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Jaguar XK 2002: MOT failure rate for its age

29.1% of 7,419 MOT tests of the Jaguar XK first registered in 2002 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 105.7 (95% CI 101.2–110.1; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2002 Jaguar XK fails more often than other build years of the same model at the same age.

Jaguar XK built in 2002 at a glance
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Failed first time29.1%all ages tested2019–20247419
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 101.2–110.1)105.7index100 = normal for this model at that age2019–20247419
Rank among this model's 18 build years16of 181 = fails least for its age2019–20247419
Tested in 20241146testsmedian 83,161 miles20241146
line · Jaguar XK built 2002 · first-time MOT failure share by age · built 2002 29% vs model normal 28.3% at age 17 · 2019–2024
Built 2002 against Jaguar XK normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 17: 29% vs 28.3%; age 18: 32.7% vs 28.1%; age 19: 27.6% vs 26.9%; age 20: 29.4% vs 26.9%; age 21: 26% vs 27.3%; age 22: 30.4% vs 27.9%. Axis from 0% to 40%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2002 Jaguar XK fail at each age?

Cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Jaguar XK built 2002: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
AgeTestsFailed, %95% intervalNormal for this model at that age, %Index (100 = normal)
171,3732926.6–31.428.3102.3
181,19732.730.1–35.528.1116.4
191,26127.625.2–30.126.9102.5
201,25329.426.9–3226.9109.1
211,1892623.6–28.627.395.3
221,14630.427.8–33.127.9108.9

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 7,419 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2002 Jaguar XK?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2002 is suspension: 21.6 items per 100 first tests, against 21.6 across all build years of the Jaguar XK. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Jaguar XK built 2002 against the Jaguar XK in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure groupBuilt 2002, per 100All build years, per 100Items
Suspension21.621.61,606
Brakes16.29.61,202
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment12.710.8940
Visibility7.66.9566
Noise, emissions and leaks7.14.4526

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 7,419 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2002 compare with the years around it?

Among the 18 published build years of the Jaguar XK, 2002 ranks 16 (1 = fails least for its age). 2001: index 94.5. 2003: index 101.5.

Jaguar XK build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build yearIndex (100 = normal)95% intervalVerdictTests
1998100.794.1–107.3no different (rough estimate)2,992
1999102.896.6–109.1no different (rough estimate)3,423
2000104.599.1–110.0no different4,806
200194.590.3–98.8better7,249
2002105.7101.2–110.1worse7,419
2003101.596.9–106.2no different6,661
200495.791.0–100.5no different6,210
200592.387.6–97.0better6,388
2006100.997.6–104.3no different13,808
2007105.8102.4–109.3worse14,673
2008107.5103.0–112.1worse8,934
2009101.896.8–106.8no different7,651
201099.794.9–104.5no different8,859
201189.584.3–94.6better7,428
201292.886.3–99.3better5,371
201388.781.9–95.5better5,191
201486.480.3–92.4better6,981
2015102.680.4–124.8no different (rough estimate)647

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 124,691 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Jaguar XK 2002 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/jaguar-xk/2002/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

Other pages for this model

Jaguar XK 1998 · Jaguar XK 1999 · Jaguar XK 2000 · Jaguar XK 2001 · Jaguar XK 2003 · Jaguar XK 2004 · Jaguar XK 2005 · Jaguar XK 2006 · Jaguar XK 2007 · Jaguar XK 2008 · Jaguar XK 2009 · Jaguar XK 2010 · Jaguar XK 2011 · Jaguar XK 2012 · Jaguar XK 2013 · Jaguar XK 2014 · Jaguar XK 2015 · Jaguar XK by postcode area · Jaguar XK body, chassis and structure failures · Jaguar XK brakes failures · Jaguar XK vehicle identification failures · Jaguar XK lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Jaguar XK noise, emissions and leaks failures · Jaguar XK road wheels failures · Jaguar XK seat belts and airbags failures · Jaguar XK steering failures · Jaguar XK suspension failures · Jaguar XK tyres failures · Jaguar XK visibility failures