MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Toyota Estima MOT pass rate and common problems

83.2% of Toyota Estimas passed the 2024 MOT (17,626 first tests): 76.5% at the first attempt and 6.7% after a fix at the test centre (PRS). About 1 in 4 failed the first attempt. For its age, it fails 27% less often than normal: MOT Risk Index 73.2 (95% CI 71.2–75.1; 100 = normal).

Toyota Estima at a glance, 2024 MOT
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
MOT pass rate83.2%incl. 6.7% fixed at the test centre202417626
Passed at the first attempt76.5%all first tests202417626
MOT Risk Index (95% CI 71.2–75.1)73.2index100 = normal for its age · rank 203 of 761 (1 = fails least for its age)202417626
Biggest excess: Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment28.3per 10021.3 same-age2019–202472662
Dangerous defects8.0per 10011.2 UK, not age-adjusted2019–202472662
Advisory items99.1per 100127.1 UK, not age-adjusted2019–202472662
strip · Toyota Estima · MOT Risk Index · 73.2 vs 100 = normal · 2024
MOT Risk Index · Toyota Estima. 0–240; 100 = normal for its age; median model 92.8 · rank 203 of 761 (1 = fails least for its age). It would rank between 188 and 215 anywhere within its 95% interval, other models held where they are. DVSA, 2024.
Toyota Estima index position among 761 models
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Rank203of 761published models, 1 = fails least for its age202417626
Best rank within its 95% interval188rankother models held where they are202417626
Worst rank within its 95% interval215rankother models held where they are202417626

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Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · full dataset (v5). This model's index changed from 63.5 to 73.2 in the 24 September 2026 release, after duplicate test records were removed.

What actually fails on a Toyota Estima MOT, and how often?

Toyota Estima MOTs fail most often on ‘lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment’: 28.3 per 100 tests, against 21.3 for UK cars of the same age (2019–2024, n = 72,662).

bar · Toyota Estima · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment · 28.3 vs 21.3 · 2019–2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment28.3per 10021.32019–202420568
Suspension19.3per 10018.52019–202414060
Brakes6.4per 10013.52019–20244650
Visibility6.1per 1008.52019–20244405
Tyres5.3per 1009.22019–20243843
Body, chassis, structure3.6per 1006.82019–20242633

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 72,662 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Tyres, brakes and suspension: how does the Toyota Estima compare with cars of the same age?

The biggest excess for the Toyota Estima is suspension at age 3: 15.4 failures per 100 tests, against 0.6 for same-age cars of comparable models (2019–2024, n = 2,608).

bullet · Toyota Estima · Tyres, age 3 · 4.2 vs 4.2 · 2019–2024
Tyres, age 3: 4.2 vs 4.2. Brakes, age 3: 4.1 vs 1.8. Suspension, age 3: 15.4 vs 0.6. Tyres, age 4: 4.5 vs 4.5. Brakes, age 4: 3.9 vs 2.4. Suspension, age 4: 14.0 vs 1.2. Tyres, age 5: 4 vs 5.1. Brakes, age 5: 3.3 vs 3.1. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Tyres, age 34.2per 1004.22019–20242608
Brakes, age 34.1per 1001.82019–20242608
Suspension, age 315.4per 1000.62019–20242608
Tyres, age 44.5per 1004.52019–20242703
Brakes, age 43.9per 1002.42019–20242703
Suspension, age 414.0per 1001.22019–20242703
Tyres, age 54per 1005.12019–20243151
Brakes, age 53.3per 1003.12019–20243151
Full table
Further values · 2019–2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Suspension, age 512per 1002.22019–20243151
Tyres, age 63.3per 1005.52019–20243880
Brakes, age 63.6per 1003.82019–20243880
Suspension, age 610.3per 1003.72019–20243880
Tyres, age 73.0per 1006.02019–20244201
Brakes, age 73.7per 1004.52019–20244201
Suspension, age 79.3per 1005.72019–20244201
Tyres, age 83.2per 1006.32019–20243892
Brakes, age 83.9per 1005.42019–20243892
Suspension, age 89.5per 1007.82019–20243892

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Will my Toyota Estima's advisory become a fail at the next MOT?

Toyota Estima advisories turn into fails more often than on the median model: lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment advisories became a fail at the next MOT 32.7% of the time.

funnel · Toyota Estima · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment · 32.7 vs median model · 2019–2024
Advisories on lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment: 32.7 of 100 became a fail on the same item at the next MOT. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment32.7% next failmedian model2019–20241841
Suspension21.1% next failmedian model2019–20248000
Body, chassis, structure16.5% next failmedian model2019–20241089
Noise, emissions and leaks10.7% next failmedian model2019–20242158
Brakes10.2% next failmedian model2019–20247217
Tyres7.6% next failmedian model2019–20248221
Steering7.5% next failmedian model2019–2024980
Identification of the vehicle5.7% next failmedian model2019–2024632
Full table
Further values · 2019–2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Non-component advisories0% next failmedian model2019–20243069

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

My Toyota Estima got an MOT advisory: what gets flagged most?

Toyota Estima MOTs flag suspension most: 27.5 advisories per 100 tests, against 26.2 across UK tests (2019–2024, n = 72,662).

bar · Toyota Estima · Suspension · 27.5 vs 26.2 · 2019–2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Suspension27.5per 10026.22019–202419981
Tyres26.3per 10039.72019–202419141
Brakes21.3per 10034.72019–202415476
Non-component advisories7.2per 1007.82019–20245210
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment5.3per 1002.82019–20243867
Noise, emissions and leaks4.7per 1005.22019–20243408

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 72,662 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What is likely to fail next on a Toyota Estima?

For Toyota Estimas aged 12 to 14 whose last MOT was a pass, the item most likely to fail at the next MOT is suspension: 13.9% failed on it (2019–2024, n = 6,997).

bar · Toyota Estima · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, under 3 years old, after a pass · 13.2 vs baseline · 2019–2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, under 3 years old, after a pass13.2% next fail2019–20242334
Suspension, under 3 years old, after a pass11.3% next fail2019–20242334
Visibility, under 3 years old, after a pass4.6% next fail2019–20242334
Brakes, under 3 years old, after a pass3.1% next fail2019–20242334
Tyres, under 3 years old, after a pass2.6% next fail2019–20242334
Steering, under 3 years old, after a pass2.1% next fail2019–20242334
Body, chassis, structure, under 3 years old, after a pass1.5% next fail2019–20242334
Identification of the vehicle, under 3 years old, after a pass0.7% next fail2019–20242334
Full table
Further values · 2019–2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Noise, emissions and leaks, under 3 years old, after a pass0.5% next fail2019–20242334
Road wheels, under 3 years old, after a pass0.2% next fail2019–20242334
Suspension, under 3 years old, after an advisory18.1% next fail2019–20241191
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, under 3 years old, after an advisory18.0% next fail2019–20241191
Visibility, under 3 years old, after an advisory6.6% next fail2019–20241191
Tyres, under 3 years old, after an advisory4.0% next fail2019–20241191
Brakes, under 3 years old, after an advisory3.9% next fail2019–20241191
Steering, under 3 years old, after an advisory2.9% next fail2019–20241191
Body, chassis, structure, under 3 years old, after an advisory2.1% next fail2019–20241191
Noise, emissions and leaks, under 3 years old, after an advisory0.9% next fail2019–20241191
Identification of the vehicle, under 3 years old, after an advisory0.8% next fail2019–20241191
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, under 3 years old, after an advisory0.5% next fail2019–20241191
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, under 3 years old, after a fail25.8% next fail2019–20241101
Suspension, under 3 years old, after a fail16.9% next fail2019–20241101
Visibility, under 3 years old, after a fail8.5% next fail2019–20241101
Tyres, under 3 years old, after a fail7.0% next fail2019–20241101
Brakes, under 3 years old, after a fail6.0% next fail2019–20241101
Body, chassis, structure, under 3 years old, after a fail3.9% next fail2019–20241101
Steering, under 3 years old, after a fail3.1% next fail2019–20241101
Noise, emissions and leaks, under 3 years old, after a fail2.5% next fail2019–20241101
Identification of the vehicle, under 3 years old, after a fail0.9% next fail2019–20241101
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, under 3 years old, after a fail0.7% next fail2019–20241101
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass9.9% next fail2019–20243559
Suspension, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass8.0% next fail2019–20243559
Visibility, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass3.4% next fail2019–20243559
Tyres, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass2.3% next fail2019–20243559
Brakes, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass1.9% next fail2019–20243559
Body, chassis, structure, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass1.2% next fail2019–20243559
Steering, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass1.0% next fail2019–20243559
Noise, emissions and leaks, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass0.8% next fail2019–20243559
Identification of the vehicle, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass0.4% next fail2019–20243559
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass0.4% next fail2019–20243559
Road wheels, 3 to 5 years old, after a pass0.2% next fail2019–20243559
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory19.9% next fail2019–20241676
Suspension, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory17.4% next fail2019–20241676
Visibility, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory6.2% next fail2019–20241676
Tyres, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory6.2% next fail2019–20241676
Brakes, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory6.0% next fail2019–20241676
Body, chassis, structure, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory4.4% next fail2019–20241676
Steering, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory3.6% next fail2019–20241676
Noise, emissions and leaks, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory1.5% next fail2019–20241676
Identification of the vehicle, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory1.0% next fail2019–20241676
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory0.4% next fail2019–20241676
Road wheels, 3 to 5 years old, after an advisory0.3% next fail2019–20241676
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail28.2% next fail2019–20241739
Suspension, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail17.7% next fail2019–20241739
Visibility, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail8.2% next fail2019–20241739
Body, chassis, structure, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail6.6% next fail2019–20241739
Tyres, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail6.3% next fail2019–20241739
Brakes, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail5.9% next fail2019–20241739
Noise, emissions and leaks, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail4.3% next fail2019–20241739
Steering, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail3.5% next fail2019–20241739
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail1.4% next fail2019–20241739
Identification of the vehicle, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail0.9% next fail2019–20241739
Road wheels, 3 to 5 years old, after a fail0.5% next fail2019–20241739
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass9.8% next fail2019–20245062
Suspension, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass9.3% next fail2019–20245062
Visibility, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass2.9% next fail2019–20245062
Tyres, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass2.5% next fail2019–20245062
Brakes, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass2.2% next fail2019–20245062
Body, chassis, structure, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass1.1% next fail2019–20245062
Steering, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass0.8% next fail2019–20245062
Noise, emissions and leaks, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass0.7% next fail2019–20245062
Identification of the vehicle, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass0.6% next fail2019–20245062
Road wheels, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass0.3% next fail2019–20245062
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 6 to 8 years old, after a pass0.1% next fail2019–20245062
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory19.6% next fail2019–20241759
Suspension, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory14.4% next fail2019–20241759
Visibility, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory6.5% next fail2019–20241759
Brakes, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory5.7% next fail2019–20241759
Tyres, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory4.6% next fail2019–20241759
Body, chassis, structure, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory4.4% next fail2019–20241759
Steering, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory2.8% next fail2019–20241759
Noise, emissions and leaks, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory2.6% next fail2019–20241759
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory0.7% next fail2019–20241759
Identification of the vehicle, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory0.6% next fail2019–20241759
Road wheels, 6 to 8 years old, after an advisory0.3% next fail2019–20241759
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail27.5% next fail2019–20241969
Suspension, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail17.5% next fail2019–20241969
Visibility, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail8.7% next fail2019–20241969
Brakes, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail7.5% next fail2019–20241969
Body, chassis, structure, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail6.9% next fail2019–20241969
Tyres, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail6.5% next fail2019–20241969
Noise, emissions and leaks, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail5.9% next fail2019–20241969
Steering, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail3.6% next fail2019–20241969
Identification of the vehicle, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail1.1% next fail2019–20241969
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 6 to 8 years old, after a fail1.1% next fail2019–20241969
Suspension, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass13.5% next fail2019–20246769
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass11.4% next fail2019–20246769
Visibility, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass3.6% next fail2019–20246769
Tyres, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass2.6% next fail2019–20246769
Brakes, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass2.2% next fail2019–20246769
Steering, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass1.3% next fail2019–20246769
Body, chassis, structure, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass0.8% next fail2019–20246769
Noise, emissions and leaks, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass0.7% next fail2019–20246769
Identification of the vehicle, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass0.5% next fail2019–20246769
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass0.3% next fail2019–20246769
Road wheels, 9 to 11 years old, after a pass0.1% next fail2019–20246769
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory17.2% next fail2019–20242019
Suspension, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory16.3% next fail2019–20242019
Visibility, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory6.7% next fail2019–20242019
Tyres, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory4.5% next fail2019–20242019
Brakes, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory4.3% next fail2019–20242019
Body, chassis, structure, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory2.5% next fail2019–20242019
Steering, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory2.3% next fail2019–20242019
Noise, emissions and leaks, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory1.8% next fail2019–20242019
Identification of the vehicle, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory0.5% next fail2019–20242019
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 9 to 11 years old, after an advisory0.5% next fail2019–20242019
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail23.1% next fail2019–20241967
Suspension, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail15.9% next fail2019–20241967
Visibility, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail6.1% next fail2019–20241967
Brakes, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail5.2% next fail2019–20241967
Tyres, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail5.2% next fail2019–20241967
Noise, emissions and leaks, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail4.1% next fail2019–20241967
Body, chassis, structure, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail3.7% next fail2019–20241967
Steering, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail2.7% next fail2019–20241967
Identification of the vehicle, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail0.9% next fail2019–20241967
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail0.5% next fail2019–20241967
Road wheels, 9 to 11 years old, after a fail0.4% next fail2019–20241967
Suspension, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass13.9% next fail2019–20246997
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass13.1% next fail2019–20246997
Visibility, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass4.5% next fail2019–20246997
Tyres, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass3.2% next fail2019–20246997
Brakes, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass2.5% next fail2019–20246997
Body, chassis, structure, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass1.8% next fail2019–20246997
Steering, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass1.5% next fail2019–20246997
Noise, emissions and leaks, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass0.8% next fail2019–20246997
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass0.5% next fail2019–20246997
Identification of the vehicle, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass0.3% next fail2019–20246997
Road wheels, 12 to 14 years old, after a pass0.2% next fail2019–20246997
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory19.6% next fail2019–20242928
Suspension, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory18.6% next fail2019–20242928
Visibility, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory7.4% next fail2019–20242928
Brakes, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory5.1% next fail2019–20242928
Tyres, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory4.1% next fail2019–20242928
Body, chassis, structure, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory3.2% next fail2019–20242928
Steering, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory2.2% next fail2019–20242928
Noise, emissions and leaks, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory1.7% next fail2019–20242928
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory0.7% next fail2019–20242928
Identification of the vehicle, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory0.5% next fail2019–20242928
Road wheels, 12 to 14 years old, after an advisory0.2% next fail2019–20242928
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail26.4% next fail2019–20242804
Suspension, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail19.0% next fail2019–20242804
Visibility, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail7.8% next fail2019–20242804
Tyres, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail6.5% next fail2019–20242804
Brakes, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail6.4% next fail2019–20242804
Body, chassis, structure, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail4.3% next fail2019–20242804
Noise, emissions and leaks, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail3.5% next fail2019–20242804
Steering, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail2.4% next fail2019–20242804
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail1.0% next fail2019–20242804
Identification of the vehicle, 12 to 14 years old, after a fail0.8% next fail2019–20242804
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass15.1% next fail2019–20242937
Suspension, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass13.4% next fail2019–20242937
Visibility, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass4.7% next fail2019–20242937
Brakes, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass4.3% next fail2019–20242937
Tyres, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass3.8% next fail2019–20242937
Body, chassis, structure, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass3.8% next fail2019–20242937
Steering, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass2.1% next fail2019–20242937
Noise, emissions and leaks, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass1.8% next fail2019–20242937
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass0.5% next fail2019–20242937
Identification of the vehicle, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass0.4% next fail2019–20242937
Road wheels, 15 to 19 years old, after a pass0.2% next fail2019–20242937
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory25.6% next fail2019–20242303
Suspension, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory18.9% next fail2019–20242303
Visibility, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory9.5% next fail2019–20242303
Brakes, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory7.6% next fail2019–20242303
Body, chassis, structure, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory7.4% next fail2019–20242303
Tyres, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory6.3% next fail2019–20242303
Noise, emissions and leaks, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory4.0% next fail2019–20242303
Steering, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory2.9% next fail2019–20242303
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory1.7% next fail2019–20242303
Identification of the vehicle, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory0.6% next fail2019–20242303
Road wheels, 15 to 19 years old, after an advisory0.4% next fail2019–20242303
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail33.7% next fail2019–20242593
Suspension, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail19.8% next fail2019–20242593
Brakes, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail11.9% next fail2019–20242593
Visibility, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail11.7% next fail2019–20242593
Body, chassis, structure, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail9.0% next fail2019–20242593
Tyres, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail7.8% next fail2019–20242593
Noise, emissions and leaks, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail6.9% next fail2019–20242593
Steering, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail4.4% next fail2019–20242593
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail2.0% next fail2019–20242593
Identification of the vehicle, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail0.8% next fail2019–20242593
Road wheels, 15 to 19 years old, after a fail0.2% next fail2019–20242593
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)19.0% next fail2019–2024284
Brakes, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)9.2% next fail2019–2024284
Visibility, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)9.2% next fail2019–2024284
Suspension, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)8.8% next fail2019–2024284
Body, chassis, structure, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)3.5% next fail2019–2024284
Noise, emissions and leaks, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)2.8% next fail2019–2024284
Tyres, 20 years or older, after a pass (rough estimate: 284 cars)2.8% next fail2019–2024284
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)25.9% next fail2019–2024386
Suspension, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)18.9% next fail2019–2024386
Visibility, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)12.4% next fail2019–2024386
Body, chassis, structure, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)9.6% next fail2019–2024386
Brakes, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)9.1% next fail2019–2024386
Noise, emissions and leaks, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)7.2% next fail2019–2024386
Tyres, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)6.2% next fail2019–2024386
Steering, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)2.3% next fail2019–2024386
Identification of the vehicle, 20 years or older, after an advisory (rough estimate: 386 cars)1.6% next fail2019–2024386
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, 20 years or older, after a fail41.0% next fail2019–2024546
Suspension, 20 years or older, after a fail21.6% next fail2019–2024546
Brakes, 20 years or older, after a fail20.9% next fail2019–2024546
Visibility, 20 years or older, after a fail15.8% next fail2019–2024546
Body, chassis, structure, 20 years or older, after a fail14.5% next fail2019–2024546
Noise, emissions and leaks, 20 years or older, after a fail14.3% next fail2019–2024546
Tyres, 20 years or older, after a fail9.5% next fail2019–2024546
Steering, 20 years or older, after a fail3.1% next fail2019–2024546
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems, 20 years or older, after a fail2.0% next fail2019–2024546
Identification of the vehicle, 20 years or older, after a fail1.3% next fail2019–2024546
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, an unknown age, after a pass (rough estimate: 282 cars)12.1% next fail2019–2024282
Suspension, an unknown age, after a pass (rough estimate: 282 cars)11.0% next fail2019–2024282
Brakes, an unknown age, after a pass (rough estimate: 282 cars)3.9% next fail2019–2024282
Tyres, an unknown age, after a pass (rough estimate: 282 cars)3.9% next fail2019–2024282
Visibility, an unknown age, after a pass (rough estimate: 282 cars)1.8% next fail2019–2024282
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment, an unknown age, after a fail (rough estimate: 57 cars)19.3% next fail2019–202457
Suspension, an unknown age, after a fail (rough estimate: 57 cars)8.8% next fail2019–202457

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How often does a Toyota Estima get a dangerous MOT defect?

The Toyota Estima gets a dangerous defect less often than the UK average: 8.0 per 100 first tests against 11.2 across the UK. In the same tests, 45.0 major and 22.2 minor defects were recorded per 100 tests (one test can record several).

bullet · Toyota Estima · Dangerous defects · 8.0 vs 11.2 · 2019–2024
Dangerous defects: 8 vs 11.2. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Dangerous defects8.0per 10011.22019–202472662

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 72,662 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id; severity not recorded for some 2018–2021 tests · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Will my Toyota Estima still pass its MOT in a few years?

First-time MOT failures for the Toyota Estima go from 27.9% at age 3 (rough estimate: 462 tests, 95% interval 24.0–32.2%) to 45.5% at age 19 (rough estimate: 145 tests, 95% interval 37.6–53.6%), against 43.5% for all cars aged 19 (rough estimate: 145 tests, 95% interval 37.6–53.6%) (2024, n = 17,626).

line · Toyota Estima · Age 3 (rough estimate: 462 tests, 95% interval 24.0–32.2%) · 27.9 vs 12.4 · 2024
Age 3 (rough estim: 27.9. Age 19 (rough esti: 45.5. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 3 (rough estimate: 462 tests, 95% interval 24.0–32.2%)27.9% failed first time12.42024462
Age 431.1% failed first time13.12024647
Age 522.6% failed first time15.12024783
Age 622.2% failed first time17.52024748
Age 718.3% failed first time20.220241040
Age 822.2% failed first time23.320241089
Age 925.6% failed first time26.52024809
Age 1020.2% failed first time30.120241078
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 1117.7% failed first time33.220241458
Age 1218.4% failed first time35.720241547
Age 1321.7% failed first time38.220241206
Age 1422.5% failed first time40.420241548
Age 1522.3% failed first time41.620241448
Age 1627.3% failed first time43.120241132
Age 1729.9% failed first time43.12024799
Age 1827.9% failed first time43.92024709
Age 19 (rough estimate: 145 tests, 95% interval 37.6–53.6%)45.5% failed first time43.52024145

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does the Toyota Estima compare with cars of its own age and size?

At 8 of 18 ages shown, Toyota Estimas fail first time more often than comparable models of the same size class; the biggest difference is at age 3, where they fail more often: 26.5% against 10.7% (2024, n = 2,608).

line · Toyota Estima · Age 3 · 26.5 vs 10.7 · 2024
Age 3: 26.5. Age 20: 45.8. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 326.5% fail10.720242608
Age 427.7% fail12.320242703
Age 524.7% fail14.120243151
Age 622.4% fail16.120243880
Age 721.4% fail18.220244201
Age 822.9% fail20.520243892
Age 921.0% fail23.120243599
Age 1019.8% fail25.620244163
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 1117.4% fail28.320245720
Age 1219.4% fail30.620245960
Age 1320.9% fail32.720246378
Age 1423.3% fail34.620245845
Age 1524.6% fail36.120244767
Age 1629.9% fail37.120243713
Age 1732.5% fail37.520242728
Age 1835.6% fail37.920241769
Age 1943.0% fail37.42024940
Age 2045.8% fail37.02024552

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Which Toyota Estima years should I avoid?

The Toyota Estima build year that fails most for its age is 2002: index 132.7 (95% CI 118.2–147.1) against the model's own age norm of 100 (2019–2024, n = 752).

Build year matters for the Toyota Estima: 2002 Toyota Estimas fail more than their age would predict, 2019 ones less. Years whose confidence interval includes normal are shown without a label.

bar · Toyota Estima · Build year 2002 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 752 tests, 95% interval 118.2–147.1) · 132.7 vs 100 = normal · 2019–2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Build year 2002 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 752 tests, 95% interval 118.2–147.1)132.7index vs own age100 = normal2019–2024752
Build year 2003 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 1,055 tests, 95% interval 115.2–139.1)127.1index vs own age100 = normal2019–20241055
Build year 2004 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 1,241 tests, 95% interval 103.0–125.2)114.1index vs own age100 = normal2019–20241241
Build year 2005 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 1,162 tests, 95% interval 109.4–133.9)121.7index vs own age100 = normal2019–20241162
Build year 200696.7index vs own age100 = normal2019–20244390
Build year 2007102.9index vs own age100 = normal2019–20244503
Build year 200896.6index vs own age100 = normal2019–20245613
Build year 200994.7index vs own age100 = normal2019–20245372
Full table
Further values · 2019–2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Build year 201099.8index vs own age100 = normal2019–20245032
Build year 2011 (rough estimate: 4,139 tests, 95% interval 92.5–106.2)99.3index vs own age100 = normal2019–20244139
Build year 201297.4index vs own age100 = normal2019–20244128
Build year 201399.2index vs own age100 = normal2019–20244404
Build year 2014 (rough estimate: 3,953 tests, 95% interval 88.7–101.8)95.2index vs own age100 = normal2019–20243953
Build year 2015 (worse for its age) (rough estimate: 3,138 tests, 95% interval 104.3–119.9)112.1index vs own age100 = normal2019–20243138
Build year 2016 (rough estimate: 3,828 tests, 95% interval 99.1–112.5)105.8index vs own age100 = normal2019–20243828
Build year 2017 (rough estimate: 3,100 tests, 95% interval 93.1–107.4)100.3index vs own age100 = normal2019–20243100
Build year 2018 (rough estimate: 2,562 tests, 95% interval 89.9–104.9)97.4index vs own age100 = normal2019–20242562
Build year 2019 (better for its age) (rough estimate: 2,475 tests, 95% interval 84.9–99.6)92.2index vs own age100 = normal2019–20242475
Build year 2020 (rough estimate: 1,332 tests, 95% interval 98.1–119.8)109index vs own age100 = normal2019–20241332

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How much does it cost to fix a Toyota Estima MOT fail?

Expected repair cost per Toyota Estima MOT: about £89 (up to about £169 if more expensive parts are needed), from the chance of failing each item and its most common UK repair price (catalogue estimate, n = 17,626).

Computed, not measured.

bar · Toyota Estima · Expected repair bill · 88.7 vs modal price catalogue · price catalogue
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (price catalogue)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Expected repair bill88.7GBP estimatemodal price catalogueprice catalogue17626
Estimated range lower88.7GBP estimatemodal price catalogueprice catalogue17626
Estimated range upper168.6GBP estimatemodal price catalogueprice catalogue17626
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment: Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)39.6GBP expected contribution140price catalogue17626
Suspension: Suspension coil spring (single corner)34.7GBP expected contribution180price catalogue17626
Brakes: Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)9.6GBP expected contribution150price catalogue17626
Tyres: Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)4.8GBP expected contribution90price catalogue17626

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: price catalogue · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: computed estimate, not measured · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Is the Toyota Estima more reliable than similar cars?

Of 8 similar models, 5 fail less often for their age than the Toyota Estima and 3 as often or more. The Toyota Estima has an MOT Risk Index of 73.2, where 100 = normal for its age (2024, n = 17,626).

bar · Toyota Estima · Toyota Estima (this model) · 73.2 vs 100 = normal · 2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Toyota Estima (this model)73.2index100 = normal202417626
Toyota Land Cruiser81.5index73.2202421287
Mercedes-Benz GLE72.4index73.2202430531
BMW X667.3index73.2202415622
Jaguar XJ68.5index73.2202425677
Mercedes-Benz M-Class77.1index73.2202431973
Audi A761.5index73.2202417065
Mercedes-Benz CLS82.5index73.2202423802
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
BMW M463.9index73.2202412459

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How many miles does a Toyota Estima normally do?

At age 8, the median Toyota Estima had covered 93,647 miles by its MOT; the middle half ranged from 57,937 to 130,941 miles (2024, n = 1,089).

line · Toyota Estima · Age 3 median (rough estimate) · 94753 vs baseline · 2024
Age 3 median (roug: 94753. Age 19 P75 (rough : 121653. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 3 median (rough estimate)94753miles2024462
Age 3 P25 (rough estimate)82262miles2024462
Age 3 P75 (rough estimate)115497miles2024462
Age 4 median100444miles2024647
Age 4 P2585250miles2024647
Age 4 P75128455miles2024647
Age 5 median106277miles2024783
Age 5 P2581413miles2024783
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 5 P75140985miles2024783
Age 6 median91983miles2024748
Age 6 P2546320miles2024748
Age 6 P75136077miles2024748
Age 7 median74281miles20241040
Age 7 P2545690miles20241040
Age 7 P75118486miles20241040
Age 8 median93647miles20241089
Age 8 P2557937miles20241089
Age 8 P75130941miles20241089
Age 9 median94453miles2024809
Age 9 P2564694miles2024809
Age 9 P75129707miles2024809
Age 10 median83361miles20241078
Age 10 P2561654miles20241078
Age 10 P75117597miles20241078
Age 11 median77812miles20241458
Age 11 P2559997miles20241458
Age 11 P75101902miles20241458
Age 12 median78227miles20241547
Age 12 P2565005miles20241547
Age 12 P7596858miles20241547
Age 13 median81901miles20241206
Age 13 P2568597miles20241206
Age 13 P75101601miles20241206
Age 14 median85271miles20241548
Age 14 P2570659miles20241548
Age 14 P75102435miles20241548
Age 15 median87816miles20241448
Age 15 P2573225miles20241448
Age 15 P75106492miles20241448
Age 16 median92217miles20241132
Age 16 P2576226miles20241132
Age 16 P75113704miles20241132
Age 17 median95745miles2024799
Age 17 P2577766miles2024799
Age 17 P75122253miles2024799
Age 18 median92289miles2024709
Age 18 P2573880miles2024709
Age 18 P75119095miles2024709
Age 19 median (rough estimate)93174miles2024145
Age 19 P25 (rough estimate)71308miles2024145
Age 19 P75 (rough estimate)121653miles2024145

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Estima MOT failures at the same age?

At ages 10–14, 9.3% of Toyota Estimas with under 40,000 miles failed first time, against 32.8% of those with over 140,000 miles (2024, n = 809). Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

bar · Toyota Estima · Age 3–5, <40k miles (rough estimate: 62 tests, 95% interval 3.5–17.5%) · 8.1 vs baseline · 2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 3–5, <40k miles (rough estimate: 62 tests, 95% interval 3.5–17.5%)8.1% failed first time202462
Age 3–5, 40-70k miles (rough estimate: 186 tests, 95% interval 15.7–27.4%)21% failed first time2024186
Age 3–5, 70-100k miles26.3% failed first time2024684
Age 3–5, 100-140k miles28.4% failed first time2024598
Age 3–5, 140k+ miles (rough estimate: 359 tests, 95% interval 26.6–36.2%)31.2% failed first time2024359
Age 6–9, <40k miles (rough estimate: 470 tests, 95% interval 5–9.7%)7% failed first time2024470
Age 6–9, 40-70k miles9.8% failed first time2024908
Age 6–9, 70-100k miles21.1% failed first time2024729
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 6–9, 100-140k miles31.3% failed first time2024882
Age 6–9, 140k+ miles36.4% failed first time2024690
Age 10–14, <40k miles (rough estimate: 172 tests, 95% interval 5.8–14.6%)9.3% failed first time2024172
Age 10–14, 40-70k miles12.6% failed first time20242012
Age 10–14, 70-100k miles19.8% failed first time20242755
Age 10–14, 100-140k miles27.6% failed first time20241247
Age 10–14, 140k+ miles32.8% failed first time2024637
Age 15+, <40k miles (rough estimate: 69 tests, 95% interval 3.1–15.9%)7.2% failed first time202469
Age 15+, 40-70k miles21.2% failed first time2024779
Age 15+, 70-100k miles25.8% failed first time20241860
Age 15+, 100-140k miles29.6% failed first time20241228
Age 15+, 140k+ miles38.6% failed first time2024559

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How many miles does a Toyota Estima last?

37.2% of Toyota Estimas tested had reached 100,000 miles, and 11.7% had reached 150,000 (2024, n = 26,963).

line · Toyota Estima · 100,000 miles · 37.2 vs baseline · 2024
100,000 miles: 37.2. 200,000 miles: 3.5. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
100,000 miles37.2% of tested cars202426963
150,000 miles11.7% of tested cars20248485
200,000 miles3.5% of tested cars20242521

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Is the Toyota Estima driven more or less than average, and does that change the picture?

Matched on annual mileage as well as age, the Toyota Estima index is 69.4, against 73.5 on age alone (2019–2024, n = 17,626).

slope · Toyota Estima · Age and mileage adjusted index · 69.4 vs 73.5 · 2019–2024
Age and mileage adjusted index: 73.5 vs 69.4. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age and mileage adjusted index69.4index73.52019–202417626

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Which Toyota Estima fuel fails its MOT less?

Petrol Toyota Estimas failed first time in 25.4% of tests and hybrid ones in 19.6%, before allowing for age (2024, n = 16,444).

bar · Toyota Estima · Hybrid · 19.6 vs other fuels · 2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Hybrid19.6% fail first timeother fuels20246750
Petrol25.4% fail first timeother fuels20249694

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Which Toyota Estima engine is best?

No Toyota Estima engine band clearly fails less or more for its age: the capacity bands are within 5 index points of each other or their 95% intervals overlap (2024, n = 17,626).

bar · Toyota Estima · Petrol 1.8–2.0 litre (rough estimate: 574 tests, 95% interval 78.8–105.1) · 91.3 vs 100 = model average · 2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Petrol 1.8–2.0 litre (rough estimate: 574 tests, 95% interval 78.8–105.1)91.3index vs model norm100 = model average2024574
Petrol over 2.0 litre99.5index vs model norm100 = model average202439971
Diesel over 2.0 litre (rough estimate: 2,045 tests, 95% interval 103.6–114.6)109index vs model norm100 = model average20242045

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Where in Britain does the Toyota Estima fail its MOT most?

Toyota Estima fails first-time MOTs most in Torquay (TQ): 63.6% against 24.1% across Britain for this model, both 2019–2024 (2024, n = 209).

First-time failure rates for the Toyota Estima range from 11.9% in the Bradford (BD) postcode area to 41.4% in the Newcastle (NE) postcode area, before allowing for age: a wider spread by area than for the typical model.

map · Toyota Estima · Torquay (TQ) (rough estimate: 209 tests, 95% interval 56.9–69.9%) · 63.6 vs 23.5 · 2024
Scotland. N. England. Wales. London. S. West. % failing. 13%. 34%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Torquay (TQ) (rough estimate: 209 tests, 95% interval 56.9–69.9%)63.6% fail first time23.52024209
Bath (BA) (rough estimate: 142 tests, 95% interval 50.2–66.2%)58.5% fail first time23.52024142
Kirkcaldy (KY) (rough estimate: 105 tests, 95% interval 44.8–63.5%)54.3% fail first time23.52024105
Bradford (BD)11.9% fail first time23.52024809
Leicester (LE)13.5% fail first time23.520241626
London SW (SW)14.5% fail first time23.520241231
Brighton (BN) (rough estimate: 341 tests, 95% interval 44.6–55.1%)49.9% fail first time23.52024341
Exeter (EX) (rough estimate: 150 tests, 95% interval 40.2–55.9%)48% fail first time23.52024150
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Bristol (BS) (rough estimate: 448 tests, 95% interval 43.4–52.6%)48.0% fail first time23.52024448
Bournemouth (BH) (rough estimate: 315 tests, 95% interval 42.2–53.1%)47.6% fail first time23.52024315
Portsmouth (PO) (rough estimate: 344 tests, 95% interval 41.6–52.1%)46.8% fail first time23.52024344
Newport (NP) (rough estimate: 168 tests, 95% interval 39.1–54.0%)46.4% fail first time23.52024168
Plymouth (PL) (rough estimate: 226 tests, 95% interval 39.2–52.1%)45.6% fail first time23.52024226
Gloucester (GL) (rough estimate: 184 tests, 95% interval 38.1–52.3%)45.1% fail first time23.52024184
Northampton (NN) (rough estimate: 304 tests, 95% interval 39.3–50.4%)44.7% fail first time23.52024304
Canterbury (CT) (rough estimate: 219 tests, 95% interval 37.0–50.0%)43.4% fail first time23.52024219
Tonbridge (TN) (rough estimate: 251 tests, 95% interval 36.7–48.8%)42.6% fail first time23.52024251
Newcastle (NE)41.4% fail first time23.52024710
Stevenage (SG) (rough estimate: 122 tests, 95% interval 32.7–49.9%)41.0% fail first time23.52024122
Oxford (OX) (rough estimate: 221 tests, 95% interval 34.0–46.8%)40.3% fail first time23.52024221
Edinburgh (EH) (rough estimate: 165 tests, 95% interval 32.8–47.6%)40% fail first time23.52024165
Chester (CH) (rough estimate: 150 tests, 95% interval 32.5–48.0%)40% fail first time23.52024150
Ipswich (IP) (rough estimate: 306 tests, 95% interval 34.5–45.4%)39.9% fail first time23.52024306
Derby (DE) (rough estimate: 323 tests, 95% interval 33.0–43.5%)38.1% fail first time23.52024323
Norwich (NR) (rough estimate: 200 tests, 95% interval 31.6–44.9%)38% fail first time23.52024200
Stockport (SK) (rough estimate: 166 tests, 95% interval 30.9–45.5%)38.0% fail first time23.52024166
Swindon (SN) (rough estimate: 168 tests, 95% interval 30.0–44.4%)36.9% fail first time23.52024168
Watford (WD) (rough estimate: 208 tests, 95% interval 30.3–43.3%)36.5% fail first time23.52024208
Cambridge (CB) (rough estimate: 190 tests, 95% interval 28.8–42.3%)35.3% fail first time23.52024190
St Albans (AL) (rough estimate: 140 tests, 95% interval 27.6–43.2%)35% fail first time23.52024140
Motherwell (ML) (rough estimate: 140 tests, 95% interval 27.6–43.2%)35% fail first time23.52024140
Colchester (CO) (rough estimate: 165 tests, 95% interval 27.7–42.1%)34.5% fail first time23.52024165
Walsall (WS)34.3% fail first time23.520241092
Doncaster (DN) (rough estimate: 147 tests, 95% interval 26.8–42.0%)34.0% fail first time23.52024147
Guildford (GU)33.4% fail first time23.52024722
Swansea (SA) (rough estimate: 143 tests, 95% interval 25.7–40.9%)32.9% fail first time23.52024143
Milton Keynes (MK) (rough estimate: 338 tests, 95% interval 28.1–38.0%)32.8% fail first time23.52024338
Warrington (WA) (rough estimate: 251 tests, 95% interval 27.2–38.7%)32.7% fail first time23.52024251
Redhill (RH) (rough estimate: 385 tests, 95% interval 28.0–37.3%)32.5% fail first time23.52024385
Medway (ME) (rough estimate: 356 tests, 95% interval 27.1–36.7%)31.7% fail first time23.52024356
Southend-on-Sea (SS) (rough estimate: 429 tests, 95% interval 27.5–36.2%)31.7% fail first time23.52024429
Southampton (SO)31.6% fail first time23.52024699
Cleveland (TS) (rough estimate: 118 tests, 95% interval 23.7–40.2%)31.4% fail first time23.52024118
Peterborough (PE) (rough estimate: 331 tests, 95% interval 25.5–35.4%)30.2% fail first time23.52024331
London NW (NW)29.9% fail first time23.520243923
Glasgow (G) (rough estimate: 309 tests, 95% interval 24.6–34.8%)29.4% fail first time23.52024309
Reading (RG)29.3% fail first time23.52024605
Bromley (BR) (rough estimate: 138 tests, 95% interval 22.1–37.0%)29.0% fail first time23.52024138
Manchester (M)28.7% fail first time23.520244275
Chelmsford (CM) (rough estimate: 255 tests, 95% interval 23.4–34.5%)28.6% fail first time23.52024255
Cardiff (CF) (rough estimate: 243 tests, 95% interval 22.3–33.5%)27.6% fail first time23.52024243
Dartford (DA) (rough estimate: 383 tests, 95% interval 22.7–31.5%)26.9% fail first time23.52024383
Leeds (LS) (rough estimate: 303 tests, 95% interval 22.1–32.0%)26.7% fail first time23.52024303
Nottingham (NG) (rough estimate: 376 tests, 95% interval 22.4–31.3%)26.6% fail first time23.52024376
Kingston upon Thames (KT)25.8% fail first time23.52024639
Llandudno (LL) (rough estimate: 206 tests, 95% interval 20.2–32.1%)25.7% fail first time23.52024206
London SE (SE)25.7% fail first time23.520241348
Liverpool (L) (rough estimate: 199 tests, 95% interval 19.6–31.6%)25.1% fail first time23.52024199
Preston (PR) (rough estimate: 199 tests, 95% interval 19.2–31.0%)24.6% fail first time23.52024199
Stoke-on-Trent (ST) (rough estimate: 363 tests, 95% interval 19.6–28.3%)23.7% fail first time23.52024363
London N (N)23.7% fail first time23.520243555
Ilford (IG)22.6% fail first time23.520242051
Coventry (CV)22.2% fail first time23.52024778
Bolton (BL)21.5% fail first time23.52024539
Wigan (WN) (rough estimate: 164 tests, 95% interval 15.2–27.6%)20.7% fail first time23.52024164
Sheffield (S) (rough estimate: 421 tests, 95% interval 16.9–24.5%)20.4% fail first time23.52024421
Wolverhampton (WV) (rough estimate: 344 tests, 95% interval 16.2–24.6%)20.1% fail first time23.52024344
Sutton (SM) (rough estimate: 377 tests, 95% interval 16.2–24.2%)19.9% fail first time23.52024377
Blackburn (BB) (rough estimate: 438 tests, 95% interval 16.4–23.9%)19.9% fail first time23.52024438
Twickenham (TW)19.3% fail first time23.52024953
Slough (SL)19.2% fail first time23.52024704
Birmingham (B)18.8% fail first time23.5202413431
Croydon (CR)18.5% fail first time23.520241284
Oldham (OL)18.3% fail first time23.52024624
London W (W) (rough estimate: 446 tests, 95% interval 14.9–22.0%)18.2% fail first time23.52024446
Harrow (HA)17.8% fail first time23.520241962
Enfield (EN) (rough estimate: 380 tests, 95% interval 13.9–21.5%)17.4% fail first time23.52024380
Uxbridge (UB)16.9% fail first time23.520241789
Romford (RM)16.7% fail first time23.520243311
London E (E)16.4% fail first time23.520246209
Luton (LU)16.4% fail first time23.52024562
Dudley (DY) (rough estimate: 471 tests, 95% interval 12.9–19.5%)15.9% fail first time23.52024471
Hemel Hempstead (HP)15.6% fail first time23.52024563
Wakefield (WF) (rough estimate: 324 tests, 95% interval 11.4–19.1%)14.8% fail first time23.52024324

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Does a Toyota Estima rust more than average?

Allowing for age, Toyota Estima MOTs record corrosion failures at 1.0 times the national rate: 0.73% of tests against 0.77% (2024 + geographic layers, n = 17,002).

Computed, not measured.

slope · Toyota Estima · Salt belt susceptibility · 1.0 vs 1 · 2024 + geographic layers
Salt belt susceptibility: 1 vs 1. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024 + geographic layers)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Salt belt susceptibility1.0ratio estimate12024 + geographic layers17002

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 + geographic layers · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: computed estimate, not measured · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Is a Toyota Estima ULEZ compliant?

An estimated 96.9% of Toyota Estimas tested are likely ULEZ-compliant, judged from fuel type and first-use date; check a specific car with TfL's vehicle checker (2024).

Computed, not measured.

stacked · Toyota Estima · Likely compliant · 96.9 vs baseline · 2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Likely compliant96.9% estimate202417626

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: computed estimate, not measured · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What do six years of MOTs show about owning a Toyota Estima?

Of failed Toyota Estima MOTs, 38.0% were retested the same day and a further 58.0% within 10 days; the median failed car passed its retest after 1 day (2019–2024, n = 11,353).

bar · Toyota Estima · Same-day retest · 38 vs failed initial tests · 2019–2024
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Same-day retest38%failed initial tests2019–202411353
Retest within 10 days58.0%failed initial tests2019–202411353
Clean MOT streak40.1%observed chains2019–202413197
Repeat advisory20.1%observed chains2019–202413197
Decreasing odometer15.0% mileage anomalyobserved chains2019–202416315

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Is low mileage better for a Toyota Estima?

Toyota Estimas aged 11 to 14 doing under 5,000 miles a year failed first time in 13.8% of tests, against 26.0% for those doing 8,000 to 12,000 miles (2019–2024, n = 3,977).

bullet · Toyota Estima · Low-use first-time failure · 13.8 vs 26.0 · 2019–2024
Low-use first-time failure: 13.8 vs 26. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Low-use first-time failure13.8%26.02019–20243977
Low-use gap-12.3percentage points8–12k miles2019–20243977

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How many years is a Toyota Estima likely to last?

Toyota Estimas tend to last: at ten years old the typical one has about 8.2 more years of MOTs ahead, more than the median model. This is a forecast from the survival curve and may not come true.

Computed, not measured.

Forecast, not a prediction for a particular car.

bar · Toyota Estima · Age 5 · 13.6 vs baseline · survival forecast
DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (survival forecast)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 513.6years forecastsurvival forecast0
Age 810.2years forecastsurvival forecast0
Age 108.2years forecastsurvival forecast0
Age 126.2years forecastsurvival forecast0
Age 15 (at least; observed only until age 19)3.2years forecastsurvival forecast0

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: survival forecast · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: computed estimate, not measured · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Which Toyota Estimas are still on the road?

In 2024, for every 100 Toyota Estimas tested at ages 4 to 6, about 29 were tested at age 19 (2024, n = 940).

line · Toyota Estima · Age 3 · 80.4 vs baseline · 2024
Age 3: 80.4. Age 19: 29. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 380.4% of age 4–6 baseline20242608
Age 483.3% of age 4–6 baseline20242703
Age 597.1% of age 4–6 baseline20243151
Age 6 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20243880
Age 7 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20244201
Age 8 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20243892
Age 9 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20243599
Age 10 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20244163
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 11 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20245720
Age 12 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20245960
Age 13 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20246378
Age 14 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20245845
Age 15 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20244767
Age 16 (at least as many as at ages 4–6)100% of age 4–6 baseline20243713
Age 1784.1% of age 4–6 baseline20242728
Age 1854.5% of age 4–6 baseline20241769
Age 1929% of age 4–6 baseline2024940

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

If a Toyota Estima fails, does it fail again?

Toyota Estimas that fail once are much more likely to fail again: 33.6% failed the next MOT after a fail, against 23.2% after a pass (test chains 2019–2024). The failure most likely to come back is ‘noise, emissions and leaks’: 35.2% of those fails recurred at the next MOT.

bullet · Toyota Estima · Repeat after fail · 33.6 vs 23.2 · 2019–2024
Repeat after fail: 33.6 vs 23.2. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2019–2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Repeat after fail33.6%23.22019–20244212

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Which Toyota Estima faults come together?

On Toyota Estimas, ‘body, chassis, structure’ and ‘noise, emissions and leaks’ failures turn up together 9.8 times as often as chance would predict (2024, n = 398).

Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Body, chassis, structure + Noise, emissions and leaks (rough estimate: 398 tests, 95% interval 8.8–10.8)9.8liftexpected joint rate2024398
Noise, emissions and leaks + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (rough estimate: 64 tests, 95% interval 6.2–10.3)8.0liftexpected joint rate202464
Brakes + Noise, emissions and leaks (rough estimate: 464 tests, 95% interval 7.2–8.6)7.9liftexpected joint rate2024464
Body, chassis, structure + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (rough estimate: 90 tests, 95% interval 6.2–9.5)7.7liftexpected joint rate202490
Brakes + Road Wheels (rough estimate: 33 tests, 95% interval 4.1–8.3)5.9liftexpected joint rate202433
Brakes + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (rough estimate: 95 tests, 95% interval 4.6–6.9)5.6liftexpected joint rate202495
Body, chassis, structure + Brakes (rough estimate: 451 tests, 95% interval 4.8–5.7)5.2liftexpected joint rate2024451
Body, chassis, structure + Identification of the vehicle (rough estimate: 54 tests, 95% interval 3.8–6.5)5liftexpected joint rate202454
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems + Visibility (rough estimate: 102 tests, 95% interval 4.0–6.0)5.0liftexpected joint rate2024102
Brakes + Tyres4.9liftexpected joint rate2024540
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (rough estimate: 300 tests, 95% interval 4.3–5.4)4.8liftexpected joint rate2024300
Noise, emissions and leaks + Steering (rough estimate: 117 tests, 95% interval 4.0–5.7)4.8liftexpected joint rate2024117
Noise, emissions and leaks + Tyres (rough estimate: 240 tests, 95% interval 4.0–5.2)4.6liftexpected joint rate2024240
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Road Wheels (rough estimate: 92 tests, 95% interval 3.6–5.5)4.5liftexpected joint rate202492
Brakes + Identification of the vehicle (rough estimate: 70 tests, 95% interval 3.5–5.7)4.5liftexpected joint rate202470
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems + Steering (rough estimate: 31 tests, 95% interval 3.0–6.3)4.4liftexpected joint rate202431
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Noise, emissions and leaks4.4liftexpected joint rate2024950
Identification of the vehicle + Noise, emissions and leaks (rough estimate: 32 tests, 95% interval 3.0–6.1)4.3liftexpected joint rate202432
Noise, emissions and leaks + Visibility (rough estimate: 310 tests, 95% interval 3.9–4.8)4.3liftexpected joint rate2024310
Body, chassis, structure + Visibility (rough estimate: 449 tests, 95% interval 3.9–4.7)4.3liftexpected joint rate2024449
Identification of the vehicle + Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment (rough estimate: 244 tests, 95% interval 3.7–4.8)4.3liftexpected joint rate2024244
Identification of the vehicle + Tyres (rough estimate: 58 tests, 95% interval 3.2–5.4)4.2liftexpected joint rate202458
Brakes + Visibility4.0liftexpected joint rate2024611
Tyres + Visibility3.9liftexpected joint rate2024521
Identification of the vehicle + Steering (rough estimate: 25 tests, 95% interval 2.5–5.7)3.9liftexpected joint rate202425
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems + Tyres (rough estimate: 57 tests, 95% interval 2.9–5.0)3.8liftexpected joint rate202457
Brakes + Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3.8liftexpected joint rate20241740
Body, chassis, structure + Steering (rough estimate: 135 tests, 95% interval 3.2–4.5)3.8liftexpected joint rate2024135
Body, chassis, structure + Tyres (rough estimate: 286 tests, 95% interval 3.3–4.2)3.7liftexpected joint rate2024286
Body, chassis, structure + Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3.7liftexpected joint rate20241176
Steering + Suspension3.7liftexpected joint rate2024580
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Visibility3.6liftexpected joint rate20242015
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Tyres3.5liftexpected joint rate20241434
Identification of the vehicle + Visibility (rough estimate: 66 tests, 95% interval 2.7–4.4)3.5liftexpected joint rate202466
Brakes + Steering (rough estimate: 165 tests, 95% interval 2.7–3.7)3.2liftexpected joint rate2024165
Steering + Tyres (rough estimate: 143 tests, 95% interval 2.6–3.7)3.1liftexpected joint rate2024143
Road Wheels + Visibility (rough estimate: 21 tests, 95% interval 1.9–4.7)3.1liftexpected joint rate202421
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems + Suspension (rough estimate: 154 tests, 95% interval 2.5–3.5)3liftexpected joint rate2024154
Road Wheels + Suspension (rough estimate: 50 tests, 95% interval 2.2–3.9)2.9liftexpected joint rate202450
Steering + Visibility (rough estimate: 182 tests, 95% interval 2.5–3.3)2.9liftexpected joint rate2024182
Noise, emissions and leaks + Suspension2.9liftexpected joint rate2024511
Body, chassis, structure + Suspension2.8liftexpected joint rate2024744
Brakes + Suspension2.8liftexpected joint rate20241059
Identification of the vehicle + Suspension (rough estimate: 129 tests, 95% interval 2.3–3.2)2.7liftexpected joint rate2024129
Suspension + Tyres2.7liftexpected joint rate2024900
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Steering2.7liftexpected joint rate2024507
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Suspension2.6liftexpected joint rate20243687
Suspension + Visibility2.6liftexpected joint rate20241192
Body, chassis, structure + Road Wheels (seen together; too few for a multiplier)17tests with both202417
Road Wheels + Tyres (seen together; too few for a multiplier)17tests with both202417
Noise, emissions and leaks + Road Wheels (seen together; too few for a multiplier)16tests with both202416
Road Wheels + Steering (seen together; too few for a multiplier)12tests with both202412
Identification of the vehicle + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (seen together; too few for a multiplier)9tests with both20249
Identification of the vehicle + Road Wheels (seen together; too few for a multiplier)6tests with both20246
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment + Seat belt installation check (seen together; too few for a multiplier)6tests with both20246
Road Wheels + Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems (seen together; too few for a multiplier)5tests with both20245

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What does a Toyota Estima cost to run in a fleet?

Of every 100 Toyota Estimas tested at age 5, about 23 failed the MOT first time (rough estimate); at age 10, about 20 (rough estimate). These are one-year rates for different cars tested in the same year, not a fleet followed over time (2024).

Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 3 (rough estimate: 462 tests, 95% interval 24.0–32.2%)27.9% fail first time2024462
Age 4 (rough estimate: 647 tests, 95% interval 27.6–34.7%)31.1% fail first time2024647
Age 5 (rough estimate: 783 tests, 95% interval 19.8–25.7%)22.6% fail first time2024783
Age 6 (rough estimate: 748 tests, 95% interval 19.4–25.3%)22.2% fail first time2024748
Age 7 (rough estimate: 1,040 tests, 95% interval 16.0–20.7%)18.3% fail first time20241040
Age 8 (rough estimate: 1,089 tests, 95% interval 19.9–24.8%)22.2% fail first time20241089
Age 9 (rough estimate: 809 tests, 95% interval 22.7–28.7%)25.6% fail first time2024809
Age 10 (rough estimate: 1,078 tests, 95% interval 17.9–22.7%)20.2% fail first time20241078
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Age 11 (rough estimate: 1,458 tests, 95% interval 15.8–19.7%)17.7% fail first time20241458
Age 12 (rough estimate: 1,547 tests, 95% interval 16.5–20.4%)18.4% fail first time20241547
Age 13 (rough estimate: 1,206 tests, 95% interval 19.5–24.1%)21.7% fail first time20241206
Age 14 (rough estimate: 1,548 tests, 95% interval 20.5–24.6%)22.5% fail first time20241548
Age 15 (rough estimate: 1,448 tests, 95% interval 20.2–24.5%)22.3% fail first time20241448
Age 16 (rough estimate: 1,132 tests, 95% interval 24.8–30.0%)27.3% fail first time20241132
Age 17 (rough estimate: 799 tests, 95% interval 26.8–33.2%)29.9% fail first time2024799
Age 18 (rough estimate: 709 tests, 95% interval 24.8–31.3%)27.9% fail first time2024709
Age 19 (rough estimate: 145 tests, 95% interval 37.6–53.6%)45.5% fail first time2024145

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Does the month of a Toyota Estima MOT matter?

Toyota Estimas fail first time most in April (25.3%, against 29.8% for all cars that month) and least in June (23.4%) (2024, n = 17,626).

The month of the MOT makes little difference for the Toyota Estima.

line · Toyota Estima · January · 23.9 vs 31.1 · 2024
January: 23.9. December: 23.7. DVSA MOT bulk data, 24 Sep 2026.
Toyota Estima: the numbers behind this answer (2024)
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
January23.9% fail first time31.120246511
February24.0% fail first time30.020245688
March24.3% fail first time28.320245546
April25.3% fail first time29.820244174
May23.8% fail first time28.820245427
June23.4% fail first time28.120245613
July24.9% fail first time29.320246341
August24.0% fail first time29.220246102
Full table
Further values · 2024
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
September23.5% fail first time28.220246498
October24.1% fail first time30.320247120
November24.4% fail first time30.620247428
December23.7% fail first time29.320246214

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2024 · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

Not enough tests for… (and why)

What have dealers been told about the Toyota Estima? (US market)

layer not yet computed for this model (covers 211 of 761 models). 17,626 initial Toyota Estima tests are in the published model cohort.

Source: NHTSA, US market; covers 211 of 761 models · Window: NHTSA · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

See the Mercedes-Benz SLK, a car of the same inspection class with 3.2× the tests · Check your car by registration

Does the Toyota Estima fail inspections in other countries too?

no match in the other-country inspection register. 17,626 initial Toyota Estima tests are in the published model cohort.

Source: Statens vegvesen PKK (CC BY 4.0), Traficom Katsastus (CC BY 4.0), RDW APK (CC0), adapted; covers 430 of 761 models · Window: 2024 by country · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: one initial test per test_id · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

See the Mercedes-Benz SLK, a car of the same inspection class with 3.2× the tests · Check your car by registration

Real-world MPG against the official figure (manufacturer level)

layer not yet computed for this model (covers 19 of 761 models). 17,626 initial Toyota Estima tests are in the published model cohort.

Source: European Commission OBFCM; covers 19 of 761 models · Window: 2021+ cohorts · n = 17,626 (initial tests) · Method: computed estimate, not measured · Updated: 24 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

See the Mercedes-Benz SLK, a car of the same inspection class with 3.2× the tests · Check your car by registration

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Estima MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 24 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-estima/

How the MOT Risk Index and every figure on this page are calculated: methodology.

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Toyota Estima MOT: quick answers

What is the Toyota Estima first-time MOT pass rate?

76.5% of first attempts passed in 2024 (17,626 tests). Retests after repair are excluded; cars fixed at the test centre (PRS) are shown separately.

Why does this number differ from other sites?

Other sites may count retests or all attempts. This page uses 17,626 primary tests: 23.47% failed first time and 83.2% passed when cars fixed at the test centre (PRS) count as passes. The age-adjusted MOT Risk Index 73.2 is shown separately.