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BMW X3 2009: MOT failure rate for its age

29.0% of 9,583 MOT tests of the BMW X3 first registered in 2009 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 96.8 (95% CI 93.2–100.4; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2009 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age.

BMW X3 built in 2009 at a glance
MeasureValueUnitCompared withYearsTests
Failed first time29.0%all ages tested2019–20249583
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 93.2–100.4)96.8index100 = normal for this model at that age2019–20249583
Rank among this model's 17 build years7of 171 = fails least for its age2019–20249583
Tested in 20241323testsmedian 116,816 miles20241323
line · BMW X3 built 2009 · first-time MOT failure share by age · built 2009 28.9% vs model normal 28.5% at age 10 · 2019–2024
Built 2009 against BMW X3 normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 10: 28.9% vs 28.5%; age 11: 26.9% vs 27.7%; age 12: 27.9% vs 28.8%; age 13: 30.3% vs 29.6%; age 14: 30.3% vs 32.8%; age 15: 30.1% vs 33.6%. Axis from 0% to 40%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2009 BMW X3 fail at each age?

Cars built in 2009 were tested at ages 10 to 15 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

BMW X3 built 2009: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
AgeTestsFailed, %95% intervalNormal for this model at that age, %Index (100 = normal)
101,81828.926.9–31.128.5101.5
111,66826.924.8–2927.797
121,67327.925.8–30.128.896.9
131,62530.328.2–32.629.6102.6
141,47630.328–32.732.892.4
151,32330.127.7–32.633.689.4

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 9,583 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2009 BMW X3?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2009 is brakes: 12.4 items per 100 first tests, against 6 across all build years of the BMW X3. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2009 were tested at ages 10 to 15.

Failure items per 100 first tests, BMW X3 built 2009 against the BMW X3 in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure groupBuilt 2009, per 100All build years, per 100Items
Brakes12.461,190
Suspension12.17.31,161
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment11.28.71,070
Tyres9.98.5949
Visibility9.77928

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 9,583 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2009 compare with the years around it?

Among the 17 published build years of the BMW X3, 2009 ranks 7 (1 = fails least for its age). 2008: index 96.3. 2010: index 88.9.

BMW X3 build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build yearIndex (100 = normal)95% intervalVerdictTests
2004101.098.7–103.3no different19,720
2005103.4101.2–105.7worse22,383
200699.897.7–101.8no different26,172
2007102.7100.1–105.2worse18,454
200896.393.1–99.4better11,719
200996.893.2–100.4no different9,583
201088.984.4–93.3better5,972
201192.289.9–94.5better25,503
2012107.1105.2–109.1worse42,021
2013106.2104.1–108.2worse43,616
2014109.6107.2–111.9worse37,128
2015103.2100.9–105.5worse42,481
2016101.198.9–103.2no different55,126
201792.590.1–95.0better43,016
201886.984.1–89.8better33,119
201989.787.1–92.2better48,161
2020105.2100.1–110.3worse15,487

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 499,661 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). BMW X3 2009 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/bmw-x3/2009/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

Other pages for this model

BMW X3 2004 · BMW X3 2005 · BMW X3 2006 · BMW X3 2007 · BMW X3 2008 · BMW X3 2010 · BMW X3 2011 · BMW X3 2012 · BMW X3 2013 · BMW X3 2014 · BMW X3 2015 · BMW X3 2016 · BMW X3 2017 · BMW X3 2018 · BMW X3 2019 · BMW X3 2020 · BMW X3 in Norway · BMW X3 in Finland · BMW X3 in the Netherlands · BMW X3 by postcode area · BMW X3 body, chassis and structure failures · BMW X3 brakes failures · BMW X3 vehicle identification failures · BMW X3 lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · BMW X3 noise, emissions and leaks failures · BMW X3 road wheels failures · BMW X3 seat belts and airbags failures · BMW X3 steering failures · BMW X3 suspension failures · BMW X3 tyres failures · BMW X3 visibility failures