Mitsubishi Lancer 2002: MOT failure rate for its age
12.9% of 210 MOT tests of the Mitsubishi Lancer first registered in 2002 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 38.8 (95% CI 24.2–53.4; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2002 Mitsubishi Lancer fails less often than other build years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.
| Measure | Value | Unit | Compared with | Years | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Failed first time | 12.9 | % | all ages tested | 2019–2024 | 210 |
| Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 24.2–53.4) | 38.8 | index | 100 = normal for this model at that age | 2019–2024 | 210 |
| Rank among this model's 11 build years | 1 | of 11 | 1 = fails least for its age | 2019–2024 | 210 |
| Tested in 2024 | 49 | tests | median 71,058 miles | 2024 | 49 |
Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).
How does the 2002 Mitsubishi Lancer fail at each age?
Cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.
| Age | Tests | Failed, % | 95% interval | Normal for this model at that age, % | Index (100 = normal) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 87 (rough estimate) | 11.5 | 6.4–19.9 | 35.6 | 32.3 |
| 18 | 61 (rough estimate) | 18 | 10.4–29.5 | 30.5 | 59.2 |
| 19 | 62 (rough estimate) | 9.7 | 4.5–19.5 | 32.4 | 29.9 |
| 20 | 62 (rough estimate) | 8.1 | 3.5–17.5 | not available | not available |
| 21 | 62 (rough estimate) | 12.9 | 6.7–23.4 | not available | not available |
| 22 | 49 (rough estimate) | 12.2 | 5.7–24.2 | not available | not available |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 383 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How does 2002 compare with the years around it?
Among the 11 published build years of the Mitsubishi Lancer, 2002 ranks 1 (1 = fails least for its age). 2001: index 60.8. 2003: index 51.3.
| Build year | Index (100 = normal) | 95% interval | Verdict | Tests |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 60.8 | 48.5–73.1 | better (rough estimate) | 472 |
| 2002 | 38.8 | 24.2–53.4 | better (rough estimate) | 210 |
| 2003 | 51.3 | 44.0–58.6 | better (rough estimate) | 1,100 |
| 2004 | 45.9 | 40.9–50.8 | better (rough estimate) | 2,097 |
| 2005 | 100.2 | 96.6–103.7 | no different | 8,665 |
| 2006 | 104.8 | 101.1–108.5 | worse | 8,169 |
| 2007 | 97.0 | 93.2–100.8 | no different | 6,910 |
| 2008 | 94.9 | 91.9–97.9 | better | 10,841 |
| 2009 | 101.6 | 98.1–105.1 | no different | 8,426 |
| 2010 | 104.2 | 101.3–107.2 | worse | 12,290 |
| 2011 | 99.7 | 96.2–103.2 | no different | 8,733 |
Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 67,913 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV
How to cite this page
MOT Risk Index (2026). Mitsubishi Lancer 2002 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/mitsubishi-lancer/2002/
How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.
Other pages for this model
Mitsubishi Lancer 2001 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2003 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2004 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2005 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2006 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2007 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2008 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2009 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2010 · Mitsubishi Lancer 2011 · Mitsubishi Lancer in Norway · Mitsubishi Lancer in Finland · Mitsubishi Lancer in the Netherlands · Mitsubishi Lancer by postcode area · Mitsubishi Lancer body, chassis and structure failures · Mitsubishi Lancer brakes failures · Mitsubishi Lancer vehicle identification failures · Mitsubishi Lancer lamps, reflectors and electrics failures · Mitsubishi Lancer noise, emissions and leaks failures · Mitsubishi Lancer road wheels failures · Mitsubishi Lancer seat belts and airbags failures · Mitsubishi Lancer steering failures · Mitsubishi Lancer suspension failures · Mitsubishi Lancer tyres failures · Mitsubishi Lancer visibility failures