Lexus Es 2020: MOT failure rate for its age
7.8% of 2,087 MOT tests of the Lexus Es first registered in 2020 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 112.4 (95% CI 95.1–129.7; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2020 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 7.8 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 2087 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 95.1–129.7) | 112.4 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 2087 |
| Rank among this model's 2 build years | 2 | of 2 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 2087 |
| Tested in 2024 | 1005 | tests | median 34,354 miles | 2024 | 1005 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2020 Lexus Es fail at each age?
Cars built in 2020 were tested at ages 3 to 4 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1,082 | 7.1 | 5.7–8.8 | 6.7 | 106.6 |
| 4 | 1,005 | 8.5 | 6.9–10.3 | 7.2 | 118.3 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 2,087 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
What fails most on the 2020 Lexus Es?
The most common failure group on cars built in 2020 is tyres: 6.4 items per 100 first tests, against 5.1 across all build years of the Lexus Es. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2020 were tested at ages 3 to 4.
| Failure group | Built 2020, per 100 | All build years, per 100 | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyres | 6.4 | 5.1 | 140 |
| Visibility | 4.3 | 3.8 | 93 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 2,175 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2020 compare with the years around it?
Among the 2 published build years of the Lexus Es, 2020 ranks 2 (1 = fails least for its age). 2019: index 106.1.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 106.1 | 91.5–120.8 | no different (rough estimate) | 2,860 |
| 2020 | 112.4 | 95.1–129.7 | no different (rough estimate) | 2,087 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 4,947 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). Lexus Es 2020 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/lexus-es/2020/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
Lexus Es 2019 · Lexus Es by postcode area · Lexus Es lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Lexus Es suspension failures · Lexus Es tyres failures · Lexus Es visibility failures