MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Vauxhall Astravan — MOT statistics 2024

The Vauxhall Astravan failed 45.29% of 7,830 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 108.2 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 8% more often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 108.2, 95% CI 105.6–110.8 (100 = national average) 100 108.2 0 200
Index
108.2
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
45.29%
n = 7,830
Dangerous /100
20
national ≈11
Rank
543 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Hyundai Getz (index 108.3) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Vauxhall Astravan common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Brakes stand out at 37.9 per 100 tests, against 20.0 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Vauxhall Astravan common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical48.337,06232.91.47×1.46–1.49
Brakes37.929,04920.01.90×1.87–1.92
Suspension37.728,90628.01.34×1.33–1.36
Visibility20.315,57311.01.84×1.81–1.87
Tyres13.510,35510.61.27×1.25–1.30
Body & structure9.77,41811.20.87×0.85–0.89
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 76,712 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Brake pipe damaged or excessively corrodedBrake pipe damaged or excessively corroded11.171.417.95×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Spring or spring component fractured or seriously…A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened10.612.863.71×Ask the seller about: A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn12.354.872.54×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements9.782.573.81×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Parking brake efficiency below minimum requirementParking brake efficiency below minimum requirement5.321.244.29×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view5.872.362.49×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective4.421.094.04×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Windscreen washers not working or not providing…Windscreen washers not working or not providing sufficient fluid to clear the windscreen4.931.623.04×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources6.132.832.17×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements6.073.591.69×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Vauxhall Astravan MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 77.5 per 100 tests; Non-component advisories are lowest at 7.2 per 100 tests — the gap is 70.3 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Vauxhall Astravan MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes77.5
Suspension54.1
Tyres47
Emissions & leaks16.9
Body & structure7.9
Non-component advisories7.2

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

Tyres, brakes and suspension: Vauxhall Astravan against cars of the same age

AgePartVauxhall AstravanSame age, petrol and dieselDifference
8 yearsTyres7.926.311.61
8 yearsBrakes6.275.380.89
8 yearsSuspension10.547.782.76

Failing items per 100 initial tests, 2019-2024. The comparison group is every petrol or diesel car tested at the same age, so weight and drivetrain show up rather than fleet age.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed42.8%6,708
It passed39.0%27,590

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 3.8 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is visibility — 39.6% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 74,957 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only112.9fails more often than expected
Age and annual mileage104.6fails more often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year0.8%a normal spread of use

Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 8.3 points — this fleet works harder than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view penalises it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Vauxhall Astravan compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeVauxhall AstravanSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
7 years33.09%20.15%+12.94 pp411
8 years34.85%23.21%+11.64 pp1,452
9 years39.94%26.72%+13.22 pp2,491
10 years41%30.02%+10.98 pp3,154
11 years43.5%33.43%+10.07 pp4,765
12 years42.6%36.45%+6.15 pp6,246
13 years46.75%38.86%+7.9 pp8,983
14 years49.45%40.79%+8.66 pp10,888
15 years50.55%42.25%+8.3 pp11,571
16 years49.37%43.09%+6.28 pp9,534
17 years49.5%43.48%+6.02 pp7,206
18 years48.43%43.6%+4.83 pp5,117
19 years48.87%43.17%+5.7 pp2,953
20 years48.93%42.41%+6.52 pp1,169

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Vauxhall Astravan perform as it gets older?

The Astravan at age 20 stands out at 49.7%, against 41.0% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Vauxhall Astravan perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–54%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars; from about age 13 it stays above the national age curve.

Data table
AgeVauxhall AstravanAll vehiclesGap
1235.6%35.7%-0.1 pp
1341.8%38.2%+3.6 pp
1441.6%40.4%+1.2 pp
1542.9%41.6%+1.3 pp
1646.4%43.1%+3.3 pp
1745.4%43.1%+2.3 pp
1845.1%43.9%+1.2 pp
1949.2%43.5%+5.7 pp
2049.7%41.0%+8.7 pp

Is a Vauxhall Astravan ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Vauxhall Astravan MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 1.4%.

Based on 7,761 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 years1.4%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,802
15–17 years3.1%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 2,122
18 years1.3%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,415
19 years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,374
20+ years0.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,048

How dangerous are Vauxhall Astravan MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 132.8 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Vauxhall Astravan MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor29.9714.222.11×
Major132.8052.752.52×
Dangerous19.6711.151.76×

Chart values: Minor 30.0 · Major 132.8 · Dangerous 19.7.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Vauxhall Astravan MOT matter?

Sep is highest at 48.4%; Dec is lowest at 45.0% — the gap is 3.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Vauxhall Astravan MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–50%.

bars: Vauxhall Astravan · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthVauxhall AstravanAll vehiclesGap
Jan48.14%31.12%+17.0 pp
Feb46.79%29.99%+16.8 pp
Mar47.73%28.26%+19.5 pp
Apr47.89%29.78%+18.1 pp
May46.68%28.79%+17.9 pp
Jun47.28%28.15%+19.1 pp
Jul46.81%29.33%+17.5 pp
Aug47.29%29.2%+18.1 pp
Sep48.36%28.19%+20.2 pp
Oct46.52%30.34%+16.2 pp
Nov47.13%30.58%+16.6 pp
Dec45%29.33%+15.7 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 3.4 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Vauxhall Astravan average mileage by age

At age 16, the middle half of Astravans runs from 123,606 miles to 180,551 miles, against 149,543 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Vauxhall Astravan · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–192k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Vauxhall Astravan MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 37.8% of those with 40,000–70,000 miles failed first time versus 47.6% of those with over 140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

Does high mileage mean more Vauxhall Astravan MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Vauxhall Astravan: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
10–1440-70k miles38.1%27.1–50.4%63 (rough estimate)
10–1470-100k miles33.2%27.1–39.9%205 (rough estimate)
10–14100-140k miles39.6%35.5–43.9%520
10–14140k+ miles42.5%39.5–45.6%1,004
15+40-70k miles37.8%31.3–44.7%196 (rough estimate)
15+70-100k miles43.7%39.7–47.7%575
15+100-140k miles46.9%44.6–49.2%1,772
15+140k+ miles47.6%45.9–49.3%3,245

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
12108,362143,678166,926309
13115,476147,857181,724759
14117,762147,590182,519728
15118,100147,361176,067485
16123,606149,543180,551834
17122,192150,956178,030811
18119,274147,632175,2981,417
19117,447144,941177,9451,377
20+111,997140,287169,4071,058

A typical 16-year-old Astravan has ~149,543 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Vauxhall Astravan fails its MOT most

Lincoln area is highest at 60.5%; London NW area is lowest at 27.7% — the gap is 32.8 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Vauxhall Astravan line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Lincoln (LN)60.51%+13.3 pp
Blackpool (FY)58.57%+11.4 pp
Hull (HU)58.43%+11.2 pp
Lancaster (LA)58.41%+11.2 pp
Kirkcaldy (KY)57.4%+10.2 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
London NW (NW)27.72%-19.5 pp
London N (N)29.12%-18.1 pp
Uxbridge (UB)31.06%-16.1 pp
Enfield (EN)31.52%-15.7 pp
Croydon (CR)31.7%-15.5 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 3.7 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.48, n=18 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest mot centre density this model fails 7.2 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.44, n=35 areas with ≥800 tests).

In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 4.3 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.36, n=35 areas with ≥800 tests).

Vauxhall Astravan Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
Terrain gradient47.1%50.8%+3.7 ppr=0.48
MOT centre density44.1%51.2%+7.1 ppr=0.44
Distance to coast50.1%45.9%-4.2 ppr=-0.36

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.4811847.150.8+3.70.53.6
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.4413544.151.2+7.25.78.2
Distance to coast (km)-0.3613550.145.9-4.36.387.2
Urban share (0–1)-0.2833550.344.3-6.00.40.9
Income deprivation (score)-0.1903346.544.2-2.30.10.2
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)-0.0423549.849.3-0.5214.9514.9
Frost days (days/year)-0.0163549.849.0-0.810.129

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 34%–57% failing.

How many miles does a Vauxhall Astravan last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 83.4%; 200,000+ miles is lowest at 10.0% — the gap is 73.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles62,54383.39%
150,000+ miles30,88141.17%
200,000+ miles7,51810.02%

Of 75,000 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 83.4% had reached 100k miles, 41.2% had reached 150k miles, 10.0% had reached 200k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

Vauxhall Astravan faults that come together

Identification + Seatbelts & SRS stand out at 4.00×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Identification of the vehicleSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems264× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSteering293.8× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres923.61× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering793.35× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels713.34× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering553.28× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle1513.23× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems2033× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems1973× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks1402.92× (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels1392.87× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks1,3822.85×
Body, chassis, structureSteering4712.78× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems4162.78× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels602.75× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility1192.74× (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle2882.71× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres1512.7× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks2,9692.69×
Identification of the vehicleVisibility2562.69× (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering1,0092.62×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels1832.57× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension1562.56× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres2012.55× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes2,6552.47×
SteeringTyres4962.44× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3802.43× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension4572.42× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems5262.39×
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering4172.39× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres1,3672.35×
BrakesTyres2,9842.32×
SteeringSuspension1,1292.32×
Identification of the vehicleSuspension3102.32× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks3,7522.31×
BrakesSuspension6,9972.27×
Body, chassis, structureTyres1,2652.23×
SuspensionTyres3,5972.22×
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension3,0632.2×
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment7,8312.18×
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment3,4062.16×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering1,2242.16×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres4,0572.14×
Body, chassis, structureSuspension2,8552.11×
TyresVisibility2,4332.11×
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility2,0642.08×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension8,8171.95×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility6,2911.95×
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility2611.95× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility4,2011.92×
Body, chassis, structureVisibility1,8411.91×
SteeringVisibility6371.84×
SuspensionVisibility4,8161.74×
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems18too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSpeedometer and speed limiter17too few (rough estimate)
Speedometer and speed limiterSuspension14too few (rough estimate)
BrakesSpeedometer and speed limiter12too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSpeedometer and speed limiter9too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleRoad Wheels8too few (rough estimate)
Speedometer and speed limiterTyres7too few (rough estimate)
Speedometer and speed limiterVisibility7too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSpeedometer and speed limiter5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 2.85× more often than chance (1,382 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Vauxhall Astravan?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 33.0%, against 46.2% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year32.98%1,128
8–12k miles/year46.24%14,945
Gap (low − normal)-13.26 pp—
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
919.235235.09607-15.86 pp
10257639.98928-14.98 pp
1123.4811542.781,585-19.3 pp
1231.5216543.622,405-12.1 pp
1335.2527847.573,935-12.32 pp
1438.4437250.735,155-12.29 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 33.0% vs 46.2% for 8–12k miles/year — 13.3 pp lower (n_low=1,128, n_normal=14,945). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 33.0% low-use vs 46.4% normal (-13.4 pp).

Which Vauxhall Astravan engine is best?

diesel 1.5–1.8 is highest at 102.0; petrol 1.8–2.0 is lowest at 59.1 — the gap is 42.9 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.8–2.0 litre59.128.16%206 (rough estimate)
petrol1.2–1.5 litre90.741.97%579 (rough estimate)
diesel1.8–2.0 litre92.141.81%13,680
petrol1.5–1.8 litre95.946.3%838 (rough estimate)
diesel1.0–1.2 litre101.745.79%321 (rough estimate)
diesel1.2–1.5 litre101.946.4%7,840
diesel1.5–1.8 litre10248.88%52,870

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel 1.5–1.8 runs at 102 against this model's own age norm while the diesel 1.8–2.0 runs at 92.1 — a spread of 9.9 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Best year for a Vauxhall Astravan, and the years to avoid

Build year 2002 is highest at 119.5; Build year 2011 is lowest at 92.9 — the gap is 26.6 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Vauxhall Astravan build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Vauxhall Astravan by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
20129386.6–99.536.29%2,199better
201192.988.9–96.838.4%5,555better
20109389.2–96.940.73%5,605better
200997.492.8–102.144.28%3,810no different
200898.895.6–10246.36%7,897no different
200795.292.1–98.245.56%8,206better
200698.796.4–10148.65%14,780no different
2005103.6101.3–105.951.8%15,009worse
2004101.698.9–104.450.96%10,411no different
2003102.696–109.151.3%1,848no different
2002119.5103.4–135.559.66%357worse

The best build year here is 2011 and the weakest is 2005. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 4 of 11 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Vauxhall Astravan MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £204.48 to £388.51, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£204–389
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Suspension37.7 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£67.86
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment48.3 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£67.62
Brakes37.9 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£56.85
Tyres13.5 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£12.15

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £204 to £389, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Vauxhall Astravan running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 19 stand out at 49.0%, against 36.0% at age 12, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 12
36
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 309 tests)
At age 19
49
other cars of this model tested at age 19 in 2024 (rough estimate: 1,377 tests)
Repairs per 100
£20,448
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 32.83% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1235.6%143,678309—
1341.77%147,857759—
1441.62%147,590728—
1542.89%147,361485—
1646.4%149,543834—
1745.38%150,956811—
1845.1%147,6321,417—
1949.16%144,9411,377—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Vauxhall Astravan rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 8.18×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
8.18×
6.26% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
58th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 35 postcode areas

This Vauxhall Astravan fails on corrosion far more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are about typical for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Vauxhall Astravan advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 36.2%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 36.2 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Vauxhall Astravan chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Vauxhall Astravan, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 36.2% · Suspension 27.4% · Brakes 22.4% · Body & chassis 16.1% · Steering 13.4% · Tyres 13.2% · Noise, emissions, leaks 11.2% · Identification of the veh… 4.7%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment36.1%12.1 months4,9302,094
Suspension27.4%12.1 months5,46215,830
Brakes22.4%12.2 months5,08722,133
Body, chassis, structure16.1%12.1 months5,5863,321
Steering13.4%12.1 months5,3561,235
Tyres13.2%12.2 months5,65616,314
Noise, emissions and leaks11.2%12.1 months5,1568,329
Identification of the vehicle4.7%12.2 months6,0603,067
Road wheels0.8%11.9 months10,689662
Non-component advisories0.0%——3,494

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 36 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 4,930 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Vauxhall Astravan?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 36.1%; Body, chassis, structure after a passed at age 20+ are lowest at 8.5% — the gap is 27.6 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
6-8passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.4% · Suspension 11.9% · Visibility 10.3%1,092
6-8advisorySuspension 17.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.3% · Visibility 15.8%833
6-8failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.1% · Suspension 16.6% · Visibility 14.8%1,054
9-11passedSuspension 15.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.2% · Visibility 10.3%3,060
9-11advisorySuspension 21.0% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.9% · Visibility 14.8%3,373
9-11failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.5% · Suspension 24.0% · Visibility 16.5%4,587
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 17.2% · Suspension 17.2% · Brakes 12.0%4,805
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.1% · Suspension 22.2% · Brakes 16.6%7,052
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 31.6% · Suspension 27.1% · Brakes 22.3%10,606
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.4% · Suspension 15.3% · Brakes 12.5%3,628
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 28.8% · Suspension 21.7% · Brakes 18.7%6,904
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 36.1% · Suspension 26.7% · Brakes 25.1%10,080
20+passedSuspension 12.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.3% · Body, chassis, structure 8.5%129 (rough estimate)
20+advisorySuspension 23.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.5% · Brakes 12.6%151 (rough estimate)
20+failureSuspension 25.7% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.2% · Brakes 20.0%210 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Vauxhall Astravan ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 62.3%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 4.9% — the gap is 57.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
32.83%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.712
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
15.24%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.915%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 25,851 failures followed through to their re-test, 32.83% were repaired and passed the same day and 62.26% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 94,469 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.712 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 4,835 miles a year across 15,961 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 15.24% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 53.03% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.915% of 16,032 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 27,068 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Vauxhall Astravan MOT: quick answers

Vauxhall Astravan MOT Risk Index stands out at 108.2, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Vauxhall Astravan first-time MOT pass rate?
54.71% of first attempts passed in 2024 (7,830 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 45.29% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 7,830 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 108.2 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Vauxhall Astravan with other cars

Vauxhall Insignia is highest at 108.3; Volvo V40 is lowest at 108.1 — the gap is 0.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Vauxhall MOT statisticsVauxhall Insignia MOT statsVauxhall Vectra MOT stats

Similar risk

Hyundai Getz (index 108.3)Vauxhall Insignia (index 108.3)Volvo V40 (index 108.1)

Same size class

how Lexus GS compareshow MINI Paceman compareshow Volvo C70 compares

By build year

Vauxhall Astravan 2002Vauxhall Astravan 2003Vauxhall Astravan 2004Vauxhall Astravan 2005Vauxhall Astravan 2006Vauxhall Astravan 2007Vauxhall Astravan 2008Vauxhall Astravan 2009Vauxhall Astravan 2010Vauxhall Astravan 2011Vauxhall Astravan 2012

By area

Vauxhall Astravan MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Vauxhall Astravan body, chassis and structure failuresVauxhall Astravan brakes failuresVauxhall Astravan vehicle identification failuresVauxhall Astravan lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresVauxhall Astravan noise, emissions and leaks failuresVauxhall Astravan road wheels failuresVauxhall Astravan seat belts and airbags failuresVauxhall Astravan steering failuresVauxhall Astravan suspension failuresVauxhall Astravan tyres failuresVauxhall Astravan visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:vauxhall-astravan:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Vauxhall Astravan MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/vauxhall-astravan/ · Published 2026-07-30.