MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Nissan Leaf — MOT statistics 2024

The Nissan Leaf failed 17.69% of 70,882 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 109.2 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 9% more often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 109.2, 95% CI 107.5–110.9 (100 = national average) 100 109.2 60 160
Index
109.2
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
17.69%
n = 70,882
Dangerous /100
9
national ≈13
Rank
37 of 56
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Vauxhall Astra (index 109.1) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Nissan Leaf common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment stand out at 4.3 per 100 tests, against 23.5 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Nissan Leaf common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg.

Component-group comparison table
GroupThis familyNationalFamily / national
Visibility11.512.00.96×
Tyres10.010.30.97×
Suspension9.319.90.47×
Brakes7.714.30.54×
Lamps & electrical4.323.50.18×
Steering1.34.60.28×
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average, 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Wiper blade defectiveWiper blade defective5.932.042.91×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged4.113.291.25×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn6.766.031.12×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn suspension joints are common
Parking brake inoperative on one sideParking brake inoperative on one side1.000.731.36×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen2.382.181.09×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Tyre cords visible or damagedA tyre cords visible or damaged1.632.000.82×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements3.333.820.87×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Parking brake efficiency below minimum requirementParking brake efficiency below minimum requirement1.001.540.65×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen1.002.030.49×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.804.270.42×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Nissan Leaf MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 61.9 per 100 tests; Identification is lowest at 1.3 per 100 tests — the gap is 60.6 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Nissan Leaf MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres61.9
Brakes43.2
Suspension26.4
Non-component advisories8.6
Road Wheels1.6
Identification1.3

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

How does the Nissan Leaf perform as it gets older?

At age 11 stands out at 41.5%, against 30.6% for all cars of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Nissan Leaf perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–46%.

Takeaway: a 10-year-old Leaf has roughly a 37% chance of failing its MOT; from about age 6 it stays above the national age curve.

Data table
AgeNissan LeafAll carsGap
38.8%10.9%-2.1 pp
411.0%11.6%-0.6 pp
512.7%13.5%-0.8 pp
616.2%15.6%+0.5 pp
721.3%18.2%+3.1 pp
827.3%21.3%+6.1 pp
931.5%24.4%+7.1 pp
1037.4%27.7%+9.6 pp
1141.5%30.6%+10.9 pp
1234.4%33.4%+1.0 pp
1331.4%36.0%-4.7 pp

Is a Nissan Leaf ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Nissan Leaf MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 100%.

Based on 70,882 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 670
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 37,911
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 14,121
8 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5,522
9 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5,592
10–14 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 7,066
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0

Nissan Leaf petrol vs diesel: which ages best

Electric is highest at 18.1%; Electric is lowest at 11.3% — the gap is 6.7 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Nissan Leaf petrol vs diesel: which ages best — 2024 UK MOT data
Fuel split table
FuelTests% failingGap vs best
Electric66,83318.1%+6.7 pp
Electric4,04911.3%+0.0 pp

Chart sample sizes: n=67k · n=4,049.

How dangerous are Nissan Leaf MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 25.4 per 100 tests, against 63.3 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Nissan Leaf MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor10.6124.380.44×
Major25.3563.260.40×
Dangerous9.3512.890.73×

Chart values: Minor 10.6 · Major 25.4 · Dangerous 9.3.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 24.4 · Major 63.3 · Dangerous 12.9 per 100.

Does the month of a Nissan Leaf MOT matter?

Nov is highest at 20.2%; Mar is lowest at 15.0% — the gap is 5.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Nissan Leaf MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 13%–29%.

bars: Nissan Leaf · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthNissan LeafAll carsGap
Jan17.47%27.37%-9.9 pp
Feb16.95%26.14%-9.2 pp
Mar14.95%24.75%-9.8 pp
Apr19%26.01%-7.0 pp
May16.66%25.01%-8.4 pp
Jun17.11%25.01%-7.9 pp
Jul16.84%26.04%-9.2 pp
Aug19.25%25.79%-6.5 pp
Sep18.46%25.19%-6.7 pp
Oct19.79%27.13%-7.3 pp
Nov20.17%27.2%-7.0 pp
Dec16.19%26.29%-10.1 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 5.2 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 19.5% of these cars were first registered in March with another17% in September — 37% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. Peaks here mark when cars are tested, not when they are worse.

Nissan Leaf average mileage by age

At age 8, the middle half of Leafs runs from 39,628 miles to 72,500 miles, against 54,342 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Nissan Leaf · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–88k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Nissan Leaf MOT failures?

Same age band (6–14 years), split by odometer — this separates wear from age: 15.1% of the lowest-mileage cars failed versus 38.1% of the highest.

Does high mileage mean more Nissan Leaf MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Odometer% failingTestsGap vs lowest-mileage band
<40k miles15.1%9,290+0.0 pp
40-70k miles27.6%15,036+12.5 pp
70-100k miles37.6%6,103+22.5 pp
100-140k miles38.1%1,581+23.0 pp

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
314,53021,25629,64515,997
419,23927,79638,61014,341
522,83834,76650,3997,573
631,07344,34362,0597,187
734,06546,77460,2496,934
839,62854,34272,5005,522
941,20054,56169,3345,592
1046,73762,22779,4064,137
1150,69067,06583,6001,662
1241,90555,29171,361623
1345,91861,41379,049644

A typical 8-year-old Leaf has ~54,342 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Nissan Leaf fails its MOT most

Glasgow area is highest at 15.9%; Glasgow area is lowest at 15.9% — the gap is 0 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Nissan Leaf line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Glasgow (G)15.92%-1.8 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Glasgow (G)15.92%-1.8 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 2.1 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.39, n=28 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 2.5 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.36, n=18 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest income deprivation this model fails 2.6 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.28, n=25 areas with ≥800 tests).

Nissan Leaf Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
Urban share16.7%14.5%-2.2 ppr=-0.39
Terrain gradient17.4%19.9%+2.5 ppr=0.36
Income deprivation17.8%15.2%-2.6 ppr=-0.28

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
Urban share (0–1)-0.3872816.714.5-2.10.51
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.3621817.419.9+2.50.53.5
Income deprivation (score)-0.2792517.815.2-2.60.10.2
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.2632814.517.3+2.857.3
Distance to coast (km)-0.2192817.416.0-1.513.893.3
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)0.0262815.215.8+0.7241.2510.8
Frost days (days/year)-0.0092816.816.7-0.113.228.6

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 12%–22% failing.

Nissan Leaf survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 13 stands out at 6.6%, against 100% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Nissan Leaf survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
315,997100%8.77%
414,341100%11%
57,57378.1%12.65%
67,18774.1%16.17%
76,93471.5%21.3%
85,52256.9%27.33%
95,59257.6%31.53%
104,13742.6%37.35%
111,66217.1%41.46%
126236.4%34.35%
136446.6%31.37%

DfT licensed stock: peak 60,958 (2024 Q4) → latest 58,883 (96.6% of peak).

By age 13, only about 7% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈9,700); survivors still fail at 31.4% vs 11.0% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left. DfT licensed stock is 97% of its 2024 Q4 peak (60,958 → 58,883).

How many miles does a Nissan Leaf last?

100,000+ miles stands out at 3.7%.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles2,5943.66%

Of 70,852 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 3.7% had already reached 100k miles, 0.4% reached 150k, and 0.0% reached 200k — a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Nissan Leaf likely to last?

Bought at age 5 is highest at 4.8 years; Bought at age 10 is lowest at 1.2 years — the gap is 3.6 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
534,7664.8
854,3422.8
1062,2271.2
1255,2911.5

estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family (~62,227 miles median) has about 1.2 expected years of further MOT-present life on the 2024 survival curve. Derived from how many cars of each age still appear for test, not from a longitudinal panel.

Nissan Leaf faults that come together

Brakes + Suspension stand out at 7.21×, against if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
BrakesSuspension5537.21×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension3917.09×
BrakesTyres3134.16×
SuspensionTyres4934.09×
TyresVisibility4264.03×
SuspensionVisibility3202.97×

Defects in «Brakes» and «Suspension» appear together 7.21× more often than chance (553 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥300).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. Thresholds: lift ≥ 1.3, co-occurrences ≥ 300.

Is low mileage better for a Nissan Leaf?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year stands out at 14.3%, against 27.9% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year14.32%10,132
8–12k miles/year27.9%8,793
Gap (low − normal)-13.59 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 14.3% vs 27.9% for 8–12k miles/year — 13.6 pp lower (n_low=10,132, n_normal=8,793). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.

Best year for a Nissan Leaf, and the years to avoid

Build year 2013 is highest at 114.5; Build year 2019 is lowest at 88.8 — the gap is 25.7 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Nissan Leaf build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Nissan Leaf by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
202096.492.4–100.410.15%22,324no different
201988.884.9–92.710.78%18,250better
201891.187.8–94.412.67%22,863better
201797.694.7–100.515.21%28,741no different
2016105.7102.8–108.619.38%25,848worse
2015105102.3–107.623.43%25,892worse
2014112.7109.8–115.529.73%19,673worse
2013114.5110.2–118.734.35%8,113worse

The best build year here is 2019 and the weakest is 2013. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 6 of 8 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution. And for cars built before about 2005, a good score says more about which examples survived to be tested than about how that year was built: survivors are self-selected for care.

Nissan Leaf MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £43.31 to £82.29, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£43–82
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Suspension9.3 (nat. 19.9)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£16.74
Brakes7.7 (nat. 14.34)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£11.55
Tyres10.0 (nat. 10.27)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£9.00
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment4.3 (nat. 23.52)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£6.02

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £43 to £82, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Nissan Leaf running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 10 stand out at 37%, against 13% at age 5 in the same 100-vehicle fleet.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
13
vehicles needing work
At age 10
37
same fleet, five years on
Repairs per 100
£4,331
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 47.58% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
38.77%21,25615,997-3.9 pp
411%27,79614,341-1.7 pp
512.65%34,7667,573+0.0 pp
616.17%44,3437,187+3.5 pp
721.3%46,7746,934+8.7 pp
827.33%54,3425,522+14.7 pp
931.53%54,5615,592+18.9 pp
1037.35%62,2274,137+24.7 pp

The number a fleet manager needs is not the failure rate, it is the year the car starts costing more. Between age 7 and 8 the failure rate of this model jumps by 6.03 percentage points — the steepest single step in its life, and the natural planning point for replacement.

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Nissan Leaf rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 0.66×, against for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.66×
0.7% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 1.07% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
9th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 28 postcode areas

This Nissan Leaf fails on corrosion much less often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Nissan Leaf advisory become a failure?

Steering is highest at 23.9%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0% — the gap is 23.9 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Nissan Leaf chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Nissan Leaf, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Steering 23.9% · Suspension 20.6% · Brakes 9.8% · Tyres 9.2% · Identification of the veh… 2% · Road wheels 0.6% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Steering23.9%12 months5,338967
Suspension20.6%12 months5,9538,863
Brakes9.8%12 months6,00621,511
Tyres9.2%12 months6,39527,718
Identification of the vehicle2.0%12.1 months6,863944
Road wheels0.6%11 months7,821833
Non-component advisories0.0%6,887

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 24 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 5,338 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Nissan Leaf?

Suspension after a failure at age 6-8 is highest at 18.0%; Brakes after a passed at age 3-5 are lowest at 2.2% — the gap is 15.8 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedVisibility 4.0% · Tyres 3.7%19,832
3-5passedVisibility 5.2% · Tyres 4.7% · Brakes 2.2%36,618
3-5advisoryVisibility 7.2% · Tyres 7.1% · Brakes 4.6%18,171
3-5failureTyres 8.0% · Visibility 7.6% · Brakes 5.9%9,435
6-8passedSuspension 10.1% · Tyres 5.9% · Visibility 5.0%13,432
6-8advisorySuspension 15.2% · Brakes 8.4% · Tyres 8.3%11,030
6-8failureSuspension 18.0% · Brakes 10.9% · Tyres 9.9%8,755

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Nissan Leaf ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 49.6%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 2.8% — the gap is 46.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
47.58%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.311
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
43.56%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
0.608%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 23,351 failures followed through to their re-test, 47.58% were repaired and passed the same day and 49.64% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 43,939 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.311 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 5,641 miles a year across 36,819 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 43.56% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 22.91% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 0.608% of 36,842 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 7,956 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Nissan Leaf safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 6, against 1.02 campaigns per 10,000 licensed cars after fleet size is accounted for.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Nissan Leaf recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Nissan Leaf. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2015: 2 · 2016: 0 · 2017: 1 · 2018: 0 · 2019: 0 · 2020: 1 · 2021: 0 · 2022: 0 · 2023: 1 · 2024: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Nissan Leaf
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2024/23417/06/20241On affected vehicles the VIN stored in the vehicle system may not match the actual VIN of the vehicle. This may lead to a situation where a vehicle user can see…
R/2023/21528/07/202337,574A potential concern affecting the Vehicle Control Module (VCM) logic of some vehicles has been identified whereby in specific and rare circumstances after switc…
R/2020/29402/11/20202,547The welded joint on the park lock actuator plate may be of poor quality and has the potential to fail during usage.…
R/2017/17319/07/201765Due to a non confromity in production the headlamp auto aim function may not operate…
R/2015/13304/08/201510,248On affected models with a push start ignition switch the switch may remain in the pressed position and not return after switching the engine on. If the vehicle …
All 6 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2024/23417/06/202414/10/2019 – 01/06/20231On affected vehicles the VIN stored in the vehicle system may not match the actual VIN of the vehicle. This may lead to a situation where a vehicle user can see information related to a different vehicle resulting in a d…
R/2023/21528/07/202317/12/2017 – 30/05/202337,574A potential concern affecting the Vehicle Control Module (VCM) logic of some vehicles has been identified whereby in specific and rare circumstances after switching off the cruise control function there is a possibility …
R/2020/29402/11/202019/07/2019 – 22/09/20192,547The welded joint on the park lock actuator plate may be of poor quality and has the potential to fail during usage.…
R/2017/17319/07/201712/02/2017 – 29/03/201765Due to a non confromity in production the headlamp auto aim function may not operate…
R/2015/13304/08/201510/09/2013 – 06/01/201410,248On affected models with a push start ignition switch the switch may remain in the pressed position and not return after switching the engine on. If the vehicle continues to be driven in this condition the emergency engin…
R/2014/17119/01/201512/02/2013 – 16/10/20144,474A fail safe clip on the steering column may have become dislodged during the assembly process. As a result the column may not have been correctly assembled. Over a period of time and under certain conditions the column m…

DVSA lists 6 safety recall campaigns for the Nissan Leaf — 1.02 campaigns per 10,000 of these cars licensed in Great Britain, covering roughly 54,909 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Nissan Leaf technical service bulletins: what dealers are told

NHTSA manufacturer communications are 232.

bigger number = more recorded dealer communicationsnot affected vehicles or confirmed faults

These are the issues the manufacturer fixes quietly: service communications sent to dealers without a public recall campaign. They show what the service network has been told even when the issue never became news.

United States · NHTSA manufacturer communications

US technical service bulletins by communication year; leading subjects cover the full file
Communication yearBulletinsLeading subjects across all years
20145
  • Electrical system (107)
  • Equipment (74)
  • Powertrain (17)
  • Wheels (14)
  • Adaptive and mobility equipment (13)
  • Forward Collision Avoidance (13)
  • Engine and cooling (12)
  • Air Bags (10)
201524
201621
201717
201832
201923
202016
202123
202216
202330
202419
20252
20264

Caveat worth stating plainly: this is NHTSA data about US-specification cars. British cars sold under the same name often use different gearboxes, engines and equipment, so a bulletin may describe a component that was never fitted here. The file counts dealer communications, not affected vehicles or confirmed failures, and it cannot tell you whether an individual UK car has the issue. A communication can carry more than one subject tag, so topic counts do not have to add up to the total. Source: NHTSA Manufacturer Communications API (US-market vehicles; queried model years 2015-2022). Licence: U.S. Government work / public domain · retrieved 2026-08-03.

Nissan Leaf owner complaints: what goes wrong

Lamps & electrical are highest at 367; Restraints are lowest at 24 — the gap is 343.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Owner complaints (US) against actual MOT failures (UK) for the same component groups
ComponentComplaintsShareMOT fail items per 100MOT rankAgreement
Lamps & electrical36754.9%4.3#5complained about, fails occasionally
Brakes13019.4%7.7#4complained about, fails occasionally
Transmission (not MOT-tested)365.4%not in top 6complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Engine (not MOT-tested)324.8%not in top 6complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Visibility274.0%11.5#1complained about and fails often
Restraints243.6%not in top 6complained about, rarely an MOT failure

Two different populations answering two different questions: the MOT records what an inspector can measure once a year, the complaint file records what annoyed or frightened an owner on the road. A component high in one column and absent from the other is the interesting case — driver-assistance and electronics dominate complaints while almost never appearing as an MOT failure item.

What the reports actually say
Car was fast charged on July 9th. 2026. After fast charging from 13% to 80%, and driving for a few miles, the overheating warning came on and car was forced to stop on the side of a busy highway until the engine cooled off. While there is an active recall for a similar problem (24V700), my car is not included and we were not notified.
NHTSA complaint, filed 07/11/2026 · ELECTRICAL SYSTEM
I was traveling north on Freeway 57 at approximately 70mph. The dash lit up red with 12v and charging warnings. Power was shut off and car went into Neutral and warned me to pull over. This is an incredibly busy freeway and I was in the far left lane. I barely made it to the shoulder coasting before car started shuttering and jerking and stopped rolling. I could have been killed.
NHTSA complaint, filed 12/19/2025 · ELECTRICAL SYSTEM

US owners have filed 669 complaints about the equivalent Nissan Leaf to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, including 25 that mention a crash, 8 a fire and 12 an injury. These are owner reports, not verified findings — but they are the only large public record of what drivers themselves notice, and they cover the years between MOT tests.

Caveat worth stating plainly: US-specification cars, self-selected reporters, no denominator — complaint counts scale with how many cars were sold there and how motivated owners are to file. The mechanical gap matters as much as the statistical one: American cars of the same name often carry different gearboxes, engines and equipment — automatics where Britain buys manuals — so a drivetrain complaint filed in Ohio may describe a part that was never fitted here. Read the ranking inside a model, not between models, and treat drivetrain entries with particular caution. Source: NHTSA ODI consumer complaints (US market, public domain) — US-spec vehicles, indicative only.

Nissan Leaf inspection results in other countries

United Kingdom MOT stands out at 17.7%, against 26.0% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)17.69%26.01%-8.3 pp70,882
NorwayPKK32.3%33.5%-1.2 pp13,349
FinlandKatsastus18.9%26.3%-7.4 pp1,180

The verdict is consistent across every regime we can measure, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

What Finland fails it for — share of recorded faults
Fault areaShare
Axles, wheels and suspension41.9%
Brake systems36.3%
Steering equipment12.8%
Vehicle identification3.2%
Chassis and body2.9%

Useful as a cross-check on the UK defect table above: the categories are named differently, but a component that dominates in both regimes is a genuine weak point of the model rather than an artefact of one country's testing style.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Nissan Leaf is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

One caveat before you read the UK row: these are raw failure rates, because no other country publishes the age detail our index needs. This model's raw UK rate looks better than the national average while its age-adjusted index is 109.2 — the fleet here is unusually young, and the raw column silently credits that. The index above is the fair comparison; this table is for reading each country against itself.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: Statens vegvesen — Periodisk kjøretøykontroll (PKK) 2024, CC BY 4.0; Traficom — Periodic inspections of cars by model / by model and fault object 2024, CC BY 4.0.

Nissan Leaf MOT: quick answers

Nissan Leaf MOT Risk Index stands out at 109.2, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Nissan Leaf first-time MOT pass rate?
82.31% of first attempts passed in 2024 (70,882 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 17.69% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 70,882 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 109.2 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Nissan Leaf with other cars

Ford Ka is highest at 109.5; Volkswagen Caddy is lowest at 108.0 — the gap is 1.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Head-to-head

Tesla Model 3 head-to-head

Same brand

All Nissan MOT statisticsNissan Micra MOT statsNissan Qashqai MOT stats

Similar risk

Vauxhall Astra (index 109.1)Ford Ka (index 109.5)Volkswagen Caddy (index 108.0)

Same size class

how Tesla Model 3 compareshow Mitsubishi Outlander compareshow Honda e compares


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v1, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:nissan-leaf:dvsa-2024-v1. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Nissan Leaf MOT statistics 2024 (dvsa-2024-v1). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/nissan-leaf/ · Published 2026-07-30.