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Jaguar XF 2015: MOT failure rate for its age

21.0% of 60,606 MOT tests of the Jaguar XF first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 110.5 (95% CI 108.5–112.4; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 Jaguar XF fails more often than other build years of the same model at the same age.

Jaguar XF built in 2015 at a glance
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Failed first time21.0%all ages tested2019–202460606
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 108.5–112.4)110.5index100 = normal for this model at that age2019–202460606
Rank among this model's 14 build years14of 141 = fails least for its age2019–202460606
Tested in 20249830testsmedian 75,347 miles20249830
line · Jaguar XF built 2015 · first-time MOT failure share by age · built 2015 20.1% vs model normal 17.4% at age 4 · 2019–2024
Built 2015 against Jaguar XF normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 4: 20.1% vs 17.4%; age 5: 19.6% vs 16.7%; age 6: 19.7% vs 17.3%; age 7: 20.6% vs 18.7%; age 8: 22.6% vs 20.6%; age 9: 23.2% vs 23.2%. Axis from 0% to 30%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.
Check a 2015 Jaguar XF by registration · All Jaguar XF MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2015 Jaguar XF fail at each age?

Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Jaguar XF built 2015: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
AgeTestsFailed, %95% intervalNormal for this model at that age, %Index (100 = normal)
410,56420.119.4–20.917.4115.5
59,97119.618.8–20.416.7117.3
610,16019.718.9–20.517.3113.7
710,07520.619.8–21.418.7110.1
810,00622.621.8–23.420.6109.9
99,83023.222.4–2423.299.9

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 60,606 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2015 Jaguar XF?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is tyres: 12.5 items per 100 first tests, against 11.3 across all build years of the Jaguar XF. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Jaguar XF built 2015 against the Jaguar XF in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure groupBuilt 2015, per 100All build years, per 100Items
Tyres12.511.37,571
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment12.211.97,388
Visibility5.96.13,558
Brakes5.57.23,314
Suspension2.312.71,419

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 60,606 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2015 compare with the years around it?

Among the 14 published build years of the Jaguar XF, 2015 ranks 14 (1 = fails least for its age). 2014: index 105.3. 2016: index 89.5.

Jaguar XF build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build yearIndex (100 = normal)95% intervalVerdictTests
200797.079.1–114.9no different (rough estimate)342
2008105.5103.7–107.3worse37,575
2009104.1102.4–105.7worse47,162
2010101.7100.2–103.2worse62,115
201199.697.9–101.2no different53,416
201298.196.5–99.6better62,344
201399.297.7–100.8no different68,946
2014105.3103.7–106.9worse75,494
2015110.5108.5–112.4worse60,606
201689.587.6–91.4better53,169
201782.880.5–85.1better37,560
201888.185.1–91.2better23,621
201995.190.2–100.0no different10,291
2020101.891.6–111.9no different (rough estimate)2,720

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 595,361 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Jaguar XF 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/jaguar-xf/2015/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

Other pages for this model

Jaguar XF 2007 · Jaguar XF 2008 · Jaguar XF 2009 · Jaguar XF 2010 · Jaguar XF 2011 · Jaguar XF 2012 · Jaguar XF 2013 · Jaguar XF 2014 · Jaguar XF 2016 · Jaguar XF 2017 · Jaguar XF 2018 · Jaguar XF 2019 · Jaguar XF 2020 · Jaguar XF in Finland · Jaguar XF in the Netherlands · Jaguar XF by postcode area · Jaguar XF body, chassis and structure failures · Jaguar XF brakes failures · Jaguar XF vehicle identification failures · Jaguar XF lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Jaguar XF noise, emissions and leaks failures · Jaguar XF road wheels failures · Jaguar XF seat belts and airbags failures · Jaguar XF steering failures · Jaguar XF suspension failures · Jaguar XF tyres failures · Jaguar XF visibility failures