MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Citroen Saxo — MOT statistics 2024

The Citroen Saxo failed 44.96% of 3,610 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 111.3 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 11% more often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.

MOT risk index 111.3, 95% CI 107.3–115.4 (100 = national average) 100 111.3 0 200
Index
111.3
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
44.96%
n = 3,610
Dangerous /100
16
national ≈11
Rank
570 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Peugeot 306 (index 111.4) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Citroen Saxo common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Body, chassis, structure stand out at 26.7 per 100 tests, against 16.5 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Citroen Saxo common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone, and 1 of these is already inside an interval that includes 1.00×.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical40.216,83839.81.01×0.99–1.03 · not distinguishable
Brakes34.114,29725.31.35×1.33–1.37
Body & structure26.711,20916.51.62×1.59–1.65
Suspension24.410,24132.10.76×0.75–0.78
Emissions & leaks19.78,25910.01.96×1.92–2.01
Visibility14.76,16413.41.10×1.07–1.12
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 41,905 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired11.051.129.88×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Brakes imbalance across an axle such that the…Brakes imbalance across an axle such that the braking effort from any wheel is less than 70% of the maximum effort recorded from the other wheel on the same axle.7.360.5912.43×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc6.810.6011.37×Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc6.831.564.38×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or
Emissions levels exceed default limitsEmissions levels exceed default limits5.530.4711.87×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or…Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range specified by the manufacturer5.470.5310.34×Ask the seller about: Lambda coefficient outside the default limits or the range s
Exhaust system leaking or insecureExhaust system leaking or insecure5.981.165.16×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Service brake efficiency below minimum requirementService brake efficiency below minimum requirement4.920.2024.36×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of…Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning5.051.503.37×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements4.882.571.90×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Citroen Saxo MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 38.0 per 100 tests; Identification is lowest at 8.7 per 100 tests — the gap is 29.3 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Citroen Saxo MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres38
Brakes37.5
Suspension29.6
Body & structure16.5
Emissions & leaks15.6
Identification8.7

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed46.1%3,812
It passed39.7%13,409

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 6.4 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 43.1% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 41,396 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only114.1fails more often than expected
Age and annual mileage123.6fails more often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year33.3%a large low-use population — often second vehicles or cars kept for occasional use

Split by how much each car is driven. This is a split by annual mileage, not by body type — the MOT record does not say whether a car is a conversion. Within each band the index compares with vehicles of the same age driven as much.

Miles a yearTestsFailed first timeIndex within band
under 3,00013,78342.8%133.3
3,000–6,00022,72452.7%121.1
6,000–9,0004,61955.4%114.8

Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 9.5 points — this fleet is driven less than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view flatters it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Citroen Saxo compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeCitroen SaxoSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
15 years56.04%47.93%+8.1 pp207
16 years52.04%49.96%+2.08 pp2,721
17 years51.5%50.5%+1 pp5,272
18 years52.01%50.84%+1.17 pp7,337
19 years50.85%50.29%+0.55 pp7,267
20 years48.32%49.62%-1.31 pp6,056

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Citroen Saxo perform as it gets older?

The Saxo at age 20 stands out at 45.1%, against 41.0% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Citroen Saxo perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–49%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeCitroen SaxoAll vehiclesGap
2045.1%41.0%+4.1 pp

Is a Citroen Saxo ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Citroen Saxo MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 0.0%.

Based on 3,270 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 3,270

How dangerous are Citroen Saxo MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 146.4 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Citroen Saxo MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor21.7414.221.53×
Major146.4352.752.78×
Dangerous15.6111.151.40×

Chart values: Minor 21.7 · Major 146.4 · Dangerous 15.6.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Citroen Saxo MOT matter?

Jan is highest at 51.3%; Jun is lowest at 48.8% — the gap is 2.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Citroen Saxo MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–53%.

bars: Citroen Saxo · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthCitroen SaxoAll vehiclesGap
Jan51.31%31.12%+20.2 pp
Feb49.69%29.99%+19.7 pp
Mar49.19%28.26%+20.9 pp
Apr50.22%29.78%+20.4 pp
May51.25%28.79%+22.5 pp
Jun48.83%28.15%+20.7 pp
Jul49.36%29.33%+20.0 pp
Aug48.86%29.2%+19.7 pp
Sep48.98%28.19%+20.8 pp
Oct49.73%30.34%+19.4 pp
Nov49.35%30.58%+18.8 pp
Dec50.42%29.33%+21.1 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 2.5 percentage points — booking month barely matters for this family. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Citroen Saxo average mileage by age

At age 20+, the middle half of Saxos runs from 51,212 miles to 95,286 miles, against 71,153 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Does high mileage mean more Citroen Saxo MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 38.4% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 50.8% of those with over 140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Citroen Saxo MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Citroen Saxo: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
15+<40k miles38.4%34–43%443 (rough estimate)
15+40-70k miles42.3%39.5–45.2%1,137
15+70-100k miles49.7%46.6–52.9%991
15+100-140k miles47.2%43–51.4%545
15+140k+ miles50.8%42.3–59.1%132 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
20+51,21271,15395,2863,270

A typical 20+-year-old Saxo has ~71,153 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Citroen Saxo fails its MOT most

Plymouth area is highest at 61.9%; London E area is lowest at 33.6% — the gap is 28.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Citroen Saxo line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Plymouth (PL)61.92%+12.2 pp
Blackpool (FY)61.7%+12.0 pp
Dorchester (DT)59.89%+10.2 pp
Exeter (EX)59.55%+9.8 pp
Bournemouth (BH)57.68%+8.0 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
London E (E)33.56%-16.2 pp
Croydon (CR)33.82%-15.9 pp
London SW (SW)34.53%-15.2 pp
Enfield (EN)35.93%-13.8 pp
Glasgow (G)36.22%-13.5 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 39%–60% failing.

How many miles does a Citroen Saxo last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 20.8%; 150,000+ miles is lowest at 1.8% — the gap is 19.0 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles8,68120.8%
150,000+ miles7531.8%

Of 41,731 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 20.8% had reached 100k miles, 1.8% had reached 150k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

Citroen Saxo faults that come together

Road Wheels + Tyres stand out at 4.61×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Road WheelsTyres284.61× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension493.61× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems353.35× (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels533.18× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension6163.11×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels633.07× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility1082.91× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5112.85×
Road WheelsVisibility312.84× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres582.8× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks1132.7× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels332.68× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels472.62× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems7792.6×
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1812.59× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks2,6412.52×
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle1432.52× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres2222.51× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension1162.51× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5912.44×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering2712.39× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility7432.36×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1,3712.32×
BrakesTyres1,1122.32×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility3692.32× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension2,4782.31×
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle1412.31× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering612.31× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks2,2102.27×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility2,3762.24×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks2,6262.19×
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3,5342.18×
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension1,7302.18×
SteeringSuspension1,0862.17×
SuspensionTyres8502.17×
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5692.17×
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres7582.13×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering1,5812.09×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension2,7542.08×
BrakesVisibility1,7482.03×
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3,5372.02×
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility1,2732×
Body, chassis, structureTyres1,0372×
Body, chassis, structureBrakes2,7971.97×
Body, chassis, structureSuspension2,2261.93×
BrakesSteering1,1721.91×
Body, chassis, structureVisibility1,7481.88×
SteeringTyres4201.88× (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility7511.87×
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering8301.83×
SuspensionVisibility1,2661.8×
Body, chassis, structureSteering1,1911.8×
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems19too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSteering18too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter6too few (rough estimate)
BrakesSpeedometer and speed limiter5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems» and «Suspension» appear together 3.11× more often than chance (616 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Which Citroen Saxo engine is best?

petrol under 1.0 is highest at 116.3; petrol 1.5–1.8 is lowest at 90.9 — the gap is 25.4 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.5–1.8 litre90.945.03%7,301
petrol1.2–1.5 litre94.846.61%4,169 (rough estimate)
diesel1.5–1.8 litre99.348.99%1,235 (rough estimate)
petrol1.0–1.2 litre102.851.39%28,285
petrolunder 1.0 litre116.355.89%560 (rough estimate)

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the petrol 1.0–1.2 runs at 102.8 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.5–1.8 runs at 90.9 — a spread of 11.9 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Best year for a Citroen Saxo, and the years to avoid

Build year 1998 is highest at 103.7; Build year 2004 is lowest at 88.2 — the gap is 15.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Citroen Saxo build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Citroen Saxo by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
200488.276.3–100.144.7%472no different
200394.992–97.749.27%8,760better
200297.594.9–100.150.06%11,122no different
200198.896.1–101.550.59%10,279no different
2000100.796.7–104.750.86%4,701no different
1999101.793.7–109.750.65%1,228no different
1998103.792.6–114.851.7%648no different

The best build year here is 2003 and the weakest is 2003. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 1 of 7 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Citroen Saxo MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £190.75 to £362.43, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£191–362
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment40.2 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£56.28
Brakes34.1 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£51.15
Suspension24.4 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£43.92
Noise, emissions and leaks19.7 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£39.40

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £191 to £362, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Citroen Saxo rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 3.98×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
3.98×
3.05% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
24th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 9 postcode areas

This Citroen Saxo fails on corrosion far more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish. Those two point in opposite directions, which is the informative case: it rusts more than average despite living in gentler places, so the cause is the car, not the postcode.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Citroen Saxo advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 29.0%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 29.0 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Citroen Saxo chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Citroen Saxo, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 29% · Body & chassis 25.2% · Suspension 21.9% · Brakes 21.5% · Noise, emissions, leaks 15.8% · Tyres 10.7% · Identification of the veh… 4.2% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment29.0%12.1 months2,6481,484
Body, chassis, structure25.2%12.1 months2,4223,491
Suspension21.9%12.1 months2,3624,586
Brakes21.5%12.1 months2,3096,337
Noise, emissions and leaks15.8%12.1 months2,5663,902
Tyres10.7%12.1 months2,5386,458
Identification of the vehicle4.2%12 months2,3472,069
Non-component advisories0.0%——1,273

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 29 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 2,648 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Citroen Saxo?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 26.8%; Brakes after a passed at age 20+ are lowest at 10.7% — the gap is 16.1 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.1% · Body, chassis, structure 13.5% · Brakes 12.0%5,335
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.0% · Body, chassis, structure 19.2% · Brakes 16.3%4,741
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 26.8% · Body, chassis, structure 22.3% · Brakes 19.9%9,159
20+passedBody, chassis, structure 11.5% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.4% · Brakes 10.7%2,532
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 19.1% · Body, chassis, structure 17.3% · Brakes 15.4%2,548
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 23.9% · Body, chassis, structure 19.9% · Brakes 19.2%4,353

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Citroen Saxo ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 64.2%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 6.0% — the gap is 58.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
29.77%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
1.505
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
24.76%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.235%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 13,645 failures followed through to their re-test, 29.77% were repaired and passed the same day and 64.2% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 45,627 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 1.505 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 1,830 miles a year across 9,268 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 24.76% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 35.46% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.235% of 9,308 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 8,593 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Citroen Saxo safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 3.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Citroen Saxo recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Citroen Saxo. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 1997: 1 · 1998: 0 · 1999: 0 · 2000: 1 · 2001: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Citroen Saxo
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2001/09608/08/2001484PARKING BRAKE EFFICIENCY MAY BE REDUCED
R/2000/00501/02/20009,088POSSIBILITY OF LOSS OF BRAKE SERVO ASSISTANCE
R/1997/01111/04/19977,309POSSIBLE DISENGAGEMENT OF DRIVING SEAT CATCH

DVSA lists 3 safety recall campaigns for the Citroen Saxo, covering roughly 16,881 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Citroen Saxo inspection results in other countries

Netherlands APK stands out at 70.9%, against 50.8% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)44.96%26.01%+18.9 pp3,610
NetherlandsAPK70.9%50.8%+20.1 pp1,367

The verdict is consistent across every regime where the difference is clear, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

The exact faults Netherlands records — APK defect codes, 2024
CodeFaultRecordedType
RA2Excessive leak of other fluids264advisory
210Tyre pressure not at the correct value242failure
250Steering gaiter split, no longer sealing167failure
RA1Airbag or seat-belt warning light showing a fault140advisory
115Exhaust not gas-tight or venting unsafely139failure
AC4Steering or suspension ball joint worn up to 1.0 mm135advisory
205Tyre with insufficient tread120failure
361Remverschil op 1 as te groot117failure

Worth dwelling on how mundane the top of that list is: tyre pressure, tread depth, headlight aim. The Dutch APK records 2.092 defects per inspection against a much higher national failure rate than Britain's, and the reason is not that Dutch cars are worse — it is that the two regimes draw the line between "note it" and "fail it" in different places. Codes are the RDW's own; the English wording here is our translation of the Dutch original.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Citroen Saxo is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: RDW open data — Meldingen Keuringsinstantie + Geconstateerde Gebreken + Gekentekende voertuigen (2024), CC0. Not an RDW endorsement.. Adapted; licences and full notice.

Citroen Saxo MOT: quick answers

Citroen Saxo MOT Risk Index stands out at 111.3, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Citroen Saxo first-time MOT pass rate?
55.04% of first attempts passed in 2024 (3,610 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 44.96% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 3,610 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 111.3 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Citroen Saxo with other cars

Volkswagen Polo is highest at 111.6; Citroen C2 is lowest at 111.1 — the gap is 0.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Citroen MOT statisticsCitroen C2 MOT statsCitroen Relay MOT stats

Similar risk

Peugeot 306 (index 111.4)Citroen C2 (index 111.1)Volkswagen Polo (index 111.6)

Same size class

how Mercedes-Benz GL compareshow Mercedes-Benz X-Class compareshow DS DS7 compares

By build year

Citroen Saxo 1998Citroen Saxo 1999Citroen Saxo 2000Citroen Saxo 2001Citroen Saxo 2002Citroen Saxo 2003Citroen Saxo 2004

By area

Citroen Saxo MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Citroen Saxo body, chassis and structure failuresCitroen Saxo brakes failuresCitroen Saxo vehicle identification failuresCitroen Saxo lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresCitroen Saxo noise, emissions and leaks failuresCitroen Saxo road wheels failuresCitroen Saxo seat belts and airbags failuresCitroen Saxo steering failuresCitroen Saxo suspension failuresCitroen Saxo tyres failuresCitroen Saxo visibility failures

Inspections abroad

Citroen Saxo in the Netherlands


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:citroen-saxo:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Citroen Saxo MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/citroen-saxo/ · Published 2026-07-30.