Ford Transit Connect 2002: MOT failure rate for its age

52.2% of 3,023 MOT tests of the Ford Transit Connect first registered in 2002 failed at the first attempt (2019–2024; retests excluded). Against this model's own normal rate at the same ages the index is 97.6 (95% CI 92.8–102.4; 100 = normal for this model at that age): the 2002 build year is no different from other years of the same model at the same age. This is a rough estimate from a smaller sample.

Ford Transit Connect built in 2002 at a glance
Measure	Value	Unit	Compared with	Years	Tests
Failed first time	52.2	%	all ages tested	2019–2024	3023
Index against this model at the same age (95% CI 92.8–102.4)	97.6	index	100 = normal for this model at that age	2019–2024	3023
Rank among this model's 19 build years	5	of 19	1 = fails least for its age	2019–2024	3023
Tested in 2024	248	tests	median 144,145 miles	2024	248

Built 2002 against Ford Transit Connect normal for the age: first-time MOT failure share at each age, age 17: 53.6% vs 57.8%; age 18: 51.7% vs 53.4%; age 19: 52.1% vs 52%; age 20: 51.3% vs 49.6%; age 21: 50.6% vs 49.5%; age 22: 50.8% vs n/a%. Axis from 0% to 60%. DVSA MOT bulk data, 2019–2024.

Check a 2002 Ford Transit Connect by registration · All Ford Transit Connect MOT statistics · Download the build-year table (CSV)

Data release dvsa-2024-v2 (24 Sep 2026) · page updated 30 Sep 2026 · full dataset (v5).

How does the 2002 Ford Transit Connect fail at each age?

Cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22 between 2019 and 2024. Each row compares their first-time failure share with what this model normally shows at that age, after allowing for the overall failure level of each test year.

Ford Transit Connect built 2002: first-time MOT failure by age, against the model's normal rate at that age (2019–2024)
Age	Tests	Failed, %	95% interval	Normal for this model at that age, %	Index (100 = normal)
17	928	53.6	50.3–56.7	57.8	92.6
18	693	51.7	47.9–55.4	53.4	96.8
19	583	52.1	48.1–56.2	52	100.3
20	487 (rough estimate)	51.3	46.9–55.7	49.6	103.6
21	332 (rough estimate)	50.6	45.2–55.9	49.5	102.1
22	248 (rough estimate)	50.8	44.6–57	not available	not available

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 3,271 (initial tests) · Method: normal rate = this model's first-time failure share at that age across its build years (cells of 400+ tests), adjusted for each test year's overall level; cells of 30+ tests, under 500 marked rough · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

What fails most on the 2002 Ford Transit Connect?

The most common failure group on cars built in 2002 is lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment: 85.3 items per 100 first tests, against 33.9 across all build years of the Ford Transit Connect. These counts are not age-adjusted: cars built in 2002 were tested at ages 17 to 22.

Failure items per 100 first tests, Ford Transit Connect built 2002 against the Ford Transit Connect in all build years (2019–2024, not age-adjusted)
Failure group	Built 2002, per 100	All build years, per 100	Items
Lamps, reflectors and electrical equipment	85.3	33.9	2,790
Suspension	72.5	24	2,373
Brakes	49	22.8	1,602
Body, chassis, structure	32.3	19.3	1,055
Visibility	27.3	18	894

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 3,271 (initial tests of this build year) · Method: failure items grouped by DVSA's top-level defect groups, per 100 initial tests; groups with 30+ items · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How does 2002 compare with the years around it?

Among the 19 published build years of the Ford Transit Connect, 2002 ranks 5 (1 = fails least for its age). 2003: index 101.0.

Ford Transit Connect build years: index against the model at the same age (2019–2024)
Build year	Index (100 = normal)	95% interval	Verdict	Tests
2002	97.6	92.8–102.4	no different (rough estimate)	3,023
2003	101.0	99.5–102.5	no different	30,422
2004	100.7	99.4–102.0	no different	42,861
2005	99.3	98.2–100.5	no different	52,730
2006	100.2	99.2–101.2	no different	68,208
2007	100.6	99.5–101.6	no different	69,520
2008	99.7	98.5–100.8	no different	58,301
2009	100.9	99.5–102.4	no different	37,234
2010	105.4	103.9–107.0	worse	35,258
2011	106.2	104.7–107.8	worse	38,681
2012	106.4	104.7–108.1	worse	38,119
2013	102.8	100.8–104.8	worse	28,252
2014	91.5	90.2–92.8	better	65,086
2015	92.7	91.5–94.0	better	80,996
2016	94.6	93.3–95.9	better	86,114
2017	91.0	89.8–92.3	better	97,079
2018	102.8	101.2–104.4	worse	67,502
2019	121.5	119.3–123.7	worse	45,242
2020	114.1	111.0–117.2	worse	22,168

Source: DVSA MOT bulk data · Window: 2019–2024 · n = 966,796 (initial tests) · Method: observed failures against those expected for the same model at the same ages, test-year level adjusted; verdict follows the printed one-decimal bound · Updated: 30 Sep 2026 · Release: dvsa-2024-v2 · CSV

How to cite this page

MOT Risk Index (2026). Ford Transit Connect 2002 MOT statistics (data release dvsa-2024-v2; full dataset motriskindex-families-2024-v5, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22975051), updated 30 September 2026. motriskindex.co.uk/cars/ford-transit-connect/2002/

How every figure is calculated: methodology. Age, test year and build year are tied together (age = test year − build year), so the test-year level is taken as observed, not estimated.

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