Toyota RAV4 2015: MOT failure rate for its age

15.9% of 33,987 MOT tests of the Toyota RAV4 first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 105.3 (95% CI 102.5–108.1; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 Toyota RAV4 fails more often than other build years of the same model at the same age.

Toyota RAV4 built in 2015 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	15.9	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	33987
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 102.5–108.1)	105.3	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	33987
Rank among this model's 23 build years	20	of 23	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	33987
Tested in 2024	5444	tests	median 72,502 miles	2024	5444

Built 2015 against Toyota RAV4 normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 4: 13.7% vs 11.6%; age 5: 15.4% vs 12.9%; age 6: 14.5% vs 14.3%; age 7: 16.3% vs 15.3%; age 8: 17.4% vs 17.1%; age 9: 18.5% vs 19.9%. Axis from 0% to 20%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2015 Toyota RAV4 by registration · All Toyota RAV4 MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2015 Toyota RAV4 fail at each age?

Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Toyota RAV4 built 2015: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
4	5,951	13.7	12.9–14.6	11.6	117.9
5	5,652	15.4	14.5–16.4	12.9	119.2
6	5,743	14.5	13.6–15.4	14.3	101.6
7	5,676	16.3	15.4–17.3	15.3	106.4
8	5,521	17.4	16.4–18.4	17.1	101.4
9	5,444	18.5	17.5–19.6	19.9	93.2

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 33,987 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2015 Toyota RAV4?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is visibility: 6.4 items per 100 first tests, against 8.4 across all build years of the Toyota RAV4. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Toyota RAV4 built 2015 against the Toyota RAV4 in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2015, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Visibility	6.4	8.4	2,168
Suspension	6.1	16	2,086
Brakes	5.3	11.8	1,808
Tyres	4.6	5.1	1,567
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	3.4	17.6	1,153

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 33,987 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2015 compare with the years around it?

Among the 23 published build years of the Toyota RAV4, 2015 ranks 20 (1 = fails least for its age). 2014: index 100.7. 2016: index 94.6.

Toyota RAV4 build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
1998	100.5	95.2–105.7	no different (rough estimate)	3,307
1999	103.3	98.3–108.3	no different (rough estimate)	3,763
2000	103.4	99.3–107.5	no different	5,777
2001	102.5	99.9–105.0	no different	14,923
2002	101.1	99.3–102.9	no different	29,409
2003	100.5	99.0–102.1	no different	39,233
2004	96.2	94.8–97.7	better	47,043
2005	94.4	93.0–95.8	better	50,197
2006	103.5	101.9–105.0	worse	42,972
2007	105.9	104.3–107.6	worse	43,903
2008	106.0	104.1–107.9	worse	34,802
2009	101.4	99.0–103.8	no different	21,555
2010	97.6	95.3–99.8	better	25,352
2011	98.5	96.0–101.1	no different	23,653
2012	95.5	92.7–98.3	better	20,996
2013	92.6	90.4–94.8	better	37,067
2014	100.7	98.3–103.1	no different	38,033
2015	105.3	102.5–108.1	worse	33,987
2016	94.6	92.1–97.0	better	46,987
2017	105.2	102.3–108.1	worse	41,548
2018	112.2	108.6–115.8	worse	29,757
2019	80.0	76.7–83.3	better	28,051
2020	90.9	86.8–94.9	better	24,440

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 686,755 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota RAV4 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-rav4/2015/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

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