MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Tesla Model X — MOT statistics 2024

The Tesla Model X failed 19.71% of 6,113 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 116.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 17% more often than expected for its age. But this fleet is driven far harder than average: matched on annual mileage as well as age, using 2019-2024 test chains rather than 2024 alone, the figure is 92.8, on the other side of normal. Both numbers below.

MOT risk index 116.7, 95% CI 110.9–122.7 (100 = national average) 100 116.7 0 200
Index
116.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
19.71%
n = 6,113
Dangerous /100
16
national ≈11
Rank
621 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Jeep Renegade (index 116.7) — the two published results are 0.0 index points apart.

Tesla Model X common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Tyres stand out at 18.7 per 100 tests, against 10.4 per 100 tests across UK electric vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Tesla Model X common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK electric vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Tyres18.74,11310.41.80×1.74–1.85
Visibility4.61,0055.20.89×0.83–0.94
Body & structure2.75970.46.92×6.42–7.55
Suspension2.35053.40.67×0.61–0.73
Brakes1.94172.70.69×0.63–0.76
Lamps & electrical1.63443.30.48×0.42–0.52
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 21,963 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Tyre cords visible or damagedA tyre cords visible or damaged9.441.635.79×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements4.623.591.29×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged3.412.541.34×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Tyre pressure monitoring system malfunctioning or…A tyre pressure monitoring system malfunctioning or obviously inoperative0.690.213.32×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely deteriorated1.941.481.31×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot severely d
Number plate does not conform to the specified…Number plate does not conform to the specified requirements0.560.202.79×Ask the seller about: Number plate does not conform to the specified requirements
Wiper blade defectiveWiper blade defective1.511.261.20×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen1.412.220.63×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.072.360.45×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn1.784.870.37×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Tesla Model X MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Tyres are highest at 49.3 per 100 tests; Steering is lowest at 0.5 per 100 tests — the gap is 48.8 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Tesla Model X MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Tyres49.3
Brakes18.2
Suspension8.7
Non-component advisories5.7
Identification1
Steering0.5

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

Tyres, brakes and suspension: Tesla Model X against cars of the same age

AgePartTesla Model XSame age, petrol and dieselDifference
3 yearsTyres10.274.176.10
3 yearsBrakes0.761.77-1.01
3 yearsSuspension0.630.630.00
4 yearsTyres11.34.546.76
4 yearsBrakes12.43-1.43
4 yearsSuspension1.61.210.39
5 yearsTyres12.635.067.57
5 yearsBrakes1.513.09-1.58
5 yearsSuspension1.332.19-0.86
6 yearsTyres12.415.546.87
6 yearsBrakes2.023.81-1.79
6 yearsSuspension2.33.72-1.42
7 yearsTyres11.855.955.90
7 yearsBrakes2.934.55-1.62
7 yearsSuspension3.375.68-2.31

Failing items per 100 initial tests, 2019-2024. The comparison group is every petrol or diesel car tested at the same age, so weight and drivetrain show up rather than fleet age.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed15.9%435
It passed16.0%12,547

A failed test does not clearly change next year's odds here (15.9% against 16.0%): the difference is within the margin of error. The failure most likely to come back is visibility — 20.0% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 21,286 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only101.6fails more often than expected
Age and annual mileage92.8fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year3.4%a normal spread of use

This is the rare case where usage changes the answer, not just the number: once you compare these against vehicles driven as little, the car moves from one side of normal to the other. Read the mileage-matched figure, not the headline one. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Tesla Model X compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeTesla Model XSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years12.86%12.54%+0.32 pp5,753
4 years15.44%13.89%+1.54 pp5,928
5 years17.62%17.23%+0.38 pp4,575
6 years18.57%21.06%-2.49 pp3,473
7 years20.2%24.53%-4.34 pp2,050

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Tesla Model X perform as it gets older?

The Model X at age 4 stands out at 18.4%, against 13.1% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Tesla Model X perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–25%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars; from about age 4 it stays above the national age curve.

Data table
AgeTesla Model XAll vehiclesGap
418.4%13.1%+5.3 pp
519.7%15.1%+4.5 pp
620.4%17.5%+2.9 pp
720.3%20.2%+0.1 pp

Is a Tesla Model X ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Tesla Model X MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 100.0%.

Based on 6,113 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 2,652
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 3,419
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 41
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0

How dangerous are Tesla Model X MOT failures?

Major defects are well below the reference at 11.5 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Tesla Model X MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor5.5814.220.39×
Major11.5452.750.22×
Dangerous15.9611.151.43×

Chart values: Minor 5.6 · Major 11.5 · Dangerous 16.0.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Tesla Model X MOT matter?

Feb is highest at 18.1%; May is lowest at 14.7% — the gap is 3.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Tesla Model X MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 13%–33%.

bars: Tesla Model X · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthTesla Model XAll vehiclesGap
Jan16.11%31.12%-15.0 pp
Feb18.13%29.99%-11.9 pp
Mar15.92%28.26%-12.3 pp
Apr16.51%29.78%-13.3 pp
May14.74%28.79%-14.0 pp
Jun14.89%28.15%-13.3 pp
Jul16.6%29.33%-12.7 pp
Aug16.33%29.2%-12.9 pp
Sep17.08%28.19%-11.1 pp
Oct16.49%30.34%-13.9 pp
Nov15.11%30.58%-15.5 pp
Dec16.42%29.33%-12.9 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.4 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Tesla Model X average mileage by age

At age 6, the middle half of Model X models runs from 39,360 miles to 72,655 miles, against 54,940 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Tesla Model X · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–88k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Tesla Model X MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 6–9, 17.1% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 25.5% of those with over 140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Tesla Model X MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Tesla Model X: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
3–5<40k miles17.5%15.4–19.7%1,179
3–540-70k miles19.5%17.3–21.9%1,138
3–570-100k miles22%17.4–27.3%264 (rough estimate)
3–5100-140k miles14%7.3–25.3%57 (rough estimate)
6–9<40k miles17.1%14.5–20%697
6–940-70k miles19.6%17.7–21.7%1,505
6–970-100k miles22.4%19.7–25.4%843
6–9100-140k miles23.5%19–28.6%294 (rough estimate)
6–9140k+ miles25.5%18.1–34.5%106 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
428,96239,46252,8051,418
534,76847,65262,5761,184
639,36054,94072,6551,410
747,84864,24484,1822,009

A typical 6-year-old Model X has ~54,940 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Tesla Model X fails its MOT most

Bath area is highest at 28.9%; Nottingham area is lowest at 5.1% — the gap is 23.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Tesla Model X line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Bath (BA)28.93%+12.8 pp
Gloucester (GL)28.67%+12.5 pp
Watford (WD)25.73%+9.6 pp
Stoke-on-Trent (ST)25%+8.9 pp
Brighton (BN)23.63%+7.5 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Nottingham (NG)5.13%-11.0 pp
London E (E)6.32%-9.8 pp
Ilford (IG)7.57%-8.6 pp
Colchester (CO)7.69%-8.4 pp
Dartford (DA)9.49%-6.7 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 9%–23% failing.

Tesla Model X survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 7 is well below the reference at 44.0%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Tesla Model X survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
35,753100%12.86%
45,928100%15.44%
54,57598.2%17.62%
63,47374.5%18.57%
72,05044%20.2%

By age 7, only about 44% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈4,658); survivors still fail at 20.2% vs 15.4% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.

How many miles does a Tesla Model X last?

100,000+ miles stands out at 3.8%.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles8183.84%

Of 21,287 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 3.8% had reached 100k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Tesla Model X likely to last?

Bought at age 5 stands out at 1.7 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 1.7

estimateObserved only until age 7. The curve does not run five years past the stated age with the share still tested under 50%, so no 'years left' number is given.

Tesla Model X faults that come together

Brakes + Suspension stand out at 7.84×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
BrakesSuspension387.84× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility494.58× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres333.16× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres1032.93× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility362.72× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes212.7× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres862.65× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension232.6× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres1012.53× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility2342.44× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility512.4× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility252.15× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres1271.98× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility17too few (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres16too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment16too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension15too few (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment14too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres13too few (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension10too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension9too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres9too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle8too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSteering7too few (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility7too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility6too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels5too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Brakes» and «Suspension» appear together 7.84× more often than chance (38 co-occurrences in the same test; 45 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Tesla Model X?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 16.5%, against 17.6% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year16.49%558
8–12k miles/year17.64%1,650
Gap (low − normal)-1.15 pp—

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 16.5% vs 17.6% for 8–12k miles/year — 1.1 pp, interval includes no difference (n_low=558, n_normal=1,650). The gap interval includes no difference, so no higher/lower claim is made.

Best year for a Tesla Model X, and the years to avoid

Build year 2020 is highest at 131.5; Build year 2017 is lowest at 91.6 — the gap is 39.9 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Tesla Model X build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Tesla Model X by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
2020131.5119.7–143.318.23%2,616worse
2019111.4102.3–120.616.67%3,402worse
2018106.599.6–113.516.92%5,337no different
201791.687–96.115.21%10,195better

The best build year here is 2017 and the weakest is 2017. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 1 of 4 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Tesla Model X MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £26.06 to £49.51, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£26–50
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Tyres18.7 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£16.83
Suspension2.3 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£4.14
Brakes1.9 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£2.85
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1.6 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£2.24

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £26 to £50, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Tesla Model X running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 7 are close to the reference at 20.0%, against 20.0% at age 5, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
20
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 1,184 tests)
At age 7
20
other cars of this model tested at age 7 in 2024
Repairs per 100
£2,606
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 25.58% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
418.41%39,4621,418-1.3 pp
519.68%47,6521,184+0.0 pp
620.43%54,9401,410+0.8 pp
720.31%64,2442,009+0.6 pp

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Tesla Model X rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at 0.1×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.1×
0.07% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
lowest
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 2 postcode areas

This Tesla Model X virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Tesla Model X advisory become a failure?

Tyres are highest at 13.8%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 13.8 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Tesla Model X chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Tesla Model X, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Tyres 13.8% · Suspension 6.5% · Brakes 4.6% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Tyres13.8%12.1 months9,1054,095
Suspension6.5%12.1 months14,701690
Brakes4.6%12 months9,9851,585
Non-component advisories0.0%——737

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 14 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 9,105 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Tesla Model X?

Tyres after a advisory at age 3-5 are highest at 13.9%; Body, chassis, structure after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 2.1% — the gap is 11.8 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedTyres 9.4% · Body, chassis, structure 2.1% · Visibility 2.1%2,101
<3advisoryTyres 13.2% · Body, chassis, structure 2.8% · Visibility 2.5%673
<3failureTyres 12.2% · Body, chassis, structure 3.0% · Visibility 2.5%394 (rough estimate)
3-5passedTyres 10.4% · Visibility 4.0% · Body, chassis, structure 2.5%6,772
3-5advisoryTyres 13.9% · Visibility 4.9% · Body, chassis, structure 2.9%3,143
3-5failureTyres 13.0% · Visibility 7.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 3.1%1,800
6-8passedTyres 10.0% · Visibility 4.5% · Suspension 3.1%571
6-8advisoryTyres 13.5% · Suspension 5.3% · Visibility 5.3%303 (rough estimate)
6-8failureVisibility 10.5% · Tyres 9.6% · Brakes 5.7%229 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Tesla Model X ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 69.4%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 5.1% — the gap is 64.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
25.58%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.173
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
37.92%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
0.884%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 2,948 failures followed through to their re-test, 25.58% were repaired and passed the same day and 69.37% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 5,253 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.173 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 8,536 miles a year across 5,766 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 37.92% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 12.26% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 0.884% of 5,770 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 7,575 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Tesla Model X safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 8.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Tesla Model X recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Tesla Model X. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2017: 3 · 2018: 0 · 2019: 0 · 2020: 0 · 2021: 1 · 2022: 0 · 2023: 2 · 2024: 0 · 2025: 2.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Tesla Model X
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2025/04928/03/20251Loss of Rearview Camera Display Recall
R/2025/07507/03/202557Update Vehicle Firmware To Restore Post-Crash eCall Functionality
R/2023/35015/12/20233A first-row seat belt was disconnected from its pretensioner anchor as part of a necessary
R/2023/35115/12/2023100On certain MY 2021-2023 Model X vehicles the vehicle controller that detects the sensor vo
R/2021/03101/02/20219,475WHEN THE eMMC REACHES ACCUMULATED LIFETIME WEAR THE CUSTOMER MAY EXPERIENCE A BLANK CENTRE
All 8 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2025/04928/03/202511/06/2024 – 11/06/20241Loss of Rearview Camera Display Recall
R/2025/07507/03/202527/02/2023 – 11/07/202457Update Vehicle Firmware To Restore Post-Crash eCall Functionality
R/2023/35015/12/202322/03/2023 – 28/03/20233A first-row seat belt was disconnected from its pretensioner anchor as part of a necessary
R/2023/35115/12/202311/02/2021 – 27/09/2023100On certain MY 2021-2023 Model X vehicles the vehicle controller that detects the sensor vo
R/2021/03101/02/202115/09/2015 – 03/03/20189,475WHEN THE eMMC REACHES ACCUMULATED LIFETIME WEAR THE CUSTOMER MAY EXPERIENCE A BLANK CENTRE
R/2017/28412/10/201728/10/2016 – 01/09/2017414SEAT MAY NOT CORRECTLY LATCH
R/2017/19108/06/20171,501PASSENGER AIRBAG WILL NOT DEPLOY
R/2017/18219/04/201722/02/2016 – 07/10/20161,466PARKING BRAKE MAY NOT RELEASE CORRECTLY

DVSA lists 8 safety recall campaigns for the Tesla Model X, covering roughly 13,017 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Tesla Model X technical service bulletins: what dealers are told

US market, Tesla MODEL X 60D and its variants, model years 2016–2022 only. A count of bulletins, not a UK failure rate.

NHTSA manufacturer communications are 212.

bigger number = more recorded dealer communicationsnot affected vehicles or confirmed faults

These are the issues the manufacturer fixes quietly: service communications sent to dealers without a public recall campaign. They show what the service network has been told even when the issue never became news.

United States · NHTSA manufacturer communications

US technical service bulletins by communication year; leading subjects cover the full file
Communication yearBulletinsLeading subjects across all years
201623
  • Equipment (61)
  • Electrical system (49)
  • Other / uncategorised (42)
  • Structure (33)
  • Adaptive and mobility equipment (20)
  • Visibility (11)
  • Latches/Locks/Linkages (9)
  • Seats (8)
201712
201815
201928
202013
202111
20225
202322
202470
202512
20261

Caveat worth stating plainly: this is NHTSA data about US-specification cars. British cars sold under the same name often use different gearboxes, engines and equipment, so a bulletin may describe a component that was never fitted here. The file counts dealer communications, not affected vehicles or confirmed failures, and it cannot tell you whether an individual UK car has the issue. A communication can carry more than one subject tag, so topic counts do not have to add up to the total. Source: NHTSA Manufacturer Communications API (US-market vehicles; queried model years 2015-2022). Licence: U.S. Government work / public domain · retrieved 2026-09-25.

Tesla Model X owner complaints: what goes wrong

US market, Tesla MODEL X 60D and its variants, model years 2016–2022 only. A count of owner complaints, not a UK failure rate; NHTSA has no UK denominator.

Suspension is highest at 315; Restraints are lowest at 62 — the gap is 253.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Owner complaints (US) against actual MOT failures (UK) for the same component groups
ComponentComplaintsShareMOT fail items per 100MOT rankAgreement
Suspension31527.1%2.3#4complained about, fails occasionally
Lamps & electrical28324.4%1.6#6complained about, fails occasionally
Steering16914.5%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Body & structure1119.6%2.7#3complained about and fails often
Restraints625.3%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Brakes625.3%1.9#5complained about, fails occasionally

Two different populations answering two different questions: the MOT records what an inspector can measure once a year, the complaint file records what annoyed or frightened an owner on the road. A component high in one column and absent from the other is the interesting case — driver-assistance and electronics dominate complaints while almost never appearing as an MOT failure item.

What the reports actually say
The seat belt in the middle row of the 6 seater model X can get wrapped under the seat and locked, creating a very dangerous situation for children or anyone sitting in that seat. The seats in the 6 seater middle row Do Not fold down, and there's no way to release this seatbelt once it gets locked
NHTSA complaint, filed 09/06/2026 · SEAT BELTS
When turning a loud cranking sound is heard and it makes it hard to turn. It as if something is stopping it from turning.
NHTSA complaint, filed 03/21/2026 · SUSPENSION

US owners have filed 1,162 complaints about the equivalent Tesla Model X to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, including 148 that mention a crash, 12 a fire and 117 an injury. These are owner reports, not verified findings — but they are the only large public record of what drivers themselves notice, and they cover the years between MOT tests.

Caveat worth stating plainly: US-specification cars, self-selected reporters, no denominator — complaint counts scale with how many cars were sold there and how motivated owners are to file. The mechanical gap matters as much as the statistical one: American cars of the same name often carry different gearboxes, engines and equipment — automatics where Britain buys manuals — so a drivetrain complaint filed in Ohio may describe a part that was never fitted here. Read the ranking inside a model, not between models, and treat drivetrain entries with particular caution. Source: NHTSA ODI consumer complaints (US market, public domain) — US-spec vehicles, indicative only.

Tesla Model X inspection results in other countries

United Kingdom MOT is well below the reference at 19.7%, against 26.0% nationally.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Same model, different national inspection regimes
CountryTestThis model failsNational averagePositionSample
United KingdomMOT (class 4)19.71%26.01%-6.3 pp6,113
NorwayPKK31.1%33.7%-2.6 pp7,570
NetherlandsAPK46.6%50.8%-4.2 pp2,321

The verdict is consistent across every regime where the difference is clear, which is the strongest form this comparison takes: independent inspectorates, different rulebooks, same direction of travel.

The exact faults Netherlands records — APK defect codes, 2024
CodeFaultRecordedType
205Tyre with insufficient tread431failure
516Dipped headlight incorrectly aimed341failure
210Tyre pressure not at the correct value255failure
AC4Steering or suspension ball joint worn up to 1.0 mm194advisory
203Tyre damaged170failure
AC1Tyre down to 1.6–2.5 mm of tread155advisory
391Wipers leave insufficient visibility129failure
598Front fog light incorrectly aimed124failure

Worth dwelling on how mundane the top of that list is: tyre pressure, tread depth, headlight aim. The Dutch APK records 1.008 defects per inspection against a much higher national failure rate than Britain's, and the reason is not that Dutch cars are worse — it is that the two regimes draw the line between "note it" and "fail it" in different places. Codes are the RDW's own; the English wording here is our translation of the Dutch original.

Britain is not the only country that inspects every car every year, and the Tesla Model X is on the road in all of them. Each national regime writes its own rules, so the pass rates below are not comparable to each other — what does travel across a border is whether a model sits above or below its own country's average.

One caveat before you read the UK row: these are raw failure rates, because no other country publishes the age detail our index needs. This model's raw UK rate looks better than the national average while its age-adjusted index is 116.7 — the fleet here is unusually young, and the raw column silently credits that. The index above is the fair comparison; this table is for reading each country against itself.

Rows with fewer than 500 inspections are not published. Sources: Statens vegvesen — Periodisk kjøretøykontroll (PKK) 2024, CC BY 4.0; RDW open data — Meldingen Keuringsinstantie + Geconstateerde Gebreken + Gekentekende voertuigen (2024), CC0. Not an RDW endorsement.. Adapted; licences and full notice.

Tesla Model X MOT: quick answers

Tesla Model X MOT Risk Index stands out at 116.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Tesla Model X first-time MOT pass rate?
80.29% of first attempts passed in 2024 (6,113 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 19.71% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 6,113 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 116.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Tesla Model X with other cars

Renault Twingo is highest at 116.7; Ford EcoSport is lowest at 116.6 — the gap is 0.1 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Tesla MOT statisticsTesla Model 3 MOT statsTesla Model S MOT stats

Similar risk

Jeep Renegade (index 116.7)Renault Twingo (index 116.7)Ford EcoSport (index 116.6)

Same size class

how Kia ProCeed compareshow Porsche Taycan compareshow Audi S3 compares

By build year

Tesla Model X 2017Tesla Model X 2018Tesla Model X 2019Tesla Model X 2020

By area

Tesla Model X MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Tesla Model X body, chassis and structure failuresTesla Model X brakes failuresTesla Model X vehicle identification failuresTesla Model X lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresTesla Model X road wheels failuresTesla Model X seat belts and airbags failuresTesla Model X steering failuresTesla Model X suspension failuresTesla Model X tyres failuresTesla Model X visibility failures

Inspections abroad

Tesla Model X in NorwayTesla Model X in the Netherlands


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:tesla-model-x:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Tesla Model X MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/tesla-model-x/ · Published 2026-07-30.