MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Nissan Serena — MOT statistics 2024

The Nissan Serena failed 24.69% of 2,527 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 77.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 22% less often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.

MOT risk index 77.7, 95% CI 72.5–83.1 (100 = national average) 100 77.7 0 200
Index
77.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
24.69%
n = 2,527
Dangerous /100
12
national ≈11
Rank
240 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Honda Stepwagon (index 77.8) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Nissan Serena common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment stand out at 28.3 per 100 tests, against 22.0 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Nissan Serena common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical28.32,84021.91.29×1.24–1.34
Suspension17.71,78319.00.93×0.89–0.98
Brakes10.41,04113.90.75×0.70–0.79
Steering8.78723.62.44×2.28–2.60
Tyres7.47458.90.83×0.77–0.89
Visibility7.37318.70.84×0.78–0.90
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 10,049 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Strength or continuity of the load bearing…The strength or continuity of the load bearing structure within 30cm of any sub-frame, spring or suspension component mounting (a 'prescribed area') is significantly reduced or inadequately repaired5.381.124.81×Look underneath for rust or cracks around subframe and suspension mountings
Obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or…An obligatory rear fog lamp missing, or a front or rear fog lamp inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning4.400.4310.33×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover…Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or deteriorated4.670.766.16×Ask the seller about: Steering rack gaiter or ball joint dust cover damaged or det
Headlamp reflector or lens slightly defectiveHeadlamp reflector or lens slightly defective3.501.093.20×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn5.844.871.20×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm2.932.151.36×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Suspension joint dust cover severely deterioratedA suspension joint dust cover severely deteriorated2.521.901.32×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning2.602.091.25×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements3.042.571.18×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements3.053.590.85×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Nissan Serena MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 32.8 per 100 tests; Emissions & leaks are lowest at 4.6 per 100 tests — the gap is 28.2 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Nissan Serena MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes32.8
Tyres30.9
Suspension28
Non-component advisories9.9
Steering5.4
Emissions & leaks4.6

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed32.9%700
It passed26.6%4,624

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 6.3 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is noise, emissions and leaks — 42.3% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 9,761 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only85.4fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage82.0fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year4.0%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (-3.4 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Nissan Serena compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeNissan SerenaSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years29.93%11.69%+18.24 pp421
4 years29.93%13.29%+16.64 pp451
5 years29.47%15.06%+14.4 pp431
6 years24.88%17.33%+7.55 pp422
7 years24.29%20.15%+4.14 pp350
8 years22.03%23.21%-1.19 pp286
9 years20.27%26.74%-6.46 pp291
10 years14.86%30.03%-15.17 pp498
11 years15.98%33.46%-17.48 pp1,014
12 years22.5%36.47%-13.97 pp911
13 years26.76%38.89%-12.13 pp923
14 years31.36%40.84%-9.47 pp829
15 years28.97%42.31%-13.34 pp573
16 years32.19%43.13%-10.94 pp351
17 years33.64%43.52%-9.88 pp220
18 years36.9%43.63%-6.73 pp168
20 years53.25%42.42%+10.82 pp154

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Nissan Serena perform as it gets older?

The Serena at age 11 is well below the reference at 12.5%, against 33.2% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Nissan Serena perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–47%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeNissan SerenaAll vehiclesGap
526.2%15.1%+11.1 pp
632.7%17.5%+15.2 pp
725.6%20.2%+5.4 pp
928.7%26.5%+2.2 pp
1018.4%30.1%-11.7 pp
1112.5%33.2%-20.7 pp
1220.0%35.7%-15.7 pp
1327.2%38.2%-11.0 pp
1428.8%40.4%-11.6 pp
1523.8%41.6%-17.8 pp
1626.5%43.1%-16.6 pp

Is a Nissan Serena ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Nissan Serena MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 97.8%.

Based on 2,395 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 12
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 308
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 228
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 87
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 100
10–14 years99.8%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1,173
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 390
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 49
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 14
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 34

How dangerous are Nissan Serena MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 60.2 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Nissan Serena MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor19.0214.221.34×
Major60.2152.751.14×
Dangerous11.6611.151.05×

Chart values: Minor 19.0 · Major 60.2 · Dangerous 11.7.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Nissan Serena MOT matter?

Feb is highest at 33.4%; May is lowest at 25.8% — the gap is 7.6 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Nissan Serena MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 24%–35%.

bars: Nissan Serena · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthNissan SerenaAll vehiclesGap
Jan28.92%31.12%-2.2 pp
Feb33.37%29.99%+3.4 pp
Mar28.8%28.26%+0.5 pp
Apr26.96%29.78%-2.8 pp
May25.79%28.79%-3.0 pp
Jun29.15%28.15%+1.0 pp
Jul28.54%29.33%-0.8 pp
Aug27.45%29.2%-1.8 pp
Sep27.26%28.19%-0.9 pp
Oct26.2%30.34%-4.1 pp
Nov26.36%30.58%-4.2 pp
Dec27.55%29.33%-1.8 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 7.6 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Nissan Serena average mileage by age

At age 8, the middle half of Serenas runs from 57,646 miles to 105,852 miles, against 82,212 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Nissan Serena · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–153k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Nissan Serena MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 10–14, 12.4% of those with 40,000–70,000 miles failed first time versus 26.6% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.Inside this age group, higher mileage goes with more failures.

Does high mileage mean more Nissan Serena MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Nissan Serena: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
3–540-70k miles25.9%16.1–38.9%54 (rough estimate)
3–570-100k miles26.3%19.1–35.1%114 (rough estimate)
3–5100-140k miles32.5%23.1–43.5%77 (rough estimate)
6–9<40k miles10%4.3–21.4%50 (rough estimate)
6–940-70k miles14.9%9.9–21.9%134 (rough estimate)
6–970-100k miles28.1%20.1–37.8%96 (rough estimate)
6–9100-140k miles40%30–51%80 (rough estimate)
6–9140k+ miles50%37.3–62.7%56 (rough estimate)
10–1440-70k miles12.4%9.8–15.6%500
10–1470-100k miles27.4%23.4–31.7%442 (rough estimate)
10–14100-140k miles26.6%20–34.4%143 (rough estimate)
15+40-70k miles18.9%13.4–26%148 (rough estimate)
15+70-100k miles28.7%22.4–35.8%171 (rough estimate)
15+100-140k miles35.1%26.9–44.2%114 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
375,81687,755102,81799
468,80085,370105,97087
572,787101,012145,968122
642,53670,400108,680107
749,19782,903120,028121
857,64682,212105,85287
957,38876,640126,120101
1060,08772,43390,065141
1158,51869,17484,098352
1260,06471,61888,639250
1360,47873,39095,199173
1462,13476,05595,676257
1559,71372,87892,348181
1662,58386,827107,059132

A typical 8-year-old Serena has ~82,212 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Nissan Serena fails its MOT most

Brighton area is highest at 50.6%; Bradford area is lowest at 8.3% — the gap is 42.2 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Nissan Serena line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Brighton (BN)50.57%+22.6 pp
Plymouth (PL)44.31%+16.3 pp
Portsmouth (PO)42.79%+14.8 pp
Bournemouth (BH)40.71%+12.7 pp
London NW (NW)37.59%+9.6 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Bradford (BD)8.33%-19.7 pp
Harrow (HA)10.88%-17.1 pp
Leicester (LE)15.73%-12.3 pp
Twickenham (TW)15.89%-12.1 pp
Romford (RM)16.46%-11.6 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 8%–43% failing.

Nissan Serena survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 19 is well below the reference at 33.1%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Nissan Serena survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
342196.9%29.93%
4451100%29.93%
543199.2%29.47%
642297.1%24.88%
735080.5%24.29%
828665.8%22.03%
929166.9%20.27%
10498100%14.86%
111,014100%15.98%
12911100%22.5%
13923100%26.76%
14829100%31.36%
15573100%28.97%
1635180.8%32.19%
1722050.6%33.64%
1816838.7%36.9%
1914433.1%46.53%

By age 15, at least as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈435): the older fleet has not thinned out here, so there is no survivor selection to allow for.

How many miles does a Nissan Serena last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 34.1%; 150,000+ miles is lowest at 7.8% — the gap is 26.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles3,41134.06%
150,000+ miles7807.79%

Of 10,015 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 34.1% had reached 100k miles, 7.8% had reached 150k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

How many years is a Nissan Serena likely to last?

Bought at age 8 is highest at 13.7 years; Bought at age 15 is lowest at 2.5 years — the gap is 11.2 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—11.7
8—13.7
10—7.5
12—5.5
15—at least 2.5

estimateEstimate only — not a warranty: a typical 10-year-old example of this family has about 7.5 expected years of further MOT-present life on the survival curve, observed only until age 19. Derived from how many cars of each age still appear for test, not from a longitudinal panel.

Nissan Serena faults that come together

Body & structure + Emissions & leaks stand out at 9.22×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks759.22× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems217.32× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems295.24× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems425.14× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks594.9× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes1104.74× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension584.48× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems984.45× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility354.31× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension2294.22× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension1544.19× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres404.07× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks1273.92× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension733.83× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres243.59× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility423.51× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres973.46× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres633.32× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment2063.3× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility763.3× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility2993.26× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility893.2× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility1083.17× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres2353.11× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility1673.1× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension4523.09× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment2853.08× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres1262.84× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering232.82× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering332.75× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension1392.56× (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres692.47× (rough estimate)
SteeringVisibility802.35× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering2112.29× (rough estimate)
BrakesSteering772.25× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSteering522.25× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment11too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels10too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension8too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels7too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension7too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres6too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility6too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSteering5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Body, chassis, structure» and «Noise, emissions and leaks» appear together 9.22× more often than chance (75 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Nissan Serena?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 13.4%, against 30.7% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year13.39%932
8–12k miles/year30.73%893
Gap (low − normal)-17.33 pp—
By fuel and age

Petrol

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
1013.51372090-6.49 pp
1112.667920.83168-8.18 pp
128.2315829.76168-21.53 pp
1315.3525436.76185-21.4 pp
1419.829836.72128-16.92 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 13.4% vs 30.7% for 8–12k miles/year — 17.3 pp lower (n_low=932, n_normal=893). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates.

Which Nissan Serena engine is best?

diesel over 2.0 is highest at 110.4; petrol 1.5–1.8 is lowest at 85.1 — the gap is 25.3 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.5–1.8 litre85.127.43%474 (rough estimate)
petrolover 2.0 litre88.327.12%118 (rough estimate)
diesel1.8–2.0 litre99.542.86%140 (rough estimate)
petrol1.8–2.0 litre100.128.68%6,792
dieselover 2.0 litre110.453.17%536 (rough estimate)

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel over 2.0 runs at 110.4 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.5–1.8 runs at 85.1 — a spread of 25.3 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Nissan Serena MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £93.74 to £178.11, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£94–178
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment28.3 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£39.62
Suspension17.7 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£31.86
Brakes10.4 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£15.60
Tyres7.4 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£6.66

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £94 to £178, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Nissan Serena running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 10 are well below the reference at 18.0%, against 26.0% at age 5, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
26
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 122 tests)
At age 10
18
other cars of this model tested at age 10 in 2024 (rough estimate: 141 tests)
Repairs per 100
£9,374
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
2d
median; 29.55% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
526.23%101,012122+0.0 pp
632.71%70,400107+6.5 pp
725.62%82,903121-0.6 pp
928.71%76,640101+2.5 pp
1018.44%72,433141-7.8 pp
1112.5%69,174352-13.7 pp
1220%71,618250-6.2 pp
1327.17%73,390173+0.9 pp
1428.79%76,055257+2.6 pp
1523.76%72,878181-2.5 pp
1626.52%86,827132+0.3 pp

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Nissan Serena rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at 0.71×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
0.71×
0.54% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
18th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 0 postcode areas

This Nissan Serena fails on corrosion at about the average rate once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Nissan Serena advisory become a failure?

Suspension is highest at 19.6%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 19.6 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Nissan Serena chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Nissan Serena, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Suspension 19.6% · Brakes 12.1% · Tyres 10.3% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Suspension19.6%12 months5,3801,034
Brakes12.1%12.1 months4,9801,318
Tyres10.3%12 months5,6881,180
Non-component advisories0.0%——554

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 20 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 5,380 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Nissan Serena?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 32.4%; Tyres after a passed at age 6-8 are lowest at 3.0% — the gap is 29.4 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.9% · Steering 6.4% · Suspension 5.5%312 (rough estimate)
<3advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 17.9% · Steering 11.7% · Brakes 7.2%223 (rough estimate)
<3failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 21.3% · Visibility 13.7% · Suspension 10.9%183 (rough estimate)
3-5passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 9.9% · Suspension 4.4% · Steering 3.4%476 (rough estimate)
3-5advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.6% · Suspension 13.0% · Brakes 8.4%238 (rough estimate)
3-5failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.7% · Suspension 13.1% · Steering 9.6%282 (rough estimate)
6-8passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 10.3% · Suspension 4.0% · Tyres 3.0%397 (rough estimate)
6-8advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 19.1% · Suspension 14.3% · Body, chassis, structure 8.7%126 (rough estimate)
6-8failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.2% · Tyres 9.8% · Brakes 7.2%153 (rough estimate)
9-11passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.1% · Steering 7.3% · Suspension 5.3%889
9-11advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.3% · Steering 10.1% · Suspension 9.6%209 (rough estimate)
9-11failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.6% · Steering 11.3% · Suspension 7.8%231 (rough estimate)
12-14passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 12.4% · Suspension 6.4% · Steering 5.9%811
12-14advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.4% · Suspension 10.3% · Steering 9.8%437 (rough estimate)
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 23.4% · Suspension 15.0% · Steering 11.1%533
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 15.2% · Suspension 8.2% · Visibility 5.9%269 (rough estimate)
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 26.1% · Suspension 13.5% · Visibility 10.0%230 (rough estimate)
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 32.4% · Suspension 16.7% · Body, chassis, structure 14.1%299 (rough estimate)
20+passedSuspension 22.9% · Brakes 17.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.9%144 (rough estimate)
20+advisorySuspension 22.5% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 21.9% · Brakes 13.9%187 (rough estimate)
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 31.4% · Suspension 31.0% · Brakes 21.1%303 (rough estimate)
unknownpassedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.3% · Tyres 7.8% · Visibility 7.8%64 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Nissan Serena ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 62.4%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 8.0% — the gap is 54.4 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
29.55%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.396
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
32.54%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
26.684%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 1,780 failures followed through to their re-test, 29.55% were repaired and passed the same day and 62.42% within ten days; the median gap is 2 days. 5,047 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.396 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 5,585 miles a year across 2,226 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 32.54% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 23.91% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 26.684% of 2,271 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 37,423 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Nissan Serena safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 1.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Nissan Serena
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/1993/05511/10/19931,542POSSIBLE MISAPPLICATION OF PARKING BRAKE

DVSA lists 1 safety recall campaigns for the Nissan Serena, covering roughly 1,542 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Nissan Serena MOT: quick answers

Nissan Serena MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 77.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Nissan Serena first-time MOT pass rate?
75.31% of first attempts passed in 2024 (2,527 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 24.69% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 2,527 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 77.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Nissan Serena with other cars

Mercedes-Benz GLS is highest at 78.1; Mercedes-Benz M-Class is lowest at 77.1 — the gap is 1.0 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Nissan MOT statisticsNissan 350Z MOT statsNissan Pixo MOT stats

Similar risk

Honda Stepwagon (index 77.8)Mercedes-Benz GLS (index 78.1)Mercedes-Benz M-Class (index 77.1)

Same size class

how Citroen 2CV compareshow Mercedes-Benz 190 compareshow Aston Martin DB11 compares

By area

Nissan Serena MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Nissan Serena body, chassis and structure failuresNissan Serena brakes failuresNissan Serena vehicle identification failuresNissan Serena lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresNissan Serena noise, emissions and leaks failuresNissan Serena road wheels failuresNissan Serena seat belts and airbags failuresNissan Serena steering failuresNissan Serena suspension failuresNissan Serena tyres failuresNissan Serena visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:nissan-serena:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Nissan Serena MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/nissan-serena/ · Published 2026-07-30.