Toyota Hilux 2015: MOT failure rate for its age

28.0% of 35,992 MOT tests of the Toyota Hilux first registered in 2015 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 105.5 (95% CI 103.5–107.6; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2015 Toyota Hilux fails more often than other build years of the same model at the same age.

Toyota Hilux built in 2015 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	28.0	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	35992
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 103.5–107.6)	105.5	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	35992
Rank among this model's 23 build years	22	of 23	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	35992
Tested in 2024	5495	tests	median 86,425 miles	2024	5495

Built 2015 against Toyota Hilux normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 4: 21.5% vs 21.7%; age 5: 25% vs 21.8%; age 6: 28% vs 24.9%; age 7: 29.6% vs 27.4%; age 8: 31.7% vs 31%; age 9: 33.7% vs 33.8%. Axis from 0% to 40%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2015 Toyota Hilux by registration · All Toyota Hilux MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2015 Toyota Hilux fail at each age?

Cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Toyota Hilux built 2015: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
4	6,649	21.5	20.5–22.5	21.7	99.1
5	6,054	25	23.9–26.1	21.8	114.4
6	6,172	28	26.9–29.1	24.9	112.7
7	5,894	29.6	28.4–30.7	27.4	107.7
8	5,728	31.7	30.5–32.9	31	102.1
9	5,495	33.7	32.5–35	33.8	99.7

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 35,992 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2015 Toyota Hilux?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2015 is brakes: 16.8 items per 100 first tests, against 24.8 across all build years of the Toyota Hilux. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2015 were tested at ages 4 to 9.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Toyota Hilux built 2015 against the Toyota Hilux in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2015, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Brakes	16.8	24.8	6,029
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	16.7	26	6,020
Suspension	12.2	19	4,400
Visibility	8.4	10.6	3,027
Tyres	4.3	4.6	1,542

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 35,992 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2015 compare with the years around it?

Among the 23 published build years of the Toyota Hilux, 2015 ranks 22 (1 = fails least for its age). 2014: index 101.3. 2016: index 100.7.

Toyota Hilux build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
1998	100.6	94.1–107.2	no different (rough estimate)	1,916
1999	99.3	93.5–105.1	no different (rough estimate)	2,434
2000	100.8	95.4–106.2	no different (rough estimate)	2,927
2001	100.7	96.0–105.5	no different (rough estimate)	3,729
2002	102.5	98.9–106.1	no different	6,657
2003	101.2	97.7–104.7	no different	7,095
2004	102.1	99.1–105.1	no different	9,815
2005	96.8	93.6–100.1	no different	7,903
2006	99.1	95.8–102.3	no different	8,026
2007	97.5	94.9–100.0	no different	13,744
2008	99.3	96.8–101.8	no different	14,546
2009	101.8	99.0–104.5	no different	12,851
2010	101.7	99.3–104.0	no different	17,399
2011	103.6	101.6–105.7	worse	25,323
2012	99.9	97.8–101.9	no different	25,688
2013	102.0	99.9–104.1	no different	26,897
2014	101.3	99.2–103.3	no different	31,658
2015	105.5	103.5–107.6	worse	35,992
2016	100.7	98.3–103.1	no different	28,743
2017	84.3	81.9–86.6	better	28,268
2018	96.3	93.4–99.2	better	22,332
2019	100.6	96.9–104.2	no different	15,591
2020	106.7	101.8–111.6	worse	9,843

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 359,377 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Toyota Hilux 2015 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/toyota-hilux/2015/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

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