MOT Risk Index.co.uk

Jaguar E-Pace — MOT statistics 2024

The Jaguar E-Pace failed 12.26% of 31,628 first MOT attempts in 2024 ("first-time", excluding retests). Adjusted for the age of the fleet, its initial-failure ratio is 80.7 (100 = expected for its age profile). This car fails its MOT about 19% less often than expected for its age.

MOT risk index 80.7, 95% CI 78.3–83.1 (100 = national average) 100 80.7 0 200
Index
80.7
100 = age-normal
Raw fail rate
12.26%
n = 31,628
Dangerous /100
5
national ≈11
Diesel − petrol
+3.3 pp
fail-rate gap
Rank
264 of 761
lower index = better

Age-adjusted peer: BMW 3 Series (index 80.7) — the two published results are 0.0 index points apart.

Jaguar E-Pace common problems: what actually fails the MOT

Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment are well below the reference at 0.8 per 100 tests, against 2.9 per 100 tests across UK vehicles of the same ages.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

Jaguar E-Pace common problems: what actually fails the MOT — 2024 UK MOT data

family vs national — matched to UK vehicles of the same ages — top component groups, per 100 tests. Legend: This family · National avg. Combined labels: family / national average. A gap here reflects how these vehicles are driven, used and maintained as well as how they were built — an MOT defect is a test outcome, not a breakdown.

Component-group comparison table

Each ratio carries a 95% interval. With 6 groups compared here, roughly one apparent difference in twenty is chance alone, and 1 of these is already inside an interval that includes 1.00×.

GroupThis familyCases behind itUK, same agesFamily / national
Visibility5.55,1405.01.10×1.07–1.13
Tyres5.45,0156.40.85×0.82–0.87
Brakes3.23,0413.20.99×0.97–1.05 · not distinguishable
Emissions & leaks1.51,4280.72.24×2.16–2.40
Lamps & electrical0.87082.90.28×0.25–0.28
Identification0.43380.31.60×1.29–1.61
Named defects — items per 100 initial tests, this family vs UK national average; this model measured on 93,604 tests, 2019-2024, national column 2024
What failedper 100 tests (this family)per 100 tests (UK average)ratio family / UKWhat to check
Wiper blade defectiveWiper blade defective1.991.261.58×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Tyre seriously damagedA tyre seriously damaged2.772.541.09×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Brake disc or drum significantly and obviously wornBrake disc or drum significantly and obviously worn0.720.730.99×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Brake disc or drum excessively weakened, insecure…Brake disc or drum excessively weakened, insecure or fractured0.320.360.88×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Engine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunctionEngine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunction1.081.190.91×Ask the seller about: Engine MIL illuminated indicating a malfunction
Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the…Wiper blade missing or obviously not clearing the windscreen2.022.220.91×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mma brake lining or pad worn below 1.5mm1.402.150.65×Feel for brake judder and pulling on the test drive
Tyre cords visible or damagedA tyre cords visible or damaged0.781.630.48×Check tyre tread depth across the full width
Windscreen or window damaged or seriously…Windscreen or window damaged or seriously discoloured but not adversely affecting driver's view1.012.360.43×Check wipers, washers and windscreen chips in the driver's view
Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the…Tyre tread depth not in accordance with the requirements1.323.590.37×Check tyre tread depth across the full width

Named defects ranked by how much more often they appear than the national average — not by raw rate.

Jaguar E-Pace MOT advisories: what gets flagged

Brakes are highest at 39.2 per 100 tests; Seatbelts & SRS are lowest at 0.3 per 100 tests — the gap is 38.9 per 100 tests.

higher bar = flagged more oftenadvisory items per 100 initial tests

Jaguar E-Pace MOT advisories: what gets flagged — 2024 UK MOT data
Advisory rates table
GroupAdvisories per 100
Brakes39.2
Tyres38
Non-component advisories6.4
Suspension1.3
Identification0.4
Seatbelts & SRS0.3

Advisories are wear the tester noted but didn't fail — what will need money soon.

Tyres, brakes and suspension: Jaguar E-Pace against cars of the same age

AgePartJaguar E-PaceSame age, petrol and dieselDifference
3 yearsTyres3.974.17-0.20
3 yearsBrakes1.361.77-0.41
3 yearsSuspension0.220.63-0.41
4 yearsTyres44.54-0.54
4 yearsBrakes2.132.43-0.30
4 yearsSuspension0.221.21-0.99
5 yearsTyres4.45.06-0.66
5 yearsBrakes2.663.09-0.43
5 yearsSuspension0.412.19-1.78
6 yearsTyres4.415.54-1.13
6 yearsBrakes3.323.81-0.49
6 yearsSuspension0.43.72-3.32

Failing items per 100 initial tests, 2019-2024. The comparison group is every petrol or diesel car tested at the same age, so weight and drivetrain show up rather than fleet age.

If a car like this fails, does it fail again?

A failure rate does not say whether a failure is a one-off or the start of something. This follows the same vehicles into their next ordinary MOT a year later — retests after a repair are excluded, because they follow a failure by definition. 2019-2024.

After this year's testFails next yearVehicles followed
It failed14.9%2,212
It passed12.0%54,277

A failed test raises next year's chance of failing again by 2.9 percentage points. The failure most likely to come back is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment — 20.0% of those vehicles fail again next year. Some of this is the vehicle and some is the owner: a car that was let go once tends to be let go again. One caveat: a car that fails may be sold or scrapped rather than tested again, so these figures describe the vehicles that came back.

Adjusted for how much these are actually driven

The headline index adjusts for the fleet's age. Wear, though, follows mileage: a three-year-old taxi and a three-year-old garage queen sit in the same age band. These two rows compare every car with vehicles of the same age, and then with vehicles of the same age and the same annual mileage, 2019-2024, on 93,582 tests. Both stand on the six-year corpus so they are measured on identical data — compare them with each other, not with the headline index above, which is measured on 2024 alone.

Standardised forIndexReading
Age only77.9fails less often than expected
Age and annual mileage80.0fails less often than vehicles driven as much
Share doing under 3,000 miles a year4.0%a normal spread of use

Mileage changes little here (+2.1 points): this fleet is driven about as much as the vehicles it is compared with. One limit to keep in mind: mileage is partly a result of how often a car breaks down — one that spends weeks in the workshop covers fewer miles — so the mileage-matched figure can understate a real weakness. Tests with no usable odometer reading are left out of it.

How the Jaguar E-Pace compares with cars of its own age and size

Not against the whole fleet — against cars of the same size class tested at the same age, 2019-2024.

AgeJaguar E-PaceSame class, same ageDifferenceTests
3 years9.75%11.71%-1.96 pp32,048
4 years11.7%13.3%-1.61 pp28,349
5 years13.51%15.07%-1.57 pp21,717
6 years13.83%17.35%-3.51 pp10,373
7 years13.06%20.15%-7.09 pp222

Raw first-time failure rates within each age, so fleet age cannot flatter either side. A positive difference means this model fails more often than its own class at that age.

How does the Jaguar E-Pace perform as it gets older?

The E-Pace at age 7 is well below the reference at 13.1%, against 20.2% for all vehicles of the same age.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How does the Jaguar E-Pace perform as it gets older? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · failure-rate scale 0–25%.

Takeaway: solid line: this family; dashed: all cars.

Data table
AgeJaguar E-PaceAll vehiclesGap
38.1%12.4%-4.4 pp
410.3%13.1%-2.8 pp
513.3%15.1%-1.8 pp
613.8%17.5%-3.7 pp
713.1%20.2%-7.1 pp

Is a Jaguar E-Pace ULEZ compliant?

The share of classifiable 2024 Jaguar E-Pace MOT tests likely ULEZ compliant by first-registration date is 100.0%.

Based on 31,623 classifiable initial MOT tests. This describes the tested fleet, not a specific car. MOT data do not record Euro class, so likely compliance is inferred from fuel and first-registration date. For the only authoritative answer, check the registration with TfL's official ULEZ checker.

higher = larger share likely compliantinferred from fuel and first-registration date; not a recorded Euro class

Age-band estimate from classifiable initial MOT tests
Vehicle age at testLikely ULEZ-compliant shareTests
Under 3 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 41
3–5 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 21,212
6–7 years100.0%
Check a registration with TfL
n = 10,368
8 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1
9 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
10–14 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
15–17 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
18 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
19 yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 0
20+ yearsSuppressed — sample below publication threshold
Check a registration with TfL
n = 1

How dangerous are Jaguar E-Pace MOT failures?

Major defects are well below the reference at 9.3 per 100 tests, against 52.8 per 100 tests nationally.

higher bar = fails more oftenrate per 100 tests

How dangerous are Jaguar E-Pace MOT failures? — 2024 UK MOT data
Severity table
SeverityThis family /100National /100Family / national
Minor3.3314.220.23×
Major9.2552.750.18×
Dangerous4.9511.150.44×

Chart values: Minor 3.3 · Major 9.3 · Dangerous 5.0.

Per 100 tests on this family. National average: Minor 14.2 · Major 52.8 · Dangerous 11.2 per 100.

Does the month of a Jaguar E-Pace MOT matter?

Apr is highest at 12.8%; Feb is lowest at 10.7% — the gap is 2.1 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Does the month of a Jaguar E-Pace MOT matter? — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart scale: 9%–33%.

bars: Jaguar E-Pace · dashed: all class-4 cars

Month-by-month table
MonthJaguar E-PaceAll vehiclesGap
Jan11.6%31.12%-19.5 pp
Feb10.68%29.99%-19.3 pp
Mar11.67%28.26%-16.6 pp
Apr12.8%29.78%-17.0 pp
May12.08%28.79%-16.7 pp
Jun12.52%28.15%-15.6 pp
Jul12.43%29.33%-16.9 pp
Aug11.29%29.2%-17.9 pp
Sep10.71%28.19%-17.5 pp
Oct11.24%30.34%-19.1 pp
Nov11.42%30.58%-19.2 pp
Dec11.4%29.33%-17.9 pp

Takeaway: the spread between best and worst month is 2.1 percentage points — booking month barely matters for this family. Seasonality partly reflects registration-date clustering, not weather.

Before reading the shape: most of it is not about cars. Britain changes its registration plates twice a year, and 18.9% of these cars were first registered in March with another17.1% in September — 36% in two months against the 17% an even spread would give. An MOT falls due three years after first registration, so the buying calendar becomes the testing calendar. That shapes how many cars are tested each month — not how often they fail: the busiest months here are not the worst ones, so read the failure line on its own and the volume behind it separately.

Jaguar E-Pace average mileage by age

At age 5, the middle half of E-Paces runs from 28,638 miles to 48,822 miles, against 37,720 miles as the median.

further right = more milesmedian is the typical car; band is p25–p75

Bars: Jaguar E-Pace · dashed: all class-4 cars — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · odometer scale 0–60k mi.

Does high mileage mean more Jaguar E-Pace MOT failures at the same age?

Within the same age group, split by odometer (2024 MOTs), so this separates wear from age: at ages 3–5, 9.5% of those with under 40,000 miles failed first time versus 13.1% of those with 100,000–140,000 miles.No clear mileage gap inside this age group, among cars still being tested.

Does high mileage mean more Jaguar E-Pace MOT failures at the same age? — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar E-Pace: first-time failure by mileage within each age group (2024)
AgeOdometer% failing95% intervalTests
3–5<40k miles9.5%9.1–10%14,456
3–540-70k miles15.3%14.5–16.3%6,077
3–570-100k miles20%17.1–23.4%614
3–5100-140k miles13.1%6.8–23.8%61 (rough estimate)
6–9<40k miles11.7%10.8–12.8%4,039
6–940-70k miles14.9%14–15.9%5,302
6–970-100k miles16%13.8–18.5%906
6–9100-140k miles13.9%8.7–21.4%115 (rough estimate)

line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75)

Mileage by age (p25 / median / p75)
Agep25Medianp75Tests
317,01023,67831,0423,685
422,10229,84738,9856,276
528,63837,72048,82211,251
634,01344,42956,72310,147
735,04045,44857,617221

A typical 5-year-old E-Pace has ~37,720 miles on the clock. Much more — ask why; much less — check for gaps in the MOT history.

Where in Britain the Jaguar E-Pace fails its MOT most

Huddersfield area is highest at 19.3%; Uxbridge area is lowest at 5.7% — the gap is 13.5 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Jaguar E-Pace line: median · band: middle half of the fleet (p25–p75) — 2024 UK MOT data
Toughest areas% failingvs model overall
Huddersfield (HD)19.27%+7.6 pp
London SW (SW)18.48%+6.8 pp
Cambridge (CB)17.89%+6.3 pp
Carlisle (CA)17.44%+5.8 pp
Perth (PH)16.46%+4.8 pp
Easiest areas% failingvs model overall
Uxbridge (UB)5.74%-5.9 pp
Worcester (WR)7.07%-4.6 pp
Enfield (EN)7.1%-4.5 pp
London E (E)7.16%-4.5 pp
Nottingham (NG)7.63%-4.0 pp

Why do areas differ?

For each external factor we correlate the area fail rate with the factor across postcode areas that have ≥800 tests of this family, then compare the bottom vs top fifth (quintile) of the factor. Correlation, not causation — factors travel together (the north is colder and often poorer; urban areas are denser and less salted). Road surface condition is joined now, for the 91 English areas the DfT publishes, and it explains nothing: the correlation with suspension failures is −0.01 and with body and structure failures 0.07. Potholes wreck wheels and tyres between tests, but by the time a car reaches the bay the road it drives on leaves no measurable trace.

In areas with the highest terrain gradient this model fails 3.2 pp more often than in the lowest fifth (r=0.42, n=30 areas with ≥800 tests).

In areas with the highest urban share this model fails 2.8 pp less often than in the lowest fifth (r=-0.36, n=49 areas with ≥800 tests).

In the most coastal fifth of areas this model fails 0.4 pp more often than in the most inland fifth (r=-0.24, n=49 areas with ≥800 tests).

Jaguar E-Pace Why do areas differ? — 2024 UK MOT data
Values shown in the quintile chart
FactorLow QHigh QGapCorrelation
Terrain gradient11.2%14.3%+3.1 ppr=0.42
Urban share13.6%10.8%-2.8 ppr=-0.36
Distance to coast12.2%11.8%-0.4 ppr=-0.24

Factors that only mean something combined

Some conditions are useless on their own and informative multiplied together. Frost days alone say little — Britain barely freezes. Salt tonnage alone says little — it tracks frost. Distance to the sea alone says little. Multiply the first two and divide by the third and you get an index of how hard an area attacks a car's underside, and it lines up with the corrosion defects we actually record. We built five such combinations and tested each against our own data. Three survived; two did not, and the failures are listed here on purpose — a proxy that was never checked is decoration. One survivor only survived on the second attempt: built from a crude stand-in for street parking it failed outright, and rebuilt from the census — terraced streets carrying more cars than they have driveways — it works, and carries information the salt index does not.

Composite area indicators, each tested against a defect rate we measure
CompositeBuilt fromTested againstrVerdict
Underbody corrosionfrost days × salt load ÷ (distance to coast + 1)share of tests with a corrosion defect+0.42holds (116 areas)
Tyre wearrain days × annual miles ÷ age at first tyre advisoryshare of tests failing on tyres+0.45holds (116 areas)
Overnight corrosionterraced housing × cars per household × frost daysshare with a corrosion defect+0.41holds (102 areas) — and adds signal beyond the first index
Deferred maintenancedeprivation × advisory-to-failure conversion ÷ labour ratecars repeating the same advisory−0.26fails (118 areas)
Powertrain stressengine capacity ÷ kerb weightsuspension, brake and emissions failures−0.16fails (22 models)

The deprivation result is the one worth dwelling on. The intuition that poorer areas defer repairs is strong enough that most people treat it as established. We tested it twice — once on raw failure rates (r = 0.04) and again, more fairly, on whether an advisory turns into a failure — and it did not hold any of the three times we tried it — on raw failure rates, on advisory-to-failure conversion, and again with deprivation measured properly inside each nation rather than England alone. We are closing it. What does predict local failure rates is the density of test centres, which is a statement about testing, not about cars.

All external-factor correlations (machine-readable)
Factorrn areasLow-Q fail %High-Q fail %Gap ppLow-Q factorHigh-Q factor
Terrain gradient (% grade)0.4183011.214.3+3.20.53.3
Urban share (0–1)-0.3644913.610.8-2.80.50.9
Distance to coast (km)-0.2434912.211.8-0.46.289.2
Income deprivation (score)-0.2164311.810.8-1.00.10.2
MOT centre density (per 10k vehicles)0.1954910.511.8+1.35.58.1
Road-salt proxy (g/m²-yr)0.1264912.412.3-0.1211.1574.7
Frost days (days/year)0.0844912.512.1-0.41032.6

Deprivation uses England IMD 2019 income score only (Scotland SIMD is a different scale). Salt proxy is a simplified NWSRG-style dry-salt sum from air Tmin; coastalness is distance from the area centroid to the nearest coastline.

Every dot is a postcode area — size = how many were tested there, colour = share failing. These figures are not age-adjusted: coastal and rural areas often run older fleets and salted roads, so higher raw fail rates do not automatically mean a worse local stock of this model.

Map labels: Scotland · N. England · Wales · London · S. West. Colour scale: 8%–16% failing.

Jaguar E-Pace survival: which cars are still on the road

By age 7 is well below the reference at 1.1%, against 100.0% at the ages 4–6 reference level.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Jaguar E-Pace survival: which cars are still on the road — 2024 UK MOT data

Chart axes: car age, years · survival vs ages 4–6 · scale 0–105%.

Survival vs fail rate by age
AgeTestsSurvival vs ages 4–6Fail %
332,048100%9.75%
428,349100%11.7%
521,717100%13.51%
610,37351.5%13.83%
72221.1%13.06%

By age 7, only about 1% as many cars of this family present for MOT as at ages 4–6 (reference n≈20,146); survivors still fail at 13.1% vs 11.7% at age 4. Older cars that still appear are a selected subset — weaker ones have already left.

How many years is a Jaguar E-Pace likely to last?

Bought at age 5 stands out at 1.0 years.

bigger number = longer remaining lifeyears on the observed survival curve

Age nowTypical mileage (p50)Expected years left
5—at least 1

estimateObserved only until age 7. The curve does not run five years past the stated age with the share still tested under 50%, so no 'years left' number is given.

Jaguar E-Pace faults that come together

Emissions & leaks + Suspension stand out at 5.59×, against 1.00× if the faults were independent.

above 1.0× = more than expectedbelow 1.0× = less

Group AGroup BTogetherLift
Noise, emissions and leaksSuspension205.59× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentNoise, emissions and leaks385.07× (rough estimate)
BrakesSuspension274.81× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentVisibility1034.24× (rough estimate)
BrakesNoise, emissions and leaks1124.21× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleVisibility353.8× (rough estimate)
BrakesTyres2993.67× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksVisibility2013.66× (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentTyres803.48× (rough estimate)
BrakesLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment393.32× (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksTyres1723.31× (rough estimate)
SuspensionTyres363.28× (rough estimate)
BrakesVisibility2603.02× (rough estimate)
TyresVisibility4882.9× (rough estimate)
SuspensionVisibility302.58× (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleTyres212.41× (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureVisibility19too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsTyres17too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsTyres17too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureTyres17too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems16too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureBrakes15too few (rough estimate)
Seat belts and supplementary restraint systemsVisibility15too few (rough estimate)
BrakesRoad Wheels14too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureNoise, emissions and leaks13too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleNoise, emissions and leaks13too few (rough estimate)
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipmentSuspension10too few (rough estimate)
Road WheelsVisibility10too few (rough estimate)
Noise, emissions and leaksRoad Wheels9too few (rough estimate)
BrakesIdentification of the vehicle9too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment7too few (rough estimate)
Identification of the vehicleLamps, reflectors and electrical equipment7too few (rough estimate)
BrakesSeat belts and supplementary restraint systems7too few (rough estimate)
Body, chassis, structureSuspension5too few (rough estimate)

Defects in «Noise, emissions and leaks» and «Suspension» appear together 5.59× more often than chance (20 co-occurrences in the same test; 66 pairs compared).

Lift = how many times more often both groups appear on the same test than if independent. A pair is listed from 5 tests with both faults; the lift is shown from 20, and called above chance only when its 95% interval excludes 1 (see rough estimates).

Is low mileage better for a Jaguar E-Pace?

Cars driven under 5,000 miles a year is well below the reference at 10.2%, against 15.5% for cars driven 8,000–12,000 miles a year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

BandFail %Tests
<5k miles/year10.22%5,594
8–12k miles/year15.45%10,535
Gap (low − normal)-5.22 pp—
By fuel and age

Diesel

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
510.182,39615.846,078-5.66 pp
612.191,09116.22,951-4.01 pp
714.713412.241+2.51 pp

Petrol

AgeLow-use fail %nNormal fail %nGap pp
59.321,40611.221,016-1.9 pp
69.1370114.75488-5.62 pp

At matched ages 5–14, cars averaging under 5k miles/year fail at 10.2% vs 15.4% for 8–12k miles/year — 5.2 pp lower (n_low=5,594, n_normal=10,535). In this family low annual use is associated with fewer MOT fails, not more — the ‘garage queen’ penalty is not visible in overall fail rates. Diesel alone: 10.8% low-use vs 15.9% normal (-5.1 pp).

Which Jaguar E-Pace engine is best?

diesel 1.8–2.0 is highest at 105.2; petrol 1.8–2.0 is lowest at 81.7 — the gap is 23.5 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Engine bands against this model's own failure rate at the same ages
FuelCapacityvs own age normRaw fail %Tests
petrol1.8–2.0 litre81.79.48%20,571
diesel1.8–2.0 litre105.212.28%72,455

Splitting this model by fuel alone hides the thing that actually differs. Within the same badge, the diesel 1.8–2.0 runs at 105.2 against this model's own age norm while the petrol 1.8–2.0 runs at 81.7 — a spread of 23.5 points between two cars that share a name.

Read this one with more care than the rest of the page. Age is held constant, but who buys which engine is not: the largest capacity in a range is often a performance or executive variant that is garaged, cherished and lightly driven, while the smallest is frequently a fleet or entry car worked hard from new. The gap below is real in the test records; how much of it is the engine and how much is the owner, this data cannot separate. Bands under 100 tests are not shown; bands under 5,000 tests are rough estimates.

Best year for a Jaguar E-Pace, and the years to avoid

Build year 2018 is highest at 107.6; Build year 2020 is lowest at 93.5 — the gap is 14.1 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected

Jaguar E-Pace build year vs the same model at the same age · 100 = as expected — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar E-Pace by build year, tests 2019–2024. Below 100 is better than the model's own age norm.
Every build year with its confidence interval
Build yearvs own age norm95% CIRaw fail %TestsVerdict
202093.588.3–98.89.72%12,599better
2019101.898.6–10511.47%34,203no different
2018107.6104.7–110.512.77%41,169worse
201710685.8–126.212.82%827no different

The best build year here is 2020 and the weakest is 2018. Comparing build years sounds simple and is not: within a single year of testing, a car's build year and its age are the same number, so a naive comparison of years is a comparison of ages wearing a disguise. Each year below is measured against the same model at the same age in other cohorts, across six years of testing — 2 of 4 years come out distinguishable from their own model's age norm.

Two limits worth knowing before you act on this. Age, test year and build year are locked together by arithmetic, so the test-year effect is taken from the observed national failure level of each year rather than estimated — it is an adjustment, not a solution.

Jaguar E-Pace MOT repair costs

The MOT-failure repair budget per test runs from £13.78 to £26.18, against £54.85 for the test itself.

bigger number = costs morepounds per test, MOT-failing faults only

MOT repairs, budget
£14–26
per test, repairs only
The test itself
£54.85
statutory cap, unchanged since 2010
How the figure is built: chance of failing × typical price of that repair
ComponentFails per 100 testsTypical repairIts priceContribution
Tyres5.4 (nat. 8.7)Tyre (single mid-range 16" fitted)£90£4.86
Brakes3.2 (nat. 11.25)Front brake pads (parts + labour, typical hatchback)£150£4.80
Noise, emissions and leaks1.5 (nat. 3.67)Exhaust rear silencer£200£3.00
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment0.8 (nat. 18.09)Battery replacement (standard 12V lead-acid)£140£1.12

Multiply how often each component fails on this model by what that repair usually costs, and you get the amount an owner should expect to budget per test for MOT-failing faults only — roughly £14 to £26, on top of the test fee itself. It is a budgeting figure, not a quote: the spread between a set of pads and a set of discs is most of the range.

Prices are modal quotes from a hand-kept catalogue of published UK garage guides — we do not scrape the booking sites, their terms forbid it, so this list is short and updated by hand with a source and date against each line. Each line prices one typical repair in that group, not a full remedy, and only groups our catalogue actually covers are counted. The contrast worth noticing is the second card: the legal maximum for the test has been £54.85 since 2010, while the repairs it uncovers have followed inflation the whole time.

For scale from a different direction: Warrantywise, which sees used-car warranty claims rather than test failures, puts the average claim at £2,052 across the ten highest-claim models it ranks and £539 for Honda, the lowest-claim make in its index (Warrantywise index 2026, 1.6 million claims, cars aged 3–15). Those sit an order of magnitude above the figures in this table, and the gap is the point: a warranty claim is a gearbox or an engine, which almost never fails an MOT, while the faults that do fail one are corrosion, lamps and tyres, which no warranty pays for. The two numbers answer different questions and neither replaces the other.

Jaguar E-Pace running costs for a fleet

Vehicles failing at age 7 are close to the reference at 13.0%, against 13.0% at age 5, tested in the same year.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fails per 100 at age 5
13
vehicles needing work
At age 7
13
other cars of this model tested at age 7 in 2024 (rough estimate: 221 tests)
Repairs per 100
£1,378
plus £5,485 in test fees
Off the road
1d
median; 46.63% cleared same day
Failure rate and typical odometer by age
AgeFailsMedian odometerTestsGap vs age 5
38.06%23,6783,685-5.3 pp
410.33%29,8476,276-3.0 pp
513.33%37,72011,251+0.0 pp
613.8%44,42910,147+0.5 pp
713.12%45,448221-0.2 pp

No single year stands out as the point where this model starts costing more: the year-to-year steps in its failure rate are too small or rest on too few tests to name one (D1 rule: a step is named only with at least 2,000 tests on both sides and a jump above 3 percentage points).

Repair spend uses the same modal prices as the section above, so it inherits the same limits: one typical repair per component group, not a full remedy. Downtime is the gap between the failed test and the passed re-test, which is the window a vehicle is legally off the road.

Jaguar E-Pace rust problems: where they corrode

Age-standardised corrosion susceptibility is well below the reference at <0.1×, against 1.00× for the national age-standardised rate.

above 1.0× = rusts more than averagebelow 1.0× = rusts less

How it rusts
<0.1×
0.01% of tests record a corrosion defect vs 0.77% typical — age-standardised
Salt Belt exposure
79th
percentile among the models published here, from its tests across 49 postcode areas

This Jaguar E-Pace virtually never fails on corrosion once age is held constant, and its owners live in areas that are saltier than most for the models we publish. Both point the same way and reinforce each other: it resists corrosion even though its owners live in saltier areas than most.

Corrosion is the one failure mode that is as much about geography as about the car. We keep the two apart on purpose: a model can look rusty simply because it is popular in Scotland, and a model can look clean simply because it is bought in Surrey. Blending them into a single score would hide which of the two is doing the work.

Exposure is this model's tests weighted by an area corrosion index built from frost days, salt load and distance to the coast — the composite validated at r = 0.42 against corrosion defects we actually record. It is published as a rank, not a raw score, because every mainstream model skews towards low-corrosion areas for the simple reason that most of Britain's cars are in the south. Susceptibility is standardised to the national age profile, so an old fleet does not get labelled a rusty model.

Does a Jaguar E-Pace advisory become a failure?

Tyres are highest at 5.9%; Non-component advisories are lowest at 0.0% — the gap is 5.9 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now

Jaguar E-Pace chance the same component fails at the next MOT, given an advisory now — 2024 UK MOT data
Jaguar E-Pace, advisory → failure conversion by component group, chained tests 2019–2024. Chart labels and rates: Tyres 6% · Brakes 5.8% · Non-component 0%.
Advisory today → failure at the next test, with how long you have
ComponentFails next timeTypical lead timeMiles of warningAdvisories tracked
Tyres5.9%12 months8,22512,458
Brakes5.8%12 months8,46211,934
Non-component advisories0.0%——3,653

This is the question an advisory note actually raises, and it needs six years of test history to answer. We followed the same vehicles from one MOT to the next across 2019–2024 and measured how often a component that was merely advised came back as a genuine failure at the next test.

Read it as a budgeting horizon, not a prophecy: the most likely component above turns into a failure for about 6 in 100 cars, and the median gap is 12 months and roughly 8,225 miles. The rest were repaired, sold, scrapped, or simply held. Rows with fewer than 500 tracked advisories are not shown.

What will fail next on a Jaguar E-Pace?

Visibility after a failure at age 3-5 is highest at 6.3%; Brakes after a passed at age <3 are lowest at 1.3% — the gap is 5.0 percentage points.

higher = more likelypercentage is the observed transition probability

Probability of each component failing at the next test, by age and last result
AgeLast testMost likely next failuresCars tracked
<3passedVisibility 4.2% · Tyres 3.2% · Brakes 1.3%13,818
<3advisoryVisibility 5.8% · Tyres 4.6% · Brakes 3.0%5,911
<3failureTyres 5.0% · Visibility 4.8% · Brakes 2.5%2,089
3-5passedVisibility 4.6% · Tyres 3.9% · Brakes 1.9%23,421
3-5advisoryVisibility 5.9% · Tyres 5.2% · Brakes 4.2%12,272
3-5failureVisibility 6.3% · Tyres 4.7% · Brakes 3.7%5,123

The same chains, cut differently: given a car's age and how its last test went, which component most often causes trouble at the following one.

The pattern that repeats across every family: a failure at one test roughly doubles the chance of a failure on the same component at the next one, and an advisory sits about half-way between a clean pass and a failure. Age bands in years; probabilities are per car, not per defect item.

Jaguar E-Pace ownership: what six years of MOTs show

The ten-day re-test pass rate is highest at 51.2%; The later re-test pass rate is lowest at 2.2% — the gap is 48.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Fixed same day
46.63%
of failures re-tested
Fails /10k miles
0.165
miles actually driven
Clean streaks
33.16%
3+ tests, nothing noted
Odometer anomaly
0.229%
reading went backwards

Failing is usually a same-week event, not a disaster. Of 7,793 failures followed through to their re-test, 46.63% were repaired and passed the same day and 51.16% within ten days; the median gap is 1 day. 12,189 defect items were cleared in the process.

Per mile driven, not per year. Dividing failures by the miles that actually went onto the odometers between consecutive tests gives 0.165 failures per 10,000 miles, on a median of 7,184 miles a year across 27,524 chains. This is the number to compare between models — an annual rate quietly rewards cars that barely leave the drive.

Two populations hide inside one model. 33.16% of these cars strung together three or more tests with nothing recorded at all, while 7.48% carried the same advisory three times or more — the same fault, noted, ignored, noted again. When you buy used you are buying one of those two histories, and the MOT record shows which.

Odometer anomalies: 0.229% of 27,537 chains show a reading lower than the previous test, with a median drop of 10,996 miles. We call this an anomaly and not fraud on purpose — instrument swaps, imports, unit mix-ups and keying errors all land in the same bucket. Obvious typos (drops under 100 miles or over 90% of the reading) are already excluded.

Jaguar E-Pace safety recalls and how to check yours

DVSA recall campaigns stand out at 13.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

recall campaigns launched per year

Jaguar E-Pace recall campaigns launched per year — 2024 UK MOT data
Campaigns launched per year for the Jaguar E-Pace. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls. Chart values: 2018: 3 · 2019: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2021: 3 · 2022: 0 · 2023: 0 · 2024: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2026: 1.
Most recent safety recall campaigns for the Jaguar E-Pace
ReferenceLaunchedVehiclesConcern
R/2025/55512/06/202637E-PACE F-PACE Defender Discovery Sport Range Rover Evoque and Range Rover Velar PHEV Tract
R/2025/26028/11/20255,479Jaguar E-PACE Inappropriate Passenger Airbag Deployment
R/2025/28105/08/20252,246Electric Power Inverter Converter B (EPICB) Software Update
R/2024/17820/08/20244,144Jaguar E-PACE Inappropriate Passenger Airbag Deployment
R/2024/20707/06/20245,075AJ21-D4 Turbo Oil Feed Pipe Leak
All 13 campaigns
ReferenceLaunchedBuild datesVehiclesConcern
R/2025/55512/06/202609/11/2020 – 04/03/202237E-PACE F-PACE Defender Discovery Sport Range Rover Evoque and Range Rover Velar PHEV Tract
R/2025/26028/11/202526/05/2020 – 28/05/20245,479Jaguar E-PACE Inappropriate Passenger Airbag Deployment
R/2025/28105/08/202517/11/2021 – 11/10/20242,246Electric Power Inverter Converter B (EPICB) Software Update
R/2024/17820/08/202427/10/2020 – 21/10/20224,144Jaguar E-PACE Inappropriate Passenger Airbag Deployment
R/2024/20707/06/202427/05/2020 – 19/07/20245,075AJ21-D4 Turbo Oil Feed Pipe Leak
R/2021/23025/06/202125/11/2019 – 16/04/20213,090THE RUBBERISED FUEL RETURN HOSE ASSEMBLY MAY HAVE BEEN INCORRECTLY MANUFACTURED
R/2021/16918/05/202123/02/2021 – 02/03/2021191THE EMERGENCY LOCKING RETRACTOR IN THE FRONT RIGHT HAND SIDE SEAT BELT ASSEMBLY MAY NOT F
R/2021/10513/04/202116/06/2020 – 24/02/20211,381THE RIGHT HAND FRONT SUPPLEMENTARY RESTRAINT SEATBELT PRE TENSIONER WILL NOT FUNCTION UNLE
R/2020/04127/02/202024/04/2019 – 03/07/20196ONE OR MORE OF THE FASTENERS ON THE RIGHT HAND FRONT SEAT FRAME ASSEMBLY MAY BE MISSING OR
R/2019/04815/03/201909/11/2016 – 05/07/20184,874THE VEHICLE FAILED TO ROUTINELY ACHIEVE THE REQUIRED LEVELS OF CO2 EMISSIONS
R/2018/08810/05/201827/07/2017 – 02/03/20181,305REVERSE LIGHTS INTERACT WITH EPB
R/2018/05824/04/201804/10/2017 – 22/12/201786FRONT BRAKE FLEXI HOSE BRACKETS MAY NOT BE TO SPECIFICATION
R/2018/03529/03/201801/09/2016 – 17/08/20174,464FUEL MAY LEAK

DVSA lists 13 safety recall campaigns for the Jaguar E-Pace, covering roughly 32,378 vehicles in total. A recall is the manufacturer fixing a fault for free, so an open recall on your car costs nothing to clear.

Counter-intuitive, and measured on our own data: across the 25 families published here, more recalls go with a lower MOT Risk Index (r = −0.52). Heavily recalled models are not worse cars in the test bay — an active manufacturer removes the fault before it becomes an MOT failure.

Check whether a specific car has an outstanding recall — free, by registration — at DVSA's recall service. Source: DVSA vehicle safety recalls (check-vehicle-recalls.service.gov.uk), OGL.

Jaguar E-Pace technical service bulletins: what dealers are told

US market, Jaguar E-PACE, model years 2019–2022 only. A count of bulletins, not a UK failure rate.

NHTSA manufacturer communications are 511.

bigger number = more recorded dealer communicationsnot affected vehicles or confirmed faults

These are the issues the manufacturer fixes quietly: service communications sent to dealers without a public recall campaign. They show what the service network has been told even when the issue never became news.

United States · NHTSA manufacturer communications

US technical service bulletins by communication year; leading subjects cover the full file
Communication yearBulletinsLeading subjects across all years
20124
  • Electrical system (218)
  • Equipment (134)
  • Powertrain (79)
  • Other / uncategorised (55)
  • Engine and cooling (44)
  • Engine (40)
  • Adaptive and mobility equipment (15)
  • Structure (14)
20131
201822
2019103
202064
2021104
202260
202345
202435
202557
202616

Caveat worth stating plainly: this is NHTSA data about US-specification cars. British cars sold under the same name often use different gearboxes, engines and equipment, so a bulletin may describe a component that was never fitted here. The file counts dealer communications, not affected vehicles or confirmed failures, and it cannot tell you whether an individual UK car has the issue. A communication can carry more than one subject tag, so topic counts do not have to add up to the total. Source: NHTSA Manufacturer Communications API (US-market vehicles; queried model years 2015-2022). Licence: U.S. Government work / public domain · retrieved 2026-09-25.

Jaguar E-Pace owner complaints: what goes wrong

US market, Jaguar E-PACE, model years 2019–2022 only. A count of owner complaints, not a UK failure rate; NHTSA has no UK denominator.

Engine (not MOT-tested) is highest at 7; Tyres are lowest at 1 — the gap is 6.

bigger number = more recorded casescompare like-for-like scope, not sample size alone

Owner complaints (US) against actual MOT failures (UK) for the same component groups
ComponentComplaintsShareMOT fail items per 100MOT rankAgreement
Engine (not MOT-tested)758.3%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Lamps & electrical433.3%0.8#5complained about, fails occasionally
Transmission (not MOT-tested)325.0%not in top 6—complained about, rarely an MOT failure
Tyres18.3%5.4#2complained about and fails often

Two different populations answering two different questions: the MOT records what an inspector can measure once a year, the complaint file records what annoyed or frightened an owner on the road. A component high in one column and absent from the other is the interesting case — driver-assistance and electronics dominate complaints while almost never appearing as an MOT failure item.

What the reports actually say
When coming to a stop the or even when trying to pull out the vehicle will shut off and you have to turn the car off to restart it and then switch back to drive and then the vehicle will go but it may turn off again if coming to a stop.
NHTSA complaint, filed 10/10/2025 · ELECTRICAL SYSTEM
MY DAUGHTER DRIVES THIS CAR, SHE IS EXPERIENCING AN ABRUPT LOUD SCREECHING SOUND INSIDE THE CAB WHICH CAUSES HER TO TO LOSE FOCUS ON THE ROAD, WHICH IS VERY CONCERNING. THE SERVICE DEPARTMENT CAN'T IDENTIFY THE ISSUE AND DOESN'T WANT TO HAVE ANYTHING TO DO WITH IT. HAS ANYONE ELSE COMPLAIN ABOUT THIS BEFORE? IT HAPPENED ON THE HIGHWAY WHILE DRIVING.
NHTSA complaint, filed 12/16/2020

US owners have filed 12 complaints about the equivalent Jaguar E-Pace to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration0. These are owner reports, not verified findings — but they are the only large public record of what drivers themselves notice, and they cover the years between MOT tests.

Caveat worth stating plainly: US-specification cars, self-selected reporters, no denominator — complaint counts scale with how many cars were sold there and how motivated owners are to file. The mechanical gap matters as much as the statistical one: American cars of the same name often carry different gearboxes, engines and equipment — automatics where Britain buys manuals — so a drivetrain complaint filed in Ohio may describe a part that was never fitted here. Read the ranking inside a model, not between models, and treat drivetrain entries with particular caution. Source: NHTSA ODI consumer complaints (US market, public domain) — US-spec vehicles, indicative only.

Jaguar E-Pace MOT: quick answers

Jaguar E-Pace MOT Risk Index is well below the reference at 80.7, against 100 for a car with the same age profile.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

What is the Jaguar E-Pace first-time MOT pass rate?
87.74% of first attempts passed in 2024 (31,628 tests). This is the first-time figure: retests after repair are excluded. Basis: first-time, excluding retests.
Why does this number differ from other sites?
Other sites often report a pass rate that includes retests or counts all attempts. Our 12.26% figure is the first-time initial failure rate, using 31,628 primary tests as the denominator (first-time, excluding retests). The age-adjusted MOT initial-failure ratio 80.7 is shown separately because raw rates compare fleet age as well as cars.

Compare the Jaguar E-Pace with other cars

Honda Jazz is highest at 80.8; Jaguar E-Pace is lowest at 80.7 — the gap is 0.1 points.

below 100 is betterabove 100 is worse100 = normal for this model at that age

Same brand

All Jaguar MOT statisticsJaguar XF MOT statsJaguar F-Pace MOT stats

Similar risk

BMW 3 Series (index 80.7)Mercedes-Benz E-Class (index 80.7)Honda Jazz (index 80.8)

Same size class

how Mercedes-Benz M-Class compareshow Porsche Boxster compareshow Mercedes-Benz GLE compares

By build year

Jaguar E-Pace 2017Jaguar E-Pace 2018Jaguar E-Pace 2019Jaguar E-Pace 2020

By area

Jaguar E-Pace MOT failure rate by postcode area

By failure group

Jaguar E-Pace body, chassis and structure failuresJaguar E-Pace brakes failuresJaguar E-Pace vehicle identification failuresJaguar E-Pace lamps, reflectors and electrics failuresJaguar E-Pace noise, emissions and leaks failuresJaguar E-Pace road wheels failuresJaguar E-Pace seat belts and airbags failuresJaguar E-Pace suspension failuresJaguar E-Pace tyres failuresJaguar E-Pace visibility failures


Data details & how to cite

Scope: class-4 vehicles (cars), initial tests only, outcomes pass / fail / fixed-on-the-spot at the station (PRS counts towards the failure rate — the defect was present at arrival). Index = observed initial failures ÷ failures expected for this fleet's exact age profile, ×100; margin of error is a 95% confidence interval. Covers ALL generations together — a 3-year-old and a 15-year-old are very different cars; a generation split is on the roadmap. Dataset release dataset_release_id=dvsa-2024-v2, frozen baseline; headline claim_id=family-stats:jaguar-e-pace:dvsa-2024-v2. Full method: methodology.

Cite: MOT Risk Index (2026). Jaguar E-Pace MOT statistics 2024 (data release dvsa-2024-v2; downloadable dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, doi:10.5281/zenodo.22975051). https://motriskindex.co.uk/cars/jaguar-e-pace/ · Published 2026-07-30.