BMW M3 2016: MOT failure rate for its age
11.5% of 4,816 MOT tests of the BMW M3 first registered in 2016 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 102.5 (95% CI 94.0–111.1; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2016 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 11.5 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 4816 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 94.0–111.1) | 102.5 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 4816 |
| Rank among this model's 20 build years | 12 | of 20 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 4816 |
| Tested in 2024 | 757 | tests | median 48,752 miles | 2024 | 757 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2016 BMW M3 fail at each age?
Cars built in 2016 were tested at ages 3 to 8 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 870 | 11.7 | 9.8–14 | 11.2 | 104.4 |
| 4 | 789 | 9.9 | 8–12.2 | 9.8 | 101 |
| 5 | 832 | 12.3 | 10.2–14.7 | 11.7 | 105.2 |
| 6 | 804 | 11.7 | 9.7–14.1 | 11.2 | 104.7 |
| 7 | 764 | 11.1 | 9.1–13.6 | 11.4 | 97.7 |
| 8 | 757 | 12 | 9.9–14.5 | 11.9 | 101.4 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 4,816 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
What fails most on the 2016 BMW M3?
The most common failure group on cars built in 2016 is tyres: 7.7 items per 100 first tests, against 5.8 across all build years of the BMW M3. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2016 were tested at ages 3 to 8.
| Failure group | Built 2016, per 100 | All build years, per 100 | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyres | 7.7 | 5.8 | 373 |
| Visibility | 3 | 4.9 | 146 |
| Suspension | 2.8 | 6.5 | 137 |
| Identification of the vehicle | 2.1 | 1 | 99 |
| Noise, emissions and leaks | 1.4 | 3.5 | 66 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 4,816 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2016 compare with the years around it?
Among the 20 published build years of the BMW M3, 2016 ranks 12 (1 = fails least for its age). 2015: index 105.7. 2017: index 107.8.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 139.3 | 115.9–162.7 | worse (rough estimate) | 526 |
| 1999 | 146.7 | 121.2–172.2 | worse (rough estimate) | 455 |
| 2001 | 120.9 | 109.5–132.4 | worse (rough estimate) | 1,809 |
| 2002 | 113.9 | 108.8–119.1 | worse | 8,167 |
| 2003 | 104.0 | 100.0–107.9 | no different | 12,835 |
| 2004 | 98.1 | 93.6–102.6 | no different | 9,148 |
| 2005 | 99.3 | 93.8–104.9 | no different | 6,348 |
| 2006 | 92.1 | 82.9–101.3 | no different (rough estimate) | 2,190 |
| 2007 | 84.1 | 76.0–92.1 | better (rough estimate) | 2,830 |
| 2008 | 92.2 | 86.7–97.6 | better | 7,203 |
| 2009 | 90.7 | 83.5–97.9 | better | 4,420 |
| 2010 | 95.9 | 87.8–104.0 | no different (rough estimate) | 3,963 |
| 2011 | 97.5 | 89.4–105.6 | no different | 4,300 |
| 2012 | 90.1 | 81.5–98.6 | better (rough estimate) | 3,711 |
| 2013 | 88.5 | 78.7–98.2 | better (rough estimate) | 2,902 |
| 2014 | 107.7 | 92.2–123.3 | no different (rough estimate) | 1,430 |
| 2015 | 105.7 | 95.7–115.8 | no different (rough estimate) | 3,541 |
| 2016 | 102.5 | 94.0–111.1 | no different | 4,816 |
| 2017 | 107.8 | 99.2–116.3 | no different | 5,262 |
| 2018 | 91.9 | 82.4–101.4 | no different (rough estimate) | 3,716 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 89,572 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). BMW M3 2016 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/bmw-m3/2016/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
BMW M3 1998 · BMW M3 1999 · BMW M3 2001 · BMW M3 2002 · BMW M3 2003 · BMW M3 2004 · BMW M3 2005 · BMW M3 2006 · BMW M3 2007 · BMW M3 2008 · BMW M3 2009 · BMW M3 2010 · BMW M3 2011 · BMW M3 2012 · BMW M3 2013 · BMW M3 2014 · BMW M3 2015 · BMW M3 2017 · BMW M3 2018 · BMW M3 by postcode area · BMW M3 body, chassis and structure failures · BMW M3 brakes failures · BMW M3 vehicle identification failures · BMW M3 lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · BMW M3 noise, emissions and leaks failures · BMW M3 road wheels failures · BMW M3 seat belts and airbags failures · BMW M3 steering failures · BMW M3 suspension failures · BMW M3 tyres failures · BMW M3 visibility failures