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BMW X4 2020: MOT failure rate for its age

11.9% of 3,848 MOT tests of the BMW X4 first registered in 2020 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 107.7 (95% CI 97.8–117.6; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2020 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.

BMW X4 built in 2020 at a glance
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Failed first time11.9%all ages tested2019–20243848
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 97.8–117.6)107.7index100 = normal for this model at that age2019–20243848
Rank among this model's 7 build years6of 71 = fails least for its age2019–20243848
Tested in 20241903testsmedian 33,639 miles20241903
line · BMW X4 built 2020 · first-time MOT failure share by age · built 2020 12.8% vs model normal 10.6% at age 3 · 2019–2024
Built 2020 against BMW X4 normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 3: 12.8% vs 10.6%; age 4: 11% vs 11.5%. Axis from 0% to 20%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2020 BMW X4 fail at each age?

Cars built in 2020 were tested at ages 3 to 4 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

BMW X4 built 2020: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
AgeTestsFailed, %95% intervalNormal for this model at that age, %Index (100 = normal)
31,94512.811.3–14.310.6120.7
41,903119.7–12.511.595.6

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 3,848 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2020 BMW X4?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2020 is tyres: 8.4 items per 100 first tests, against 8.1 across all build years of the BMW X4. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2020 were tested at ages 3 to 4.

Failure items per 100 first tests, BMW X4 built 2020 against the BMW X4 in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure groupBuilt 2020, per 100All build years, per 100Items
Tyres8.48.1331
Visibility4.14.9161
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment1.62.263
Noise, emissions and leaks1.10.544

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 3,939 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2020 compare with the years around it?

Among the 7 published build years of the BMW X4, 2020 ranks 6 (1 = fails least for its age). 2019: index 92.8.

BMW X4 build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build yearIndex (100 = normal)95% intervalVerdictTests
2014105.598.4–112.6no different4,510
2015108.5104.1–113.0worse12,618
2016107.2103.1–111.2worse16,606
201795.790.9–100.6no different11,340
201890.985.2–96.5better8,486
201992.887.9–97.8better12,332
2020107.797.8–117.6no different (rough estimate)3,848

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 69,740 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). BMW X4 2020 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/bmw-x4/2020/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

Other pages for this model

BMW X4 2014 · BMW X4 2015 · BMW X4 2016 · BMW X4 2017 · BMW X4 2018 · BMW X4 2019 · BMW X4 in Norway · BMW X4 in Finland · BMW X4 in the Netherlands · BMW X4 by postcode area · BMW X4 body, chassis and structure failures · BMW X4 brakes failures · BMW X4 vehicle identification failures · BMW X4 lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · BMW X4 noise, emissions and leaks failures · BMW X4 road wheels failures · BMW X4 seat belts and airbags failures · BMW X4 steering failures · BMW X4 suspension failures · BMW X4 tyres failures · BMW X4 visibility failures