MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Jaguar S-Type — MOT statistics 2024

The Jaguar S-Type failed 38.13% of 11,255 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 91.0 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 9% less often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 91.0, 95% CI 88.9–93.1 (100 = national average) 100 91.0 0 200
Index
91.0
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
38.13%
n = 11,255
Dangerous /100
15
national ≈11
Diesel − petrol
+0.9 pp
fail-rate gap
Rank
359 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Jaguar XE (index 90.8) — the two published results are 0.2 index points apart.

Jaguar S-Type common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Suspension stands out at 56.2 per 100 tests, against 31.7 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Jaguar S-Type common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Suspension56.245,29831.71.77×1.75–1.79
Lamps & electrical23.218,71739.00.59×0.59–0.60
Brakes23.018,58424.20.95×0.94–0.97
Steering13.310,7216.32.10×2.06–2.14
Visibility10.38,32812.90.80×0.79–0.82
Tyres9.67,71610.00.96×0.93–0.98
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 80,627 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated19.701.9010.35×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer…A suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc17.321.789.71×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc5.910.609.87×Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover missing or no
Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or deteriorated5.470.767.22×Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or det
Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired4.751.124.25×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn8.164.871.68×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements5.842.572.28×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective4.021.093.67×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Brake pipe damaged or excessively corrodedBrake pipe damaged or excessively corroded3.261.412.32×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements3.343.590.93×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Jaguar S-Type MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 56.5 per 100 tests; Lamps & electrical are lowest at 5.1 per 100 tests — the gap is 51.4 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Jaguar S-Type MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes56.5
Suspension53.8
Tyres39.5
Emissions & leaks12
Body & structure7.8
Lamps & electrical5.1

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed33.5%6,972
It passed32.8%34,842

A failed test does not clearly change next year's odds here (33.5% against 32.8%): the difference is within the margin of error. The failure most likely to come back is road wheels — 51.5% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 79,982 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only85.9fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage87.1fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year12.2%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (+1.2 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Jaguar S-Type compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeJaguar S-TypeSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
13 years32.95%32.63%+0.32 pp3,026
14 years33.02%34.59%-1.57 pp5,711
15 years35.81%36.04%-0.23 pp8,185
16 years37.26%37.08%+0.18 pp10,536
17 years37.73%37.46%+0.26 pp11,750
18 years39.13%37.82%+1.31 pp10,575
19 years39.5%37.41%+2.09 pp8,914
20 years39.42%36.91%+2.51 pp7,773

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Jaguar S-Type perform as it gets older?

The S-Type at age 18 is well below the reference at 37.2%, against 43.9% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Jaguar S-Type perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeJaguar S-TypeAll vehiclesGap
1736.7%43.1%-6.4 pp
1837.2%43.9%-6.7 pp
1939.2%43.5%-4.3 pp
2038.5%41.0%-2.5 pp

Is a Jaguar S-Type ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Jaguar S-Type MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 11.5%.

Based on 10,855 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
15–17 years28.2%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,942
18 years41.6%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,683
19 years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,539
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 5,689

How dangerous are Jaguar S-Type MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 100.8 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Jaguar S-Type MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor37.1214.222.61×
Major100.7952.751.91×
Dangerous15.4111.151.38×

Chart values: Minor 37.1 · Major 100.8 · Dangerous 15.4.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Jaguar S-Type MOT matter?

Oct is highest at 38.5%; Dec is lowest at 36.2% — the gap is 2.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Jaguar S-Type MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–40%.

bars: Jaguar S-Type · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthJaguar S-TypeAll vehiclesGap
Jan37.94%31.12%+6.8 pp
Feb38.43%29.99%+8.4 pp
Mar37.37%28.26%+9.1 pp
Apr38.31%29.78%+8.5 pp
May37.58%28.79%+8.8 pp
Jun36.75%28.15%+8.6 pp
Jul37.68%29.33%+8.4 pp
Aug37.34%29.2%+8.1 pp
Sep38.25%28.19%+10.1 pp
Oct38.5%30.34%+8.2 pp
Nov38.09%30.58%+7.5 pp
Dec36.17%29.33%+6.8 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 2.3 percentage points — booking month barely matters for this family. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Jaguar S-Type average mileage by age

At age 19, the middle half of S-Types runs from 72,359 miles to 116,553 miles, against 93,509 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Jaguar S-Type · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–126k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Jaguar S-Type MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 26.1% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 48.1% of those with over 140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

Does high mileage mean more Jaguar S-Type MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar S-Type: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
15+<40k miles26.1%22.6–29.8%564
15+40-70k miles32.3%30.4–34.3%2,182
15+70-100k miles38.1%36.5–39.6%3,727
15+100-140k miles40.5%38.9–42.2%3,317
15+140k+ miles48.1%45.1–51.1%1,052

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
1768,83091,272114,5961,931
1875,65996,853119,5731,683
1972,35993,509116,5531,540
20+67,38389,523112,9285,697

A typical 19-year-old S-Type has ~93,509 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Jaguar S-Type fails its MOT most

Aberdeen area is highest at 51.6%; Ilford area is lowest at 25.3% — the gap is 26.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Jaguar S-Type line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Aberdeen (AB)51.62%+13.9 pp
Kirkcaldy (KY)50%+12.3 pp
Falkirk (FK)48.89%+11.1 pp
Exeter (EX)48.5%+10.8 pp
Perth (PH)48.18%+10.4 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Ilford (IG)25.34%-12.4 pp
Enfield (EN)26.28%-11.5 pp
Slough (SL)27.61%-10.1 pp
London E (E)27.69%-10.1 pp
Halifax (HX)27.69%-10.1 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 12.1 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.61, n=39 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 10.8 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.57, n=26 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 12.2 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.47, n=39 areas with ≥800 tests).

Jaguar S-Type Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
MOT centre density31.5%43.6%+12.1 ppr=0.61
Terrain gradient34.7%45.4%+10.7 ppr=0.57
Urban share42.3%30.1%-12.2 ppr=-0.47

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.6113931.543.6+12.15.17.6
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.5682634.745.4+10.80.63.2
Urban share (0–1)-0.4663942.330.1-12.20.51
Income deprivation (score)-0.3543736.533.1-3.40.10.2
Distance to coast (km)-0.3153939.634.6-5.05.490.5
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)-0.0943939.338.0-1.3193.4409.1
Frost days (days/year)-0.0583941.739.6-2.19.123.3

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 28%–47% failing.

How many miles does a Jaguar S-Type last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 41.2%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 0.7% — the gap is 40.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles33,10141.18%
150,000+ miles5,2626.55%
200,000+ miles5920.74%

Of 80,375 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 41.2% had reached 100k miles, 6.5% had reached 150k miles, 0.7% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

Jaguar S-Type faults that come together

Body & structure + Road Wheels stand out at 4.45×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels624.45× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems424.15× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks714.13× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels694.11× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres923.91× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels1823.65× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks5253.61×
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1,6453.54×
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle483.37× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility1033.35× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1703.34× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems3493.3× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems343.29× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres763.16× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems2753.14× (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels1383.1× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes1,1893.09×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks1,5903.05×
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems8262.95×
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle1282.82× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems8592.74×
Road WheelsVisibility822.72× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres6622.69×
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1,1302.62×
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility8212.61×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility2,4242.6×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility4882.58× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3,5472.57×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres1,8622.55×
BrakesTyres1,6552.54×
Body, chassis, structureTyres5012.46×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres3632.45× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension1,3392.35×
BrakesVisibility1,9422.33×
TyresVisibility1,0272.33×
Body, chassis, structureVisibility5922.27×
SteeringSuspension4,0152.26×
Identification of the vehicleSuspension2062.22× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering662.05× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension1852.04× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension1,8871.99×
BrakesSuspension4,9711.98×
Body, chassis, structureSuspension1,5271.95×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension5,4521.94×
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering6351.93×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering1,8231.87×
Road WheelsSteering581.84× (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering1,5921.83×
SuspensionTyres2,4001.81×
SteeringVisibility1,0501.78×
SuspensionVisibility2,9891.76×
SteeringTyres7961.73×
Body, chassis, structureSteering4701.72× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering3261.64× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSpeedometer and speed limiter5too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter5too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleRoad Wheels5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 3.61× more often than chance (525 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Jaguar S-Type?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 25.3%, against 38.7% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year25.27%2,177
8–12k miles/year38.66%2,325
Gap (low − normal)-13.39 pp—
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
1326.6749538.34725-11.68 pp
1426.7284238.561,154-11.84 pp

Petrol

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
1322.3525536.67150-14.31 pp
1423.2958440.34295-17.05 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 25.3% vs 38.7% for 8–12k miles/year — 13.4 pp lower (n_low=2,177, n_normal=2,325). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 26.7% low-use vs 38.6% normal (-11.8 pp).

Best year for a Jaguar S-Type, and the years to avoid

Build year 2001 is highest at 107.0; Build year 2006 is lowest at 98.4 — the gap is 8.6 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Jaguar S-Type build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar S-Type by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
200799.196.1–102.134.16%12,566no different
200698.495.4–101.435.11%11,481no different
2005104.1101–107.138.56%11,343worse
200498.996.1–101.837.45%12,270no different
2003100.997.7–104.138.83%9,913no different
2002105.3101.7–108.941.03%7,956worse
2001107102.3–111.742.01%4,777worse
2000101.696.5–106.740.15%3,783no different
1999102.595.1–11041.16%1,764no different

The best build year here is 2005 and the weakest is 2001. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 3 of 9 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Jaguar S-Type MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £176.78 to £335.88, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£177–336
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Suspension56.2 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£101.16
Brakes23.0 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£34.50
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment23.2 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£32.48
Tyres9.6 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£8.64

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £177 to £336, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Jaguar S-Type running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 19 stand out at 39.0%, against 37.0% at age 17, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 17
37
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 1,931 tests)
At age 19
39
other cars of this model tested at age 19 in 2024 (rough estimate: 1,540 tests)
Repairs per 100
£17,678
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
2d
median; 22.12% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1736.72%91,2721,931—
1837.2%96,8531,683—
1939.22%93,5091,540—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Jaguar S-Type rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 3.22×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
3.22×
2.46% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
23rd
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 39 postcode areas

This Jaguar S-Type fails on corrosion far more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish. Those two point in opposite directions, which is the informative case: it rusts more than average despite living in gentler places, so the cause is the car, not the postcode.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Jaguar S-Type advisory become a failure?

Suspension is highest at 32.9%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 32.9 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Jaguar S-Type chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar S-Type, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Suspension 32.9% · Lamps & electrical 24.2% · Steering 18.3% · Brakes 16.8% · Tyres 10.9% · Body & chassis 10.2% · Noise, emissions, leaks 8.7% · Identification of the veh… 3.8%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Suspension32.9%12 months2,25814,543
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment24.2%12 months2,6881,838
Steering18.3%12 months2,3211,515
Brakes16.8%12 months2,18016,436
Tyres10.9%12.1 months2,98512,771
Body, chassis, structure10.2%12 months2,4242,776
Noise, emissions and leaks8.6%12.1 months2,5945,883
Identification of the vehicle3.8%12.1 months2,8831,667
Road wheels0.9%11.9 months996577
Non-component advisories0.0%——2,349

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 33 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 2,258 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Jaguar S-Type?

Suspension after a advisory at age 20+ is highest at 34.8%; Brakes after a passed at age 12-14 are lowest at 7.2% — the gap is 27.6 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
12-14passedSuspension 14.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.6% · Brakes 7.2%4,380
12-14advisorySuspension 21.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.2% · Brakes 10.1%3,371
12-14failureSuspension 20.6% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.4% · Brakes 12.3%3,679
15-19passedSuspension 20.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.7% · Steering 7.8%11,986
15-19advisorySuspension 29.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 14.5% · Brakes 12.4%11,437
15-19failureSuspension 27.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.1% · Brakes 14.2%13,649
20+passedSuspension 23.0% · Steering 10.3% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.3%3,085
20+advisorySuspension 34.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.0% · Steering 14.6%3,159
20+failureSuspension 34.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.6% · Brakes 17.2%3,927

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Jaguar S-Type ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 69.3%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 8.6% — the gap is 60.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
22.12%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
1.159
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
24.53%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.977%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 19,332 failures followed through to their re-test, 22.12% were repaired and passed the same day and 69.32% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 58,703 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 1.159 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 2,168 miles a year across 18,588 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 24.53% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 36.25% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.977% of 18,665 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 41,858 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Jaguar S-Type safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 7.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Jaguar S-Type recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Jaguar S-Type. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2000: 2 · 2001: 0 · 2002: 0 · 2003: 0 · 2004: 3 · 2005: 1 · 2006: 0 · 2007: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Jaguar S-Type
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2007/04523/04/20078,028DIESEL PARTICULATE FILTER EXCESSIVE HEAT
R/2005/15530/11/2005109THE PARKING FUNCTION OF THE AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION MAY NOT OPERATE CORRECTLY
R/2004/15606/10/20042,055POOR ADHESION OF SPACE SAVER SPARE WHEEL SPEED RESTRICTION LABEL
R/2004/16406/10/20044POSSIBILE UNINTENTIONAL APPLICATION OF PARKING BRAKE
R/2004/00302/03/200413,911AUTO GEARBOX MAY ENGAGE REVERSE WHEN IN FORWARD DRIVE.
All 7 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2007/04523/04/200701/09/2004 – 31/03/20078,028DIESEL PARTICULATE FILTER EXCESSIVE HEAT
R/2005/15530/11/2005109THE PARKING FUNCTION OF THE AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION MAY NOT OPERATE CORRECTLY
R/2004/15606/10/200402/03/2004 – 31/03/20042,055POOR ADHESION OF SPACE SAVER SPARE WHEEL SPEED RESTRICTION LABEL
R/2004/16406/10/200411/11/2002 – 22/12/20034POSSIBILE UNINTENTIONAL APPLICATION OF PARKING BRAKE
R/2004/00302/03/200401/07/2001 – 30/06/200313,911AUTO GEARBOX MAY ENGAGE REVERSE WHEN IN FORWARD DRIVE.
R/2000/11923/11/200001/01/1999 – 30/09/200018,062FRONT LOWER SUSPENSION BALL JOINT MAY FAIL
R/2000/08904/10/200001/05/2000 – 30/07/20002,104SEAT BELT BUCKLE CONCERN

DVSA lists 7 safety recall campaigns for the Jaguar S-Type, covering roughly 44,273 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Jaguar S-Type MOT: quick answers

Jaguar S-Type MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 91.0, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Jaguar S-Type first-time MOT pass rate?
61.87% of first attempts passed in 2024 (11,255 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 38.13% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 11,255 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 91.0 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Jaguar S-Type with other cars

Jaguar S-Type is highest at 91.0; Toyota C-HR is lowest at 90.6 — the gap is 0.4 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Jaguar MOT statisticsJaguar XE MOT statsJaguar F-Pace MOT stats

Similar risk

Jaguar XE (index 90.8)Toyota C-HR (index 90.6)Toyota Verso (index 90.6)

Same size class

how Mitsubishi Mirage compareshow Jeep Compass compareshow Kia Optima compares

By build year

Jaguar S-Type 1999Jaguar S-Type 2000Jaguar S-Type 2001Jaguar S-Type 2002Jaguar S-Type 2003Jaguar S-Type 2004Jaguar S-Type 2005Jaguar S-Type 2006Jaguar S-Type 2007

By area

Jaguar S-Type MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Jaguar S-Type body, chassis and structure failuresJaguar S-Type brakes failuresJaguar S-Type vehicle identification failuresJaguar S-Type lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresJaguar S-Type noise, emissions and leaks failuresJaguar S-Type road wheels failuresJaguar S-Type seat belts and airbags failuresJaguar S-Type steering failuresJaguar S-Type suspension failuresJaguar S-Type tyres failuresJaguar S-Type visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:jaguar-s-type:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Jaguar S-Type MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/jaguar-s-type/ · Published 2026-07-30.