Vauxhall Astravan 2002: MOT failure rate for its age
59.7% of 357 MOT tests of the Vauxhall Astravan first registered in 2002 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 119.5 (95% CI 103.4–135.5; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2002 Vauxhall Astravan fails more often than other build years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 59.7 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 357 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 103.4–135.5) | 119.5 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 357 |
| Rank among this model's 11 build years | 11 | of 11 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 357 |
| Tested in 2024 | 31 | tests | median 144,597 miles | 2024 | 31 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2002 Vauxhall Astravan fail at each age?
Cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 129 (rough estimate) | 63.6 | 55–71.4 | 53.5 | 118.7 |
| 18 | 90 (rough estimate) | 55.6 | 45.3–65.4 | 48.2 | 115.2 |
| 19 | 78 (rough estimate) | 59 | 47.9–69.2 | 48.4 | 121.8 |
| 20 | 60 (rough estimate) | 58.3 | 45.7–69.9 | 46.7 | 124.9 |
| 21 | 47 (rough estimate) | 51.1 | 37.2–64.7 | not available | not available |
| 22 | 31 (rough estimate) | 71 | 53.4–83.9 | not available | not available |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 435 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
What fails most on the 2002 Vauxhall Astravan?
The most common failure group on cars built in 2002 is suspension: 66.7 items per 100 first tests, against 37.7 across all build years of the Vauxhall Astravan. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22.
| Failure group | Built 2002, per 100 | All build years, per 100 | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suspension | 66.7 | 37.7 | 290 |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 64.6 | 48.3 | 281 |
| Brakes | 58.9 | 37.9 | 256 |
| Body, chassis, structure | 28.3 | 9.7 | 123 |
| Visibility | 24.8 | 20.3 | 108 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 435 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2002 compare with the years around it?
Among the 11 published build years of the Vauxhall Astravan, 2002 ranks 11 (1 = fails least for its age). 2003: index 102.6.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 119.5 | 103.4–135.5 | worse (rough estimate) | 357 |
| 2003 | 102.6 | 96.0–109.1 | no different (rough estimate) | 1,848 |
| 2004 | 101.6 | 98.9–104.4 | no different | 10,411 |
| 2005 | 103.6 | 101.3–105.9 | worse | 15,009 |
| 2006 | 98.7 | 96.4–101.0 | no different | 14,780 |
| 2007 | 95.2 | 92.1–98.2 | better | 8,206 |
| 2008 | 98.8 | 95.6–102.0 | no different | 7,897 |
| 2009 | 97.4 | 92.8–102.1 | no different (rough estimate) | 3,810 |
| 2010 | 93.0 | 89.2–96.9 | better | 5,605 |
| 2011 | 92.9 | 88.9–96.8 | better | 5,555 |
| 2012 | 93.0 | 86.6–99.5 | better (rough estimate) | 2,199 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 75,677 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). Vauxhall Astravan 2002 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/vauxhall-astravan/2002/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
Vauxhall Astravan 2003 · Vauxhall Astravan 2004 · Vauxhall Astravan 2005 · Vauxhall Astravan 2006 · Vauxhall Astravan 2007 · Vauxhall Astravan 2008 · Vauxhall Astravan 2009 · Vauxhall Astravan 2010 · Vauxhall Astravan 2011 · Vauxhall Astravan 2012 · Vauxhall Astravan by postcode area · Vauxhall Astravan body, chassis and structure failures · Vauxhall Astravan brakes failures · Vauxhall Astravan vehicle identification failures · Vauxhall Astravan lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Vauxhall Astravan noise, emissions and leaks failures · Vauxhall Astravan road wheels failures · Vauxhall Astravan seat belts and airbags failures · Vauxhall Astravan steering failures · Vauxhall Astravan suspension failures · Vauxhall Astravan tyres failures · Vauxhall Astravan visibility failures