Volkswagen Lupo 2004: MOT failure rate for its age

39.2% of 8,089 MOT tests of the Volkswagen Lupo first registered in 2004 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 94.1 (95% CI 90.9–97.4; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2004 Volkswagen Lupo fails less often than other build years of the same model at the same age.

Volkswagen Lupo built in 2004 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	39.2	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	8089
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 90.9–97.4)	94.1	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	8089
Rank among this model's 7 build years	2	of 7	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	8089
Tested in 2024	1016	tests	median 80,171 miles	2024	1016

Built 2004 against Volkswagen Lupo normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 15: 39.9% vs 42.2%; age 16: 40% vs 41.6%; age 17: 36.9% vs 42.1%; age 18: 39.3% vs 41.7%; age 19: 39% vs 41%; age 20: 40% vs 40.7%. Axis from 0% to 50%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2004 Volkswagen Lupo by registration · All Volkswagen Lupo MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2004 Volkswagen Lupo fail at each age?

Cars built in 2004 were tested at ages 15 to 20 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Volkswagen Lupo built 2004: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
15	1,763	39.9	37.7–42.2	42.2	94.7
16	1,496	40	37.5–42.5	41.6	96.2
17	1,379	36.9	34.4–39.5	42.1	87.6
18	1,283	39.3	36.6–42	41.7	94.2
19	1,152	39	36.2–41.8	41	95
20	1,016	40	37–43	40.7	98.2

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 8,089 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2004 Volkswagen Lupo?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2004 is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment: 26 items per 100 first tests, against 33.5 across all build years of the Volkswagen Lupo. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2004 were tested at ages 15 to 20.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Volkswagen Lupo built 2004 against the Volkswagen Lupo in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2004, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	26	33.5	2,105
Suspension	23.1	22.5	1,869
Brakes	17.6	21	1,420
Noise, emissions and leaks	15.9	18.4	1,290
Body, chassis, structure	15.4	15.6	1,247

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 8,089 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2004 compare with the years around it?

Among the 7 published build years of the Volkswagen Lupo, 2004 ranks 2 (1 = fails least for its age). 2003: index 98.0. 2005: index 86.8.

Volkswagen Lupo build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
1999	100.5	94.2–106.9	no different (rough estimate)	2,200
2000	97.7	93.8–101.7	no different	5,639
2001	100.7	97.3–104.0	no different	8,206
2002	103.6	100.9–106.4	worse	12,362
2003	98.0	94.8–101.3	no different	8,271
2004	94.1	90.9–97.4	better	8,089
2005	86.8	81.6–91.9	better (rough estimate)	3,088

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 47,855 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Volkswagen Lupo 2004 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/volkswagen-lupo/2004/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

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