Lexus CT 2015: MOT failure rate for its age
13.1% of 21,232 MOT tests of the Lexus CT first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 93.7 (95% CI 90.2–97.1; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 Lexus CT fails less often than other build years of the same model at the same age.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 13.1 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 21232 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 90.2–97.1) | 93.7 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 21232 |
| Rank among this model's 10 build years | 5 | of 10 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 21232 |
| Tested in 2024 | 3507 | tests | median 67,773 miles | 2024 | 3507 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2015 Lexus CT fail at each age?
Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3,696 | 11.2 | 10.2–12.2 | 11.4 | 98.2 |
| 5 | 3,445 | 12.8 | 11.8–14 | 11.9 | 108 |
| 6 | 3,518 | 12 | 11–13.1 | 13.5 | 88.8 |
| 7 | 3,531 | 13 | 11.9–14.1 | 14.2 | 91.1 |
| 8 | 3,535 | 14.1 | 13–15.3 | 16.4 | 86.2 |
| 9 | 3,507 | 15.8 | 14.6–17 | 16.8 | 93.8 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 21,232 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
What fails most on the 2015 Lexus CT?
The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is tyres: 6.2 items per 100 first tests, against 6.1 across all build years of the Lexus CT. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.
| Failure group | Built 2015, per 100 | All build years, per 100 | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyres | 6.2 | 6.1 | 1,313 |
| Visibility | 4.9 | 5.3 | 1,038 |
| Brakes | 2.8 | 3.7 | 593 |
| Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment | 2.4 | 6 | 517 |
| Suspension | 0.5 | 1.7 | 110 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 21,232 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2015 compare with the years around it?
Among the 10 published build years of the Lexus CT, 2015 ranks 5 (1 = fails least for its age). 2014: index 87.1. 2016: index 93.1.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 105.5 | 102.5–108.5 | worse | 22,789 |
| 2012 | 106.7 | 103.7–109.6 | worse | 25,535 |
| 2013 | 119.8 | 116.3–123.4 | worse | 22,304 |
| 2014 | 87.1 | 84.0–90.2 | better | 22,927 |
| 2015 | 93.7 | 90.2–97.1 | better | 21,232 |
| 2016 | 93.1 | 89.1–97.2 | better | 17,873 |
| 2017 | 87.9 | 83.5–92.4 | better | 15,524 |
| 2018 | 93.0 | 87.5–98.6 | better | 11,044 |
| 2019 | 97.8 | 89.5–106.2 | no different | 5,812 |
| 2020 | 96.2 | 83.0–109.4 | no different (rough estimate) | 2,559 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 167,599 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). Lexus CT 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/lexus-ct/2015/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
Lexus CT 2011 · Lexus CT 2012 · Lexus CT 2013 · Lexus CT 2014 · Lexus CT 2016 · Lexus CT 2017 · Lexus CT 2018 · Lexus CT 2019 · Lexus CT 2020 · Lexus CT in Finland · Lexus CT by postcode area · Lexus CT body, chassis and structure failures · Lexus CT brakes failures · Lexus CT vehicle identification failures · Lexus CT lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Lexus CT noise, emissions and leaks failures · Lexus CT road wheels failures · Lexus CT seat belts and airbags failures · Lexus CT steering failures · Lexus CT suspension failures · Lexus CT tyres failures · Lexus CT visibility failures