Ford Transit Custom 2015: MOT failure rate for its age

26.7% of 412 MOT tests of the Ford Transit Custom first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 117.8 (95% CI 95.8–139.8; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.

Ford Transit Custom built in 2015 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	26.7	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	412
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 95.8–139.8)	117.8	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	412
Rank among this model's 6 build years	6	of 6	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	412
Tested in 2024	164	tests	median 103,128 miles	2024	164

Built 2015 against Ford Transit Custom normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 4: 27% vs 22.8%; age 5: 25.7% vs 21.7%; age 6: 27.3% vs 23.4%; age 7: 34.7% vs n/a%; age 8: 37.2% vs n/a%; age 9: 36.6% vs n/a%. Axis from 0% to 40%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2015 Ford Transit Custom by registration · All Ford Transit Custom MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2015 Ford Transit Custom fail at each age?

Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Ford Transit Custom built 2015: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
4	126 (rough estimate)	27	20–35.3	22.8	118.3
5	136 (rough estimate)	25.7	19.1–33.7	21.7	118.4
6	150 (rough estimate)	27.3	20.8–35	23.4	116.9
7	173 (rough estimate)	34.7	28–42	not available	not available
8	188 (rough estimate)	37.2	30.6–44.3	not available	not available
9	164 (rough estimate)	36.6	29.6–44.2	not available	not available

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 937 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2015 Ford Transit Custom?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is visibility: 17.4 items per 100 first tests, against 15.6 across all build years of the Ford Transit Custom. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Ford Transit Custom built 2015 against the Ford Transit Custom in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2015, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Visibility	17.4	15.6	163
Brakes	15	7.2	141
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	14.8	9.1	139
Body, chassis, structure	13.6	3.3	127
Suspension	10.7	1.2	100

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 937 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2015 compare with the years around it?

Among the 6 published build years of the Ford Transit Custom, 2015 ranks 6 (1 = fails least for its age). 2016: index 98.4.

Ford Transit Custom build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
2015	117.8	95.8–139.8	no different (rough estimate)	412
2016	98.4	85.1–111.6	no different (rough estimate)	985
2017	101.5	86.7–116.3	no different (rough estimate)	836
2018	96.7	95.5–98.0	better	110,533
2019	101.4	100.2–102.7	worse	125,304
2020	106.6	104.8–108.4	worse	64,755

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 302,825 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Ford Transit Custom 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/ford-transit-custom/2015/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

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