BMW M2 2020: MOT failure rate for its age
7.1% of 378 MOT tests of the BMW M2 first registered in 2020 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 85.4 (95% CI 53.2–117.6; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2020 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 7.1 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 378 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 53.2–117.6) | 85.4 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 378 |
| Rank among this model's 5 build years | 1 | of 5 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 378 |
| Tested in 2024 | 190 | tests | median 14,127 miles | 2024 | 190 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2020 BMW M2 fail at each age?
Cars built in 2020 were tested at ages 3 to 4 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 188 (rough estimate) | 8 | 4.9–12.7 | 8.1 | 99.1 |
| 4 | 190 (rough estimate) | 6.3 | 3.6–10.7 | 8.7 | 72.8 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 378 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2020 compare with the years around it?
Among the 5 published build years of the BMW M2, 2020 ranks 1 (1 = fails least for its age). 2019: index 112.8.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 107.6 | 98.1–117.1 | no different | 4,328 |
| 2017 | 91.7 | 84.3–99.0 | better | 6,452 |
| 2018 | 108.4 | 99.9–117.0 | no different | 5,868 |
| 2019 | 112.8 | 87.5–138.2 | no different (rough estimate) | 743 |
| 2020 | 85.4 | 53.2–117.6 | no different (rough estimate) | 378 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 17,769 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). BMW M2 2020 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/bmw-m2/2020/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
BMW M2 2016 · BMW M2 2017 · BMW M2 2018 · BMW M2 2019 · BMW M2 by postcode area · BMW M2 brakes failures · BMW M2 vehicle identification failures · BMW M2 lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · BMW M2 noise, emissions and leaks failures · BMW M2 suspension failures · BMW M2 tyres failures · BMW M2 visibility failures