MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Toyota Granvia — MOT statistics 2024

The Toyota Granvia failed 36.71% of 1,185 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 96.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car is too close to call — statistically indistinguishable from normal for its age. Small sample — treat with care.

MOT risk index 96.7, 95% CI 89.6–104.1 (100 = national average) 100 96.7 0 200
Index
96.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
36.71%
n = 1,185
Dangerous /100
8
national ≈11
Rank
414 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Honda Accord (index 96.6) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Toyota Granvia common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension is well below the reference at 17.8 per 100 tests, against 25.7 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Toyota Granvia common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone, and 1 of these is already inside an interval that includes 1.00×.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical33.82,64130.31.12×1.07–1.16
Suspension17.81,38925.70.69×0.65–0.73
Body & structure15.61,22212.61.24×1.17–1.31
Brakes15.41,20119.90.78×0.73–0.82
Visibility11.791311.11.05×0.98–1.12 · not distinguishable
Tyres5.94608.90.67×0.60–0.73
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 7,820 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or…An obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or rear fog lamp inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning6.780.4315.92×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Exhaust system leaking or insecureExhaust system leaking or insecure4.541.163.92×Watch for smoke on a cold start — emissions failures are costly
Flexible brake hose excessively damaged,…A flexible brake hose excessively damaged, deteriorated, chafed, twisted or stretched 2.580.1418.43×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Brake pipe damaged or excessively corrodedBrake pipe damaged or excessively corroded3.551.412.53×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely deteriorated3.571.482.42×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely d
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn6.754.871.39×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen3.982.221.79×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of…Stop lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning2.841.501.89×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources4.142.831.46×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning2.582.091.24×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Toyota Granvia MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Suspension is highest at 63.1 per 100 tests; Non-component advisories are lowest at 6.5 per 100 tests — the gap is 56.6 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Toyota Granvia MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Suspension63.1
Brakes42.3
Tyres29.3
Body & structure15.4
Emissions & leaks10.6
Non-component advisories6.5

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed34.9%687
It passed29.8%3,677

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 5.1 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 35.3% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 7,656 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only90.5fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage83.1fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year3.4%a normal spread of use

Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 7.4 points — this fleet works harder than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view penalises it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Toyota Granvia compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeToyota GranviaSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
7 years29.41%18.24%+11.17 pp187
8 years34.36%20.54%+13.82 pp195
9 years33.94%23.09%+10.85 pp218
10 years29.96%25.6%+4.37 pp277
11 years33.72%28.22%+5.5 pp344
12 years28.74%30.56%-1.82 pp334
13 years35.86%32.63%+3.23 pp396
14 years38.97%34.58%+4.39 pp467
15 years38.14%36.03%+2.11 pp485
16 years37.16%37.09%+0.08 pp522
17 years36.28%37.47%-1.19 pp430
18 years37.46%37.84%-0.38 pp331
19 years34.19%37.45%-3.26 pp234
20 years33.33%36.96%-3.63 pp180

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Toyota Granvia perform as it gets older?

The Granvia at age 17 is well below the reference at 34.1%, against 43.1% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Toyota Granvia perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeToyota GranviaAll vehiclesGap
1336.2%38.2%-2.0 pp
1440.6%40.4%+0.2 pp
1734.1%43.1%-9.0 pp
1838.1%43.9%-5.7 pp
2034.6%41.0%-6.4 pp

Is a Toyota Granvia ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Toyota Granvia MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 27.6%.

Based on 1,078 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 11
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 42
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 37
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 49
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 333
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 283
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 118
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 81
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 124

How dangerous are Toyota Granvia MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 77.5 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Toyota Granvia MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor23.7314.221.67×
Major77.4752.751.47×
Dangerous8.4811.150.76×

Chart values: Minor 23.7 · Major 77.5 · Dangerous 8.5.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Toyota Granvia MOT matter?

Sep is highest at 39.2%; Nov is lowest at 32.9% — the gap is 6.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Toyota Granvia MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–41%.

bars: Toyota Granvia · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthToyota GranviaAll vehiclesGap
Jan34.64%31.12%+3.5 pp
Feb37.54%29.99%+7.6 pp
Mar34.06%28.26%+5.8 pp
Apr38.03%29.78%+8.3 pp
May33.63%28.79%+4.8 pp
Jun34.09%28.15%+5.9 pp
Jul35.73%29.33%+6.4 pp
Aug33.64%29.2%+4.4 pp
Sep39.2%28.19%+11.0 pp
Oct34.5%30.34%+4.2 pp
Nov32.88%30.58%+2.3 pp
Dec34.48%29.33%+5.1 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 6.3 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Toyota Granvia average mileage by age

At age 17, the middle half of Granvias runs from 123,096 miles to 184,487 miles, against 149,847 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Toyota Granvia · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–198k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Granvia MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 29.7% of those with 70,000–100,000 miles failed first time versus 38.2% of those with over 140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Toyota Granvia MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Granvia: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
10–1470-100k miles30.7%21.4–41.8%75 (rough estimate)
10–14100-140k miles44.2%35.6–53.1%120 (rough estimate)
10–14140k+ miles38.9%31–47.5%131 (rough estimate)
15+70-100k miles29.7%20.5–40.9%74 (rough estimate)
15+100-140k miles38.5%31.7–45.8%179 (rough estimate)
15+140k+ miles38.2%33.1–43.7%319 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
1396,391116,100149,712105
14105,403132,781173,609101
16110,999139,037176,98396
17123,096149,847184,487132
18131,024156,456188,572118
19113,997141,780171,11981
20+87,009121,014173,671127

A typical 17-year-old Granvia has ~149,847 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Toyota Granvia fails its MOT most

Torquay area is highest at 54.6%; Sheffield area is lowest at 21.5% — the gap is 33.1 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Torquay (TQ)54.55%+19.4 pp
Brighton (BN)51.64%+16.5 pp
Exeter (EX)48.75%+13.6 pp
Bristol (BS)45.85%+10.7 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Sheffield (S)21.47%-13.6 pp
Kilmarnock (KA)24.26%-10.9 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West.

Toyota Granvia survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 is close to the reference at 100.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Toyota Granvia survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
46060.2%31.67%
5100100%21%
6139100%35.25%
7187100%29.41%
8195100%34.36%
9218100%33.94%
10277100%29.96%
11344100%33.72%
12334100%28.74%
13396100%35.86%
14467100%38.97%
15485100%38.14%
16522100%37.16%
17430100%36.28%
18331100%37.46%
19234100%34.19%

By age 16, at least as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈100): the older fleet has not thinned out here, so there is no survivor selection to allow for.

How many miles does a Toyota Granvia last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 77.2%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 15.6% — the gap is 61.6 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles5,96677.17%
150,000+ miles3,32843.05%
200,000+ miles1,20615.6%

Of 7,731 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 77.2% had reached 100k miles, 43.0% had reached 150k miles, 15.6% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Toyota Granvia likely to last?

Bought at age 5 is highest at 14.5 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 4.5 years — the gap is 10.0 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 14.5
8—at least 11.5
10—at least 9.5
12—at least 7.5
15—at least 4.5

estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family has at least 9.5 expected years of further MOT-present life. The curve is observed only until age 19, so the true figure is likely higher.

Toyota Granvia faults that come together

Body & structure + Emissions & leaks stand out at 4.07×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks1354.07× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment213.8× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems233.51× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension643.45× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres913.21× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems493.17× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks833.14× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres223.14× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres373.08× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3932.75× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension212.68× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension2472.63× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems512.63× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes2042.61× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks1582.61× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension832.61× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension1952.6× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility762.59× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSteering212.57× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres862.53× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility402.5× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility1602.48× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility3622.45× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1592.45× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems862.43× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres862.42× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension4062.37× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility642.34× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment4162.32× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility1882.32× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility1632.1× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering241.61× (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle13too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle13too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels13too few (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility13too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension10too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension10too few (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering10too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility9too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter7too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels7too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering7too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels6too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres5too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 4.07× more often than chance (135 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Toyota Granvia MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £107.77 to £204.76, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£108–205
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment33.8 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£47.32
Suspension17.8 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£32.04
Brakes15.4 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£23.10
Tyres5.9 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£5.31

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £108 to £205, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Toyota Granvia running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 18 stand out at 38.0%, against 36.0% at age 13, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 13
36
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 105 tests)
At age 18
38
other cars of this model tested at age 18 in 2024 (rough estimate: 118 tests)
Repairs per 100
£10,777
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
2d
median; 26.69% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1336.19%116,100105—
1440.59%132,781101—
1734.09%149,847132—
1838.14%156,456118—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Toyota Granvia rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 4.09×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
4.09×
3.13% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
highest
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 0 postcode areas

This Toyota Granvia fails on corrosion far more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are saltier than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Toyota Granvia advisory become a failure?

Body, chassis, structure are highest at 19.7%; Noise, emissions and leaks are lowest at 6.5% — the gap is 13.2 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Toyota Granvia chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Toyota Granvia, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Body & chassis 19.7% · Brakes 14.8% · Suspension 14.4% · Tyres 8.5% · Noise, emissions, leaks 6.5%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Body, chassis, structure19.7%12.1 months3,573705
Brakes14.8%12.2 months3,7321,507
Suspension14.4%12.1 months3,4681,842
Tyres8.5%12.1 months3,5141,128
Noise, emissions and leaks6.5%12.1 months4,902584

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 20 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 3,573 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Toyota Granvia?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 12-14 are highest at 33.1%; Body, chassis, structure after a passed at age 3-5 are lowest at 5.6% — the gap is 27.5 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
3-5passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.2% · Suspension 7.8% · Body, chassis, structure 5.6%90 (rough estimate)
3-5advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.9% · Body, chassis, structure 9.8%61 (rough estimate)
3-5failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.7% · Suspension 13.0% · Body, chassis, structure 11.1%54 (rough estimate)
6-8passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.8% · Brakes 10.5% · Suspension 5.8%172 (rough estimate)
6-8advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.4% · Body, chassis, structure 11.7% · Suspension 9.0%145 (rough estimate)
6-8failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 26.4% · Suspension 11.7% · Visibility 11.7%163 (rough estimate)
9-11passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.9% · Body, chassis, structure 6.0% · Suspension 5.7%248 (rough estimate)
9-11advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 19.5% · Body, chassis, structure 9.8% · Suspension 9.8%246 (rough estimate)
9-11failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.2% · Suspension 12.7% · Brakes 10.4%221 (rough estimate)
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.8% · Suspension 9.2% · Body, chassis, structure 8.0%262 (rough estimate)
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.0% · Suspension 13.7% · Body, chassis, structure 12.5%328 (rough estimate)
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 33.1% · Body, chassis, structure 18.8% · Brakes 16.2%351 (rough estimate)
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.7% · Suspension 11.7% · Body, chassis, structure 9.1%395 (rough estimate)
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 23.8% · Body, chassis, structure 16.8% · Brakes 13.0%416 (rough estimate)
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.9% · Body, chassis, structure 15.3% · Visibility 14.3%477 (rough estimate)
20+passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.3% · Brakes 5.9% · Visibility 5.9%910
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.7% · Body, chassis, structure 12.8% · Suspension 10.2%792
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.7% · Body, chassis, structure 13.7% · Suspension 13.2%925

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Toyota Granvia ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 66.2%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 7.1% — the gap is 59.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
26.69%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.634
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
30.85%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
47.543%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 1,821 failures followed through to their re-test, 26.69% were repaired and passed the same day and 66.23% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 5,196 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.634 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 3,206 miles a year across 1,434 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 30.85% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 45.61% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 47.543% of 1,445 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 57,949 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Toyota Granvia MOT: quick answers

Toyota Granvia MOT Risk Index is close to the reference at 96.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Toyota Granvia first-time MOT pass rate?
63.29% of first attempts passed in 2024 (1,185 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 36.71% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 1,185 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 96.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Toyota Granvia with other cars

Toyota Granvia is highest at 96.7; Chrysler Jeep Grand is lowest at 96.5 — the gap is 0.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Toyota MOT statisticsToyota Starlet MOT statsToyota Celica MOT stats

Similar risk

Honda Accord (index 96.6)Iveco Daily (index 96.6)Chrysler Jeep Grand (index 96.5)

Same size class

how Volkswagen Corrado compareshow Vauxhall Ampera compareshow Peugeot E7 compares

By area

Toyota Granvia MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Toyota Granvia body, chassis and structure failuresToyota Granvia brakes failuresToyota Granvia vehicle identification failuresToyota Granvia lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresToyota Granvia noise, emissions and leaks failuresToyota Granvia seat belts and airbags failuresToyota Granvia steering failuresToyota Granvia suspension failuresToyota Granvia tyres failuresToyota Granvia visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:toyota-granvia:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Granvia MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-granvia/ · Published 2026-07-30.