.96%6,619
diesel1.8–2.0 litre105.616.17%24,533

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel 1.8–2.0 runs at 105.6 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.8–2.0 runs at 93.3 — a spread of 12.3 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Best year for a BMW X2, and the years to avoid

Build year 2019 is highest at 105.5; Build year 2020 is lowest at 93.7 — the gap is 11.8 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
202093.787.9–99.513.76%7,297better
2019105.5101.9–109.115.47%21,325worse
2018104.8101.2–108.515.95%19,931worse

The best build year here is 2020 and the weakest is 2019. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 3 of 3 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

BMW X2 MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £15.60 to £29.64, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£16–30
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Tyres9.3 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£8.37
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1.9 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£2.66
Brakes1.5 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£2.25
Noise, emissions and leaks0.8 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£1.60
Suspension0.4 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£0.72

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £16 to £30, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

BMW X2 running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 6 stand out at 17.0%, against 14.0% at age 5, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
14
vehicles needing work
At age 6
17
other cars of this model tested at age 6 in 2024
Repairs per 100
£1,560
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 42.2% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
313.67%24,5773,490-0.7 pp
413.69%28,8823,595-0.7 pp
514.4%37,3296,980+0.0 pp
616.97%43,6094,885+2.6 pp

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

BMW X2 rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at <0.1×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
<0.1×
0.01% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
72nd
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 11 postcode areas

This BMW X2 virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are saltier than most for the models we publish. Both point the same way and reinforce each other: it resists corrosion even though its owners live in saltier areas than most.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a BMW X2 advisory become a failure?

Tyres are highest at 8.4%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 8.4 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

BMW X2 chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
BMW X2, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Tyres 8.4% · Brakes 2.6% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Tyres8.4%12 months7,8976,320
Brakes2.6%12 months7,5142,298
Non-component advisories0.0%——1,932

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 8 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 7,897 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a BMW X2?

Tyres after a failure at age 3-5 are highest at 8.4%; Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 1.2% — the gap is 7.2 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedVisibility 6.0% · Tyres 5.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.2%8,866
<3advisoryVisibility 8.0% · Tyres 6.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.5%2,624
<3failureTyres 8.2% · Visibility 8.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.8%2,075
3-5passedTyres 6.0% · Visibility 4.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.6%13,522
3-5advisoryTyres 7.9% · Visibility 5.5% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 2.5%4,196
3-5failureTyres 8.4% · Visibility 5.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 2.8%3,297

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

BMW X2 ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 56.4%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 1.4% — the gap is 54.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
42.2%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.203
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
44.96%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
0.284%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 6,042 failures followed through to their re-test, 42.2% were repaired and passed the same day and 56.37% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 9,098 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.203 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 7,073 miles a year across 15,460 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 44.96% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 2.77% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 0.284% of 15,469 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 9,106 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

BMW X2 safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 9.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

BMW X2 recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the BMW X2. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2018: 1 · 2019: 0 · 2020: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2023: 0 · 2024: 3 · 2025: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the BMW X2
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2025/39823/09/2025224Front Seat Belt Retractor
R/2024/41424/10/20248Hydraulic Brake System Unit Replacement
R/2024/38313/09/20242,437Integrated Braking System
R/2024/27708/07/20244Replacing the Backrest Frame of the Front Left Seat
R/2022/08930/03/20222,018THE MICRO GAS GENERATOR WITHIN THE FRONT SEATBELT'S RETRACTOR MAY HAVE BEEN DAMAGED
All 9 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2025/39823/09/202518/06/2025 – 28/07/2025224Front Seat Belt Retractor
R/2024/41424/10/202404/04/2024 – 22/06/20248Hydraulic Brake System Unit Replacement
R/2024/38313/09/202411/05/2023 – 27/06/20242,437Integrated Braking System
R/2024/27708/07/202423/04/2024 – 11/05/20244Replacing the Backrest Frame of the Front Left Seat
R/2022/08930/03/202218/02/2022 – 18/02/20222,018THE MICRO GAS GENERATOR WITHIN THE FRONT SEATBELT'S RETRACTOR MAY HAVE BEEN DAMAGED
R/2021/44229/12/202121/10/2021 – 21/10/202138THE MATERIAL QUALITY OF THE SCREWS USED FOR SEAT BELTS AND REAR SEATS MAY NOT BE TO SPECIF
R/2020/28314/12/202012/02/2020 – 30/09/20202,665REMAINING PARTICLES IN THE CELLS OF THE HIGH VOLTAGE BATTERY CAN CAUSE A SHORT CIRCUIT
R/2020/29822/10/202010/07/2020 – 18/07/2020871REMAINING PARTICLES IN THE CELLS OF THE HIGH VOLTAGE BATTERY CAN CAUSE A SHORT CIRCUIT
R/2018/21120/08/201816/05/2018 – 07/06/20184,025SOFTWARE FAULT WITH CRANKSHAFT SENSOR

DVSA lists 9 safety recall campaigns for the BMW X2, covering roughly 12,290 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

BMW X2 technical service bulletins: what dealers are told

US market, BMW X2, model years 2018–2022 only. A count of bulletins, not a UK failure rate.

NHTSA manufacturer communications are 121.

bigger number = more recorded dealer communicationsnot affected vehicles or confirmed faults

These are the issues the manufacturer fixes quietly: service communications sent to dealers without a public recall campaign. They show what the service network has been told even when the issue never became news.

United States · NHTSA manufacturer communications

US technical service bulletins by communication year; leading subjects cover the full file
Communication yearBulletinsLeading subjects across all years
201818
  • Electrical system (45)
  • Equipment (33)
  • Engine and cooling (18)
  • Engine (11)
  • Adaptive and mobility equipment (9)
  • Visibility (9)
  • Structure (8)
  • Exterior lighting (6)
201937
202026
20215
20229
20237
202410
20255
20264

Caveat worth stating plainly: this is NHTSA data about US-specification cars. British cars sold under the same name often use different gearboxes, engines and equipment, so a bulletin may describe a component that was never fitted here. The file counts dealer communications, not affected vehicles or confirmed failures, and it cannot tell you whether an individual UK car has the issue. A communication can carry more than one subject tag, so topic counts do not have to add up to the total. Source: NHTSA Manufacturer Communications API (US-market vehicles; queried model years 2015-2022). Licence: U.S. Government work / public domain · retrieved 2026-09-25.

BMW X2 owner complaints: what goes wrong

US market, BMW X2, model years 2018–2022 only. A count of owner complaints, not a UK failure rate; NHTSA has no UK denominator.

Lamps & electrical are highest at 11; Body & structure are lowest at 1 — the gap is 10.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Owner complaints (US) against actual MOT failures (UK) for the same component groups
ComponentComplaintsShareMOT fail items per 100MOT rankAgreement
Lamps & electrical1152.4%1.9#3complained about and fails often
Engine (not MOT-tested)419.0%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Brakes29.5%1.5#4complained about, fails occasionally
Restraints29.5%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Body & structure14.8%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Transmission (not MOT-tested)14.8%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure

Two different populations answering two different questions: the MOT records what an inspector can measure once a year, the complaint file records what annoyed or frightened an owner on the road. A component high in one column and absent from the other is the interesting case — driver-assistance and electronics dominate complaints while almost never appearing as an MOT failure item.

What the reports actually say
When starting my car and moving it into the reverse position or drive it starts to sometimes stalls. It doesn't happen all the time but does happen. It tells me the car is not in park. I brought it to a shop and they said it's the crankshaft sensor and there is a recall for cars like mine but not my specific vin. The car shop had it happen to them as well and they confirmed it. No warnings before it happened.
NHTSA complaint, filed 08/28/2026 · ENGINE
Rear brake light bulb housing assemblies melted plastic around metal bulbs contacts. Both tail light assemblies has failed three times each. This issue has occurred on multiple BMW X2s.
NHTSA complaint, filed 03/17/2025 · ELECTRICAL SYSTEM

US owners have filed 21 complaints about the equivalent BMW X2 to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, including 3 that mention a crash, 1 a fire and 2 an injury. These are owner reports, not verified findings — but they are the only large public record of what drivers themselves notice, and they cover the years between MOT tests.

Caveat worth stating plainly: US-specification cars, self-selected reporters, no denominator — complaint counts scale with how many cars were sold there and how motivated owners are to file. The mechanical gap matters as much as the statistical one: American cars of the same name often carry different gearboxes, engines and equipment — automatics where Britain buys manuals — so a drivetrain complaint filed in Ohio may describe a part that was never fitted here. Read the ranking inside a model, not between models, and treat drivetrain entries with particular caution. Source: NHTSA ODI consumer complaints (US market, public domain) — US-spec vehicles, indicative only.

BMW X2 inspection results in other countries

Netherlands APK is well below the reference at 22.6%, against 50.8% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)14.76%26.01%-11.3 pp19,091
NetherlandsAPK22.6%50.8%-28.2 pp1,960
NorwayPKK11.2%33.7%-22.5 pp767

The verdict is consistent across every regime where the difference is clear, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

The exact faults Netherlands records — APK defect codes, 2024
CodeFaultRecordedType
210Tyre pressure not at the correct value381failure
516Dipped headlight incorrectly aimed164failure
205Tyre with insufficient tread94failure
AC1Tyre down to 1.6–2.5 mm of tread68advisory
310Remslang schuurt langs enig deel55failure
203Tyre damaged42failure
391Wipers leave insufficient visibility38failure
AC5Mechanical brake parts showing wear27advisory

Worth dwelling on how mundane the top of that list is: tyre pressure, tread depth, headlight aim. The Dutch APK records 0.501 defects per inspection against a much higher national failure rate than Britain's, and the reason is not that Dutch cars are worse — it is that the two regimes draw the line between "note it" and "fail it" in different places. Codes are the RDW's own; the English wording here is our translation of the Dutch original.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the BMW X2 is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: RDW open data — Meldingen Keuringsinstantie + Geconstateerde Gebreken + Gekentekende voertuigen (2024), CC0. Not an RDW endorsement.; Statens vegvesen — Periodisk kjøretøykontroll (PKK) 2024, CC BY 4.0. Adapted; licences and full notice.

BMW X2 MOT: quick answers

BMW X2 MOT Risk Index is close to the reference at 99.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the BMW X2 first-time MOT pass rate?
85.24% of first attempts passed in 2024 (19,091 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 14.76% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 19,091 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 99.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the BMW X2 with other cars

Vauxhall Agila is highest at 100; BMW X2 is lowest at 99.7 — the gap is 0.3 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All BMW MOT statisticsBMW Z3 MOT statsBMW X3 MOT stats

Similar risk

Skoda Fabia (index 99.8)Mazda 2 (index 100.0)Vauxhall Agila (index 100.0)

Same size class

how Alfa Romeo MiTo compareshow Seat Mii compareshow Peugeot 508 compares

By build year

BMW X2 2018BMW X2 2019BMW X2 2020

By area

BMW X2 MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

BMW X2 body, chassis and structure failuresBMW X2 brakes failuresBMW X2 vehicle identification failuresBMW X2 lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresBMW X2 noise, emissions and leaks failuresBMW X2 road wheels failuresBMW X2 seat belts and airbags failuresBMW X2 suspension failuresBMW X2 tyres failuresBMW X2 visibility failures

Inspections abroad

BMW X2 in NorwayBMW X2 in the Netherlands


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:bmw-x2:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). BMW X2 MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/bmw-x2/ · Published 2026-07-30.