MOT Risk Index.co.uk

UK MOT statistics 2024: the national picture

A single reference page for the 2024 MOT result across Great Britain: how many initial car tests fail, how sharply risk rises with age, which components and severity grades appear most often, how raw rates differ by fuel, and which local conditions do — and do not — track failure rates.

What percentage of cars fail their MOT in the UK?

Initial class 4 tests finding at least one failing defect in 2024: 26.01%.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Great Britain class 4 initial MOT tests, calendar 2024
MeasureResultWhat it means
Initial tests52,245,92552.2 million first-attempt test events
Initial failure rate26.01%At least one major, dangerous or PRS defect was present on arrival
Strict fail20.75%The vehicle left the initial test with a fail result
PRS5.25%Failing defect rectified at the station before the test ended

The common “UK” search wording needs one correction: DVSA data covers Great Britain, not Northern Ireland. These are test events rather than a count of unique cars, and PRS counts in the initial failure rate because the defect was present when the vehicle arrived. Release dvsa-2024-v1.

At what age do cars start failing their MOT more often?

The steepest year-to-year rise on the national age curve: ages 9 to 10 (+3.4 percentage points).

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

How MOT failure rate changes with car age in Britain

UK MOT statistics 2024: the national picture How MOT failure rate changes with car age in Britain

Chart axes: vehicle age at test, years · initial-failure scale 0–46%.

National failure-rate curve: data table
Vehicle ageInitial testsInitial failure rate
under 3 years213,1187.0%
3 years3,188,88310.9%
4 years3,128,89211.6%
5 years4,111,60613.5%
6 years4,024,95915.6%
7 years4,132,09818.2%
8 years4,214,49721.3%
9 years4,005,54024.4%
10 years3,631,79827.7%
11 years3,190,03830.6%
12 years2,704,32433.4%
13 years2,412,02736.0%
14 years2,285,00738.6%
15 years2,025,26339.9%
16 years1,781,10541.5%
17 years1,671,86941.5%
18 years1,278,03542.4%
19 years968,55942.2%
20+ years3,277,96437.5%

The curve rises from 10.9% at age three to 27.7% at ten, crossing one test in four between nine and ten. It then flattens near 42% at ages 16–19. The 20+ band is grouped and affected by survivor mix, so it is listed in the table but not joined to the single-year line. Age is descriptive, not proof that ageing alone caused each defect.

What fails an MOT most often?

The highest rate is Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment: 23.52 per 100 tests.

higher = more defects recordeddefect items per 100 initial tests

What fails an MOT most often? National defect groups per 100 tests

UK MOT statistics 2024: the national picture What fails an MOT most often? National defect groups per 100 tests
Most frequently recorded failing defect groups, per 100 initial tests
RankDefect groupFailing items per 100 tests
1Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment23.52
2Suspension19.90
3Brakes14.34
4Visibility11.99
5Tyres10.27
6Body, chassis, structure8.36
7Noise, emissions and leaks4.90
8Steering4.59
9Seat belts and supplementary restraint systems1.42
10Identification of the vehicle0.62

A rate of 23.52 does not mean 23.52% of cars failed only on lamps: it is the number of failing items in that component group per 100 initial tests. One test can contribute several defects and several groups. Source: DVSA defect records aggregated in dvsa-2024-v1.

How serious are MOT failures? Major and dangerous defects per 100 tests

The highest value is Major defects: 63.26 per 100 tests; the lowest is Dangerous defects: 12.89 per 100 tests — a gap of 50.37 per 100 tests.

higher = more defects recordeddefect items per 100 initial tests

Recorded defect items by MOT severity, per 100 initial tests
SeverityDefects per 100 testsPractical meaning
Major63.26May affect safety, the environment or put other road users at risk; the test fails.
Dangerous12.89Direct and immediate road-safety risk; the vehicle must not be driven until repaired.
Minor24.38Repair as soon as possible; the defect itself does not fail the test.

Severity rates count defect items, not the share of tests receiving each label. A failed test can contain more than one major or dangerous defect, so these rows must not be read as mutually exclusive percentages.

Do diesel cars fail more MOTs than petrol or electric cars?

The highest value is Diesel: 27.67%; the lowest is Electric: 12.77% — a gap of 14.9 percentage points.

higher = larger sharecompare shares in percentage points

Raw national class 4 initial-test results by fuel, 2024
FuelInitial testsInitial failure rateVs national
Diesel22,037,69427.67%+1.66 pp
Petrol27,141,22426.11%+0.10 pp
Electric645,34212.77%-13.24 pp

These are raw national rates, not like-for-like reliability scores. Electric cars are a much younger fleet, so their 12.77% row cannot establish that an electric car is less likely to fail than a petrol or diesel car of the same age. The age-adjusted fuel analysis tests that question directly.

Why are MOT failure rates higher in some parts of Britain?

The strongest relationship is MOT centre density: r=+0.57.

|r| nearer 1 = stronger relationship+ moves together · − moves in opposite directions

Area factors tested against local MOT outcomes
FactorCorrelationCoverageWhat survived the check
MOT centre densityr=+0.57119 postcode areas with station dataHigher local failure rates where there are more active test stations per 10,000 MOT-seen vehicles.
Urban sharer=-0.46120 postcode areas with urbanisation dataMore urban areas have lower raw failure rates; rural fleet age and use remain plausible confounders.
Within-nation deprivation (third test)r=+0.11395 English areas in the primary checkNot confirmed: it did not clear the pre-set r>0.15 threshold, so the hypothesis is closed.
What did not predict failure: deprivation. The intuitive chain “poorer area → repairs deferred → more MOT failures” was checked three ways. Raw failure rate gave approximately r=+0.04; an earlier advisory-to-failure conversion check gave r=-0.26; the final within-England check, using deprivation ranked within nation, gave r=+0.113. The final result missed the pre-setr>0.15 threshold, so the hypothesis is closed rather than recycled.

Correlation is not causation. Station density is a statement about the local testing environment, not proof that stations make cars worse; urbanisation travels with fleet age, mileage, road use and station density. Deprivation scales are not directly comparable across Britain, which is why the decisive check was conducted within nation. Environmental coverage comes from areas_env.json; the closed-hypothesis record and its three checks come from composites_area.json.

Which car models can I compare with the national MOT average?

The highest value is Citroen Berlingo: 157.7; the lowest is Land Rover Range Rover Sport: 60.3 — a gap of 97.4 index points.

below 100 = fewer failures than age predictsabove 100 = more

All 25 published model-family pages, ordered by age-adjusted MOT Risk Index
RankModel familyIndexRaw initial failureInitial tests
1Land Rover Range Rover Sport60.314.99%303,232
2Land Rover Range Rover Evoque67.214.39%352,325
3Audi A571.518.06%241,015
4Audi Q372.814.57%226,174
5BMW 3 Series75.624.75%675,043
6Mercedes E Class75.819.86%419,012
7Toyota Prius79.419.52%260,089
8Volkswagen Tiguan79.815.81%397,745
9Audi A382.123.11%654,933
10Honda CR-V82.424.21%304,832
11Mercedes C Class83.622.55%646,907
12Land Rover Defender84.427.19%222,177
13Audi A484.625.09%406,182
14Honda e84.69.48%2,699
15Honda Jazz85.026.6%440,547
16Volkswagen Golf85.124.94%1,323,641
17MINI Hatch85.523.43%1,011,919
18Audi A191.320.41%386,496
19Ford Kuga91.320.4%396,566
20Mercedes A Class91.318.83%585,107
21Seat Leon92.021.49%296,118
22Skoda Octavia93.623.39%292,141
23Toyota Aygo94.923.89%359,723
24Volkswagen Passat95.127.82%277,719
25Toyota Yaris95.626.89%629,646
26Mitsubishi Outlander100.5·d21.3%120,823
27Honda Civic100.732.3%411,763
28Ford Mondeo102.532.49%284,784
29Citroen C1102.930.21%230,618
30Hyundai i10103.626.95%328,314
31Skoda Fabia105.729.3%323,883
32Volkswagen Transporter106.430.46%503,457
33Ford Focus106.931.02%1,348,944
34Kia Sportage107.822.55%396,816
35Volkswagen Caddy108.029.15%231,167
36Vauxhall Astra109.133.71%914,157
37Nissan Leaf109.217.69%70,882
38Ford Ka109.533.29%253,099
39Kia Picanto111.028.14%262,067
40Vauxhall Insignia111.330.4%300,589
41Nissan Micra112.536.12%342,234
42Volkswagen Polo114.832.68%895,817
43Fiat 500116.231.68%477,588
44Ford Fiesta117.834.33%1,959,383
45Vauxhall Zafira118.638.47%281,888
46Nissan Qashqai122.930.07%800,602
47Tesla Model 3122.914.03%116,025
48Vauxhall Corsa123.536.66%1,191,943
49Seat Ibiza124.232.1%296,654
50Nissan Juke124.728.37%460,457
51Peugeot 208126.727.87%295,225
52Vauxhall Mokka133.527.34%332,738
53Renault Clio141.541.43%473,424
54DS 3150.240.69%158,830
55Vauxhall Vivaro156.441.93%275,396
56Citroen Berlingo157.739.91%270,806

This is a published panel of 25 high-volume or analytically useful model families, not every model registered in Britain. Index 100.0 means the failure level expected for that family’s age mix; “·d” means its 95% interval includes 100, so no directional verdict is claimed. See the full methodology, definitions and limitations before comparing models.

Published MOT reports and downloads

New reports are added per dataset release — see the changelog.