MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Renault Grand Espace — MOT statistics 2024

The Renault Grand Espace failed 46.68% of 1,596 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 112.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 13% more often than expected for its age. Small sample — treat with care.

MOT risk index 112.7, 95% CI 106.9–118.7 (100 = national average) 100 112.7 0 200
Index
112.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
46.68%
n = 1,596
Dangerous /100
18
national ≈11
Rank
585 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: Toyota Previa (index 112.8) — the two published results are 0.1 index points apart.

Renault Grand Espace common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Steering stands out at 13.5 per 100 tests, against 4.7 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Renault Grand Espace common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Lamps & electrical37.95,59830.61.24×1.21–1.27
Suspension33.84,98426.61.27×1.23–1.30
Brakes26.43,89218.71.41×1.36–1.45
Steering13.51,9904.72.85×2.73–2.98
Visibility11.61,71710.51.10×1.05–1.16
Tyres11.51,70510.51.09×1.05–1.15
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 14,767 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Steering ball joint with excessive wear or free playA steering ball joint with excessive wear or free play9.791.228.00×Ask the seller about: A steering ball joint with excessive wear or free play
Spring or spring component fractured or seriously…A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened9.232.863.23×Ask the seller about: A spring or spring component fractured or seriously weakened
Suspension pin, bush or joint excessively wornA suspension pin, bush or joint excessively worn10.444.872.14×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer…A suspension joint dust cover missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc5.931.783.32×Listen for knocks over bumps — worn joints show up on the test
Aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down…The aim of a headlamp is not within limits laid down in the requirements5.872.572.29×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Rear registration plate lamp or light source…A rear registration plate lamp or light source missing or inoperative in the case of multiple lamps or light sources5.722.832.02×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot…A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or no longer prevents the ingress of dirt etc4.271.562.74×Ask the seller about: A transmission shaft constant velocity joint boot missing or
Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm4.272.151.99×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a…A lamp missing, inoperative or in the case of a multiple light source more than 1/2 not functioning3.902.091.87×Try every light and switch — lamps are a top failure
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements4.783.591.33×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Renault Grand Espace MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 53.5 per 100 tests; Lamps & electrical are lowest at 9.2 per 100 tests — the gap is 44.3 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Renault Grand Espace MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes53.5
Tyres46.4
Suspension34.1
Non-component advisories25
Emissions & leaks10.4
Lamps & electrical9.2

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed38.5%1,221
It passed43.1%5,259

A failed test lowers next year's chance of failing again by 4.6 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is noise, emissions and leaks — 38.5% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 14,681 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only118.7fails more often than expected
Age and annual mileage112.4fails more often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year1.9%a normal spread of use

Mileage matters here: matching on how much these are driven moves the figure by 6.3 points — this fleet works harder than the vehicles it is measured against, so the age-only view penalises it — but it does not change which side of normal the car sits on. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Renault Grand Espace compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeRenault Grand EspaceSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
8 years37.6%23.21%+14.39 pp359
9 years40.64%26.73%+13.91 pp593
10 years46.44%30.03%+16.41 pp814
11 years46.95%33.44%+13.51 pp1,297
12 years50.8%36.45%+14.35 pp1,939
13 years47.52%38.88%+8.64 pp2,077
14 years51.92%40.82%+11.1 pp2,053
15 years49.03%42.3%+6.73 pp1,758
16 years49.18%43.13%+6.05 pp1,395
17 years49.89%43.51%+6.38 pp938
18 years46.36%43.63%+2.73 pp522
19 years50%43.19%+6.81 pp376
20 years48.26%42.43%+5.84 pp230

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Renault Grand Espace perform as it gets older?

The Grand Espace at age 17 stands out at 52.1%, against 43.1% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Renault Grand Espace perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–56%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeRenault Grand EspaceAll vehiclesGap
1344.8%38.2%+6.7 pp
1445.1%40.4%+4.6 pp
1543.1%41.6%+1.5 pp
1651.7%43.1%+8.7 pp
1752.0%43.1%+8.9 pp
1849.1%43.9%+5.3 pp
2042.5%41.0%+1.5 pp

Is a Renault Grand Espace ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Renault Grand Espace MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 3.7%.

Based on 1,575 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
3–5 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
6–7 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 498
15–17 years5.9%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 733
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 115
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 89
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 140

How dangerous are Renault Grand Espace MOT failures?

Major defects stand out at 109.4 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Renault Grand Espace MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor25.8514.221.82×
Major109.4452.752.07×
Dangerous18.2211.151.63×

Chart values: Minor 25.9 · Major 109.4 · Dangerous 18.2.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Renault Grand Espace MOT matter?

Jan is highest at 51.3%; May is lowest at 46.7% — the gap is 4.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Renault Grand Espace MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 27%–53%.

bars: Renault Grand Espace · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthRenault Grand EspaceAll vehiclesGap
Jan51.26%31.12%+20.1 pp
Feb49.44%29.99%+19.4 pp
Mar48.64%28.26%+20.4 pp
Apr49.13%29.78%+19.4 pp
May46.71%28.79%+17.9 pp
Jun47.53%28.15%+19.4 pp
Jul47.09%29.33%+17.8 pp
Aug47.81%29.2%+18.6 pp
Sep46.86%28.19%+18.7 pp
Oct48.91%30.34%+18.6 pp
Nov47.47%30.58%+16.9 pp
Dec47.58%29.33%+18.3 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 4.5 percentage points — noticeable seasonality. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Renault Grand Espace average mileage by age

At age 17, the middle half of Grand Espaces runs from 109,660 miles to 160,375 miles, against 132,324 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Renault Grand Espace · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–168k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Renault Grand Espace MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 15+, 35.3% of those with 40,000–70,000 miles failed first time versus 47% of those with over 140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Renault Grand Espace MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Renault Grand Espace: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
10–1440-70k miles44.6%32.4–57.6%56 (rough estimate)
10–1470-100k miles39.4%31.3–48.1%127 (rough estimate)
10–14100-140k miles44.3%37.4–51.5%185 (rough estimate)
10–14140k+ miles46%37.4–54.7%124 (rough estimate)
15+40-70k miles35.3%25–47.2%68 (rough estimate)
15+70-100k miles54%46.9–60.9%189 (rough estimate)
15+100-140k miles49.8%45.2–54.4%456 (rough estimate)
15+140k+ miles47%41.8–52.2%351 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
1390,538110,978136,889223
1491,364118,759148,328202
15107,810132,118152,974130
1697,002116,621142,981286
17109,660132,324160,375317
18102,501124,320143,330116
1983,995117,026137,32389
20+83,052113,683138,090141

A typical 17-year-old Grand Espace has ~132,324 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Renault Grand Espace fails its MOT most

Cardiff area is highest at 64.9%; London SE area is lowest at 30.9% — the gap is 34.0 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Renault Grand Espace line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Cardiff (CF)64.89%+16.6 pp
Truro (TR)61.03%+12.8 pp
Bath (BA)60.53%+12.3 pp
Taunton (TA)59.66%+11.4 pp
Portsmouth (PO)57.97%+9.7 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
London SE (SE)30.86%-17.4 pp
Leicester (LE)34.23%-14.1 pp
Wakefield (WF)34.55%-13.7 pp
Luton (LU)35.9%-12.4 pp
Kingston upon Thames (KT)37.17%-11.1 pp

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 41%–55% failing.

How many miles does a Renault Grand Espace last?

100,000+ miles is highest at 63.4%; 150,000+ miles is lowest at 16.7% — the gap is 46.7 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

OdometerTests ≥ thresholdShare of sample
100,000+ miles9,31863.37%
150,000+ miles2,45216.67%

Of 14,705 tests of this family with a usable odometer in 2024, 63.4% had reached 100k miles, 16.7% had reached 150k miles. This is a cross-section of cars still presenting for MOT, not a full birth cohort.

Renault Grand Espace faults that come together

Emissions & leaks + Seatbelts & SRS stand out at 4.66×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems534.66× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentRoad Wheels473.01× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks1332.72× (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems1302.69× (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels272.68× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1952.64× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSteering232.56× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility1252.53× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility822.53× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems1842.45× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres992.45× (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle282.43× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks2692.35× (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSuspension382.32× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres602.27× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems702.18× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment382.13× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres3622.11× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment9892.03×
Body, chassis, structureBrakes4192.02× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility2312.01× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSteering1152× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres5301.99×
BrakesSteering4871.99× (rough estimate)
SteeringTyres2621.96× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSteering741.96× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility2711.95× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres2201.94× (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsSuspension1531.94× (rough estimate)
SteeringSuspension7681.93×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSteering7321.93×
BrakesSuspension9811.92×
BrakesVisibility4021.91× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension2291.91× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment6061.88×
SuspensionTyres5201.86×
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility6041.85×
Body, chassis, structureSteering2931.81× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleSuspension341.81× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension1,4251.8×
Body, chassis, structureSuspension6011.78×
SteeringVisibility2681.64× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility5281.54×
Identification of the vehicleVisibility18too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres16too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres16too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureIdentification of the vehicle16too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSteering16too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureRoad Wheels15too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility15too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks12too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems11too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels6too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Brakes» and «Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment» appear together 2.03× more often than chance (989 co-occurrences in the same test; lift≥1.3, n≥500).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Renault Grand Espace?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 38.1%, against 50.5% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year38.11%551
8–12k miles/year50.54%4,027
Gap (low − normal)-12.43 pp—
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
929.413439.73224-10.32 pp
1033.334246.8344-13.47 pp
1137.667748.04562-10.38 pp
1239.6210654.18910-14.55 pp
1336.1910548.6965-12.41 pp
1443.7512853.99915-10.24 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 38.1% vs 50.5% for 8–12k miles/year — 12.4 pp lower (n_low=551, n_normal=4,027). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 38.4% low-use vs 50.4% normal (-11.9 pp).

Best year for a Renault Grand Espace, and the years to avoid

Build year 2007 is highest at 99.4; Build year 2004 is lowest at 88.2 — the gap is 11.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Renault Grand Espace build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Renault Grand Espace by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
201188.778.9–98.643.54%712better
201094.385.4–103.347.12%902no different
200996.887.7–10648.81%885no different
200898.592.9–10450.42%2,370no different
200799.494.3–104.551.31%2,834no different
200698.490.4–106.450.73%1,159no different
200593.485–101.950.21%934no different
200488.276.4–99.946.77%464better

The best build year here is 2004 and the weakest is 2011. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 2 of 8 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Renault Grand Espace MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £163.85 to £311.31, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£164–311
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Suspension33.8 (nat. 15.36)Suspension coil spring (single corner)£180£60.84
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment37.9 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£53.06
Brakes26.4 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£39.60
Tyres11.5 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£10.35

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £164 to £311, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Renault Grand Espace running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 18 stand out at 49.0%, against 45.0% at age 13, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 13
45
vehicles needing work (rough estimate: 223 tests)
At age 18
49
other cars of this model tested at age 18 in 2024 (rough estimate: 116 tests)
Repairs per 100
£16,385
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 29.58% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
1344.84%110,978223—
1445.05%118,759202—
1543.08%132,118130—
1651.75%116,621286—
1752.05%132,324317—
1849.14%124,320116—

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Renault Grand Espace rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility stands out at 1.55×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
1.55×
1.19% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
27th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 0 postcode areas

This Renault Grand Espace fails on corrosion more often than average once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are gentler than most for the models we publish. Those two point in opposite directions, which is the informative case: it rusts more than average despite living in gentler places, so the cause is the car, not the postcode.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Renault Grand Espace advisory become a failure?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are highest at 34.3%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 34.3 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Renault Grand Espace chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Renault Grand Espace, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Lamps & electrical 34.3% · Suspension 28.1% · Steering 20.8% · Brakes 18.4% · Tyres 9.8% · Noise, emissions, leaks 6% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment34.3%12.1 months5,141693
Suspension28.1%12.1 months5,6522,272
Steering20.8%12.1 months5,194794
Brakes18.4%12 months4,7083,175
Tyres9.8%12.1 months5,0493,029
Noise, emissions and leaks6.0%12 months4,317965
Non-component advisories0.0%——2,121

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 34 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12.1 months and roughly 5,141 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Renault Grand Espace?

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a failure at age 15-19 are highest at 29.4%; Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment after a passed at age 6-8 are lowest at 8.1% — the gap is 21.3 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
6-8passedSuspension 16.5% · Steering 9.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 8.1%272 (rough estimate)
6-8advisorySuspension 18.4% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 16.0% · Steering 13.6%206 (rough estimate)
6-8failureSuspension 19.2% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 13.4% · Tyres 9.3%291 (rough estimate)
9-11passedSuspension 19.9% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 11.3% · Brakes 10.6%856
9-11advisorySuspension 21.6% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 19.3% · Steering 12.1%820
9-11failureSuspension 25.8% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 22.0% · Brakes 14.9%1,493
12-14passedSuspension 19.2% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 17.0% · Brakes 10.3%955
12-14advisorySuspension 25.1% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 24.8% · Brakes 13.7%1,348
12-14failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.7% · Suspension 26.6% · Brakes 18.1%2,269
15-19passedLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 20.5% · Suspension 16.3% · Brakes 12.1%472 (rough estimate)
15-19advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 27.5% · Suspension 21.8% · Brakes 15.7%829
15-19failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 29.4% · Suspension 25.8% · Brakes 20.1%1,184
20+passedSuspension 23.3% · Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 18.6% · Body, chassis, structure 16.3%43 (rough estimate)
20+advisoryLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 25.0% · Visibility 13.1% · Noise, emissions and leaks 11.9%84 (rough estimate)
20+failureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment 23.8% · Suspension 22.9% · Brakes 13.8%109 (rough estimate)

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Renault Grand Espace ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 65.8%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 4.6% — the gap is 61.3 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
29.58%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.775
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
17.19%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
1.605%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 5,345 failures followed through to their re-test, 29.58% were repaired and passed the same day and 65.84% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 15,563 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.775 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 4,951 miles a year across 2,987 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 17.19% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 46.14% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 1.605% of 2,991 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 25,554 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Renault Grand Espace MOT: quick answers

Renault Grand Espace MOT Risk Index stands out at 112.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Renault Grand Espace first-time MOT pass rate?
53.32% of first attempts passed in 2024 (1,596 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 46.68% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 1,596 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 112.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Renault Grand Espace with other cars

Toyota Previa is highest at 112.8; Citroen Relay is lowest at 112.6 — the gap is 0.2 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Renault MOT statisticsRenault Laguna MOT statsRenault Twingo MOT stats

Similar risk

Toyota Previa (index 112.8)Citroen Relay (index 112.6)Nissan X-Trail (index 112.6)

Same size class

how Rolls-Royce Silver Shadow compareshow Aston Martin Vanquish compareshow Mazda B2500 compares

By build year

Renault Grand Espace 2004Renault Grand Espace 2005Renault Grand Espace 2006Renault Grand Espace 2007Renault Grand Espace 2008Renault Grand Espace 2009Renault Grand Espace 2010Renault Grand Espace 2011

By area

Renault Grand Espace MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Renault Grand Espace body, chassis and structure failuresRenault Grand Espace brakes failuresRenault Grand Espace vehicle identification failuresRenault Grand Espace lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresRenault Grand Espace noise, emissions and leaks failuresRenault Grand Espace road wheels failuresRenault Grand Espace seat belts and airbags failuresRenault Grand Espace steering failuresRenault Grand Espace suspension failuresRenault Grand Espace tyres failuresRenault Grand Espace visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:renault-grand-espace:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Renault Grand Espace MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/renault-grand-espace/ · Published 2026-07-30.