Morgan 4/4 — MOT statistics 2024
The Morgan 4/4 failed 13.16% of 1,930 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 34.3 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 66% less often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.
Age-adjusted peer: Lotus Exige (index 34.1) — the two published results are 0.2 index points apart.
Morgan 4/4 common problems: what actually fails the MOT
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are well below the reference at 8.7 per 100 tests, against 29.7 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.
Component-group comparison table
Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.
| Group | This family | Cases behind it | UK, same ages | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamps & electrical | 8.7 | 1,062 | 29.7 | 0.29×0.28–0.31 |
| Brakes | 8.7 | 1,061 | 19.8 | 0.44×0.41–0.47 |
| Visibility | 4.2 | 515 | 10.9 | 0.38×0.35–0.42 |
| Steering | 3.4 | 411 | 6.2 | 0.55×0.49–0.60 |
| Emissions & leaks | 2.4 | 292 | 7.5 | 0.32×0.28–0.36 |
| Suspension | 1.9 | 232 | 22.8 | 0.08×0.07–0.09 |
| What failed | per 100 tests (this family) | per 100 tests (UK average) | ratio family / UK | What to check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brakes imbalance across an axle such that the…Brakes imbalance across an axle such that the braking effort from any wheel is less than 70% of the maximum effort recorded from the other wheel on the same axle. | 2.17 | 0.59 | 3.67× | Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive |
| Significant brake effort recorded with no brake…Significant brake effort recorded with no brake applied indicating a binding brake | 2.05 | 1.03 | 1.99× | Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive |
| Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc | 1.36 | 0.60 | 2.27× | Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no |
| Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or deteriorated | 1.51 | 0.76 | 1.99× | Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or det |
| Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits | 1.15 | 0.47 | 2.47× | Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly |
| Obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or…An obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or rear fog lamp inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning | 1.10 | 0.43 | 2.58× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen | 1.38 | 1.62 | 0.85× | Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view |
| Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning | 1.14 | 2.09 | 0.55× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
| Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view | 0.97 | 2.36 | 0.41× | Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view |
| Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements | 1.08 | 2.57 | 0.42× | Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure |
Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.
Morgan 4/4 MOT advisories: what gets flagged
Suspension is highest at 10.0 per 100 tests; Steering is lowest at 2.5 per 100 tests — the gap is 7.5 per 100 tests.
higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests
Advisory rates table
| Group | Advisories per 100 |
|---|---|
| Suspension | 10 |
| Brakes | 8.7 |
| Tyres | 6.6 |
| Emissions & leaks | 4.3 |
| Body & structure | 2.9 |
| Steering | 2.5 |
Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.
If a car like this fails, does it fail again?
A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.
| After this year's test | Fails next year | Vehicles followed |
|---|---|---|
| It failed | 20.3% | 639 |
| It passed | 12.3% | 7,094 |
A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 8.0 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is brakes — 18.3% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.
Adjusted for how much these are actually driven
The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 11,784 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.
| Standardised for | Index | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Age only | 44.7 | fails less often than expected |
| Age and annual mileage | 58.9 | fails less often than vehicles driven as much |
| Share doing under 3,000 miles a year | 93.5% | a large low-use population — often second vehicles or cars kept for occasional use |
Split by how much each car is driven. This is a split by annual mileage, not by body type — the MOT record does not say whether a car is a conversion. Within each band the index compares with vehicles of the same age driven as much.
| Miles a year | Tests | Failed first time | Index within band |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 3,000 | 11,014 | 15.7% | 59.2 |
| 3,000–6,000 | 681 | 19.4% | 58.8 |
Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 14.2 points — this fleet is driven less than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view flatters it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.
How the Morgan 4/4 compares with cars of its own age and size
Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.
| Age | Morgan 4/4 | Same class, same age | Difference | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 years | 14.37% | 13.29% | +1.08 pp | 167 |
| 5 years | 13.37% | 15.06% | -1.69 pp | 187 |
| 6 years | 10.96% | 17.34% | -6.37 pp | 228 |
| 7 years | 11.56% | 20.15% | -8.59 pp | 225 |
| 8 years | 17.78% | 23.21% | -5.44 pp | 225 |
| 9 years | 11.32% | 26.74% | -15.42 pp | 212 |
| 10 years | 12% | 30.03% | -18.03 pp | 225 |
| 11 years | 10.84% | 33.45% | -22.61 pp | 249 |
| 12 years | 13.78% | 36.47% | -22.69 pp | 254 |
| 13 years | 13.38% | 38.89% | -25.51 pp | 284 |
| 14 years | 14.71% | 40.84% | -26.13 pp | 272 |
| 15 years | 15.38% | 42.31% | -26.93 pp | 273 |
| 16 years | 13.53% | 43.14% | -29.61 pp | 303 |
| 17 years | 13.47% | 43.52% | -30.06 pp | 349 |
| 18 years | 15.44% | 43.64% | -28.2 pp | 421 |
| 19 years | 15.24% | 43.22% | -27.98 pp | 479 |
| 20 years | 14.47% | 42.46% | -28 pp | 553 |
Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.
How does the Morgan 4/4 perform as it gets older?
The 4/4 at age 20 is well below the reference at 14.0%, against 41.0% for all vehicles of the same age.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.
Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.
Data table
| Age | Morgan 4/4 | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 14.0% | 41.0% | -27.1 pp |
Is a Morgan 4/4 ULEZ compliant?
The share of classifiable 2024 Morgan 4/4 MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 31.5%.
Based on 1,695 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.
higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class
| Vehicle age at test | Likely ULEZ-compliant share | Tests |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 0 |
| 3–5 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 5 |
| 6–7 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 77 |
| 8 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 43 |
| 9 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 36 |
| 10–14 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 179 |
| 15–17 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 129 |
| 18 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 65 |
| 19 years | Suppressed — sample below publication threshold Check a registration with TfL | n = 30 |
| 20+ years | 0.0% Check a registration with TfL | n = 1,131 |
How dangerous are Morgan 4/4 MOT failures?
Major defects are well below the reference at 24.7 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.
higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests
Severity table
| Severity | This family /100 | National /100 | Family / national |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minor | 4.67 | 14.22 | 0.33× |
| Major | 24.72 | 52.75 | 0.47× |
| Dangerous | 2.67 | 11.15 | 0.24× |
Chart values: Minor 4.7 · Major 24.7 · Dangerous 2.7.
Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.
Does the month of a Morgan 4/4 MOT matter?
May is highest at 16.9%; Jun is lowest at 15.1% — the gap is 1.8 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart scale: 14%–33%.
bars: Morgan 4/4 · dashed: all class-4 cars
Month-by-month table
| Month | Morgan 4/4 | All vehicles | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 15.38% | 31.12% | -15.7 pp |
| Feb | 15.21% | 29.99% | -14.8 pp |
| Mar | 16.24% | 28.26% | -12.0 pp |
| Apr | 16.8% | 29.78% | -13.0 pp |
| May | 16.89% | 28.79% | -11.9 pp |
| Jun | 15.07% | 28.15% | -13.1 pp |
| Jul | 15.96% | 29.33% | -13.4 pp |
| Aug | 15.29% | 29.2% | -13.9 pp |
| Sep | 15.7% | 28.19% | -12.5 pp |
| Oct | 16.3% | 30.34% | -14.0 pp |
| Nov | 16.48% | 30.58% | -14.1 pp |
| Dec | 16.77% | 29.33% | -12.6 pp |
Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 1.8 percentage points — booking month barely matters for this family. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.
Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.
Morgan 4/4 average mileage by age
At age 20+, the middle half of 4/4s runs from 19,281 miles to 51,231 miles, against 31,905 miles as the median.
further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75
Does high mileage mean more Morgan 4/4 MOT failures at the same age?
Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 12.5% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 15.7% of those with 70,000–100,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.
| Age | Odometer | % failing | 95% interval | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | <40k miles | 12.5% | 10.5–14.8% | 889 |
| 15+ | 40-70k miles | 13.1% | 9.8–17.3% | 313 (rough estimate) |
| 15+ | 70-100k miles | 15.7% | 10.1–23.4% | 115 (rough estimate) |
line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)
Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
| Age | p25 | Median | p75 | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 19,281 | 31,905 | 51,231 | 1,131 |
A typical 20+-year-old 4/4 has ~31,905 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.
Where in Britain the Morgan 4/4 fails its MOT most
Milton Keynes area is highest at 32.1%; Preston area is lowest at 2.1% — the gap is 30.0 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
| Toughest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes (MK) | 32.05% | +16.1 pp |
| Taunton (TA) | 30% | +14.0 pp |
| Tonbridge (TN) | 26.87% | +10.9 pp |
| Exeter (EX) | 24.08% | +8.1 pp |
| Hemel Hempstead (HP) | 22.62% | +6.6 pp |
| Easiest areas | % failing | vs model overall |
|---|---|---|
| Preston (PR) | 2.08% | -13.9 pp |
| Chelmsford (CM) | 6.27% | -9.7 pp |
| Stevenage (SG) | 8.05% | -7.9 pp |
| Dudley (DY) | 10.13% | -5.8 pp |
| Bristol (BS) | 11.04% | -4.9 pp |
Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.
Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 2%–32% failing.
Morgan 4/4 survival: which cars are still on the road
By age 19 is close to the reference at 100.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.
Survival vs fail rate by age
| Age | Tests | Survival vs ages 4–6 | Fail % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 130 | 67% | 10.77% |
| 4 | 167 | 86.1% | 14.37% |
| 5 | 187 | 96.4% | 13.37% |
| 6 | 228 | 100% | 10.96% |
| 7 | 225 | 100% | 11.56% |
| 8 | 225 | 100% | 17.78% |
| 9 | 212 | 100% | 11.32% |
| 10 | 225 | 100% | 12% |
| 11 | 249 | 100% | 10.84% |
| 12 | 254 | 100% | 13.78% |
| 13 | 284 | 100% | 13.38% |
| 14 | 272 | 100% | 14.71% |
| 15 | 273 | 100% | 15.38% |
| 16 | 303 | 100% | 13.53% |
| 17 | 349 | 100% | 13.47% |
| 18 | 421 | 100% | 15.44% |
| 19 | 479 | 100% | 15.24% |
By age 19, at least as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈194): the older fleet has not thinned out here, so there is no survivor selection to allow for.
How many years is a Morgan 4/4 likely to last?
Bought at age 5 is highest at 15.0 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 4.5 years — the gap is 10.5 years.
bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve
| Age now | Typical mileage (p50) | Expected years left |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | — | at least 15 |
| 8 | — | at least 11.5 |
| 10 | — | at least 9.5 |
| 12 | — | at least 7.5 |
| 15 | — | at least 4.5 |
estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family has at least 9.5 expected years of further MOT-present life. The curve is observed only until age 19, so the true figure is likely higher.
Morgan 4/4 faults that come together
Body & structure + Emissions & leaks stand out at 12.22×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.
above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less
| Group A | Group B | Together | Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Body, chassis, structure | Noise, emissions and leaks | 24 | 12.22× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Suspension | 26 | 7.93× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 44 | 7.91× (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Brakes | 37 | 7.34× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Tyres | 26 | 6.69× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Suspension | 61 | 6.57× (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Suspension | 27 | 6.39× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 200 | 6.22× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Suspension | 52 | 6.17× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Noise, emissions and leaks | 71 | 5.67× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Tyres | 20 | 5.67× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Visibility | 116 | 5.35× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Noise, emissions and leaks | 59 | 5.19× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Visibility | 39 | 5.09× (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Visibility | 25 | 4.4× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Visibility | 86 | 4.37× (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Steering | 57 | 3.89× (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Steering | 22 | 3.86× (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Steering | 56 | 3.47× (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Visibility | 28 | 2.83× (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 16 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Visibility | 15 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Identification of the vehicle | 14 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Suspension | 11 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Tyres | Visibility | 11 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Road Wheels | 10 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Brakes | Road Wheels | 9 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | Tyres | 9 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | 8 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Steering | 8 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Road Wheels | Suspension | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Visibility | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Steering | Tyres | 7 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems | Visibility | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Identification of the vehicle | Steering | 6 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Body, chassis, structure | Identification of the vehicle | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | Speedometer and speed limiter | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
| Suspension | Tyres | 5 | too few (rough estimate) |
Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 12.22× more often than chance (24 co-occurrences in the same test; 78 pairs compared).
Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).
Which Morgan 4/4 engine is best?
petrol 1.8–2.0 is highest at 104.1; petrol over 2.0 is lowest at 72.4 — the gap is 31.7 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
| Fuel | Capacity | vs own age norm | Raw fail % | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| petrol | over 2.0 litre | 72.4 | 10.81% | 111 (rough estimate) |
| petrol | 1.5–1.8 litre | 100.1 | 15.92% | 10,764 |
| petrol | 1.8–2.0 litre | 104.1 | 17.58% | 990 (rough estimate) |
No engine band clearly fails less or more for its age: the bands are within 5 index points of each other, or their 95% intervals overlap, so this page does not name a best or worst engine.
Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.
Morgan 4/4 MOT repair costs
The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £33.45 to £63.55, against £54.85 for the test itself.
bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only
| Component | Fails per 100 tests | Typical repair | Its price | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brakes | 8.7 (nat. 11.25) | Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback) | £150 | £13.05 |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 8.7 (nat. 18.09) | Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid) | £140 | £12.18 |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | 2.4 (nat. 3.67) | Exhaust rear silencer | £200 | £4.80 |
| Suspension | 1.9 (nat. 15.36) | Suspension coil spring (single corner) | £180 | £3.42 |
Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £33 to £64, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.
Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.
For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.
Morgan 4/4 rust problems: where they corrode
Salt-belt exposure is well below the reference at 41st percentile, against 50th percentile as the middle of published models.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
This Morgan 4/4 has too few tests to judge for corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.
Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.
Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.
Does a Morgan 4/4 advisory become a failure?
Brakes are highest at 10.8%; Suspension is lowest at 4.0% — the gap is 6.8 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
| Component | Fails next time | Typical lead time | Miles of warning | Advisories tracked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brakes | 10.8% | 12.2 months | 261 | 564 |
| Suspension | 4.0% | 12 months | 361 | 646 |
This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.
Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 11 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.2 months and roughly 261 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.
What will fail next on a Morgan 4/4?
Visibility after a failure at age 9-11 is highest at 10.0%; Brakes after a passed at age 9-11 are lowest at 1.5% — the gap is 8.5 percentage points.
higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability
| Age | Last test | Most likely next failures | Cars tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 4.3% · Brakes 2.0% · Steering 1.8% | 399 (rough estimate) |
| 3-5 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.9% | 71 (rough estimate) |
| 6-8 | passed | Brakes 3.6% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 2.2% · Visibility 1.9% | 412 (rough estimate) |
| 6-8 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 7.1% · Visibility 7.1% | 70 (rough estimate) |
| 9-11 | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.5% · Visibility 2.8% · Brakes 1.5% | 461 (rough estimate) |
| 9-11 | failure | Visibility 10.0% | 70 (rough estimate) |
| 12-14 | passed | Visibility 3.3% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 1.9% · Brakes 1.7% | 520 |
| 12-14 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 7.0% · Brakes 5.0% · Visibility 5.0% | 100 (rough estimate) |
| 15-19 | passed | Steering 3.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.2% · Brakes 2.7% | 1,235 |
| 15-19 | advisory | Steering 9.3% · Visibility 6.9% · Brakes 5.4% | 204 (rough estimate) |
| 15-19 | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 6.0% · Visibility 4.8% · Steering 4.0% | 250 (rough estimate) |
| 20+ | passed | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 4.5% · Brakes 4.0% · Visibility 2.3% | 3,674 |
| 20+ | advisory | Brakes 8.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 7.3% · Visibility 5.4% | 821 |
| 20+ | failure | Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.7% · Brakes 8.9% · Noise, emissions and leaks 4.8% | 1,023 |
The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.
The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.
Morgan 4/4 ownership: what six years of MOTs show
The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 55.1%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 9.4% — the gap is 45.7 percentage points.
higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points
Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 1,126 failures followed through to their re-test, 35.52% were repaired and passed the same day and 55.06% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 2,592 defect items were cleared in the process.
Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 1.612 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 457 miles a year across 2,325 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.
Two populations hide inside one model. 77.39% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 8.83% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.
Odometer anomalies: 1.028% of 2,334 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 6,383 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.
Morgan 4/4 MOT: quick answers
Morgan 4/4 MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 34.3, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
- What is the Morgan 4/4 first-time MOT pass rate?
- 86.84% of first attempts passed in 2024 (1,930 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
- Why does this number differ from other sites?
- Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 13.16% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 1,930 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 34.3 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.
Compare the Morgan 4/4 with other cars
Morgan Plus 4 is highest at 35.2; Mercedes-Benz GT is lowest at 33.4 — the gap is 1.8 points.
below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age
Similar risk
Lotus Exige (index 34.1)Mercedes-Benz GT (index 33.4)Morgan Plus 4 (index 35.2)
Same size class
how Chrysler Crossfire compareshow Chrysler Jeep Cherokee compareshow Audi S5 compares
By area
Morgan 4/4 MOT failure rate by postcode area
By failure group
Morgan 4/4 body, chassis and structure failuresMorgan 4/4 brakes failuresMorgan 4/4 vehicle identification failuresMorgan 4/4 lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresMorgan 4/4 noise, emissions and leaks failuresMorgan 4/4 road wheels failuresMorgan 4/4 steering failuresMorgan 4/4 suspension failuresMorgan 4/4 tyres failuresMorgan 4/4 visibility failures
Data details & how to cite
Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:morgan-4-4:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.
Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Morgan 4/4 MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/morgan-4-4/ · Published 2026-07-30.