Volkswagen Crafter 2015: MOT failure rate for its age

24.5% of 2,783 MOT tests of the Volkswagen Crafter first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 96.1 (95% CI 88.9–103.3; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.

Volkswagen Crafter built in 2015 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	24.5	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	2783
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 88.9–103.3)	96.1	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	2783
Rank among this model's 14 build years	4	of 14	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	2783
Tested in 2024	504	tests	median 99,673 miles	2024	504

Built 2015 against Volkswagen Crafter normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 4: 21.5% vs 16.8%; age 5: 23.2% vs 25.1%; age 6: 28.1% vs 28.1%; age 7: 24.2% vs 24%; age 8: 26.6% vs 27%; age 9: 22.2% vs 29.4%. Axis from 0% to 30%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2015 Volkswagen Crafter by registration · All Volkswagen Crafter MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2015 Volkswagen Crafter fail at each age?

Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Volkswagen Crafter built 2015: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
4	354 (rough estimate)	21.5	17.5–26	16.8	127.7
5	358 (rough estimate)	23.2	19.1–27.8	25.1	92.2
6	459 (rough estimate)	28.1	24.2–32.4	28.1	100.1
7	541	24.2	20.8–28	24	101.1
8	567	26.6	23.2–30.4	27	98.5
9	504	22.2	18.8–26.1	29.4	75.6

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 2,783 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2015 Volkswagen Crafter?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is brakes: 19.5 items per 100 first tests, against 26.4 across all build years of the Volkswagen Crafter. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Volkswagen Crafter built 2015 against the Volkswagen Crafter in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2015, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Brakes	19.5	26.4	543
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	15.2	22.2	422
Visibility	12.7	13.4	354
Suspension	5.1	7.9	142
Tyres	4	4.4	112

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 2,783 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2015 compare with the years around it?

Among the 14 published build years of the Volkswagen Crafter, 2015 ranks 4 (1 = fails least for its age). 2014: index 97.1. 2016: index 99.0.

Volkswagen Crafter build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
2006	107.5	89.6–125.4	no different (rough estimate)	341
2007	100.8	93.9–107.6	no different (rough estimate)	2,195
2008	101.0	93.5–108.4	no different (rough estimate)	1,880
2009	99.4	89.3–109.5	no different (rough estimate)	1,012
2010	101.7	93.1–110.2	no different (rough estimate)	1,499
2011	103.8	94.5–113.0	no different (rough estimate)	1,370
2012	112.8	105.6–120.0	worse (rough estimate)	2,578
2013	106.7	99.3–114.1	no different (rough estimate)	2,420
2014	97.1	90.5–103.7	no different (rough estimate)	2,976
2015	96.1	88.9–103.3	no different (rough estimate)	2,783
2016	99.0	89.2–108.8	no different (rough estimate)	1,637
2017	91.1	78.2–104.0	no different (rough estimate)	905
2018	77.2	65.9–88.5	better (rough estimate)	1,053
2019	84.2	68.8–99.5	better (rough estimate)	718

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 23,367 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Volkswagen Crafter 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/volkswagen-crafter/2015/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

Other pages for this model